Man, GTA5 looking weaker than the other 3 winners
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
Sharinnegan 4/1/2020 5:06:18 PM#102
performances are all somewhat similar

whats the pecking order among the losing games?

Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:06:23 PM#103
davidponte posted...
Would love to see GTA go up by about 8% by the end of this and Cuphead go down by roughly that amount.

I'd still put Cuphead to win

Also is GTA5 the biggest Fraud of a 1 Seed?

We see games like DQXI, RE2, Doom, BLoodborne, New horizon Score Enourmous BEATDOWNS on higher seeds and here you have GTAV and it can barely triple a random indie game that only came out last year.

Also My RDR pick is looking safe here

Ghost Trick is easily the strongest out fo all 4 losers here. That game had an actual fanbase back on DS.
ShortReplies 4/1/2020 5:06:46 PM#104
Does first round percentage of votes really matter going into the second? maybe the other game had a tougher opposition?
HaRRicH 4/1/2020 5:06:47 PM#105
I understand XCOM 2 is probably the fan-favorite of the XCOM series now, but I think XCOM 1 made a bigger impact and would have been stronger. Both are fine games in this match though.

I do not expect Baba is You to beat either XCOM game this decade...or possibly even the original XCOM.
Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:07:11 PM#106
KamikazePotato posted...
Man, GTA5 looking weaker than the other 3 winners

Isn't it though?

Even before thsi contest. Persona4/RDR/GTAV were all around the same strength or lieklyhood of winning

transcience 4/1/2020 5:07:28 PM#107
gta5 will end up in the high 70s, probably. it’s okay.

I do think this is basically ranking the losers though, unless Cuphead folds hard.
add the c and back away
iphonesience
ctesjbuvf 4/1/2020 5:07:42 PM#108
davidponte posted...
Why do I always mistakenly trust in GTA

Give it a bit more than five minutes

I fully believe GTAV is not the game to score big blowouts, but I don't think it's in danger
Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
Was XCOM 2 expected to have strength?

Am I this out of touch?

No it must be the kids...
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 19/24
Today's Picks: GTAV, Cuphead, P4G, RDR
Baba is you

Boardvote is good
I just decided to change this sig.
Blaaaaaaargh Advokaiser
Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:09:08 PM#111
ctesjbuvf posted...
Give it a bit more than five minutes

I fully believe GTAV is not the game to score big blowouts, but I don't think it's in danger

Danger of what?

21.29% prediction percentage for Octopath. Sounds about right.
The music was thud-like.
The music was... thud-like.
ctesjbuvf 4/1/2020 5:09:45 PM#113
Losing round 2
Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
davidponte 4/1/2020 5:09:49 PM#114
ctesjbuvf posted...
Give it a bit more than five minutes

I fully believe GTAV is not the game to score big blowouts, but I don't think it's in danger

I'm less worried about my GTA > Cuphead pick and more worried about my GTA to win the division pick.

One of those picks where you feel good about picking the upset (despite it being a 1 seed) all the way until the moment after bracket submission ends.
I was the final Undisputed Champion in UCA history,
however Advokaiser was the Guru Champion!
Feeling good about RDR>P4G!

Feeling bad about GTA winning the division...
I just decided to change this sig.
Blaaaaaaargh Advokaiser
transcience 4/1/2020 5:11:03 PM#116
yeah, this looks to be ranking the four losers essentially. I’d put xcom above the rest, probably.
add the c and back away
iphonesience
lol Cuphead went up.
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 19/24
Today's Picks: GTAV, Cuphead, P4G, RDR
Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:12:12 PM#118
You had GTAV to win the entire Division? lol

Either way looking at it now. CUphead upset is a real possibility.

I still think Red Dead has the toughest opponent.

PErsona 4 is probably the slight favourite to win this fourpack. RDR 2 and GTAV 3rd.

Cuphead is a dark horse. But i doubt it gets past a JRPG favourite like PErsona if it beats up casual theft Auto.
Also is this the most similar set of results yet?
I just decided to change this sig.
Blaaaaaaargh Advokaiser
ZeldaTPLink 4/1/2020 5:12:35 PM#120
So Octopath got 57% with anon voters but only 52% with registered voters.

Another case of anon voters being the ones to destroy tyhe rally champion.
Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:13:03 PM#121
transcience posted...
yeah, this looks to be ranking the four losers essentially. I’d put xcom above the rest, probably.

nah i'd put Ghost Trick above the rest. Game had some sort of folllowing here when it came out. XCOM 1 is more popualr than XCOM 2
ffmasterjose 4/1/2020 5:13:08 PM#122
Ouch that prediction percentage for Octopath.

Even with picking Tropical Freeze I'm still in the top 50. Undertale choking must've saved my bacon.
Current 14th place overall in the GameFAQs Game of the Decade contest!
NP: GTAV/Cuphead/P4G/RDR
ZeldaTPLink posted...
So Octopath got 57% with anon voters but only 52% with registered voters.

Another case of anon voters being the ones to destroy tyhe rally champion.

Just like Draven/Sans, GameFAQs got more exposure to Undertale from 2015 relative to the outsiders.
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 19/24
Today's Picks: GTAV, Cuphead, P4G, RDR
ctesjbuvf 4/1/2020 5:14:45 PM#124
transcience posted...
yeah, this looks to be ranking the four losers essentially. I’d put xcom above the rest, probably.

I don't think it's just about ranking the losers. Games like GTAV will never score big here unless maybe if it faced something else that gets heavily antivoted, just look at how little we thought of it!

Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
ShortReplies 4/1/2020 5:15:37 PM#125
Lightning Strikes posted...
Feeling good about RDR>P4G!

Feeling bad about GTA winning the division...
I thought P4G will easily win this division, look at its ratings.
ctesjbuvf 4/1/2020 5:16:41 PM#126
Everytime I look at any of the losing games here I keep thinking "yeah that's probably the weakest". I can't decide.
Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
Baba is You is just too recent to not be the weakest. As indie games go it beats Edith Finch and INSIDE but it won’t be super strong. But yeah they’re all similar.
I just decided to change this sig.
Blaaaaaaargh Advokaiser
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Most_Surprising_Results

Octopath > Undertale is the new #5 most surprising result of Round 1, displacing Missingno. > Crono and just under Sub-Zero > Master Chief.
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO Advokaiser NO PEACE]
(edited 4/1/2020 5:37:16 PM)report
HaRRicH 4/1/2020 5:18:43 PM#129
Ranticoot 4/1/2020 5:19:01 PM#130
Looking at the losers, I feel Xcom is a clear first, Baba is You a clear last

FTL vs. Ghost Trick is uh...man I'm not thinking what wins that.
Born to lose, live to win!
cant f***in believe I accidentally changed my pick to have mhw > ddxi f*** i could be blackballing b8 into nominating a weeb game
"you're the real hotdogger, bossman_coolguy" - meisnewbie, paraphrased
Octopath over Undertale wasn't in the plan for me. Sitting at 22 points now.
3DS FC: 4382 - 2449 - 5707 IGN: Anthony
HaRRicH 4/1/2020 5:21:31 PM#133
I'm guessing:

FTL
XCOM 2
Ghost Trick
Baba is You
Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:21:46 PM#134
ShortReplies posted...
I thought P4G will easily win this division, look at its ratings.

Xenoblade and Fire Emblem Three houses are in this division.

I mean I don't think theres much between the 3 JRPGS

but Xenoblade is winning we all know that.
LordOfDabu posted...
So I couldn't help but notice in the contest standings page that

2*user votes + anonymous votes

is not the same as adjusted votes. Is this because of users who registered after the deadline still being counted as "users" but only having their vote count as 1 vote?

@LusterSoldier is this your explanation also?


Yes, that is apparently what I found out. That's a bit unusual because the Character Battle X stats only counted users who registered before the start of that contest towards the reported User Vote totals. Accounts who registered after the start of the contest were counted as Anon Votes.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:22:30 PM#136
Bossman_Coolguy posted...
cant f***in believe I accidentally changed my pick to have mhw > ddxi f*** i could be blackballing b8 into nominating a weeb game

Why would you pick any MH game over a JRPG? LEt alone DQXI which over the last year gained Absurd amount of strength.

User Info: Team Rocket Elite

Friends
Team Rocket Elite
4/1/2020 5:23:31 PM#137
18 people fell off the Top 50. Former third place SunnyX, Doumah, scool1986, Ultimaphazon, OldKai, SonicHBK, redlaw15, Afghanboy789, Link_San, ryu553, Prankster928, Larollexie, psolitsa, RotomGuy3, SargeSmash, gjc2007, Chandilir and Ytterbicide all got at least 2 matches wrong.

27 people got one wrong and survived. Some of them even went up in rank. Zamphias, goatfishmanWarioMan222, ffmasterjose, biocantride, jayman12311, AughtforNaught, aleks_siegfried, PlasmaKappa, Zenocobalt, mariomaster0, FierceDeity0, Keltiq, Foxxiey, El_Bobbo, Zyphin, Atreides27, Slime, Cmntmxr333, angelkay16, kilodelta6, Uta, jonybeans13, Stephenrice, AlphaBetaURMOM, ALeperAffinity and Chewisbeast lost a point but are still on the Top 50.

5 people on the Top 50 scored full points. Congrats to the new top 5! In order: bjorkie, ncragg90, gamesufferer, InsaneGamer137 and snake_5036.
Link isn't the only one who kicks ass.
Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Contest!
plasmabeam 4/1/2020 5:23:33 PM#138
Dabrikishaw15 posted...
Octopath over Undertale wasn't in the plan for me. Sitting at 22 points now.

I thought about taking Shovel Knight > Undertale and now I'm kicking myself.
~Jacksonville Jaguars~
I can't believe that few people picked Octopath. Truly. Draven and Sans last contest showed us the blueprint.

I can't brag though, I picked DKC over DMC5.
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n
Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:29:24 PM#140
UltimaterializerX posted...
I can't believe that few people picked Octopath. Truly. Draven and Sans last contest showed us the blueprint.

I can't brag though, I picked DKC over DMC5.

IF this was something like DQ or Xenoblade yeah more people would have picked those games. Octopath isnt exactly a juggernaut of a game
Gall 4/1/2020 5:29:30 PM#141
Advokaiser posted...
I'm feeling like Red Dead can 80-20 Ghost Trick while at the same time P4G could be a little below a doubling on FTL and I would still be taking P4G over Red Dead.

Or at least that's what my combined Guru and Oracle picks say.

Edit: Actually, that makes me wonder: If FTL doubled Ghost Trick, what percentage would P4G/RDR be having on each other?
I don't think FTL is anywhere close to doubling Ghost Trick. The two are the same level of very weak.
Where does Octopath rank on all time first round upsets? That's got to be pushing that record.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner.
plasmabeam posted...
I thought about taking Shovel Knight > Undertale and now I'm kicking myself.

Wait that wasn't the favourite?

*checks guru*

Nice I might get an upset correct
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 19/24
Today's Picks: GTAV, Cuphead, P4G, RDR
Oktoberfest 4/1/2020 5:33:39 PM#144
my god Ghost Trick is such an amazing game. Should really be top 5 in the content but sadly not enough people played it
This is a signature.
tennisboy213 4/1/2020 5:34:25 PM#145
_SecretSquirrel posted...
Where does Octopath rank on all time first round upsets? That's got to be pushing that record.

AxemRedRanger posted...
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Most_Surprising_Results

Undertale > Octopath is the new #5 most surprising result of Round 1, displacing Missingno. > Crono and just under Sub-Zero > Master Chief.

Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:34:51 PM#146
_SecretSquirrel posted...
Where does Octopath rank on all time first round upsets? That's got to be pushing that record.

In terms of Stats? its up there

But in reality. ITs not that big of an upset

Take away the stupid 2k15 contest Undertale has no business having any sort of legit strength. Octopath is a midcarder at best.

I think if 2k15 didn't happen...Octopath gets over 60%
ZeldaTPLink 4/1/2020 5:35:17 PM#147
Yuri_LowelI posted...
In terms of Stats? its up there

But in reality. ITs not that big of an upset

Take away the stupid 2k15 contest Undertale has no business having any sort of legit strength. Octopath is a midcarder at best.

I think if 2k15 didn't happen...Octopath gets over 60%

I think if 2015 didn't happen, Undertale wins.
snake_5036 4/1/2020 5:35:39 PM#148
AxemRedRanger posted...
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Most_Surprising_Results

Undertale > Octopath is the new #5 most surprising result of Round 1, displacing Missingno. > Crono and just under Sub-Zero > Master Chief.
Wow
You felt your sins weighing on your neck.
ZeldaTPLink posted...
So Octopath got 57% with anon voters but only 52% with registered voters.

Another case of anon voters being the ones to destroy tyhe rally champion.


It's rather impressive that Undertale managed to still lose to Octopath even among registered users with the massive bracket support for Undertale. 6849 brackets picked Undertale to win, but only got 4422 votes from registered users. This means that 35.44% of registered users with a bracket entry would have to vote against Undertale to end up with just 4422 votes from registered users. It's not a perfect assumption to make because not all registered users with a bracket would have voted on that specific day of matches, and there are dozens of other registered users who are free to vote for either game without having to worry about their bracket as they didn't fill out a bracket.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
(edited 4/1/2020 5:40:09 PM)report
Yuri_LowelI 4/1/2020 5:39:24 PM#150
ZeldaTPLink posted...
I think if 2015 didn't happen, Undertale wins.

Why? Less people would have played it or cared about it.

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