Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1321 GameFAQs Contests
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Remember
when it was generally understood that characters had shifting trends
subject to significant random variation over 5-minute periods? Or everything is a rally. That works too. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Feels like it's been a long time since I've been invested in Cloud winning a match, but here I am. |
I think if (when) Cloud makes it back to Link he'll get a lead during the first five minutes this time. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
I am petrified. I don't think I have it in me to rally everyone again. Not to be confused with XIII_Stones. |
Cmon cloud. Do this for gamefaqs. Also this guy takes AGES to unlock in smash certainly in single player and has about 2 spirits and 2 music track related to him. He may as well not be in smash. |
This
update was Mario's peak percentage against Sephiroth, outside of the
board vote and first few updates. From here to the end of the poll,
Mario lost 1.95% against Sephiroth. Based on that, Cloud is projected
to win with 50.97% (about 550 votes). Now, you may have noticed, the projection has changed a lot in the last half hour. That's what happens with our new very low votals. Percentages are extremely volatile in such a low votal environment, and trend projections are not nearly as accurate as they used to be. So this isn't over, even not considering rallying, but I would say Cloud is looking like the favorite. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Yuri_LowelI posted... Cmon cloud. Yeah, what was up with that? It was almost like they wanted Mario to only be an afterthought. Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs |
Go Cloud! PLAYSTATION 4: Best Console Ever | ROCKSTAR: Best Developer Ever Trolling (v.): Posting an opinion that differs from yours |
if
anyone cares and doesnt mind spending 5 bucks to make a donation,
maximillian is streaming right now to 10k people. FF7 is his favorite
game of all time. (you have to donate at least 5 to appear on stream) https://www.twitch.tv/maximilian_dood if you make a donation with a simple "hey, give a shout out to cloud on gamefaqs character battle" or something i'm pretty sure that'd guarantee he wins. (edited 12/11/2018 9:48:45 PM) |
Please god don't do that Not to be confused with XIII_Stones. |
A twitch rally? Now that's new. SmashBurb is a generic anime swordsman. |
XIII you need to watch your blood pressure dude Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Wtf is going on? |
Jman_maximum posted... if anyone cares and doesnt mind spending like a buck to make a donation, maximillian is streaming right now to 10k people. FF7 is his favorite game of all time Now that truly is a situation where the voters could go either way. Way different to a reddit dedicated to a fanbase, this is just gamers watching right? Or does he mainly stream Final Fantasy Started from the bottom now we here |
he streams a variety of games. mainly fighting games and rpgs i think. but his audience knows FF7 is his all time favorite game. you have to donate 5 bucks for the message to show on stream by the way, just a heads up. |
Mario by the hour: 20:00 | 52.02% 21:00 | 50.14% 22:00 | 53.97% 23:00 | 49.51% 24:00 | 48.70% 01:00 | 50.10% Mario squeezes out the hour by 3 votes. Votals were notably high this hour - didn't fall off from last hour as usual. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
red sox 777 posted... Mario by the hour: But what does it MEAN Basil? (aka updated trends plz) |
XIII_rocks posted... Please god don't do that wololo |
Nanis23 posted... XIII_rocks posted...Please god don't do that Somebody please do it. Started from the bottom now we here |
haloiscoolisbak posted... Nanis23 posted...XIII_rocks posted...show hidden quote(s)Please god don't do that I will hentai rally Mario wololo |
Nanis23 posted... haloiscoolisbak posted...Nanis23 posted...show hidden quote(s)XIII_rocks posted...Please god don't do that You fair-weather fan rooting for Mario when it suits you Started from the bottom now we here |
if
nothing else it'd be fascinating to see what sort of effect a twitch
shoutout from a big streamer would have in these contests since this has
never been tried before. this is also a fairly rare opportunity since
the day of a particular match has to coincide with a big streamer that
really likes that game being on (edited 12/11/2018 10:16:21 PM) |
Yes it'd be a worthwhile experiment Started from the bottom now we here |
Sorry XIII but I remember you being thoroughly pleased when Snake beat Sephiroth and cost me the contest. Let's mosey, Cloud. "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE |
Too
many people here talking about potential rallies and asking someone to
pony up the money so they can watch what happens. Spend the $5 yourself
if you're so interested. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
KamikazePotato posted... Too many people here talking about potential rallies and asking someone to pony up the money so they can watch what happens. Spend the $5 yourself if you're so interested. Mate I'm lazy Started from the bottom now we here |
Based
on Mario/Sephiroth, Cloud wins with 50.72% (~400 votes). Cloud fell
back a little in the projection that hour, but still is on pace for the
win. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
ExThaNemesis posted... Sorry XIII but I remember you being thoroughly pleased when Snake beat Sephiroth and cost me the contest. That was a different time. Also we had an account bet on that match if you remember. Not to be confused with XIII_Stones. |
XIII_rocks posted...
Irrelevant. I wish I could let bygones be bygones but the sentiment remains the same. Also Cloud deserves this. This is a rematch 15 years in the making. "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE |
also Sp*rs went through today, you've had more than enough good for the week. "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE |
welp, Cloud decided to stop his comeback to that looks like that'll be that. "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE |
ExThaNemesis posted... welp, Cloud decided to stop his comeback to that looks like that'll be that. Looking at the map, cloud has nearly everywhere but the US locked down. So at least we might see a brief overnight lead swap Started from the bottom now we here |
@iGenesis posted... Jman_maximum posted...if anyone cares and doesnt mind spending 5 bucks to make a donation, maximillian is streaming right now to 10k people. FF7 is his favorite game of all time. (you have to donate at least 5 to appear on stream) I'll do it if you pay me $100 The Big Problem with the Pokemon anime: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/217-pokemon/75265633 |
Never mind...the guy is playing Smash (🤢) Any votes from a shoutout likely wouldn’t go cleanly to Cloud. So forget it. 2012 U_U 2017 X_X |
Jman_maximum posted... if anyone cares and doesnt mind spending 5 bucks to make a donation, maximillian is streaming right now to 10k people. FF7 is his favorite game of all time. (you have to donate at least 5 to appear on stream) Done. It was a simple "as a fellow FF7 fan, please tell your followers to vote for Cloud in the GameFAQs character battle!" His exact words after reading my donation: "Game Faks still exists!? Really??". In Cloud's three updates since that was mentioned on stream, he got 65, 68, and 49 votes. Twitch streams clearly do not have any staying power whatsoever compared to rallying on reddit/twitter/etc etc. All that said, I promised XIII my support and he asked for me to vote/rally Mario the rest of the contest. Which I will. I can very, very easily get Mario back the 40 votes he just lost after I take a final tomorrow. There are far dumber things to drop 10 dollars on. Knowing that twitch rallies mean dick was a good cause! Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n |
Thank you ulti for your donation wololo |
Mario by the hour: 20:00 | 52.02% 21:00 | 50.14% 22:00 | 53.97% 23:00 | 49.51% 24:00 | 48.70% 01:00 | 50.10% 02:00 | 52.95% 03:00 | 47.70% Mario pulls out a nearly 53% hour out of nowhere, and then Cloud gets a fairly good hour of his own. Based on Mario/Sephiroth, Cloud wins with 50.45%. Despite that monstrous Mario hour, Cloud is still ahead in the projection. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Hope
Cloud can at least take the lead during the night vote. He used to be
able to pull hours off Link during it so it'd be pretty sad if he
couldn't chase Mario down now. We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
Mario needs to stop the bleed right f***ing now Not to be confused with XIII_Stones. |
Cloud with a 54-55% hour there. Mario cannot survive those Not to be confused with XIII_Stones. |
Mario by the hour: 20:00 | 52.02% 21:00 | 50.14% 22:00 | 53.97% 23:00 | 49.51% 24:00 | 48.70% 01:00 | 50.10% 02:00 | 52.95% 03:00 | 47.70% 04:00 | 46.23% Cloud rolling now. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
XIII_rocks posted... Cloud with a 54-55% hour there. We're also in the deadest of the dead zone where 54% means nothing. The morning vote probably decides this easily. Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n |
Feels like Cloud's moving too slowly at this point, but I hope I'm wrong. |
Cloud cut 61 that hour. Relatively consistent with the previous one. Not to be confused with XIII_Stones. |
who's projected to win the day vote based on Mario / Sephiroth trends? |
Come on Cloud! Do it for Gamefaqs! Samus died fighting the good fight. Her efforts must not have been in vain! ~Phoenix Nine~ ~Victory needs no explanation; defeat allows none.~ |
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