Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1335

HaRRicH posted...

ROUND 1 INDIE WINNERS:

Minecraft - 75.71% (versus Dota 2)
Stardew Valley - 71.17% (versus Destiny)
Super Meat Boy - 68.96% (versus Slay the Spire)
Cuphead - 68.28% (versus XCOM 2)
Shovel Knight - 64.4% (versus Dragon's Dogma)
Hollow Knight - 62.81% (versus Tales or Berseria)
Bastion - 52.25% (versus The Walking Dead)
Ori and the Blind Forest - 51.91% (versus Dragon Age: Inquisition)

ROUND 1 INDIE LOSERS:

Undertale - 46.71% (versus Octopath Traveler)
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth - 43.47% (versus Nioh)
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night - 40.9% (versus Borderlands 2)
Slay the Spire - 31.04% (versus Super Meat Boy)
VVVVVV - 28.28% (versus Fallout 4)
What Remains of Edith Finch - 25.35% (versus Final Fantasy XV)
FTL: Faster Than Light - 22.23% (versus Persona 4 Golden)
Baba is You - 20.73% (versus Grand Theft Auto V)
The Stanley Parable - 20.6% (versus Fallout: New Vegas)
INSIDE - 13.94% (versus DOOM)
Return of the Obra Dinn - 12.75% (versus Super Mario Galaxy 2)

Ori might have had the lowest % but looks to me being the most impressive winner

Team Rocket Elite posted...

Does Yakuza 0 still beat The Witness? Yakuza 0 should have like0 strength. Is it possible The Witness loses anyways?

The Witness got doubled by INSIDE in GOTY

Leonhart4 posted...

The Witness got doubled by INSIDE in GOTY

Shame its such a good game

Leonhart4 posted...

The Witness got doubled by INSIDE in GOTY

So you're saying it's a toss up? >_>

I guess Yakuza 0 should be able to win.

Yakuza is probably about on par with inside at least

if Yakuza is turbofodder, witness is like..Ultra instinct fodder.

Team Rocket Elite posted...

Does Yakuza 0 still beat The Witness? Yakuza 0 should have like0 strength. Is it possible The Witness loses anyways?

My bracket has The Witness > Yakuza 0 and it is the one change I would have made if I noticed I left that pick there sooner. The Witness had a zeitgeist for a minute and really is a top-caliber game of the decade, but GameFAQs just ain't got that kind of time for a less popular Myst.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5387-which-upcoming-original-title-are-you-most-looking-forward
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6570-best-of-2016-indies

Less hype than Dyling Light, fewer votes than INSIDE.

But to your point, I took that pick because I had no expectations of Yakuza 0 getting votes because Majima got clocked by Master Chief:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7288-division-7-round-1-chief-vs-majima

Master Chief ain't THAT embarrassing though and I overreacted to that result. Now, Yakuza 0 also didn't look great in this poll:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6730-five-months-in-to-2017-whats-your-pick-for-game-of-the-year

However, landing between Nioh and RE7 ain't too bad either -- RE7 looked good for a 16-seed, Nioh won an upset here, and 2017 was a powerful year for games.

Plus, Yakuza has franchise votes.

Yakuza 0's gonna win. Hopefully The Witness does exceptionally well considering its quality, but...I mean, it didn't matter for Jonathan Blow's other game we've seen.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/4112-southwest-division-round-1-persona-4-vs-braid

^ pre-Golden, I can't even gets my hopes up there.....

Yakuza 0 is going to be super weak, but even that's going to be enough to beat The Witness

At a glance I think it, or whoever wins Journey's match, will be the weakest game that wins a match.

Advokaiser posted...

Who's ready to see KHIII struggling to reach a doubling?

Yep.

While I'm making myself sad with polls that feature Jonathan Blow's games in last place:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/4654-which-top-rated-game-from-the-last-decade-yet-to-receive-a

I WISH THIS WAS BECAUSE PEOPLE WERE SO SATISFIED WITH BRAID ALREADY EXPLORING ITS CONCEPTS SO THOROUGHLY

Persona 5 vs. Heavy Rain
Registered Vote Result:
Persona 5 - 6929 (78.95%)
Heavy Rain - 1847 (21.05%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Persona 5 - 5597 (76.69%)
Heavy Rain - 1701 (23.31%)

Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag vs. Sid Meier's Civilization V
Registered Vote Result:
Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag - 4990 (56.85%)
Sid Meier's Civilization V - 3787 (43.15%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag - 4046 (55.46%)
Sid Meier's Civilization V - 3250 (44.54%)

Sonic Mania vs. Ys VIII: Lacrimosa of DANA
Registered Vote Result:
Sonic Mania - 5607 (63.88%)
Ys VIII: Lacrimosa of DANA - 3170 (36.12%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Sonic Mania - 4378 (60.01%)
Ys VIII: Lacrimosa of DANA - 2918 (39.99%)

Super Meat Boy vs. Slay the Spire
Registered Vote Result:
Super Meat Boy - 6109 (69.60%)
Slay the Spire - 2668 (30.40%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Super Meat Boy - 4920 (67.42%)
Slay the Spire - 2377 (32.58%)

Sonic Mania is the big winner in yesterday's matches, with a split of almost 4% between registered and anonymous users. I suspect the games that pray upon the 1990s nostalgia this site has would disproportionally affect registered users far more than anonymous users.

Super Meat Boy and Persona 5 have smaller splits of about 2% between registered and anonymous users, with AC: Black Flag being even smaller at about 1.5%.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kFS3SfH6sAhPdS85H7BpuFIkr9SayeF7AhMw-wrEBng/pub

So who here played both games and actually thinks KH3 is better than Disco Elysium?

Trend charts:

Time | P5 | Rain | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 83.08% | 16.92% | 467 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 78.60% | 21.40% | 3233 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 79.18% | 20.82% | 7972 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 77.37% | 22.63% | 3390 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 76.49% | 23.51% | 5321 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 79.23% | 20.77% | 4934 | (16:00-24:00)

Persona 5 cools off after a hot start but mostly stabilizes after the first hour.

Time | Black Flag | Civ V | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 61.46% | 38.54% | 467 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 56.54% | 43.46% | 3233 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 56.84% | 43.16% | 7972 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 57.66% | 42.34% | 3394 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 55.78% | 44.22% | 5317 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 55.61% | 44.39% | 4934 | (16:00-24:00)

Like P5, ACIV drops a lot from the freeze but stays pretty locked in after the first hour.

Time | Sonic | Ys VIII | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 70.88% | 29.12% | 467 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 63.71% | 36.29% | 3235 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 63.38% | 36.62% | 7972 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 59.32% | 40.68% | 3390 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 61.70% | 38.30% | 5319 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 64.55% | 35.45% | 4934 | (16:00-24:00)

Yes, you're reading that right. Sonic Mania actually averaged under 60% during the dead of night vote!

Time | Meat Boy | Spire | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 71.95% | 28.05% | 467 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 68.81% | 31.19% | 3235 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 69.89% | 30.11% | 7970 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 67.70% | 32.30% | 3393 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 68.77% | 31.23% | 5319 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 68.65% | 31.35% | 4934 | (16:00-24:00)

For once, the indie game is the most stable!

Spire's not an indie?

LeonhartFour posted...

Time | Sonic | Ys VIII | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 70.88% | 29.12% | 467 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 63.71% | 36.29% | 3235 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 63.38% | 36.62% | 7972 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 59.32% | 40.68% | 3390 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 61.70% | 38.30% | 5319 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 64.55% | 35.45% | 4934 | (16:00-24:00)

Is this the first 10+% difference we've seen in trends during a match this contest?

let's get to 70 KH3!

HaRRicH posted...

Is this the first 10+% difference we've seen in trends during a match this contest?

Shovel Knight and Fallout 4 both had a nearly 15% difference between their board vote and their respective peak and valley (because FO4's lowest point was the board vote).

Team Rocket Elite posted...

Does Yakuza 0 still beat The Witness? Yakuza 0 should have like0 strength. Is it possible The Witness loses anyways?

This is arguably the weakest Matchup in the contest so far next to AC/Civ 5

Can't think of another pairing that could be 2 fodder games.

But Yakuza should win.

I would take both AC and Civ 5 over Witness or Yakuza, to be honest.

LeonhartFour posted...

Shovel Knight and Fallout 4 both had a nearly 15% difference between their board vote and their respective peak and valley (because FO4's lowest point was the board vote).

If you think thats high for a board vote % compared to the rest of the match...just wait until Cuphead/GTAV

Oh man thats gonna be one hell of a % difference between the two games peak %.

Even if GTAV wins which i think it might...its going to get absolutely destroyed by Cuphead in the first 5 mins.

WarThaNemesis2 posted...

I would take both AC and Civ 5 over Witness or Yakuza, to be honest.

I wouldn't take Civ 5 over yakuza.

Yakuza recently got an Xbox/PC release i think so it should be stronger. Its also the most respected Yakuza game. We'll see. You maybe right

Assassins Creed just has more higher play rate and recognition.

I could see Yakuza taking AC.

So looking at tomorrows matches we've got 3 pretty damn well received indie titles. one of them has 0 chance one of them has a small chance possibly if MGSV is antivoted and the other has a good chance but a toss up

Hotline Miami imo would beat a ton of these losers in this bracket so far. So would Rocket League.

DArk Souls probably gets 75% which is decent.

DBZ/Rockt league could be anything. Literally anything.

Witness Yakuza i'll go for Yakua with 60% or something like that

MGSV/Dead Cells is going to be very interesting.

I'm going for a 55-45 MGSV win.

Hotline Miami was possibly underseeded, but Dark Souls is gonna look excellent tomorrow anyway.

I don't have high hopes for Dead Cells -- I know we talked about indie Metroidvanias, but I think I'll judge MGS5 more cynically than DC positively if it's close.

Rocket League/Dragonball FighterZ is an excellent match, one of the best in the round. I'm excited to see what comes.

It kinda seems like roguelikes aren't popular here, as far as indie games go? Would mean Necrodancer and Dead Cells would fail to impress (which is a shame, since they're in my top 5 indie games for the bracket).

I wonder how Necrodancer would do in its spot if it was Cadence of Hyrule in its position.

How did Hotline Miami get last seed, wasn't it a huge hit? The ost alone is probably more well known than the game itself and it got a sequel. I may be reaching but I feel like it's the reason synth+miami vice aesthetic became relevant again this decade.

I don't trust Allens Seeding tbh.

This is the same guy who chose Destiny 1 over 2. I seriously SERIOUSLY doubt people nominated dEstiny 1 more than 2.

Also he chucked a ton of games out due to Franchise representations. So he must have gotten to a point where hes letting in dross like Dying light ahead of something like Samus Returns 3DS.

And don't tell me "lol remake"

I love P4 Golden to death. If that game got in Samus Returns should have absolutely gotten in. Don't tell me Dying Light and Baba is You got more nominations than the only Good Metroid game last decade.

I created a Tier List maker for all 128 games in the bracket

https://tiermaker.com/create/gamefaqs-game-of-the-decade-2-320611

why? why not

(it's actually to get community rankings so the more people that do this the better)



.

Is that asking for personal favorites or predicted strength?

Whatever you want it to be honestly I dont think I can control how people use it

I was thinking personal

oh ya, go my saber!

....Even if Artoria is kinda junk in F/GO itself....

Final Fantasy VII playrate poll today:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/8053-

ZenOfThunder posted...

I created a Tier List maker for all 128 games in the bracket

https://tiermaker.com/create/gamefaqs-game-of-the-decade-2010-2019-320611

why? why not

(it's actually to get community rankings so the more people that do this the better)



.

Xenoblade seems to be there twice

Sure, I'll bite

Based on favorites, not contest strength



https://tiermaker.com/list/video-games/gamefaqs-game-of-the-decade-2010-2019-320611/477444

LusterSoldier posted...

Final Fantasy VII playrate poll today:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/8053-

I probably shouldn't be bragging about this one. >.>

I dunno if I should get FFVII on the Switch or wait for the whole FFVII Remake.

this is super unwieldy to look at all together but here you go. I changed a few tiers just to capture something more accurate.

I updated the link so it is now a tier list including Assassin's Creed Odyssey, everyone's favorite video game

UltimaterializerX posted...

https://tiermaker.com/list/video-games/gamefaqs-game-of-the-decade-2010-2019-320611/477407

Mario Kart 8 is not trash, it was a sick sick game

ZenOfThunder posted...

I created a Tier List maker for all 128 games in the bracket

https://tiermaker.com/create/gamefaqs-game-of-the-decade-2-320611

why? why not

(it's actually to get community rankings so the more people that do this the better)



.

This is cool and deserves its own thread @ZenOfThunder
EDIT: You already made one lol oops

Here's mine for now (not ordered)

This took forever to make, I hope you're happy.

Acquaint yourself with Trails in the Sky by playing it

lol so much Starcraft II apathy, that's the only one I'd put on Classic (I've played like 6 games though).

lordjers posted...

lol so much Starcraft II apathy, that's the only one I'd put on Classic (I've played like 6 games though).

It's really not a game the resonates with the the Gfaqs crowd, myself included. Definitely not a knock against the game itself

If Yakuza 0 loses to a game i've literally never even heard of i'm done.

Woke up, checked the results. Fine.

It'll be funny when Ulti rants against the games he hates in his Contest Analysis.

Early match pics:

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-back/83346.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-back/146454.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-back/397027.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-back/465487.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-back/295563.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-back/52103.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-back/151575.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-back/462377.png

As a reminder to anyone who hasn't seen my previous posts about it, the edges of all these backgrounds will be cropped in the match pics, and each one will have the game's logo centered over it.