LeonhartFour 4/16/2020 5:16:07 PM#401
I don't even consider New Leaf a transitive, stable entrant from week to week. Not with the current state of Animal Crossing.

In my mind I'm basically setting RDR2 = RDR1, and I think RDR1 could still win next round...although maybe not if Portal 2 keeps rising.
It's Reyn Time.
Yuri_LowelI 4/16/2020 5:16:32 PM#403
ShortReplies posted...
Didnt Witcher 3 score 72% against Odyssey? Seems Persona 5 is doing better,

84%

Even though Black Flag is a lot stronger and probably the most popular AC game or at least slightly behind AC2.

Persona/Witcher is probably a 55-45 but you can bet your f***ing ass that Match is gonna have rallies. From Both sides but definitely PErsona 5 sides.
ctesjbuvf 4/16/2020 5:16:36 PM#404
Portal 2 is starting to look pretty fine.
Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
LusterSoldier 4/16/2020 5:16:43 PM#405
ctesjbuvf posted...
Why is the total votes in match 1 and 3 two more than in 2 and 4. Shouldn't that be impossible?


All of the match result pages don't update at the exact same time, so the vote totals can be slightly different in each match. Also, it's technically possible to vote in less than 4 matches, but it requires some workarounds for that.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
It may be time to hibernate for 23:45. Also feeling good about Portal next round.

Gotta say - really surprised at the degree of this Meat Boy collapse. Yeah, Indies have been getting humbled this round, but Sonic looked so awful last round that I never would have expected something this lopsided.
BlAcK TuRtLe 4/16/2020 5:16:57 PM#407
Lol kingdom shafts

Portal 2 looking great to win this division

"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1
lol xstats
I disagree that indies are getting humbled this round. Hollow Knight almost beat FF15, Stardew put up very respectable numbers against SMG2, and Shovel Knight clutched out its match.
It's Reyn Time.
Yuri_LowelI 4/16/2020 5:17:59 PM#409
KamikazePotato posted...
I don't even consider New Leaf a transitive, stable entrant from week to week. Not with the current state of Animal Crossing.

In my mind I'm basically setting RDR2 = RDR1, and I think RDR1 could still win next round...although maybe not if Portal 2 keeps rising.

I think RDR1 is slightly stronger. Only because i've played both and spent time on this site when RDR2 came out. Game had a lot of divisive fans. The first was near universally loved.
I have Portal 2 winning next round and I'm not sure what to make of that decision so far. I think I feel good about it?

I'm floored by Sonic Mania so far though. After Round 1, I really thought Super Meat Boy was going to snatch its rings here. On that note, I'm retroactively deeming Ys an honorable mention star of Round 1.
The music was thud-like.
The music was... thud-like.
Yuri_LowelI 4/16/2020 5:19:12 PM#411
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Lol kingdom shafts

Portal 2 looking great to win this division

This clown just keeps coming up with the goods

After Xenoblade/Overwatch Fiasco. You need to Shut the f*** up.
(edited 4/16/2020 5:19:22 PM)report
CaptainOfCrush posted...
It may be time to hibernate for 23:45. Also feeling good about Portal next round.

Gotta say - really surprised at the degree of this Meat Boy collapse. Yeah, Indies have been getting humbled this round, but Sonic looked so awful last round that I never would have expected something this lopsided.
I honestly think it's SFF. SMB is the perfect game for Sonic fans to play who were frustrated by that series being trash for 15 years. I'm on that list. Loved the Genesis games, suffered through so much 3D vomit, and Sonic Mania was like manna from heaven. In the meantime, indie platformers that were really fast and difficult (Super Meat Boy, VVVVVV, etc) were cool to play.

Would not at all be surprised at crazy overlap.
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n
Fair enough, Hollow Knight and Stardew have been bright spots, but Shovel Knight nearly snatched defeat from the jaws of a victory we thought would be relatively safe. It underperformed.
LeonhartFour 4/16/2020 5:19:37 PM#414
Division 5 X-Stats!

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – 50.00%
Mass Effect 3 – 21.60%
Starcraft II: Wings of Liberty – 17.01%
Assassin’s Creed Odyssey – 15.93%

Super Mario Galaxy 2 – 50.00%
Stardew Valley – 35.91%
Destiny – 20.71%
Return of the Obra Dinn – 12.75%

Fallout: New Vegas – 50.00%
Dark Souls III – 46.04%
Dishonored – 27.69%
The Stanley Parable – 20.60%

God of War – 50.00%
Nioh – 25.54%
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth – 22.20%
The Talos Principle – 15.08%
The Show inspired me to start up Ys 8, and it's pretty good, so I'm alright with it looking better in retrospect.
It's Reyn Time.
Yuri_LowelI 4/16/2020 5:20:30 PM#416
KamikazePotato posted...
I disagree that indies are getting humbled this round. Hollow Knight almost beat FF15, Stardew put up very respectable numbers against SMG2, and Shovel Knight clutched out its match.

HK is star of the round for me certainly indie star of the round

FFXV=/= KH3. FFXV is stronger despite also being hated quite a bit.
LeonhartFour 4/16/2020 5:20:37 PM#417
KamikazePotato posted...
The Show inspired me to start up Ys 8, and it's pretty good, so I'm alright with it looking better in retrospect.
What even is that game?
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n
Not_Wylvane 4/16/2020 5:21:11 PM#419
I wish I could be as simultaneously confident and constantly wrong in my predictions as some of the posters in this topic.
CaptainOfCrush posted...
Fair enough, Hollow Knight and Stardew have been bright spots, but Shovel Knight nearly snatched defeat from the jaws of a victory we thought would be relatively safe. It underperformed.
It may have underperformed by board consensus, but I was pretty consistent in maintaining that Octopath was legit and Shovel Knight wasn't entirely out of the woods. Especially after Bravely Default - Octopath's closest analogue - was shown to be almost as strong as Sekiro. The 60%+ Shovel Knight predictions were a result of the board overcorrecting on a result they didn't see coming.
It's Reyn Time.
It just gets worse and worse for KH3...
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 94/104
Today's Picks: Persona 5, SM, KH3, SFV
Okay, RDR2, I was kind of assuming your % would be increasing by now
It's Reyn Time.
Yuri_LowelI 4/16/2020 5:22:40 PM#423
LeonhartFour posted...
Division 5 X-Stats!

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – 50.00%
Mass Effect 3 – 21.60%
Starcraft II: Wings of Liberty – 17.01%
Assassin’s Creed Odyssey – 15.93%

Super Mario Galaxy 2 – 50.00%
Stardew Valley – 35.91%
Destiny – 20.71%
Return of the Obra Dinn – 12.75%

Fallout: New Vegas – 50.00%
Dark Souls III – 46.04%
Dishonored – 27.69%
The Stanley Parable – 20.60%

God of War – 50.00%
Nioh – 25.54%
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth – 22.20%
The Talos Principle – 15.08%

Jesus Christ.....if there was Evident of a 1 Seed being dominant...not only does it score the biggest wins on average but look at the games in its quartet. Ridiculous Witcher 3 is.
KamikazePotato posted...
Okay, RDR2, I was kind of assuming your % would be increasing by now

Bracket voting never fails...
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 94/104
Today's Picks: Persona 5, SM, KH3, SFV
LeonhartFour 4/16/2020 5:23:23 PM#425
yeah you'd have to think Destiny can hang with ME3 to even believe Galaxy 2 has a prayer of keeping it close next round
ShortReplies 4/16/2020 5:23:32 PM#426
Portal 2 is really one of a kind, a masterpiece, I hope it does well.
Wow Portal 2

The thing about Octopath/Shovel Knight is that it made Undertale look much more impressive. So it can’t be used against indie games. And Sonic Mania is by an indie dev no?
I just decided to change this sig.
Blaaaaaaargh Advokaiser
(edited 4/16/2020 5:24:35 PM)report
LeonhartFour 4/16/2020 5:24:16 PM#428
Lightning Strikes posted...
Wow Portsl 2

The thing about Octopath/Shovel Knight is that it made Undertale look much more impressive. So it can’t be used against indie games. And Sonic Mania is by an indie dev no?


Yeah, but Sega still published it, so I wouldn't consider it indie.
ShortReplies 4/16/2020 5:24:26 PM#429
LeonhartFour posted...
Division 5 X-Stats!

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – 50.00%
Mass Effect 3 – 21.60%
Starcraft II: Wings of Liberty – 17.01%
Assassin’s Creed Odyssey – 15.93%

Super Mario Galaxy 2 – 50.00%
Stardew Valley – 35.91%
Destiny – 20.71%
Return of the Obra Dinn – 12.75%

Fallout: New Vegas – 50.00%
Dark Souls III – 46.04%
Dishonored – 27.69%
The Stanley Parable – 20.60%

God of War – 50.00%
Nioh – 25.54%
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth – 22.20%
The Talos Principle – 15.08%

Why are those percentages? i dont understand.
Nintendogs 4/16/2020 5:24:27 PM#430
Portal 2 vs. Sonic Mania

Who do you have?
Not_Wylvane 4/16/2020 5:24:32 PM#431
RDR2 only gained three votes that last update.
Ranticoot 4/16/2020 5:24:33 PM#432
I just checked the results and jesus f***ing christ, Meat Boy sucks

HOW the f***
Born to lose, live to win!
Yuri_LowelI 4/16/2020 5:24:42 PM#433
KH3 is being heavily Anti voted.

charmander6000 posted...
Bracket voting never fails...
I don't know how much bracket voting takes place from non-Board 8 regulars, but I wouldn't be surprised if Animal Crossing has some good bracket support from that end.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner.
LeonhartFour 4/16/2020 5:25:02 PM#435
_SecretSquirrel posted...

I don't know how much bracket voting takes place from non-Board 8 regulars, but I wouldn't be surprised if Animal Crossing has some good bracket support from that end.


Eh, Rockstar games always get brackets.
LeonhartFour 4/16/2020 5:25:49 PM#436
LOL Sonic Mania is actually going up

seriously what the heck happened to it last round
ctesjbuvf 4/16/2020 5:25:50 PM#437
Brackets aside, RDR2 should have a trash board vote, so I wouldn't worry much.
Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
Nintendogs posted...
Portal 2 vs. Sonic Mania

Who do you have?

Portal 2 for sure.
The music was thud-like.
The music was... thud-like.
Not_Wylvane 4/16/2020 5:26:11 PM#439
RDR2 looking a lot safer now.
davidponte 4/16/2020 5:26:36 PM#440
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Lol kingdom shafts

Portal 2 looking great to win this division

davidponte posted...
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
What possible reason do you have for saying this? This is the most random out-of-your-ass claim I've seen here in a while

The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
RDR2 is already 2% lower than it was at the freeze. I don't think it's in danger of losing THIS match but next round is quickly becoming out of the question.
It's Reyn Time.
LeonhartFour posted...
Eh, Rockstar games always get brackets.
True, but I'm think it could be just enough to dilute the bracket vote to where it's not as potent.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner.
ctesjbuvf 4/16/2020 5:26:59 PM#443
Seriously, Sonic vs. Super Meat Boy is probably the match where we'll be off the most in the oracle overall this round.
Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
tgs2 4/16/2020 5:27:05 PM#444
LeonhartFour posted...
LOL Sonic Mania is actually going up

seriously what the heck happened to it last round

JRPGfaqs. Low votals have turbocharged all of them.
BlAcK TuRtLe 4/16/2020 5:27:34 PM#445
Yuri_LowelI posted...
KH3 is being heavily Anti voted.
Or it's just a s*** game in a s*** series
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1
lol xstats
_SecretSquirrel posted...
I don't know how much bracket voting takes place from non-Board 8 regulars, but I wouldn't be surprised if Animal Crossing has some good bracket support from that end.

RDR2 definitely has casuals on its side.
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 94/104
Today's Picks: Persona 5, SM, KH3, SFV
LeonhartFour 4/16/2020 5:27:56 PM#447
LeonhartFour posted...
yeah that's how anti-voting works BT
If you're going to respond to BT, quote him so I don't have to hear about the conversation
It's Reyn Time.
Remember when we were worried that Sonic Mania would lose?
Courage is the magic that turns dreams into reality
Yuri_LowelI 4/16/2020 5:31:48 PM#450
LeonhartFour posted...
LOL Sonic Mania is actually going up

seriously what the heck happened to it last round

Theres a reason Ys 8 got into this bracket and wasn't a 16 or 15 seed.

This isn't your s***ty Hyperdimension game or anything. Ys is popular.

Sonic Mania seems to me getting votes purely based on Nostalgia for old Sonic games.

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