Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1318 GameFAQs Contests

ZeldaTPLink posted...

And think: "now I like her more than Snake".

You think "I like both but I'm going to vote Samus and Samus is awesome, and I think that because I see her right here"

Like you're not converting people who really like Snake a lot more. People who just appreciate both characters though? Recency factor means a lot.

Yeah, having a list of favorite characters is a very B8 thing and the average voter doesn't think of it that way.

Lopen posted...

ZeldaTPLink posted...

And think: "now I like her more than Snake".

You think "I like both but I'm going to vote Samus and Samus is awesome, and I think that because I see her right here"

Like you're not converting people who really like Snake a lot more. People who just appreciate both characters though? Recency factor means a lot.

So you are telling me that 24% of the site played Smash 5 (according to yesterday poll), and out of those 24% about a third were so moved by seeing Samus on a screen with 8+ characters that they decided to vote for her here?

Has Smash-related strength ever been that fickle? Even Snake boost was one single character becoming Nintendo and then being strong all contest. It wasn't a day-to-day thing. Heck, we have been in Smash hype for months now.

LeonhartFour posted...

Yeah, having a list of favorite characters is a very B8 thing and the average voter doesn't think of it that way.

I know, but the average voters is more emotional I think. My point is that seeing people on a character selection screen doesn't convey emotions on me. It's just whatever.

ZeldaTPLink posted...

and out of those 24% about a third were so moved by seeing Samus on a screen with 8+ characters that they decided to vote for her here?

You're dumbing it down. It's not just seeing her on a character select screen. It's Samus being inherently more closely tied with Smash Bros. Your average Smash enthusiast is going to have a lot more fond memories of Samus from that game than Snake.

Mega Man's gonna have to stall a bit more than this if he wants to keep hope alive.

Samus could be getting a Smash recency boost, but I doubt she gets less than 55% in this match regardless.

It's weird those trends were a character has the hardest time trying to break the final barrier and take the lead but once he does, he usually build up his own lead quite quickly.

On side note, it's weird to hear Samus is mega popular in Smash. I never picked her. When I played Melee with friends no one picked her either.

Also I actually am a nerd who has an (ill maintained-- I'm not that much of a nerd) top character list and I'm getting the Samus feels right now.

Not enough to vote her over Snake, mind you, but you know. I'd probably vote her over Mega Man right now if the matches were shuffled around when I wouldn't normally (and Crono but that's always the case because Crono sucks). Mario tomorrow too. Granted that's not all Smash and it's more complicated than that but I'm just saying voting for characters in the moment, for whatever reason, is something that I'm sure a lot of voters do.

KamikazePotato posted...

Samus could be getting a Smash recency boost, but I doubt she gets less than 55% in this match regardless.

This imo. I'd rather believe she got 1 or 2% from a Smash boost and something like rSFF is causing this.

I'm getting Samus feels but that's because this contest keeps making me remember all the glorious times I had playing MP trilogy.

I don't think Samus is SFFing Snake. She's just really strong. The Mario match is a fraudulent result.

If we're fishing for explanations, I will repeat that Snake basically doesn't even have a face in his picture. I don't think that background goes well with his model either.

Gotta think Samus easily wins regardless though.

LeonhartFour posted...

no we've never ever once in the history of contests seen two characters go 50/50 for five minutes

That's cute.

That's also not what I asked.

Yes. I'm sure since every match has 215 updates and we've had I would say over 1,000 matches by now that once in 215,000 attempts there was a tie.

This however is the end times and it's a 50-50 match when it happened.

I asked have we ever seen a 5 minute tie toward the end of a 50-50 match. A much MUCH smaller sample aize

Mario match is fraudulent yeah. Both of them, probably.

I'm not saying Samus literally gained 8% of the vote from Smash, but I wouldn't see Samus getting more than 53% or so normally.

FinalFantasyVll posted...

I asked have we ever seen a 5 minute tie toward the end of a 50-50 match. A much MUCH smaller sample aize

Yet still not nearly small enough to not be an incredibly stupid thing to ask

I'm pretty sure we've had close matches with multiple ties in a row near the end (particularly considering this is a very generous definition of near the end with the match having over 4 hours left) at this point

MM cuts again. Wow.

Crono only gained 10 votes in the last hour.

The fact that Crono is bucking trends indicates that any stuffing/rallying is on his side, same as the Pikachu match

Like let's look at the options:

1. Samus is SFFing/overperforming by 7% on a character from an entirely different company, genre, and series (she is probably overperforming by some amount, but not THAT much)
And
2. Zelda rSFFd Mario to the point by like 7%.
And
3. Tifa rSFFd Sephiroth by like 5%. Tifa rSFFd Sephiroth.

Or:

1. Mario did the same Hierarchy BS to Samus that we've already seen in the past.

Jesus christ this reminds me of Myst where those two douchebag brothers are in the two books trying to make you believe the other one is evil

and spoilers both suck

BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

The fact that Crono is bucking trends indicates that any stuffing/rallying is on his side, same as the Pikachu match

MM was winning hours in Europe. Wanna talk about bucking trends.

It's completely obvious you are vote stuffing.

If we had literally ANY competent leadership on this site whatsoever you would rightfully be B7

Can someone explain how BLASTOISE never made it in? I mean, Charizard,Pikachu,Mewtwo got in..

How would he have done if he did make it?

Solid_Mike86 posted...

I mean, Charizard,Pikachu,Mewtwo got in..

That's the problem

MWC vs Black Turtle is my favorite fight of all time

Who is MWC? Does he have me on ignore for some reason?

Oops my bad
FFVII is not MWC
I confused him with FinalFantasy

Solid_Mike86 posted...

Can someone explain how BLASTOISE never made it in? I mean, Charizard,Pikachu,Mewtwo got in..

How would he have done if he did make it?

He doesn’t have any real representation except original red and blue.

Blastoise is one of my all time fav Pokemon.

Charizard is a fire dragon and had Smash appearance. We all know about pikachu and mewtwo has smash appearance as well as the original movie being about him.

The funniest thing is so far consensus seems to be pretty universal that Samus is utter trash in Ultimate. Pretty much every streamer has said she is bottom tier. Snake seems to be mid tier with potential to go up.

Samus is probably low tier but damn she's really fun to play in Ultimate, I find.

Well you know what

f*** you Mega Man you piece of s***
Go Crono, beat that loser's ass

This match hasn't made a lick of sense

I told everyone Crono would win. I’m so smart.

Mega Man's not quite going the direction he should be now.

Behold the power of Crono's day vote.

KamikazePotato posted...

Mega Man's not quite going the direction he should be now.

Megaman jobbing to a character without a game in 20 years during the day vote Zulul. I'm honestly pretty surprised, I thought MM might even be able to make it interesting with Cloud. Guess I overestimated how much Pikachu boosted.

Link versus Cloud posted...

Guess I overestimated how much Pikachu boosted.

Uh
Mega Man is still in the top 10 strongest characters this contest

KP

I feel lied to and betrayed

I don't control trends! Unlike MWC, I'm not a stuffer n_n

gdi

all I want

ALL I WANT

is for one of these to be in doubt at the finish. Like less than 20 votes or something. I don't think we're even gonna get that here.

Nanis23 posted...

Oops my bad
FFVII is not MWC
I confused him with FinalFantasy

Really?

<Takes him out of ignore>

He's posted very much like MWC

2 hours left.

Just make it interesting, MM.

Huh. Well, that's that.

I'm going to bed. I'll be up in time for the final update but have very little hope here. With these votals, 100 might as well be Everest

that's definitely MWC by the way

Gotta give Crono some credit, simply by being the last non-Smash entrant left and still likely winning at this stage in the bracket.

Crono still the undisputed pound for game champion.

1 game 20 years ago (he is not even mentioned in Crono Cross or any other game) and he is still kicking ass.

Hats off to Crono. Marvelous performance.

Nanis23 posted...

Link versus Cloud posted...

Guess I overestimated how much Pikachu boosted.

Uh
Mega Man is still in the top 10 strongest characters this contest

Its relative. Top 10 isn't a great performance for MM's standards when he has literally always been top 10.

1) MM was above Crono in 2013
2) MM just recently got MM11
3) MM is in Smash Ultimate which is on day 3 of release and Crono is not

Its pretty bad for MM to lose to Crono under these conditions

OFool posted...

Crono still the undisputed pound for game champion.

1 game 20 years ago (he is not even mentioned in Crono Cross or any other game) and he is still kicking ass.

Pound for pound yeah. Not even a contest.

Imagine what a smash appearance would do for him. He’d be comfortable #2.