Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1312 GameFAQs Contests
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Is this the last character battle? I saw someone mention that it was... These
minor spelling errors were brought to you by an ipad having no real
feedback to enable me to know when i mistype and my own laziness. |
Keep
in mind I think a lot of this disconnect is I'm still not convinced
Zelda is super steroid right now and a lot of this is Snake being down
closer to pre Brawl levels given MGS sucking this contest. Like to me
this isn't a "Sonic rSFFs Zelda" type sell as much as just a "garden
variety SFFs her" type sell. I'm thinking from the mindset of a guy who
thought Sonic should be considered a slight favorite over Snake Like let's forget Squall vs Zelda and stick to Aeris vs Zelda for the sanity check. Zelda vs Aeris compared to Sonic vs Auron, especially if you assume Vincent and Aeris are anywhere near close, to me isn't looking like Zelda is so much stronger on paper. You think of it that way and Sonic/Zelda is closer to a 50/50, and the amount of SFF needed for Sonic to beat her worse than Auron isn't monstrous No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! (edited 11/28/2018 9:01:47 PM) |
imthestuntman posted... Is this the last character battle? I saw someone mention that it was... Nobody knows Started from the bottom now we here |
I don't think Sonic is really that susceptible to Nintendo SFF. He suffers from gaming icon SFF against Link. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
imthestuntman posted... Is this the last character battle? I saw someone mention that it was... I f***ing hope so. "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE |
If Vincent = Aerith, Zelda is projected to get 53.89% on Sonic. This was not the best year for my bracket. Congrats to BK_Sheikah00 for winning the BYIG Guru Contest! |
Lopen posted... Like let's forget Squall vs Zelda and stick to Aeris vs Zelda for the sanity check. Zelda vs Aeris compared to Sonic vs Auron, especially if you assume Vincent and Aeris are anywhere near close, to me isn't looking like Zelda is so much stronger on paper. You think of it that way and Sonic/Zelda is closer to a 50/50, and the amount of SFF needed for Sonic to beat her worse than Auron isn't monstrous https://youtu.be/WFoC3TR5rzI It's like paying for bubble wrap. -transience on Final Fantasy: All the Bravest |
Sonic just outright lost an hour to Auron. [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] [NO BKSheikah NO PEACE] |
I just did the math and if Vincent = Aeris, then I believe Zelda gets 57.5% on Auron and 54% on Sonic pre-SFF. ...that's a healthy amount for Sonic to rSFF Zelda. https://imgur.com/M1heX2g RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
Looks like a mgs rally has already been posted on Reddit. Not seeing anything for Zelda yet, unless there is a hentai rally. I mean where would you even go to find hentai, much less fans of it to rally.... These minor
spelling errors were brought to you by an ipad having no real feedback
to enable me to know when i mistype and my own laziness. |
See
that's not like, off on an island. You could also believe Vincent >
Aeris by some amount. Contest history would certainly suggest it. You
can't go TOO high as Sub-Zero and Magus anchor it to some ectent, but
yeah I dunno. I think a lot of people are writing Sonic off just because he's historically been the NN whipping boy, but Sonic probably isn't the weakest NNer this year based on previous rounds No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I mean where would you even go to find hentai are you asking for recommendations, or...? |
ExThaNemesis posted... imthestuntman posted...Is this the last character battle? I saw someone mention that it was... Formerly ff6man. |
imthestuntman posted... where would you even go to find hentai I can't tell if you're serious or not >_> You felt your sins weighing down on your neck. |
:) These
minor spelling errors were brought to you by an ipad having no real
feedback to enable me to know when i mistype and my own laziness. |
Like
I'm not expecting Zelda to go out and 60-40 Sonic or anything. I do
expect something closer to a 54% win for Zelda. Pushing her down to
Auron is around 8 percentage points of rSFF. That's quite a lot. This was not the best year for my bracket. Congrats to BK_Sheikah00 for winning the BYIG Guru Contest! |
Just
out of curiosity since you guys already did most of the work if you set
Aeris = Magus where are the percentages on Sonic/Zelda No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! (edited 11/28/2018 9:23:06 PM) |
About 55.5% on Auron, 51.6% on Sonic https://imgur.com/M1heX2g RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
imthestuntman posted... Looks like a mgs rally has already been posted on Reddit. MGS rally would be best to try tweet David Hayter since he's retweeted for Snake in the past |
ShatteredElysium posted... imthestuntman posted...Looks like a mgs rally has already been posted on Reddit. Well that sounds like it would be pretty damning given how close it is These
minor spelling errors were brought to you by an ipad having no real
feedback to enable me to know when i mistype and my own laziness. |
Ok,
I think barring rallies, Zelda has a very good chance of winning here.
She's trending pretty much the same as her match against the Boss so far
(which would project her winning with about 51% at the end) and very
different from the Dedede/Ocelot, Tifa/Luigi or K. Rool/Shepard matches
(who have already shown signs of collapse at this point). congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru (edited 11/28/2018 9:39:19 PM) |
MZero11 posted... ExThaNemesis posted...This might be the worst result in the history of the contest, tbh. Ugh yeah, Banjo deserved so much better. :( Surskit Hi! I like shorts! They're comfy and easy to wear! |
Cloud Strife – 50.00% Alucard – 39.61% Pokemon Trainer Red – 36.59% Sora – 35.93% Big Boss – 35.00% Princess Peach – 34.22% Crash Bandicoot – 32.99% Kefka – 32.13% Yuna – 31.99% Ridley – 30.33% Cecil Harvey – 30.23% Bomberman – 25.82% L-Block – 25.58% Ryo Hazuki – 22.22% Kazuma Kiryu – 20.20% Neptune – 18.06% Godot – 17.56% Crono – 50.00% Bowser – 45.12% Kirby – 41.64% Charizard – 39.21% 2B – 37.73% Terra Branford – 37.02% Ness – 34.92% Shadow the Hedgehog – 32.64% Phoenix Wright – 26.39% Ike – 26.04% Isaac – 24.74% Chris Redfield – 22.73% Guile – 21.20% Gordon Freeman – 20.40% Joel – 19.62% Estelle Bright – 17.51% Cayde-6 – 16.75% |
Yeah,
I think we're getting to the point we can call this for Zelda. I don't
think there are enough votes available overnight for Snake to take the
lead AND get enough of a cushion to protect himself from Zeldas day
vote. https://i.imgtc.com/xAYJuK1.gif Playing: Red Dead Redemption 2 (PS4), Fallout 76 (PC) |
I mean once you get to the day vote in a 50/50 match rally power matters more than trends |
Zelda has this match locked up. You don't lose this much ground overnight against anyone unless you're a Mega Man character. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
2Dover3D posted... Yeah, I think we're getting to the point we can call this for Zelda. I don't think there are enough votes available overnight for Snake to take the lead AND get enough of a cushion to protect himself from Zeldas day vote. There are still rallies so I wouldn't go this far. I'm only saying that the conditions are favorable to Zelda right now and I would think she should win without rallies. congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru |
LeonhartFour posted... I mean once you get to the day vote in a 50/50 match rally power matters more than trends Thats assuming its even a 50/50 match. I think rallies matter much more in a case like Mega Man vs Pikachu where it was really close AND Pikachu was the underdog. Are people going to rally hard for a guy whos expected to win, plus will probably already be down by a couple hundred votes? https://i.imgtc.com/xAYJuK1.gif Playing: Red Dead Redemption 2 (PS4), Fallout 76 (PC) |
Hopefully Snake's night vote ends up being a thing of beauty Started from the bottom now we here |
I mean people will try people always try |
haloiscoolisbak posted... Hopefully Snake's night vote ends up being a thing of beauty He's going to need it, because by the time he stops bleeding it could be a 500 vote lead. Not even Geralt being a European character moved 500 votes overnight, more like 200-300. https://i.imgtc.com/xAYJuK1.gif Playing: Red Dead Redemption 2 (PS4), Fallout 76 (PC) |
I like how Snake is winning in almost the entire world but US and Canada favor Zelda and it's enough 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
Yeah
I would say Zelda already has this unless theres a rally. It's already
looking like too many votes to overturn when he's going to lose the day
vote. Maybe if it was even here but not 300+ votes down. He might not
even retake the lead at this rate |
Nanis23 posted... I like how Snake is winning in almost the entire world but US and Canada favor Zelda and it's enough Well thats not really true Started from the bottom now we here |
Snake's
one ray of hope is the second day vote doesn't really play out like a
miniature version of the first one. There are similarities but it's
often very different. I don't think the lead is insurmountable to reclaim yet and if the day vote tomorrow plays out differently it could become interesting. I think Zelda needs to hit 400 for me to really feel safe calling it No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
2Dover3D posted... haloiscoolisbak posted...Hopefully Snake's night vote ends up being a thing of beauty I think the bleeding has already stopped to an extent. Last few updates have had the lead at 340 > 341 > 342 > 337 > 319. He will likely start stalling out here or possibly even cutting (edited 11/28/2018 9:49:37 PM) |
Well, we're about to hit the Euro vote, so if Snake IS going to start making a comeback, it'll be soon. |
ShatteredElysium posted... 2Dover3D posted...haloiscoolisbak posted...show hidden quote(s)Hopefully Snake's night vote ends up being a thing of beauty Typically the Euro vote doesn't come into full effect until 2:30-3 AM EST from what I've seen. They might start stalling a bit at this time, so 500 might be tough but I fully expect Zelda to hit 400 before Snake starts cutting. https://i.imgtc.com/xAYJuK1.gif Playing: Red Dead Redemption 2 (PS4), Fallout 76 (PC) |
Do we know if NY or Cali has a larger presence on this site? Started from the bottom now we here |
The
UK vote isn't the big thing propping up Snake here (although it's a
factor) - it's that he's winning basically the entire right half of the
map. That means you started gaining ground earlier than 3 AM. Tifa was
the same scenario and her comeback started in full...uh, now. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. (edited 11/28/2018 9:56:06 PM) |
Well, Snake's pulled off a couple of sizable cuts in between Zelda stalls, so this could happen if he can keep that up. (edited 11/28/2018 9:57:44 PM) |
Cmon snakey Started from the bottom now we here |
Even
if Snake does pull this off, this is still a bracketbuster for me (and
I'm in the Top 10) as I have Snake going past Mario which has zero
chance of happening based on this match |
hey now we haven't even given Mario a chance to crap the bed yet |
Nanis23 posted... I like how Snake is winning in almost the entire world but US and Canada favor Zelda and it's enough After the end of Mega Man/Pikachu, the world was split into two -- East and Nintendo. This marked the beginning of the era called the Cold Console War. xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
After
reading earlier that Germany and France are Zelda states and that this
may dilute the night vote I had a look and I'd say there's been less
than 200 votes from them. All the territories within those countries
have splits like exactly 66.6-33.3and 75-25 which would indicate likely
very small votals Either way this is gonna be exciting Started from the bottom now we here (edited 11/28/2018 10:05:25 PM) |
Is Metal Gear Solid or Final Fantasy more "night vote" friendly? congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru |
FFVII is the king of the night vote. Beyond that, it's probably pretty close. |
Based on Zelda/Aeris trends..... Zelda wins with 50.42%. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Based on Zelda/The Boss, Zelda wins with 50.75%. September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
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