Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1324 - CBX Winners Announced GameFAQs Contests

LeonhartFour posted...

Wow, wouldn't have expected Fire Emblem's play rate, even as a series, to be quite this high.

The playrate isn't really as high as the poll would suggest since 28.46% voted for "One or two, I've tried out at least one game in the series", which mostly includes people who aren't really interested in Fire Emblem after trying a game and not liking the series. For a major Nintendo series, this playrate is lower than I would have expected.

Time for a Smash Bros. poll

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7577-

This poll is no substitute for a "favorite Smash game poll" due to the wording of the question. It asks for "best game", not "favorite game". When you ask for "best game", it gets people to take off their nostalgia glasses and take a more objective look at all of the games in the poll before making their vote. With "favorite game", people don't put as much thought into their game and nostalgia is a bigger factor in their vote.

Ultimate is currently winning this poll when it's being asked as a "best game" poll, but I think Melee wins a direct 1v1 match in a contest because it has factors like playrate and nostalgia going for Melee.

Man Ultimate is so strong. But it will remain the strongest in a real contest?

LOL Smash 4 has been utterly obsoleted

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6235-

Brawl has held up far better compared to Smash 4 since that poll took place. Brawl would have gotten 11.22% in today's poll if we threw out the last option completely, which is only about 1.5% lower than the result it got in 2016 (in a poll with only 4 options).

Despite Smash 4 collapsing from the presence of Ultimate in this poll, I can't overlook how badly Smash 4 was able to beat down Brawl in the 2016 poll. Smash 4 is clearly being SFFed into oblivion in this poll, so it may be possible that Smash 4 is still stronger than Brawl (like it showed in 2016).

Brawl has the benefit of being not the last game anymore too.

There's nostalgia for it that smash 4 clearly does not have (yet anyway)

LusterSoldier posted...

When you ask for "best game", it gets people to take off their nostalgia glasses and take a more objective look

Yes this sounds like typical human behavior

Brawl had just had more and better unique things than SSB4 when comparing them to Ultimate. People remember SSE way better than Smash Tour/Run. Probably has a way higher playrate too.

OOOUUUCH Smash 4, haha.

I expected Melee to still win this one since I thought Brawl/4/Ultimate would LFF each other enough. But it seems that Ultimate, despite people not considering it perfect, has done things right (we have to take into account that many Melee players liked Ultimate, or so I've heard...).

Brawl has quite a few redeeming qualities, and I'm pretty sure it could still hold up well enough in a 1v1 against Melee.

Still, I'm quite surprised that Smash 4 wasn't even able to beat the original. I guess those are different fanbases?

By the way, I guess (based on what Luster said) that these results are more useful for contest reference since "best game" is what contests go for.

No, contests go for "favorite game" and not really "best game".

I see your point, but what about "Best Game Ever"? You're still voting for the "best game", like in this poll, aren't you?

Smash 64 vs Brawl, who you got?

Brawl probably easily 60-40s the original IMO. I wouldn't be surprised if it actually pushed for the doubling.

I would bet on SSBB still be very strong. The game was nearly 3 years old when it beat SSBM. SSBB hate was already in full swing by then. People remembering SSE for the cutscenes rather than the gameplay is also in SSBB's favor.

Some of this might be Melee weakening.
It declined a good deal in that favorite GameCube game poll after Smash 4 came out. In 2015 it only got 55% on KHII due to nobody bothering to rally Melee that round - worse than Twilight Princess got in GotD. Modern Smash getting better is probably detrimental to Melee because it makes it seems less special.

Advokaiser posted...

I see your point, but what about "Best Game Ever"? You're still voting for the "best game", like in this poll, aren't you?

There is a good point there. The general Games Contests have always been called "Best Game Ever". However, we did have another contest called "Game of the Decade" which gives no indication as to whether voters should vote for "best game" or "favorite game".

SSBM looked fine in the previous games contest. It did about as well on Chrono Trigger as FF10 did which is roughly where you would expect SSBM to be.

I still think SSB would be stronger indirectly than Brawl and potentially edge up into near-elite territory, considering that original installments of well-liked series have consistently proven to be very strong even when most people feel they've been bested by their sequels. That being said, Brawl has reached the nostalgia zone and most people appear to have forgotten their seething hate (akin to Mario Sunshine and Pokémon RSE, for example), so I think it would be a solid midcarder.

I will never forget tripping. Never.

In other news, I'm checking some newer games' stats and:

• Kingdom Hearts III is looking like the next FFXII in terms of strength and contest performance.
• FFXIV: ARR has managed to stay relevant and it looks like it could perform well, but that isn't a GameFAQs type of game. Who knows, maybe it can beat FFXV within a 1v1 match.
• Devil May Cry 5 was like: "Hey, did you know a new DMC game came out? Yeah, I somehow missed it as well", so it gives me this weird vibe it will not perform well.
• Sekiro's hype died in a similar fashion as DMC5's but not as hard.
• Mortal Kombat 11's reception really caught me off guard. I'm not sure if it would even make it in the field of another GotD. In fact, I don't know how the newer trilogy fares in terms of strength, but maybe MKX > MK9 >>> MK11.
• REmake 2 may be the strongest entry since RE4.

So far from what I've seen.

Advokaiser posted...

In other news, I'm checking some newer games' stats and:

• Kingdom Hearts III is looking like the next FFXII in terms of strength and contest performance.
• FFXIV: ARR has managed to stay relevant and it looks like it could perform well, but that isn't a GameFAQs type of game. Who knows, maybe it can beat FFXV within a 1v1 match.
• Devil May Cry 5 was like: "Hey, did you know a new DMC game came out? Yeah, I somehow missed it as well", so it gives me this weird vibe it will not perform well.
• Sekiro's hype died in a similar fashion as DMC5's but not as hard.
• Mortal Kombat 11's reception really caught me off guard. I'm not sure if it would even make it in the field of another GotD. In fact, I don't know how the newer trilogy fares in terms of strength, but maybe MKX > MK9 >>> MK11.
• REmake 2 may be the strongest entry since RE4.

So far from what I've seen.

Remake 2 might beat RE4 right now due to recency bias but after the dust settles it wont be RE4 in a contest.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6235-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7577-

In the latest Smash Bros. poll, Brawl would have finished with 10.48% if we completely tossed out the last option. That's only about 2% less than the result it had in 2016 despite the addition of Ultimate to the latest Smash Bros. poll.

Ultimate finished with 59.45% on Melee in the latest poll and that's a game which is less than 5 months old and likely has a playrate under 50% right now. With a performance like that, I have to think Ultimate has a good chance of being Melee directly in a 1v1 match during a contest. But it will be at least a few years before we will ever see Melee/Ultimate in a contest setting since this match is not possible in the next GotD contest. By the time we get another general Games Contest, Ultimate will have a better playrate by then.

By the next games contest Ultimate won't be the newest Smash, I doubt Melee's eternal fan base would allow it to lose to Ultimate.

Who knows? Brawl did beat Melee somehow ?_?

"I'm always honest, picking the best answer for me" received the first 27 votes in today's poll before another option got a vote.

I always thought these polls were weird. Not only have they always been pointless to repeat, but when voting for several of the options you're contradicting the statement.

Is this the biggest blowout in the history of PotD?

It is the easiest question to answer too. So that makes sense. I picked the random option myself.

The_Ctes posted...

I always thought these polls were weird. Not only have they always been pointless to repeat, but when voting for several of the options you're contradicting the statement.

At least they put first in first and last in last

How much is "I'm always honest, picking the best answer for me" worth on Base Link?

OrangeCrush980 posted...

How much is "I'm always honest, picking the best answer for me" worth on Base Link?

38%

ZeldaTPLink posted...

38%

Wow... Link is a freaking monster.

Playrate poll for Red Dead Revolver:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7584-

I already assumed this game would have a pretty low playrate when it showed up.

Red Dead Redemption 2 is gonna do really, really badly in Game of the Decade 2, isn't it?

I can't see it doing any worse than the first game did.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7472-best-of-2018-game-of-the-year-final-vote

RDR2 should do okay. The overall field in GotD2 won't be that strong.

Team Rocket Elite posted...

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7472-best-of-2018-game-of-the-year-final-vote

RDR2 should do okay. The overall field in GotD2 won't be that strong.

Depends what its up against. Obviously there was a much bigger divide in that 3 way seeing as the majority of this site favors Nintendo and that 3 way poll only had 1 option for them

Red Dead Revolver finished with a playrate of 16.12% in the poll from 2 days ago.

This poll cannot be used as a playrate poll for RDR1 or RDR2 since it does not provide an exact playrate for either game. Based on the poll, the playrate for RDR1 and RDR2 should be somewhat similar. RDR1 most likely has the higher playrate because it's a much older game than RDR2, and because those who didn't like RDR1 probably aren't likely to have played RDR2. The 4th option does not imply someone having played both RDR1 and RDR2, so it would be a huge stretch to say that either game has a playrate above 40%.

This latest playrate result has been added to this page:

https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Have_You_Played

I'm definitely tracking today's poll for sure. I do have partial updates for the 2009 version of this poll, just enough to produce a time period based trend chart (EBV, PHV, FNV, etc) for the poll and it clearly showed very noticeable trends back then. I don't have an hourly trend chart for the 2009 poll, though.

Epic poll alert!

Another Soda poll today.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7589-

Other: Refresco

Advokaiser posted...

Other: Refresco

That's a Spanish word. Maybe that's the word you might use if talking to someone else in Spanish, but what would your preferred English word be?

LusterSoldier posted...

Advokaiser posted...

Other: Refresco

That's a Spanish word. Maybe that's the word you might use if talking to someone else in Spanish, but what would your preferred English word be?

Refresco

LusterSoldier posted...

Advokaiser posted...

Other: Refresco

That's a Spanish word. Maybe that's the word you might use if talking to someone else in Spanish, but what would your preferred English word be?

Soda is much more familiar to me and seems to be the most common word for them by far, so I'd go with that (and obviously Coke when talking specifically about Coca-Cola).

What's with Quebec? They have Coke, Soda, Soft Drink, and Other almost all tied together. How do people there talk to each other?

PrinceOfKoopas posted...

What's with Quebec? They have Coke, Soda, Soft Drink, and Other almost all tied together. How do people there talk to each other?

In French.

Poll updates and trend charts from the poll 2 days ago:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R6cg8ROC66VYcn_KqrYunRq3Gh3zf9SuCkQHAFdbytI/pub?gid=1981072323

The primary driver of trends in this poll are time-based trends, where trends are strongly affected by what time of day you are voting in the poll at. Age-based trends do play a role in this poll, but to a much lesser extent than time-based trends. Despite the previous appearance of this poll happening back in 2009, the trends from the 2009 poll are still very similar to the 2019 poll. There are some small differences in the trends from both polls.

"My bedroom" had a strong board vote and Power Hour. It begins dropping off even before the Power Hour ends, and slowly loses strength over the next several hours before hitting rock bottom during the morning vote. After hitting rock bottom for a 2 hour period from 8:00-10:00 AM, it begins to recover from the morning vote somewhat. Strangely enough, "My bedroom" has another collapse at the start of the ASV, but at the expense of "Home office / computer room" and "Living / family / game room" exploding during the ASV. It is not until after 5:00 PM that "My bedroom" starts to recover again. The last 4 hours of the poll (and the SNV) are similar to the night vote hours, although slightly weaker.

Unlike in the 2009 poll, "My bedroom" has similar but not completely identical trends to the 2019 poll. In the 2009 poll, "My bedroom" had a strong board vote/Power Hour and continued to maintain the Power Hour strength throughout the entire night vote. The 2019 poll was different because "My bedroom" started dropping off even before the Power Hour ended and its night vote was a large step down from the Power Hour. During this poll, "My bedroom" maxed out at 59.57% at 12:10 AM. After that point, it lost a total of 18.73% to reach its lowest percentage of 40.84% at 8:00 PM. Then it gained a total of 0.37% during the final 4 hours to finish at 41.21%.

"Home office / computer room" had a terrible board vote and slightly below average Power Hour. It had a terrible night vote. The morning vote as a whole was around average. It performs best during the ASV and SNV.

"Living / family / game room" has a strong board vote, but dropped off after that to end up with an average Power Hour. It also has a fairly average night vote. The worst time period was the morning vote, but then it begins performing much better during the ASV and performs best during the SNV (excluding board vote).

"Another room" has a terrible board vote, but the Power Hour and night vote were fairly average as a whole. It performs best during the early morning vote, but drops off again after that. The late morning vote and SNV were terrible as well, while the ASV was around average.

"Dorm room" and "In class" have such low percentages (both under 1%) that there isn't much to say here with the percentages being so low. Although it is rather amusing that "In class" pulled off a 0.00% SNV.