Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1330

MechanicalWall posted...

Not all indies are born the same. Hollow Knight very easily could in the top 3 or 5 strongest indies in the bracket. I highly doubt V has the same sauce.

I agree.

That didn't stop people from worrying about this match.

MereChristian posted...

Regardless of what you think about Fortnite, the game has gotten huge for a reason and is still very active to this day.

To see it get demolished like this can only mean it's getting tons of anti-votes. This isn't just irrelevance, it's hatred.

Nah, it's just that GameFAQs is filled with a bunch of old people.

https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/(5)Big_Boss_vs_(14)Peacock_vs_(23)Captain_Viridian_2013

We've actually seen VVVVVV get contest representation before, and it even did had a small victory, if you consider edging out second place in a squash much of a victory.

Would be funny to see BL2/Bloodstained end up close and then the winner beats horizon comfortably next round. Fortnite could be THAT fodderous.

@LeonhartFour

I just remembered your notification from a few days ago about your X-Stats for the last character battle. I added a page for it and a link in the menu.

https://gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/74

Let me know if you want me to add any descriptive text to the page.

Fortnite also isn’t a game many think of as the best. It’s just that a lot of people play it. This should be a preview of Dota’s match.

33.31% for Bastion.

Props to whoever picked that one.

swirIdude posted...

Would be funny to see BL2/Bloodstained end up close and then the winner beats horizon comfortably next round. Fortnite could be THAT fodderous.

Yeah, this is pretty much OoT vs. Hearthstone again. That match actually masked that Ocarina was weaker than ever that year.

creativename posted...

@LeonhartFour

I just remembered your notification from a few days ago about your X-Stats for the last character battle. I added a page for it and a link in the menu.

https://gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/74

Let me know if you want me to add any descriptive text to the page.

Nah, they're just raw stats. I didn't make any adjustments.

charmander6000 posted...

Nah, it's just that GameFAQs is filled with a bunch of old people.

And they don't like Fortnite.

phew my beautiful Borderlands 2 is safe

also guys, play Tales from the Borderlands, its fantastic

Fallout isn't stopping

okay yeah Borderlands is safe. phew

I don’t see the Horizon result as playing any kind of a role here in judging their round 2 match. Borderlands is still in that one just as much as it was before the 80% or whatever.

Uncharted 2 is projected to get 73-77% on hearthstone in 2015. Horizon is currently at 78.5% on Fortnite.

Leonhart4 posted...

Like DQXI yesterday, this says more about how bad the competition is than anything else. I had Destiny vibes the whole time here.

DQXI would destroy every game in todays bracket except maybe ME2

Briefly panicked that I had picked Bloodstained, but false alarm (I did vote for it though!)

lmao Fortnite

swirIdude posted...

Would be funny to see BL2/Bloodstained end up close and then the winner beats horizon comfortably next round. Fortnite could be THAT fodderous.

Fortnite will likely finish near the bottom of the x-stats so HDZ's performance means nothing to me. Borderlands 2 is starting to pull away, but its performance against Bloodstained is not encouraging as of now.

Also Fallout 4 is almost doubling VVVVVV

swirIdude posted...

Uncharted 2 is projected to get 73-77% on hearthstone in 2015. Horizon is currently at 78.5% on Fortnite.

Fornites anti voting is pretty significant. I'd take Heartstone over Fortnite at this rate easily.

Fallout comin for that ass defect 2

Aww yeah leaderboard get!! Never hit it this soon in a Contest before. Gonna enjoy it while it lasts.

Also hopefully this squashes the silly FO4>ME2 prediction. ME2 is on another level compared to Fallout 4. FO4 isn't even half as strong as FO3.

linid0t posted...

Fallout comin for that ass defect 2

Not a prayer

I think that RE7 is probably underseeded and much stronger than VVVVVV.

Yuri_LowelI posted...

Also hopefully this squashes the silly FO4>ME2 prediction. ME2 is on another level compared to Fallout 4. FO4 isn't even half as strong as FO3.

For what little it's probably worth, it wasn't until 2018 where RE7 got VR support on PC, which is considered one of the best VR experiences on Steam. That could explain a possible increase in strength.

I have ME2 winning this division. Even when I get matches right it means disaster for my bracket. >_>

MechanicalWall posted...

For what little it's probably worth, it wasn't until 2018 where RE7 got VR support on PC, which is considered one of the best VR experiences on Steam. That could explain a possible increase in strength.

RE7 isn't rE6 but it's also no RE2Remake(which we cna safely say is stonger than original) or RE4. Its probably in between. A lot more people respect it than hate it.

Leonhart4 posted...

Nah, they're just raw stats. I didn't make any adjustments.

Oh all right. Edited.

You mentioned you have best year stats too?

I think people need to get out of the "IndieFEAR" mentality. Hollow Knight did good because it's and excellent game.

Team Rocket Elite posted...

I have ME2 winning this division. Even when I get matches right it means disaster for my bracket. >_>

Eh I still think ME2 wins the division. RE7 over VVVVVV seems like a no-brainer.

Now, i can't wait to see the prediction percentage for Fortnite. I would be utterly shocked if Fortnite wasn't Top 10 of overall winner predictions, if not Top 5.

LordoftheMorons posted...

Eh I still think ME2 wins the division. RE7 over VVVVVV seems like a no-brainer.

It's RE2 that is the bigger problem.

BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

I think people need to get out of the "IndieFEAR" mentality. Hollow Knight did good because it's and excellent game.

People throw that indie tag all over the place

And yes Hollow Knight is great

So is VVVVVV but lets be real. HK would soundly beat VVVVVV

I would think ME2 also scores some WRPG SFF and respect points over FO4 in a direct match, so there's that to consider

RE7 was so good but I know a lot of people who straight up didn't finish it because it was too scary for them

Anyone know the URL's for yesterday's match pics?

_SecretSquirrel posted...

Now, i can't wait to see the prediction percentage for Fortnite. I would be utterly shocked if Fortnite wasn't Top 10 of overall winner predictions, if not Top 5.

Prepare to be utterly shocked?

Team Rocket Elite posted...

It's RE2 that is the bigger problem.

With RE3 coming out its boosted all RE games. RE2 probably more so. Could be close

I guess people just forgot about ME these days. It still comfortable beats FO4 though thats not a debate for me.

But RE2, bloodborne even FE could be a hurdle

ninkendo posted...

RE7 was so good but I know a lot of people who straight up didn't finish it because it was too scary for them

I didn't finish Kingdom hearts III because it was too scary so I get it

MechanicalWall posted...

I would think ME2 also scores some WRPG SFF and respect points over FO4 in a direct match, so there's that to consider

FO4 is just not well thought of. Its popularity has diminished greatly

LEts compare 2015 GOTY poll and how well it did against Witcher 3.....and now lets look at both games. One of them is a legit talked about going to finals. The other is dealing with Bethesda being in a s***hole due to Fallout 76 and people just not giving a toss about the franchise anymore

Monster Hunter: World vs. Bravely Default
Registered Vote Result:
Monster Hunter: World - 4827 (60.12%)
Bravely Default - 3202 (39.88%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Monster Hunter: World - 3549 (52.77%)
Bravely Default - 3177 (47.23%)

Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice vs. Ni no Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch
Registered Vote Result:
Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice - 4871 (60.67%)
Ni no Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch - 3161 (39.37%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice - 3605 (53.60%)
Ni no Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch - 3120 (46.39%)

The Walking Dead: A Telltale Games Series vs. Bastion
Registered Vote Result:
The Walking Dead: A Telltale Games Series - 3981 (49.58%)
Bastion - 4050 (50.44%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
The Walking Dead: A Telltale Games Series - 2918 (43.38%)
Bastion - 3807 (56.60%)

Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age vs. The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky SC
Registered Vote Result:
Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age - 6584 (82.00%)
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky SC - 1447 (18.02%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age - 5214 (77.52%)
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky SC - 1511 (22.47%)

With more than a 7% difference between registered and anonymous users in the Monster Hunter and Sekiro matches, we are officially in territory that only appeared twice during the entire 2018 contest (one of them being a rallied match). Aloy/D.Va and Monika/Wario were the only 2 matches in 2018 to have more than a 7% difference between registered and anonymous users.

The Walking Dead/Bastion had about a 6% difference, while Dragon Quest XI/Trails SC was about a 4.5% difference.

The overall trend from yesterday's matches was huge splits between registered and anonymous users, even greater than the usual splits we saw in the 2018 contest. If the effect of forced voting in all 4 matches wasn't already apparent, we may be seeing that effect even worse with the last set of matches.

Registered users only made up about 54.43% of yesterday's votes, a drop off from Day 1's 55.09%. But still well above the percentage of registered users for the 2018 contest. It was expected that the percentage of registered users would drop after Day 1 as more casuals on this site find out there's a contest running.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kFS3SfH6sAhPdS85H7BpuFIkr9SayeF7AhMw-wrEBng/pub

ninkendo posted...

RE7 was so good but I know a lot of people who straight up didn't finish it because it was too scary for them

This is not true. They didn't finish it because they got bored and didn't enjoy it

But it wasn't a hated game nor a bad game

RE6 is a bad and hated game. RE7 isnt

I'm sure RE2 is at its peak but I dont feel that confident in it beating ME2. I'm hoping Bloodborne is an absolute monster

Yuri_LowelI posted...

FO4 is just not well thought of. Its popularity has diminished greatly

LEts compare 2015 GOTY poll and how well it did against Witcher 3.....and now lets look at both games. One of them is a legit talked about going to finals. The other is dealing with Bethesda being in a s***hole due to Fallout 76 and people just not giving a toss about the franchise anymore

Trust me, I am well aware of how hard FO4 had fallen out of graces. I have to hear it from my friends and online every other day.

boring day today sweet

LadyVyxx posted...

I'm sure RE2 is at its peak but I dont feel that confident in it beating ME2. I'm hoping Bloodborne is an absolute monster

I'm hoping Bloodborne takes out the Nintendo Trash that is FE but its not beating RE2.

As for ME2

Look i'm a bit biased. ME2 alongside God of War 2018 and BOTW are probably my top 3 of the gen...but Mass Effect just doesn't seem like its the same ME series that was slapping Mario Galaxy 2 in the face 5 years ago.

If it was...there would be no hesitation to pick ME2. ME2 was insanely popular 10 years ago and really beloved...but that franchise went down the s***ter.

Let me remind you though...ME3 was 2nd stongest game 2015. Just saying...

SuperNiceDog posted...

boring day today sweet

Its never boring when garbage like Fortnite gets trashed.

In all of the splits besides TWD the winner was favored more by registered users, right? Could it be a heavy bracket voting effect (particularly due to the forced votes)? It’s easier to have an opinion on characters whose games you haven’t played than the games themselves.

Holy s***, the anonymous voters are something else this year.

early star of the contest = horizon zero dawn?