CaptainOfCrush posted...
heroicmario posted...
Outside of Link, are we really confident in where *anyone* ranks?

I'm not, not really.

Sonic - still lower tier. That's my most confident prediction.

Crono - would be pegged for lower echelon, but CT looked so beastly in 2015 that most people are waiting to see what its protagonist will do.

Mega Man - got Smash since the last contest. Anyone who's confident to peg him now is braver than me.

Cloud & Seph - obviously were beasts in days gone by, but now it's uncertain where they rank and how far they've fallen.

Samus - Ms. Consistency has gone over a decade without a well received console game. It HAS to take a toll on even her eventually.

Mario - looked like garbage in 2013 and has been used less as the franchise guy for Nintendo. Wouldn't be surprised if he's dropped.

Snake - looked VERY strong in 2013, even before getting Draven counter-rallied. However, MGS5 was poorly received here, and other MGS characters don't look too hot. I think he's immune but am not sure.

Honestly, the one guy who has most likely grown in strength is Link... and now I understand why people are upset.


Don't forget that Cloud also has had Smash since the last contest. Unfortunately that doesn't really help him as 7 people in the NN are in that game, but w/e
BKSheikah, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club
lol xstats
Nanis23 11/14/2018 6:52:40 AM#352
What date is Geralt's next match? (If he wins here) @LusterSoldier
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
Nanis23 11/14/2018 6:54:34 AM#353
Also, 10 pages in less than 24 hours...
New record for this contest
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
hombad46 11/14/2018 6:54:42 AM#354
Nanis23 posted...
What date is Geralt's next match? (If he wins here) @LusterSoldier

Battle 118 will be on the 18th
Rally for Kirby in Character Battle X! He is the true hero of Nintendo!
Nanis23 posted...
Also, 10 pages in less than 24 hours...
New record for this contest


We were filling topics daily at the beginning of the contest
CBX - Today's Winners: Zelda, Aerith, Bayonetta, Auron
Score: 122/160
Nanis23 11/14/2018 7:02:02 AM#356
hombad46 posted...
Nanis23 posted...
What date is Geralt's next match? (If he wins here) @LusterSoldier

Battle 118 will be on the 18th

Thanks

>Sunday
Oh god
My dream is dead
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
Zelda looks on track to stay above 63%. If not for that ancient, pre-Kingdom Hearts loss to Snake in 2002, this would actually be the worst non-SFF loss of his formidable contest career.
I mean, thinking about it, I'm not sure if Squall has really done anything particularly notable since his 2003 run. However, he has consistently been able to break 40% on Solid Snake (throw out 2002) and, most damning of all, he has demonstrated the ability to beat down popular Nintendo characters like Kirby and Yoshi. Oh, and he managed to slay Missingno when Crono and Tidus couldn't do it. With all that said, what on earth is going on?
"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
I know it's been lost amidst the speculation of a BotW boost and her acting as a LoZ proxy, but I want to at least mention Zelda's awesome picture. Squall looks great himself, but Zelda may honestly have the best pic in the bracket. Her Smash Ultimate redesign was met with universal praise - and "universal praise" is a rarity from that fanbase.
zelda's ALBW and Smash5 design is so good

https://i.imgtc.com/Qo269YG.gif
drooling while eating
Nanis23 11/14/2018 7:29:57 AM#361
So uh
My dreams of asking the Witcher social accounts to support Geralt is pretty much dead if his match against Auron is on a Sunday, right?
I mean, he is strong, I want him to be the non-joke L-Block of this contest, but Sunday screws this up
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
I'm sure others have tried to rally him, it just didn't work out.
TooTooP3 11/14/2018 7:34:25 AM#363
LeonhartFour posted...
Kirby > Mario this year

book it


This isn't going to happen, but I'll remember this so I can make a post about it when the time comes.
Xeybozn 11/14/2018 7:36:02 AM#364
Nanis23 posted...
So uh
My dreams of asking the Witcher social accounts to support Geralt is pretty much dead if his match against Auron is on a Sunday, right?
I mean, he is strong, I want him to be the non-joke L-Block of this contest, but Sunday screws this up

If you're worried that the official accounts won't see it if you ask on Sunday you could try telling them about it before the day of the match. I don't see any other problems with the day.
Congrats to 2017 Guru champ BKSheikah!
Nanis23 11/14/2018 7:39:38 AM#365
Xeybozn posted...
Nanis23 posted...
So uh
My dreams of asking the Witcher social accounts to support Geralt is pretty much dead if his match against Auron is on a Sunday, right?
I mean, he is strong, I want him to be the non-joke L-Block of this contest, but Sunday screws this up

If you're worried that the official accounts won't see it if you ask on Sunday you could try telling them about it before the day of the match. I don't see any other problems with the day.

I thought they don't work on Sundays?
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
squexa 11/14/2018 7:45:44 AM#366
CaptainOfCrush posted...
I know it's been lost amidst the speculation of a BotW boost and her acting as a LoZ proxy, but I want to at least mention Zelda's awesome picture. Squall looks great himself, but Zelda may honestly have the best pic in the bracket. Her Smash Ultimate redesign was met with universal praise - and "universal praise" is a rarity from that fanbase.


Absolutely.

I really wonder whether Zelda is sensitive to her picture. Unlike almost every other character I can think of, Zelda's looks and personality drastically changes from game and game and I know many people that like her in one game (like ST or BotW) and dislike her in another.(like TP). I wonder whether the picture might subconsciously steer them into a particular interpretation of Zelda. People earlier in the thread have already mentioned whether voters take Sheik and Tetra into account, and I certainly doubt a casual voter's mind will immediately jump to Zelda being a bad*** ninja if presented with a picture of SS Zelda, etc.
congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
squexa 11/14/2018 7:58:39 AM#367
And I have to wonder how the reaction on the board would be if Zelda was the one that got the board/bracket vote instead of Squall. Zelda would be ~70% at the freeze.
congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
HaRRicH 11/14/2018 8:00:17 AM#368
scaryice posted...
Updated state records through round 2:

94-2: Arizona
93-3: Florida
92-4: Illinois
91-5: Georgia, Texas
90-6: California, Massachusetts, Mississippi, New York, Virginia
89-7: Alabama, Louisiana, Michigan, Oklahoma, West Virginia
88-8: Indiana, Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina
87-9: Arkansas, Missouri, New Jersey, North Carolina, Washington, Wisconsin
86-10: Colorado, Connecticut, Idaho, South Dakota
85-11: Iowa, Minnesota
84-12: Alaska, Montana, Oregon, Tennessee, Utah
83-13: Nebraska, Nevada, Wyoming
82-14: Kansas, New Hampshire
81-15: Kentucky
80-16: Maine
79-17: Rhode Island
78-18: Hawaii
76-20: Delaware, New Mexico, Vermont
70-26: North Dakota

This is the number of times they've voted for the winner. As you can see it seems to be mostly based on population, which is a little boring. Still, it's fun to look at. Arizona has taken the lead (only missed Shovel Knight and King Dedede).


I'll be most interested in seeing what trends come from each state as far as where their differences come from. Keep up the good work.
Nominate METAL MAN for 20XX!
https://imgur.com/Dr4NAeq
HaRRicH 11/14/2018 8:05:45 AM#369
Nanis23 posted...
So uh
My dreams of asking the Witcher social accounts to support Geralt is pretty much dead if his match against Auron is on a Sunday, right?
I mean, he is strong, I want him to be the non-joke L-Block of this contest, but Sunday screws this up


Please don't. "Non-joke L-Block" sounds like Draven and Geralt's been having a legit exciting run on his own.
Nominate METAL MAN for 20XX!
https://imgur.com/Dr4NAeq
Exodecai 11/14/2018 8:06:07 AM#370
Subby is doing a bit better then I expected, he’ll probably break 43%. Looks like he isn’t getting revenge from a decade ago though (not that i expected it)
http://www.change.org/petitions/nintendo-give-waluigi-a-chance-in-the-spotlight
Let's try giving Waluigi a chance in the spotlight! 2,400+ supporters!
Aerith has to be up there for eliminating the most Nintendo characters in single contest, right? I was going through it in my head last night, and I can't think of any other characters in outside of 4 ways, even fellow Nintendo characters. Snake might have in 2013, but I can't remember who he faced in the first couple of rounds. Draven has three in 2013 as well, but that's counting Samus in the Finals as an "elimination" which seems questionable. The only entrants to beat her are all games (Chrono Trigger, Majora's Mask*and Undertale* all have 4.)

*If you consider the loser in a final to be "eliminated."
Yesmar
HaRRicH posted...
Nanis23 posted...
So uh
My dreams of asking the Witcher social accounts to support Geralt is pretty much dead if his match against Auron is on a Sunday, right?
I mean, he is strong, I want him to be the non-joke L-Block of this contest, but Sunday screws this up


Please don't. "Non-joke L-Block" sounds like Draven and Geralt's been having a legit exciting run on his own.


Well, we are talking about rallies here, so my preferred term--"non-rally"--doesn't apply.

I figure that all of the so-called "joke characters", or at least the ones like L-Block, Cube, and Missingno. that did serious damage, fall under the umbrella of rallies alongside Draven.

It is interesting to see how dramatic the effects of rallying are. Take Cube in 2008, for example. The first two rounds, there's a definite spike, but not a dramatic one. A few thousand extra votes compared to the matches immediately before and after it. But in round 3, Cube's match represents a huge spike even though the match right before it was an L-Block match, itself a big increase from the day before!
"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
(edited 11/14/2018 8:50:00 AM)report
CaptainOfCrush posted...
I've never taken any of those characters to beat Mario either, but I wouldn't make a chest-thumping post like that about it.

It’s not chest thumping. Know how you always talk about “everyone knows Mario, but who is really a HUGE fan of him and cares about the guy?”.

Well I do. Love the dude. It’s why I support Mario 1/3 so hard and looooove the rare times Mario gets to beat Zelda. Mario 3 was my main escape from an extremely abusive childhood, and even though he’s not as relevant today as he was in the 80s it’s awesome to see him doing well and being popular.
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n
(edited 11/14/2018 9:25:54 AM)report
Nanis23 11/14/2018 9:31:58 AM#374
HaRRicH posted...
Nanis23 posted...
So uh
My dreams of asking the Witcher social accounts to support Geralt is pretty much dead if his match against Auron is on a Sunday, right?
I mean, he is strong, I want him to be the non-joke L-Block of this contest, but Sunday screws this up


Please don't. "Non-joke L-Block" sounds like Draven and Geralt's been having a legit exciting run on his own.

Except that Geralt is actually a good character unlike Draven and the Witcher fans are good people unlike /r/LOL, so this is more like the character version of Undertale

It won't work though so this is just theorycraft
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
RPGlord95 11/14/2018 9:33:18 AM#375
I like Mario
Whiskey Nick on his cell phone
"Every man's heart one day beats its final beat." -Warrior
Meh, 2004 Mario was relatively weaksauce. Literally folded to Crono. Whatever happened to "it's freaking Mario?"

Mario is also my favourite character.
CBX - Today's Winners: Zelda, Aerith, Bayonetta, Auron
Score: 122/160
(edited 11/14/2018 9:34:55 AM)report
charmander6000 posted...
Meh, 2004 Mario was relatively weaksauce. Literally folded to Crono. Whatever happened to "it's freaking Mario?"

Mario is also my favourite character.

Never stopped!! 2004 was a pity win :p
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n
Safer_777 11/14/2018 9:48:17 AM#378
Still on the leaderboard! I didn't expected to be still there. Seems nobody found all winners yesterday. Well I sure didn't! Anyways I am okay with this.

Came back from work, checked the results.

1st match=WHAT THE f*** is going on? Seriously? Is this a glitch? A rally? A bug? Don't tell me that all are fine. No! I don't believe it! What? That means that Zelda beats Garrus with like 85%? No way. The only good thing is that it makes Ezio looking good at least.
2nd match=Aerith is winning even though Fox was the favorite? Damn!
3rd match=Hang in the Geralt! Beat the witch! I know you like witches but not this one!
4th match=Sub Zero better than I expected. Nice.
So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing?
swirIdude 11/14/2018 9:52:30 AM#379
Safer_777 posted...
Aerith is winning even though Fox was the favorite? Damn!


Aerith was the favorite here.
"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
BKSheikah won Guru, but you know that.
Safer_777 11/14/2018 9:53:33 AM#380
@swirIdude Not according to the crew.
So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing?
As far as I can tell, Aeris was the favorite going into the contest, but going into the match predictions had started to shift toward Fox.
"In this world you will have trouble. But take heart! I have overcome the world." - John 16:33
Aerith was the favorite pre-contest.

I was going to mention how this is proof that RBY would beat FFVII in a games contest (Aeris losing to someone that Blue beat), but Fox might be weaker now because of Star Fox Zero. Then again maybe not.
"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
ZeldaTPLink 11/14/2018 10:00:25 AM#383
I'd say Aerith was the Guru favorite but not the Oracle/Crew favorite.

Because the latter is based on actual 2018 stats rather than the ancient stuff we have to rely on while making brackets.

Zelda would be a good example as someone who is an Oracle favorite but the Guru underdog.
All of Geralts matches have been great. Close results, comebacks, a western character winning, and even actual trends! Star of the contest so far.
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
VeryInsane 11/14/2018 10:36:24 AM#385
I'm just gonna pretend the entire country of Poland is rallying for Geralt
Warning: I'm literally VeryInsane.
lordjers 11/14/2018 10:54:33 AM#386
lol Geralt is doing it again. I have Bayonetta winning but at least my man Simon looks better now.
Backlog: Splatterhouse 3 (GEN). Last finished: Splatterhouse 2 (GEN). Splatterhouse: Wanpaku Graffiti (NES). Friday the 13th (C64). Splatterhouse (ARC).
(edited 11/14/2018 10:54:57 AM)report
_Dog_ 11/14/2018 10:57:17 AM#387
UltimaterializerX posted...
charmander6000 posted...
Meh, 2004 Mario was relatively weaksauce. Literally folded to Crono. Whatever happened to "it's freaking Mario?"

Mario is also my favourite character.

Never stopped!! 2004 was a pity win :p

"It's freakin' Mario" died the day 4chan rallied for Vivi. Trust me, the argument doesn't always work.

If there's any possible consolation, Ganondorf is positioned for revenge.
The Big Problem with the Pokemon anime:
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/217-pokemon/75265633
The_Ctes 11/14/2018 11:06:55 AM#388
HeroicSpiderPig posted...
Aerith has to be up there for eliminating the most Nintendo characters in single contest, right? I was going through it in my head last night, and I can't think of any other characters in outside of 4 ways, even fellow Nintendo characters. Snake might have in 2013, but I can't remember who he faced in the first couple of rounds. Draven has three in 2013 as well, but that's counting Samus in the Finals as an "elimination" which seems questionable. The only entrants to beat her are all games (Chrono Trigger, Majora's Mask*and Undertale* all have 4.)

*If you consider the loser in a final to be "eliminated."


Mario and Cloud both did in 10.

If games count, Chrono Trigger beat 4 Nintendo games in 04.
Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
I just can't believe that Riku is the second-weakest character in the entire eightpack

And he seemed a reasonable choice to take to round 4. What a loser.
If all else fails use fire.
swirIdude 11/14/2018 11:16:28 AM#390
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
And he seemed a reasonable choice to take to round 4.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FopyRHHlt3M
"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
BKSheikah won Guru, but you know that.
Ranticoot 11/14/2018 11:22:56 AM#391
man now i'm wondering why i had riku winning even one match

he's only advanced outside a 4-way once, and that was against ramza.
Born to lose, live to win!
4/4 today if this holds.

Let's go Geralt
Character Battle X
Current Score: 128/160 We Can Do It!
swirIdude posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
And he seemed a reasonable choice to take to round 4.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FopyRHHlt3M

I have him losing R1 in my bracket. It's just that everyone in the eightpack had some case to win it.
If all else fails use fire.
ZeldaTPLink 11/14/2018 11:30:40 AM#394
Yeah I don't think anyone should feel bad for getting this 8-pack wrong. It's a hard one.

(or maybe I'm thinking this because I missed 4 matches in it)
ZeldaTPLink 11/14/2018 11:31:30 AM#395
Though I got both round 3 matches right and will probably get Round 4 right too.

The real tragedy is Div 3. I have Sora > Kefka.
Zylothewolf 11/14/2018 11:34:52 AM#396
ZeldaTPLink posted...
Yeah I don't think anyone should feel bad for getting this 8-pack wrong. It's a hard one.

(or maybe I'm thinking this because I missed 4 matches in it)


Division 6 might be my only perfect division and I just hoped that Gerhalt would get an outside rally. No matter which character you picked it felt strange that that character would win three matches and DK or Tidus would lose in their first match.
Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. DpOblivion > Me
Ranticoot 11/14/2018 11:36:35 AM#397
I didn't get a single part of Pac-Man/Bayo's 4-pack right (got Sans > Riku) but I did have Geralt > Simon and Geralt winning the 8-pack. I really want Geralt to look respectable against Auron next round. A legitimately decent, recent, western character is a rare breed.

Either way despite having Fox over Aerith today seems alright to me with Geralt and Zelda.
Born to lose, live to win!
Nanis23 11/14/2018 11:36:59 AM#398
Oh wait..what
Just realized I am in the top 55 (and once again not on the leaderboard because I finished my bracket in the last few days)
I don't know how much having 3/4 here will drop me...

I have Waluigi>Fox here, of all the matches to get wrong...
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
pjbasis 11/14/2018 11:39:24 AM#399
Magus is projected to get 42.53% on Auron so it'd be close.

...Wait a minute.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3290-division-8-round-2-sonic-sandbag-auron-sub-zero

congrats magus
you could probably beat sandbag in a rematch
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO BKSheikah NO PEACE]

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