Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1315 GameFAQs Contests
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Not even rats can flee from the LAW! ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis, and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages |
LeonhartFour posted... ya go my Clink Ahh old times. Still remember Clinkarothio |
bump |
Tag |
Unless
we think Sonic is stronger than eight years ago, though, this does not
bode well for him against Zelda. (Unless Pikachu can 55/45 Zelda now,
which is believable but highly unlikely.) Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs |
If Link were retired, no one would be left to potentially stop another Draven-like threat. Character Battle X Current Score: 256/352 "I will ... never be a memory..." |
TheOneAboveAll posted... Unless we think Sonic is stronger than eight years ago, though, this does not bode well for him against Zelda. (Unless Pikachu can 55/45 Zelda now, which is believable but highly unlikely.) I mean just off the Snake > Auron result it looks like he is going to get absolutely smashed. He did 7% worse on Auron compared to someone who lost to Zelda (edited 12/3/2018 5:39:22 AM) |
Noble Nine dead and buried in the ground this contest, I'm loving this more and more. "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
LinkMarioSamus posted... Noble Nine dead and buried in the ground this contest, I'm loving this more and more. I bet you are loving because the finals are literally looking to be Link vs Mario vs Samus |
It's
really a shame given Tifa's amazing run, that she's not going to face
the other side of the losers bracket. Seeing her face Pikachu or Crono
would be fun. Even if she might do better, there's no way she beats
Mario or Samus. Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to BKSheikah, the winner of the Best Year in Gaming contest. |
ctesjbuvf posted... It's really a shame given Tifa's amazing run, that she's not going to face the other side of the losers bracket. Seeing her face Pikachu or Crono would be fun. Even if she might do better, there's no way she beats Mario or Samus. Another victim of Allen's poor choice of Losers Bracket format. "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima BKSheikah won Guru, but you know that. |
By
percentage, Tifa's win over Sephiroth was the fourth-worst in a 1v1
contest, trailing only Undertale's last three wins. (So yeah, more
people had Undertale winning its division than had Tifa winning hers,
losing to Samus, and then beating the Mario-Sephiroth loser.) It's tied
for tenth overall with L-Block > Sonic, trailing (of course) the
aforementioned three Undertale matches and final two L-Block matches,
the last three Draven matches (so starting with Draven > Link), and
Squirtle > Cloud. Bowser's LB1 win is also in both top 25s. It's #20 overall and #10 1v1. It probably won't be the last time we see an incredibly low number this contest. Corrections or not, Zelda was considered the underdog against Snake (both in Second Chance and among those who had her winning her division initially), while Sonic was an underdog against the Division 6 winner (both before and after it was known for certain who that was), so it seems highly likely that the bracket favorite in Sonic-Zelda is Snake. If, as most of us are now presuming, Zelda wins that, the number will be extremely low, but even if Sonic wins it could be pretty low! "Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!" BKSheikah has the power. He is the one. (edited 12/3/2018 6:48:17 AM) |
How
many matches did Undertsle have to win to win the division? 3? Because
just by probability/permuations 5 matches deep versus 3 matches is a
very big difference. Even someone 50/50 in every match is down to to
3.125% by the 5th match |
4. "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
BLOGFAQS=I
hadn't a SINGLE match right on Losers Bracket and I am still on
Leaderboard! Don't know why. I mean the main bracket wasn't hard to
guess. This has to be some kind of record! I guess though there have to
be others that didn't found a single match and are on the Board. Came back from work, checked the results. This is what I have to say. 1st match=I was expecting Pikachu to score at least 35%. Damn it! Link is too strong! Yeah I know but still. 2nd match=I was expecting to be closer. Guess Smash boost helped Cloud. So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
The Owner of FF9 posted... If Link were retired, no one would be left to potentially stop another Draven-like threat. Link didn't stop Draven though. And Ocarina got pwned by Undertale. ~Phoenix Nine~ ~Victory needs no explanation; defeat allows none.~ |
Crono did a lot or is doing a lot better in Europe than I expected. Link could be pushing 69% by the end of the match. Absolutely crazy how far ahead he is of everyone. Cloud should break 42-43 % on him but that’s as much as ANYONE will do this contest. And even that is poor. Cloud got 52 47 48 and 46 or around those % against him in the past. This might be his worst but st this rate he should focus more on looking good against Samus and Mario. |
Link/LoZ
has historically been one of the worst options to stop a rally (0-3
against them). He and OoT are probably the biggest test those rally
entries have run up against, but they are also at absolutely their most
determined when they face him. Regarding this match... no matter how pathetic it sounds, this beatdown from my boy against one of my lesser liked characters is one of the best birthday gifts I could ever hope to receive. Thing of BEAUTY watching the Hyrule Hammer in good form, though for those who missed it, it's still incomparable to the old days when he'd put up EIGHTY ONE PERCENT against Yoshi. If Link marches through this bracket in his sleep, which he is looking likely to do, I'd be in favor of retiring him completely from the next CB, save for the final bonus poll against the bracket champ (it doesn't even need to count for points, though it can). I also think we can have a much smaller tournament of champions by excluding only Mario, Samus, and Cloud - akin to 2005. Everyone else should be in the main bracket because they are clearly fair game, though I suppose the idea of Zelda being a top threat to win a contest might be unpalatable to many. Yoblazer https://imgur.com/gByqgPg |
CaptainOfCrush posted... Link/LoZ has historically been one of the worst options to stop a rally (0-3 against them). He and OoT are probably the biggest test those rally entries have run up against, but they are also at absolutely their most determined when they face him. Yeah Link is the GOAT in these contests. Cloud wasn't beating up Crono as much as I expected. |
So
Pikachu is the huge favorite against Ganondorf in a match now, right? I
would just encourage people to be careful with such a match-up since
we're seeing the LoZ-series can SFF the Pokemon-series afterall and we
know Ganon got Bacondorf'd against Mega Man's sprite so it's an unlevel
comparison when put beside Pikachu's upset over Mega Man. I'd take Pikachu > Ganondorf to be clear, but I wouldn't rule out Ganondorf. Nominate METAL MAN for 20XX! https://imgur.com/Dr4NAeq |
Yuri_LowelI posted... Crono did a lot or is doing a lot better in Europe than I expected. I'm starting to think Cloud might not even make it to the grand finals |
@Dfy556 He will not. His next match is against Link and he will lose. So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
Safer_777 posted... @Dfy556 He will not. His next match is against Link and he will lose. I think he means via the Losers Bracket "That's Engarde hairflip metal detector tier btw" -XIII_rocks |
Ilishe posted... The Owner of FF9 posted...If Link were retired, no one would be left to potentially stop another Draven-like threat. "potentially" being the operative word. I specifically inserted it before I hit post. Character Battle X Current Score: 256/352 "I will ... never be a memory..." |
Cloud
might have enough to get there despite dominant performances from
Nintendo's big 3. There's a good chance he'll need to fight through both
Samus and Mario to get there, though... and man, he'll have earned it
if he can get through that murderer's row. Yoblazer https://imgur.com/gByqgPg |
No
way. Mario or Snake or Samus will beat him. Yeah he is stronger than
Sephiroth for sure but no way he beats Mario, Samus or Snake. So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
Safer_777 posted... @Dfy556 He will not. His next match is against Link and he will lose. I guess they call it "FINAL BATTLE" here but that's what I was referring to. Usually that match is called "Grand Finals" in tournaments. |
I
like including Link in the contest albeit in smaller ways like this
contest, the Battle Royale, and the Tournament of Champions all do. One idea I've wanted to see done for years is a gauntlet. I used to advocate for a whole contest like this, starting from the least nominated character and working our way up to the most nominated character...but really, I think just removing the Noble Nine or the top sixteen nominated characters or something along those lines would be appropriate for a gauntlet after the main bracket is completed. There would be lots of close matches and it would limit the impact of our heaviest hitters. Nominate METAL MAN for 20XX! https://imgur.com/Dr4NAeq |
Zelda might be the new #2. Dilated Chemist (edited 12/3/2018 9:22:27 AM) |
Actually
only Link is the problem. Every other person can lose to someone else.
Did anyone before the contest expected Pikachu to beat MM or Zelda to
beat Snake? But of course everyone expected Link to not lose barring a
rally of course. So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
Ridiculous scenario in which Link loses : Link vs Zelda with Zelda rsffing Link. |
Safer_777 posted... Actually only Link is the problem. Every other person can lose to someone else. Did anyone before the contest expected Pikachu to beat MM or Zelda to beat Snake? But of course everyone expected Link to not lose barring a rally of course. I had Zelda over Snake.... It was obvious. |
Before the contest? No way man. Seriously? So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
Calling a 50/50 match obvious is really never right even if you called it. Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone. (edited 12/3/2018 9:56:29 AM) |
Safer_777 posted... Before the contest? No way man. Seriously? I said it was likely befor the contest and guaranteed it (going so far as to say she is going to 54% him, which she should have done, badtastefaqs) after round 1. Y’all clowns were still denying it day of |
Am
I correct in stating that Samus was projected to get 56% on Mario in
2005? Mario ended up with nearly 60% in that match and Samus is
projected at 52% on Mario now through Tifa/Sephiroth. I'm wondering if
Mario can go even higher in tonight's match. |
I
think Samus has figured out SFF a little better since then, especially
if you consider how 55 on Zelda became 63 on Zelda in 2010. Also, the
games contest saw SM pummel SMG 60-40, so I think the gap between
Metroid and the other Nintendo Heavy hitters should have shrunk since
'05. |
The_Ctes posted... Calling a 50/50 match obvious is really never right even if you called it. https://media.giphy.com/media/KsoUUIrTbDWYU/giphy.gif Character Battle X Current Score: 256/352 "I will ... never be a memory..." |
garetha200 posted... I think Samus has figured out SFF a little better since then, especially if you consider how 55 on Zelda became 63 on Zelda in 2010. Also, the games contest saw SM pummel SMG 60-40, so I think the gap between Metroid and the other Nintendo Heavy hitters should have shrunk since '05. God I hope so.... but BadTasteFAQs man.... There really are no two ways about it. You’re a f***ing moron if you vote Mario. Not just over Samus.... over virtually anyone. Most of his games are amazing and after Pokémon it’s probably the series I spent the most time in.... I don’t care how good his games are, he is an awful, AWFUL character, though to call him a character in a very low bar. He has none. |
FinaIFantasy posted... garetha200 posted...I think Samus has figured out SFF a little better since then, especially if you consider how 55 on Zelda became 63 on Zelda in 2010. Also, the games contest saw SM pummel SMG 60-40, so I think the gap between Metroid and the other Nintendo Heavy hitters should have shrunk since '05. Mamma mia! Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. DpOblivion > Me |
Eh,
voting for a character because you like the series they represent
doesn't make you a "moron". I voted Crono over Bowser and Crono is a
really bad Character, but Chrono Trigger was just too amazing of a game. |
HaRRicH posted... I like including Link in the contest albeit in smaller ways like this contest, the Battle Royale, and the Tournament of Champions all do. The issue of a gauntlet is that underseeded characters could monopolized matches for a while. Aerith was a 15 seed and would have lasted days/weeks. Pokemon tend to be underseeded too, Zelda was only a 4 seed and likely would have survived over for a long time as she went through the rest of the bracket before potentially losing to Mario. I guess we could limit the effects of long runs by splitting the bracket in 8 divisions and having them run concurrently. Sure we may have 12 straight matches of Aerith beating up Division 5, but the other divisions may have interesting stuff going on. CBX - Today's Winners: Link and Crono |
CaptainOfCrush posted... Link/LoZ has historically been one of the worst options to stop a rally (0-3 against them). He and OoT are probably the biggest test those rally entries have run up against, but they are also at absolutely their most determined when they face him. Well right now we are having a hard time figuring out who #2 is so maybe just retiring Link would be fine. We might know it more clearly after the contest but then give it another 3 years and it would get unclear again. While LAW is LAW. Also a final match with Link would be better not counting points, because I've always found it weird that the match that counted the most points was the easiest (assuming no rallies). |
Speaking
of which, correctly predicting Link to win (assuming he wins) nets you
140 points this year if you pick him in both finals. |
FinaIFantasy posted... garetha200 posted...I think Samus has figured out SFF a little better since then, especially if you consider how 55 on Zelda became 63 on Zelda in 2010. Also, the games contest saw SM pummel SMG 60-40, so I think the gap between Metroid and the other Nintendo Heavy hitters should have shrunk since '05. Can't wait to vote for Mario tonight! Character Battle X Current Score: 256/352 "I will ... never be a memory..." |
Changed my mind, I'm gonna vote Mario now, thanks MWC. "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima BKSheikah won Guru, but you know that. |
Question - is any Pikachu performance here can be considered bad at this point? I mean, his strength has already been established, he beat Mega Man (that in turn beat Ganondorf easily) and looked great all contest And yet...sub-32% looks bad. But it feels like more about the LAW than Pikachu So in reality even if Pikachu got 25% here it would be more about Link beasting than Pikachu sucking, I think 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
It's the LAW SFFing the RAT, so there's not much that can be drawn from this result. "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima BKSheikah won Guru, but you know that. |
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