Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1330

So uh.

Is Mass Effect 2 in trouble next round? Fallout 4 is looking like a monster.

Yuri_LowelI posted...

The issue was they weren't undertale fans. Just a bunch of tumblr trannies going on some badnwagon

Where were they when Life is Strange was up?

UltimaterializerX posted...

So uh.

Is Mass Effect 2 in trouble next round? Fallout 4 is looking like a monster.

Against a weak indie game that is probably getting a bunch of joe votes for its name. I doubt many people have even played VVVVVV.

VVVVVV is arguably 2nd weakest game so far this bracket ahead of Fortnite.

BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

Where were they when Life is Strange was up?

Tumblr got canned. Its not the same place

What happens if Ninja tweets right now about this poll?

ShortReplies posted...

What happens if Ninja tweets right now about this poll?

Contest would be over lol

MechanicalWall posted...

Contest would be over lol

Fortnite wouldn't even be in Ninjas top 10 games this decade. He makes a ton of money from it but he doesn't rate Fortnite that highly. He's just very good at it.

can someone just tweet at ninja already so we can stop with these hypotheticals about tweeting ninja

Yuri_LowelI posted...

Fortnite wouldn't even be in Ninjas top 10 games this decade. He makes a ton of money from it but he doesn't rate Fortnite that highly. He's just very good at it.

I mean unless he directly endorsed Horizon his fanbase are obviously gonna be voting Fornite

Yuri_LowelI posted...

Is based on games and the strength of them.

I don't know....2018 just seems stronger. Also launch of consoles is irrelevant

There's only one way to decide this. Let's have another years contest!

ZenOfThunder posted...

can someone just tweet at ninja already so we can stop with these hypotheticals about tweeting ninja

Sure.

the absolute mad lad

swirIdude posted...

There's only one way to decide this. Let's have another years contest!

Or we can just have a one off Poll listing top 5 popular games from each year. no need for a s***ty contest like years.

Okay here is another question, suppose we do this contest on r/gaming. Which game would win?

ShortReplies posted...

Okay here is another question, suppose we do this contest on r/gaming. Which game would win?

Whatever is the flavor of the month

Breath of the Wild or Witcher 3

ZenOfThunder posted...

the absolute mad lad

Not gonna lie, I was hoping for the Zen screen capture.

Witcher 3

or if it's run the month cyberpunk comes out, that

r/gaming is the f***ing worst you can just post a pic of a stack of crusty 360 games and say "these belonged to my brother, my dog ate him alive" and get 20k upvotes and three golds

UltimaterializerX posted...

Not gonna lie, I was hoping for the Zen screen capture.

i was hoping for the ulti tweet so i could do the zen screen capture

Good thing Geralt didnt add the #Fortnite. Would even attract more of them.

Bloodstained failed me really, i predicted its gonna win, i remember a lot of users loved it and its fresh. Damn it second mistake i made after LiS.

UltimaterializerX posted...

I will defend Undertale's fandom to my grave. They are super pleasant!

I played Undertale after it's run in the 2015 contest, that is a sick sick game.

My favorite character from that game is Alphys

ShortReplies posted...

Okay here is another question, suppose we do this contest on r/gaming. Which game would win?

Probably Witcher 3. That game is masturbated over at Reddit.

Oh, and the Walking Dead-Bastion match ranked in on another list besides "closest wire-to-wire". Apparently we still haven't reached the point where there have been 25 Round 1 matches that 2 in 3 brackets had wrong; Bastion's 33.31% prediction rate was good enough to sneak onto the list at #24.

UltimaterializerX posted...

So uh.

Is Mass Effect 2 in trouble next round? Fallout 4 is looking like a monster.

This is just the difference between when an indie game faces something people care about and when it faces Walking Dead and Tales of Berseria.

ShortReplies posted...

Bloodstained failed me really, i predicted its gonna win, i remember a lot of users loved it and its fresh. Damn it second mistake i made after LiS.

Its not really fresh. Its a carbon copy of the DS CV games and another Metroidvania alongside a s*** ton of Metroidvanias over the past 5 years.

In terms of how good they are....i would put bloodtained well below games like Axiom Verge, Hollow Knight and even the new Ori game.

Bloodstained is a very good game. But its not SOTN or even close to being some classic either. I'd put some of the DS/GBA CV games ahead of it too.

Leonhart4 posted...

This is just the difference between when an indie game faces something people care about and when it faces Walking Dead and Tales of Berseria.

Or VVVVVVV is just very very weak. You put Bastion or HK against Fallout 4 and they do considerably better.

Mass Effect 2 has looked iffy in pretty much every match it has ever had.

I could see it being in trouble against Fallout 4.

Yuri_LowelI posted...

Or VVVVVVV is just very very weak. You put Bastion or HK against Fallout 4 and they do considerably better.

I'd probably give Bastion 55-45, and Hollow Knight a solid 62% on VVVVV

Yuri_LowelI posted...

Or VVVVVVV is just very very weak. You put Bastion or HK against Fallout 4 and they do considerably better.

I don't know that Bastion would do considerably better. Hollow Knight, maybe. But I don't think it'd come close to winning either.

WarThaNemesis2 posted...

Mass Effect 2 has looked iffy in pretty much every match it has ever had.

I could see it being in trouble against Fallout 4.

nah it's mostly looked fine

the one outlier is the MGS3 match but then MGS3 beat MGS1 next round anyway

(hi Karma Hunter)

BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

I'd probably give Bastion 55-45, and Hollow Knight a solid 62% on VVVVV

Hollow Knight would get yea like 60% vs VVVVV

i never, ever imagined Bastion > VVVVVV would happen, especially considering the latter's classic status.

Maybe Super Meat Boy won't be that strong either.

Pre-contest, I would've taken Bastion over VVVVVV in a heartbeat. The former is considered just as much of a classic and is much closer to the kind of game that GameFAQs likes than VVVVVV is. I was actually pretty surprised when people started hyping up VVVVVV in the leadup to today's match but figured they knew something I didn't.

LeonhartFour posted...

nah it's mostly looked fine

the one outlier is the MGS3 match but then MGS3 beat MGS1 next round anyway

(hi Karma Hunter)

ME2 had an absolutely garbage pic for the MGS3 match. Were talking Kefka levels of sabotage.

LeonhartFour posted...

I don't know that Bastion would do considerably better. Hollow Knight, maybe. But I don't think it'd come close to winning either.

I don't think HK would beat FO4. Far from it. FO4 would beat most indies except Undertale. I'm just saying we shouldn't be calling FO4 a monster based on 70% against a random indie title when you have games like Horizon and DQ racking up nearly 80%+ against games of probably similar strength. Of course although i think DQXI would soundly beat FO4 not sure Horizon is as strong as people think either.

KamikazePotato posted...

Pre-contest, I would've taken Bastion over VVVVVV in a heartbeat. The former is considered just as much of a classic and is much closer to the kind of game that GameFAQs likes than VVVVVV is. I was actually pretty surprised when people started hyping up VVVVVV in the leadup to today's match but figured they knew something I didn't.

VVVVVV is a unique game in the title alone. I doubt that many people have played it.

KamikazePotato posted...

I was actually pretty surprised when people started hyping up VVVVVV in the leadup to today's match but figured they knew something I didn't.

Well, for starters, we've had 2 consecutive days of INDIE FEAR. That may have swayed us a little too much for today's matches.

Yuri_LowelI posted...

I'm just saying we shouldn't be calling FO4 a monster based on 70% against a random indie title when you have games like Horizon and DQ racking up nearly 80%+ against games of probably similar strength

Oh, I'm saying the same thing, but I'm also warning people to be cautious of expecting every indie game to look great because two weak games lost to them.

(also Fortnite and Trails SC will be bottom ten in the X-Stats when the contest is over and they'll both be below VVVVVV)

LeonhartFour posted...

Oh, I'm saying the same thing, but I'm also warning people to be cautious of expecting every indie game to look great because two weak games lost to them.

(also Fortnite and Trails SC will be bottom ten in the X-Stats when the contest is over and they'll both be below VVVVVV)

Well that depends entirely on well DQXI does against BOTW. Also we could have ME2 blowing FO4 and then getting trashed by BOTW harder than DQXI. And DQXI for me is going to do a higher % on BOTW than any game in this current division be it FE, RE2 or ME2.

LeonhartFour posted...

(also Fortnite and Trails SC will be bottom ten in the X-Stats when the contest is over and they'll both be below VVVVVV)

I feel like there's like 15 games I have pegged as bottom 10.

Yuri_LowelI posted...

Well that depends entirely on well DQXI does against BOTW.

no it doesn't

Estelle finished bottom ten in the last Character Battle and Trails SC will do the same

I love Trails SC (it's one of my top ten favorites), but it's just not accessible to the average gamer. It didn't become widely available in English until well after its original release.

LeonhartFour posted...

no it doesn't

Estelle finished bottom ten in the last Character Battle and Trails SC will do the same

I love Trails SC (it's one of my top ten favorites), but it's just not accessible to the average gamer. It didn't become widely available in English until well after its original release.

a lot of these games aren't. Trails SC is about as accessible as FE3Houses

Difference is one is a well known franchise and on a popular platform. if Trails was on Switch it would be way more popular.

Yuri_LowelI posted...

Trails SC is about as accessible as FE3Houses

I don't mean this in a literal sense

not many people are going out of their way to play an obscure JRPG with PS1 graphics well beyond its release window

So far got Halo and Bastion wrong
Not mad about Halo as it was me taking a upset pick, but wow what the f*** TWD? f*** you
Remember how years ago it was considered a masterpiece...

I wonder if TWD franchise getting less relevant hurt the game as well. Like, because the TV show went to s***, it somehow made people look less fondly at the game
Or because the game sequels were disappointing

It's not like TWD was much of a juggernaut in its previous appearances. All Bastion really needed to do was not suck too bad, and that's what it did.

Now is probably a good time to once again mention that Destiny ranked higher than TWD in the 2015 X-Stats. Bastion is super weak. That just happened to still be enough to beat TWD.

After looking at that poll i wish i'd kept RE2

Woke up, checked the results. People really don't like Fortnite. If this was a few years ago it would had been already been rallied. But now nobody cares.