Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317 GameFAQs Contests
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Legends and Loser Bracket, Round 3 and later Link vs. Cloud Strife Registered Vote Result: Link - 5849 (61.27%) Cloud Strife - 3697 (38.73%) Anonymous Vote Result: Link - 6065 (59.11%) Cloud Strife - 4196 (40.89%) This is the first time Link has done better with registered users in this contest, around 2% better compared to the anonymous users. Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ! |
LusterSoldier posted... Legends and Loser Bracket, Round 3 and later I see even the registered users know that FFVII always win. Finally, the underdog won ! |
So... which is more likely, Snake beating Samus or Samus beating Snake with 56+%? "Ah,
a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is
a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Maybe I'm wrong, but wasn't Mewtwo the actual #2 in 2013? Here lies the sig of BK_Sheikah00, who swore fealty to the Gurus of Board 8. |
Haste_2 posted... So... which is more likely, Snake beating Samus or Samus beating Snake with 56+%? Snake > Samus Advokaiser posted... Maybe I'm wrong, but wasn't Mewtwo the actual #2 in 2013? We're talking legit #2, not raw X-Stats |
Advokaiser posted... Maybe I'm wrong, but wasn't Mewtwo the actual #2 in 2013? In a round 1 1v1 match Mewtwo maybe gets 40% on Snake in 2013. He was only as strong as he was because of rallying. (edited 12/7/2018 6:26:51 PM) |
61% update for Zelda, wtf |
She come to town Courage is the magic that turns dreams into reality. |
Haste_2 posted... So... which is more likely, Snake beating Samus or Samus beating Snake with 56+%? Snake is no pushover. He's just barely behind Zelda, remember? Mario beat Samus, and Mario is currently struggling to beat Zelda. I see Snake's upset as not much of an upset now. Here lies the sig of BK_Sheikah00, who swore fealty to the Gurus of Board 8. |
Maybe the Mario stuffing bots crashed. |
Nah, Mario held steady there. Zelda spiked big time. |
INTERWEBUSER posted... pjbasis posted...INTERWEBUSER posted...show hidden quote(s)Drones defended the Wii U just as ferociously as any other Nintendo product. who the hell defended the wii U? Thought it was universally known to be an abomination |
Breaking
news. Mario finally caught stuffing. Turns out Mario's strength
against Link has been his real strength since 2002. That's when the
stuffers know they can't win and give up. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Man this match has some weird rubber band trends. ctesjbuvf posted... I'd be very surprised if some of this isn't Zelda bandwagoning after getting to the semis, the insane board vote is a good indicator too. Mario probably beats her without too much trouble earlier in the contest. I really doubt Snake has a chance against Samus or Mario even if he might not look terrible going on. Considering the savage beat downs Zelda was laying all contest, I think almost none of this is bandwagoning. She’s just been a monster all contest. I see nothing that leads me to believe otherwise. |
Is
the registered voter rule skewing the results? Have to imagine
non-registered casuals here for Smash U would be voting for Mario.
What's the breakdown? "A more mature answer than I expected."~ Jakyl25 "Sephy's point is right."~ Inviso |
Yuri_LowelI posted... red sox 777 posted...And in retrospect, while I acknowledge Link probably would have lost both matches, I wish we had gotten Link vs. L-Block and Link vs. Draven 1v1 at the end of those contests. I was thinking Link would have a hard time getting 95% on anybody due to anti-votes. But I guess Draven might get many of those anti-voters to anti-vote him even moreso. |
Doubling
the votes from registered users has a minor effect on the overall
result. It usually causes a difference of less than 1 percentage point. This was not the best year for my bracket. Congrats to BK_Sheikah00 for winning the BYIG Guru Contest! |
Nelson_Mandela posted... Is the registered voter rule skewing the results? Have to imagine non-registered casuals here for Smash U would be voting for Mario. What's the breakdown? As of 9:40 PM: Zelda has 50.40% with registered users and 51.79% with anonymous users. Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ! |
How do you check that? |
Team Rocket Elite posted... Doubling the votes from registered users has a minor effect on the overall result. It usually causes a difference of less than 1 percentage point. Minor is relative. Multiple matches have been won by 1 percentage or less. Best wishes. |
LusterSoldier posted... @creativename Thanks!! |
Squall doesn’t look so bad. KB |
ShatteredElysium posted... How do you check that? I obtain the raw vote totals from the source code of this page: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/map?id=7379 The raw vote totals are located under var pollChart_total and provides the full history of the poll's raw votes in 5 minute updates starting from 7:05 PM. The large numbers shown inside of the quotation marks are Unix timestamps, and they can be converted into human readable timestamps by inputting them onto a website such as this: https://www.epochconverter.com/ It should be noted that all of the Unix timestamps have to be adjusted forwards by 5 minutes. Since I want to find the vote totals for the 9:40 PM update, I have to find the Unix timestamp that corresponds to 9:35 PM in tonight's match, which would be 1544236500000. Then I can input the raw vote totals into a spreadsheet and obtain the actual vote totals for 9:40 PM from the updater and calculate the registered/anonymous results. Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ! |
This is amazing. We're going to have Link/Zelda for the Winner's Bracket Final, and it's possible Zelda may beat the winner of Cloud/Mario and have a Link/Zelda true final. It's an insane unpredictable run that wasn't caused by rallies for once, this is the kind of s*** that makes these contests so damn special after all these years. Let's Play Octopath Traveler (SSLP) https://mega64.net/index.php/lp/ot (edited 12/7/2018 6:57:41 PM) |
Link – 50.00% Cloud Strife – 39.48% *Crono – 35.54% Crono – 34.17% Bowser – 32.07% Pikachu – 31.59% Mega Man – 31.52% Alucard – 31.28% Kirby – 29.59% Pokemon Trainer Red – 28.89% Yoshi – 28.56% Sora – 28.37% Charizard – 27.87% Big Boss – 27.64% Zero – 27.45% Princess Peach – 27.02% 2B – 26.81% Terra Branford – 26.32% Crash Bandicoot – 26.05% Kefka – 25.37% Yuna – 25.26% Ness – 24.82% Knuckles the Echidna – 24.07% Ridley – 23.95% Cecil Harvey – 23.87% Shadow the Hedgehog – 23.20% Kratos – 23.12% Wario – 21.82% Scorpion – 21.22% Zidane Tribal – 20.80% Bomberman – 20.39% Ganondorf – 20.36% L-Block – 20.20% Vivi – 19.56% Phoenix Wright – 18.76% Ike – 18.51% Dante – 17.75% Donkey Kong – 17.62% Isaac – 17.58% Ryo Hazuki – 17.54% Master Hand – 17.03% Velvet Crowe – 16.77% Chun-Li – 16.73% Chris Redfield – 16.16% Kazuma Kiryu – 15.95% Leon Kennedy – 15.62% Monika – 15.46% Tidus – 15.17% Guile – 15.07% Shantae – 14.70% Spyro the Dragon – 14.67% Gordon Freeman – 14.50% Noctis Lucis Caelum – 14.46% Neptune – 14.26% Primrose – 14.17% Joel – 13.94% Godot – 13.87% James Sunderland – 13.07% Estelle Bright – 12.44% James Marston – 12.40% Lightning – 12.21% Cayde-6 – 11.91% Cuphead – 10.09% Yu Narukami – 9.83% Dragonborn – 9.78% Aya Brea – 9.61% Neku Sakuraba – 8.71% Victor Sullivan – 7.77% Chloe Price – 6.30% The asterisk is Crono's value being derived through comparisons of Cloud/Alucard and Alucard/Bowser since it makes him look a little better that way. Mega Man/Crono will hopefully help us get a lot of this straightened out. |
Sonic is probably > MM and crono now. >_______________> |
What does Mega Man need on Crono for... f***, I don't know, Dante = Peach? https://imgur.com/M1heX2g RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
Is
there a reason we can't adjust Ganondorf's division through Mega Man
now? It might still be slightly underrated due to the sprite match's
effects, but at least it gives us a good idea, which deriving through
Link does not. The RPG Duelling League: www.rpgdl.com An unparalleled source for RPG information and discussion |
NeoElfboy posted... Is there a reason we can't adjust Ganondorf's division through Mega Man now? It might still be slightly underrated due to the sprite match's effects, but at least it gives us a good idea, which deriving through Link does not. I mean I've already made those stats I'll probably add them into the mix after Mega Man/Crono |
Okay time to deploy the nuclear option. Leon based on those stats, how does Zelda/Link go if Draven = Chloe Price? https://imgur.com/M1heX2g RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
Ganondorf is going to be very underrated adjusting through Mega Man as well. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
WarThaNemesis2 posted... Okay time to deploy the nuclear option. Currently, Link wins with 56.91% yes raw Chloe truly is that weak (as she should be) |
35%
for Crono against Link is not bad. He only got 37% in 2004, at his
peak. Link had been on the decline for years before this contest, so
it's easy to forget how dominant he can be, but with Zelda beating Mario
Link may very well be at an all-time high himself. I think, 44% is
definitely the best result Crono would have gotten against Cloud in any
year. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
LeonhartFour posted... WarThaNemesis2 posted...Okay time to deploy the nuclear option. That's probably not that far off from where Zelda actually is (before she rSFFs Link and wins, of course). https://imgur.com/M1heX2g RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
Link Zelda Cloud Mario Megaman Crono Snake Samus For all the Noble Nine breaking they still wound up with 7 out of the last 8 spots. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Wow, Zelda beating Mario |
Not_Wylvane posted... This is amazing. Two characters from the same franchise in the grand finals is really bad. I mean that's just lame. |
Dfy556 posted... Not_Wylvane posted...This is amazing. It is to anyone with common sense, but the drones love it. PLAYSTATION 4: Best Console Ever | ROCKSTAR: Best Developer Ever Trolling (v.): Posting an opinion that differs from yours |
red sox 777 posted... I think, 44% is definitely the best result Crono would have gotten against Cloud in any year. 2013 Crono would have at least broken 45% on 2013 Cloud. |
MetalmindStats posted... red sox 777 posted...I think, 44% is definitely the best result Crono would have gotten against Cloud in any year. Yeah, I tend to block out 2013 from my mind except for the Link/Draven stuff. 3-ways proved to be worse than 4-ways. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Go chaos. |
LeonhartFour posted... Sora – 28.37% KH3 boost was real! |
LeonhartFour posted...
Okay. |
Dfy556 posted... Not_Wylvane posted...This is amazing. 2003 says hi ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do and die. |
Dfy556 posted... Not_Wylvane posted...This is amazing. I think for the future of the contests you're probably right, but if you just take it as one individual surprising run, it's great. We don't know exactly what will happen in future character battles and if this represents a permanent shift towards Zelda-as-#2. Not to be confused with XIII_Stones. (edited 12/7/2018 10:19:11 PM) |
Close match. IGN: Raymond, 3DS FC :1349-7340-1111 (ORAS & Moon) / GURU Champ BKSheikah used Shoryuken. http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585 |
But Mario needs more shrooms. IGN: Raymond, 3DS FC :1349-7340-1111 (ORAS & Moon) / GURU Champ BKSheikah used Shoryuken. http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585 |
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