Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1332

I can't believe I have Undertale winning R2.

I think I knew Shovel Knight would be strong.

man, the last 15 minutes for odyssey/mk11 is 362-29 (92.6%). ouch

I thought Undertale will just be strong enough to beat Octopath even with all the antivotes.

At least I have Shovel Knight winning the next round.

pjbasis posted...

I can't believe I have Undertale winning R2.

I think I knew Shovel Knight would be strong.

Tbh I thought shovel knight was gonna underperform this contest. I thought it was old hat at this point, as a straight platformer on the rocks I didn't think it was gonna have much staying power compared to Undertale

Gah I should be feeling smug about knowing DMCV was gonna beat DK (and at this point, pretty easily) but all I feel is defeat.

KamikazePotato posted...

Tropical Freeze probably wins this match if it releases on the Switch first. Everything on the Wii U was sent out to die.

Let's see what Mario Kart 8 has to offer.

300 vote barrier broken NOOO!

Friendly reminder that Shovel Knight got 40% on San Andreas in 2015, and the latter is not exactly weak.

Regular polls are back to being at 12:00 AM EST after about 3 weeks of 1:00 AM EST starting times because Allen didn't want to adjust the starting time until after the server migration happened.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/8047-

As expected FFVII Remake is winning this pretty easily, even over RE3Make.

Advokaiser posted...

Let's see what Mario Kart 8 has to offer.

And Bayonetta 2!

I wouldn't expect much out of Bayonetta 2!

f***. I had a good run on the top 50. I wish I could see all of my previous brackets. Whenever DK is in a debatable match I always seem to make the wrong pick, whether its betting against or on him. Stupid naked monkey.

Pre-contest, I would have confidently taken MK11 > Tekken 7. No guarantees it'd win, but I know which game I would have taken.

This is super-impressive with SMO. Next round will be interesting -- we're gonna have some interesting divisional build-up here.

LordOfDabu posted...

And Bayonetta 2!

Nier is going to Decimate Bayo 2 lol

Advokaiser posted...

Friendly reminder that Shovel Knight got 40% on San Andreas in 2015, and the latter is not exactly weak.

it lost to Golden sun

my bracket sucks, but undertale losing to octopath is the first result i legitimately did not expect to happen

all the others i got wrong i could see going the other way, but this is the first surprise

I think 2B is much more popular than the game. I think Nier is going to win its match but it's not going to be a blowout like some of these other ones.

I also think the only reason people are surprised about today's octopath result is because of the last game contest. If that contest had never happened, would you still have taken undertale here?

Very curious to see what the prediction percentage will be.

Also about Mario Kart 8: It looks like Uncharted 4 is going to be free on PS plus starting next Tuesday, mere days before its match. Pretty sure this website doesn't care for Uncharted though.

Unrelated: I played through Uncharted 2 for the 128 games contest and liked it a lot more than I thought I would

LordOfDabu posted...

Also about Mario Kart 8: It looks like Uncharted 4 is going to be free on PS plus starting next Tuesday, mere days before its match. Pretty sure this website doesn't care for Uncharted though.

Unrelated: I played through Uncharted 2 for the 128 games contest and liked it a lot more than I thought I would

uncharted 2 would beat MK8 comfortably. Not sure about uncharted 4

LordOfDabu posted...

I think 2B is much more popular than the game. I think Nier is going to win its match but it's not going to be a blowout like some of these other ones.

I also think the only reason people are surprised about today's octopath result is because of the last game contest. If that contest had never happened, would you still have taken undertale here?

Very curious to see what the prediction percentage will be.

blowout of course not. LBW couldnt even double bayo 1.

but it wins with around 60%

i actually have nier to do really welll

can undertale come back?

Donkey Kong stinking it up in today's match makes me feel better about Uncharted 4 beating Mario Kart 8. Just like DKC: Tropical Freeze, Mario Kart 8 is another game that originated as a Wii U game and got ported to the Switch later on. Getting a Switch port didn't seem to make up for DKC: Tropical Freeze being handed a death sentence through its original release on Wii U.

Is Mario Kart 8 supposed to be weak or something?

IMO, Tropical Freeze says nothing about Mario Kart 8.

The Switch version of Tropical Freeze was a bare-bones, relatively under-the-radar port released to pad out Nintendo's anemic 2018 lineup. The Switch version of Mario Kart 8 genuinely earned its "Deluxe" moniker from a content standpoint and is the system's top-selling game, full-stop.

In a nutshell, MK8 is effectively a Switch title, while Tropical Freeze is a Wii U game with an asterisk.

SuperNiceDog posted...

can undertale come back?

No

Octopath is doing really good in Europe, overnight and morning won't be pretty for Underfail. Never though I'd find myself hoping for a rally, but I really don't want to lose my perfect bracket on this of all matches

LordOfDabu posted...

If that contest had never happened, would you still have taken undertale here?

As a confident Octopath picker here, yes, with equal confidence. If 2015 had never happened, I would guess Undertale would be the strongest indie here.

Also, I agree with Bosco about Tropical Freeze vs. Mario Kart 8.

TheCodeisBosco posted...

IMO, Tropical Freeze says nothing about Mario Kart 8.

The Switch version of Tropical Freeze was a bare-bones, relatively under-the-radar port released to pad out Nintendo's anemic 2018 lineup. The Switch version of Mario Kart 8 genuinely earned its "Deluxe" moniker from a content standpoint and is the system's top-selling game, full-stop.

In a nutshell, MK8 is effectively a Switch title, while Tropical Freeze is a Wii U game with an asterisk.

lol. MK8 is NOT a switch title. The game came out in 2015. Also sales mean jack s*** on this site. How have the Nsmb games done in these contests?

BOTW is seen as a switch title because it came out the same time and when wii u was truly dead.

Was the Wii U ever truly alive though?

FFDragon posted...

Was the Wii U ever truly alive though?

i mean it was relevant from 2014-2015 when you had 3d world Mk8 mario maker and smash all releasing within 18 months. Thats about it. Remember the abysmal Animal Crossing wii u game? Yeah thats when it truly died.

BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

Octopath is doing really good in Europe, overnight and morning won't be pretty for Underfail. Never though I'd find myself hoping for a rally, but I really don't want to lose my perfect bracket on this of all matches

what is wrong with you? No seriously WTF is wrong with you.

are you still recovering from Brawl Loss in 2010? I know that was hard for you.

Im off to bed. When i wake up in 6 hours. I want that lead to be 600.

peace out

I can't remember the last time I was so damn confused by a match (DMC/DKC). I still can't see where this result came from, though I'll probably find some good explanations if I peruse the last few pages here...

Devil Trigger was a good song

While I'm sure a lot of Octopath Traveler's votes are just people anti-voting Undertale, I wouldn't be surprised it was decently played on this site.

It does seem like a very GameFAQs type of game. Back when it came out it was touted as a return to classic Square JRPGs, so it had really good word-of-mouth and it's not that obscure of a game.

Now we'll see next round how it fares with its own strength, but I still doubt it's beating Shovel Knight.

CaptainOfCrush posted...

I can't remember the last time I was so damn confused by a match (DMC/DKC). I still can't see where this result came from, though I'll probably find some good explanations if I peruse the last few pages here...

in these matches, sometimes there is no logic.. that's why we're here. It's a gamble

CaptainOfCrush posted...

I can't remember the last time I was so damn confused by a match (DMC/DKC). I still can't see where this result came from, though I'll probably find some good explanations if I peruse the last few pages here...

The series has never done well here but 5 was the best selling game in the series and seemed to get a lot of good word of mouth. Plus a triumphant return after ten years and the mediocre reboot may have given it a bit more oomph here than usual.

DMC5 is a popular, well-regarded game.

OrangeCrush980 posted...

Suddenly my Undertale > Shovel Knight pick feels like a huge mistake

I'm mad. Where was that strength in 2015, Shovel Knight?!
SuperNiceDog posted...

you went with the indie game? you crayyy?

But they're both indie games?

Yuri_LowelI posted...

Boo hoo. Who gives a s***.

Undertlae ruined a great contest

We missed out on CT handing FF7 its ass or a fantastic Finale of epic matches because of that s***

This is is Gamefaqs...its our site. f*** people who don't give a s*** about games and vote for bandwagon.

Yeah that wasn't going to happen. FF7 would've easily beaten CT.

Except, you know, the fact that Melee was rallying anyway. So we never would've gotten to see the match even without Undertale. Remember, Melee rallied in a match it was already winning comfortably, long before the opponents it actually needed rallies to beat.

...Still, today's result surprises me. I expected Undertale to either get hate-stomped the way Draven was in 2018 or win two matches on natural strength. Losing a close one like this? Seems strange.

Octopath, yeah!!! Let's go!
Such a great game!!

TsunamiXXVIII posted...

Yeah that wasn't going to happen. FF7 would've easily beaten CT.

Where did this come from? They shared in opponent in SSBM and Chrono Trigger did better among registered users.

Chrono Trigger vs. Smash Bros. Melee: 63.28% / 36.72%
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Final Fantasy VII: 42.92% / 57.08%

From recent contests we know that these results should be pretty close to what a non-rallied match result would be. Picking FF7 to beat CT is a gutsy upset pick at best. Claiming FF7 would win easily is absurd.

SuperNiceDog posted...

can undertale come back?

Very easily if it gets a rally, very unlikely if it doesn't.

But even with such a close result and small lead, I don't think it's going to get a rally.
Undertale is "old news" and gamefaqs is even less relevant than back than, so there are even less incentives.

Big Undertale cut there. However it largely seems to have been driven by Octopath collapsing.

Team Rocket Elite posted...

Where did this come from? They shared in opponent in SSBM and Chrono Trigger did better among registered users.

Chrono Trigger vs. Smash Bros. Melee: 63.28% / 36.72%
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Final Fantasy VII: 42.92% / 57.08%

From recent contests we know that these results should be pretty close to what a non-rallied match result would be. Picking FF7 to beat CT is a gutsy upset pick at best. Claiming FF7 would win easily is absurd.

Oh, I'm not saying CT wasn't stronger indirectly. But picking FF7 to lose to a fellow Squaresoft RPG just seems crazy.

It's not impossible, though. For years we said Samus was indirectly stronger than Mario, but it didn't look like she'd ever actually beat him. And she still hasn't, but only because of the registered user bonus; she actually broke 51% in the raw vote in their Losers' Bracket match.

But again, it's a moot point. Melee started rallying all the way back in Round 2 against GSC. Blaming the lack of a CT-FF7 match on Undertale is folly.

NNnnnoooo, this is the biggest injustice! Dragon's Dogma is flipping amazing! I think the people who didn't vote for it didn't play it :(

Woke up, checked the results. As expected...Yeah to tell the truth I thought OT would win even though I picked UT. I mean that was 5 years ago and OT just is more popular now.
Also why are people suprised that MO is winning by this much? Pretty sure it is the 3rd strongest Mario game here, maybe even the 2nd strongest! People don't know how much strong is Switch?
Oh and people were still fighthing over that rally 5 years ago? Come on now, we are old and wise, we still doing that? I magine if a rally was going to happen now!

playing Octopath Traveler now... the game is not bad, it's actually kinda good

Bold to assume this site would pick Odyssey above 3, World and 64

Tbf there are trolls making topics to try and stir up drama. Best just ignored. This will be a positive of Undertale losing, that nonsense stops!

I think people expected Odyssey to be stronger than Galaxy but not necessarily up there with the all time Mario games in strength. This result is substantially better than what Super Mario 64 would get on Mortal Kombat 2, and while there is a strong likelihood that MK2 is stronger than MK11, I am having a hard time seeing that gulf as wide enough to put Odyssey a league below 64, especially when you consider that that MK2 result was from pretty much the dark age of the series.

Switch. This console breaks all records. Why the exclusive games wouldn't break records?

When the DS and Wii were breaking all records, it didn't seem to prevent us from heavily favoring the 90s