Division 5, Round 2

Squall Leonhart vs. Garrus Vakarian
Registered Vote Result:
Squall Leonhart - 6236 (64.57%)
Garrus Vakarian - 3421 (35.43%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Squall Leonhart - 6730 (63.01%)
Garrus Vakarian - 3950 (36.99%)

The Boss vs. Zelda
Registered Vote Result:
The Boss - 2795 (28.94%)
Zelda - 6862 (71.06%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
The Boss - 3198 (29.95%)
Zelda - 7481 (70.05%)

D.Va vs. Fox McCloud
Registered Vote Result:
D.Va - 2842 (29.43%)
Fox McCloud - 6815 (70.57%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
D.Va - 2859 (26.77%)
Fox McCloud - 7821 (73.23%)

Captain Toad vs. Aerith Gainsborough
Registered Vote Result:
Captain Toad - 3933 (40.73%)
Aerith Gainsborough - 5724 (59.27%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Captain Toad - 4134 (38.70%)
Aerith Gainsborough - 6547 (61.30%)

Squall does about 1.5% better with registered users, despite having a bad board vote at the start. In general, western characters haven't done well among registered users this contest.

Zelda only did about 1% better with registered users after doing about 5.5% better in round 1 against Ezio.

Captain Toad also does better with registered users, by about 2% here.

D.Va's shocking 7 point difference from last round wasn't some fluke after all, because D.Va still does close to 3% better with registered users despite going up against Nintendo.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
tennisboy213 posted...
Western character power hour over


Isn't the power hour where Nintendo dominates? Surely a character likes Geralt benefits from a slow burn vote
Started from the bottom now we here
WTF Geralt? How did you take the lead in five minutes from being nearly 50 down?
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
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ninkendo 11/8/2018 5:06:41 PM#204
Witch Rally is here massive updates for both Geralt and Bayonetta
Meanwhile, Bayo just destroyed Pac on that update.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
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snake_5036 11/8/2018 5:06:48 PM#206
it's alright, simon just got hit in the air because he can't change direction while jumping and whipping

he'll get back in it inb4 this is where the match stops being interesting and geralt just cruises
You felt your sins weighing down on your neck.
Amazing that Pac-Man is keep it this close...
CBX - Today's Winners: Simon, Bayonetta, Auron, Sub-Zero
Score: 82/104
I’m suddenly very afraid of Geralt, votals spiked there

Edit: nvm I read the wrong number, votals just went up a bit
If all else fails use fire.
(edited 11/8/2018 5:10:28 PM)report
Another lead change for Simon. 2 vote lead. This could be fun for a bit.

And even the UK cooled off to a mere 60-40 for Jerry.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
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GranzonEx 11/8/2018 5:11:15 PM#210
don't worry gamefaqs has more users than Poland
2 line break(s), 160 characters allowed
GranzonEx posted...
don't worry gamefaqs has more users than Poland


The Witcher 3 in general is pretty strong throughout Europe, so it's not dependent on just one country here. You can definitely see the Geolocation results on these 2 polls:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6205-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6141-
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
GranzonEx 11/8/2018 5:15:44 PM#212
LusterSoldier posted...
GranzonEx posted...
don't worry gamefaqs has more users than Poland


The Witcher 3 in general is pretty strong throughout Europe, so it's not dependent on just one country here. You can definitely see the Geolocation results on these 2 polls:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6205-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6141-

oh
2 line break(s), 160 characters allowed
Lopen 11/8/2018 5:18:02 PM#213
Pac destroys back

No fear in this boy
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
I'm looking both the maps for Simon vs. Ryu and Simon vs. Gerry, and there's quite a lot of parallels, except that Canada has flipped to the side of the western character in Round 2.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
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Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!
If all else fails use fire.
Perfect Oracle on Captain Toad, of all the character for me to do that
I am Nick. Go Sens, Bills, Blue Jays!
UotY 2015, You should listen to The Show w/ Ngamer and Yoblazer
davidponte 11/8/2018 5:19:48 PM#217
go my canada
The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!


No, the pick stats for round 2 and beyond aren't accurate here.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
LusterSoldier posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!


No, the pick stats for round 2 and beyond aren't accurate here.

Has anyone sent Allen a feedback ticket over that yet?
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2018 Guru Contest winner. http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=40
LusterSoldier posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!


No, the pick stats for round 2 and beyond aren't accurate here.

Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? What’s going on?
If all else fails use fire.
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
LusterSoldier posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
show hidden quote(s)
Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!


No, the pick stats for round 2 and beyond aren't accurate here.

Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? What’s going on?

We don't know for sure, but it looks like the winner picks may or may include whoever they beat in the first round to advance as well.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
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DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? What’s going on?


I believe it's both winner and loser picks since the total picks for round 2 matches adds up to 7221 (the total brackets submitted for this contest).

Picks for Dante's round 2 match would include those who picked either Dante or Cuphead to reach round 3, while picks for Lightning include both Lightning and Chloe Price reaching round 3.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
LusterSoldier posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? What’s going on?


I believe it's both winner and loser picks since the total picks for round 2 matches adds up to 7221 (the total brackets submitted for this contest).

Picks for Dante's round 2 match would include those who picked either Dante or Cuphead to reach round 3, while picks for Lightning include both Lightning and Chloe Price reaching round 3.

Also, it's also likely related to the whole red/yellow thing, where picks that lost that round are red, while picks that lost in round beforehand are yellow for some reason.
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_SecretSquirrel posted...
Also, it's also likely related to the whole red/yellow thing, where picks that lost that round are red, while picks that lost in round beforehand are yellow for some reason.


My Leon pick is highlighted in yellow despite losing in round 2. It might have something to do with the fact that I didn't pick Donkey Kong to win in round 1, meaning I had a round 2 match-up of Tidus/Leon in my bracket. This fourpack looks like this in my bracket:

https://i.imgtc.com/Lm3CVKH.png
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
DanKirby 11/8/2018 5:40:17 PM#225
LusterSoldier posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? What’s going on?


I believe it's both winner and loser picks since the total picks for round 2 matches adds up to 7221 (the total brackets submitted for this contest).

Picks for Dante's round 2 match would include those who picked either Dante or Cuphead to reach round 3, while picks for Lightning include both Lightning and Chloe Price reaching round 3.

I don't know if we can tell for sure if it's like that, or if it's that Dante's picks are correct and Lightning's picks include all not-Dante picks.
(>'.')>
"The problem with the future is that it keeps turning into the present." -Hobbes
Now Simon, if you could string together a few of these in row, that would be great.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
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_SecretSquirrel posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
LusterSoldier posted...
show hidden quote(s)
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!


No, the pick stats for round 2 and beyond aren't accurate here.

Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? What’s going on?

We don't know for sure, but it looks like the winner picks may or may include whoever they beat in the first round to advance as well.

If that's the case then it's still funny because most people thought the better of C. Toad/Shovel Knight would beat the better of Waluigi/Aerith. Same for D.Va/Aloy vs. Fox/Jill
If all else fails use fire.
davidponte 11/8/2018 5:51:10 PM#228
This is like the fourth or fifth update where the difference has been 16 votes.
The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
_SecretSquirrel posted...
LusterSoldier posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
show hidden quote(s)
Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!


No, the pick stats for round 2 and beyond aren't accurate here.

Has anyone sent Allen a feedback ticket over that yet?
Character Battle X
Current Score: 84/104 Aeris Lives
im317 11/8/2018 6:08:46 PM#230
3 votes, nice.
"L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion" Always remember.
"L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass"
DanKirby posted...
LusterSoldier posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
show hidden quote(s)
Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? What’s going on?


I believe it's both winner and loser picks since the total picks for round 2 matches adds up to 7221 (the total brackets submitted for this contest).

Picks for Dante's round 2 match would include those who picked either Dante or Cuphead to reach round 3, while picks for Lightning include both Lightning and Chloe Price reaching round 3.

I don't know if we can tell for sure if it's like that, or if it's that Dante's picks are correct and Lightning's picks include all not-Dante picks.


I believe this to be the case.
"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
DanKirby 11/8/2018 6:31:23 PM#232
Anyway, I just sent a feedback ticket about the stats page.
(>'.')>
"The problem with the future is that it keeps turning into the present." -Hobbes
Oh, is that a tie I see?
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2018 Guru Contest winner. http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=40
tied
Character Battle X
Current Score: 84/104 Aeris Lives
tied 2
GJ BK_Sheikah
DanKirby posted...
LusterSoldier posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
show hidden quote(s)
Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? What’s going on?


I believe it's both winner and loser picks since the total picks for round 2 matches adds up to 7221 (the total brackets submitted for this contest).

Picks for Dante's round 2 match would include those who picked either Dante or Cuphead to reach round 3, while picks for Lightning include both Lightning and Chloe Price reaching round 3.

I don't know if we can tell for sure if it's like that, or if it's that Dante's picks are correct and Lightning's picks include all not-Dante picks.

If that's the case, that is incredibly confusing and, quite frankly, lazy.
Character Battle X
Current Score: 84/104 Aeris Lives
(edited 11/8/2018 6:34:28 PM)report
None of these results make any sort of sense after round one.
"undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS
Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE
Lopen 11/8/2018 6:35:28 PM#238
The Owner of FF9 posted...
and, quite frankly, lazy.


Management of GameFAQs since Allen took over in a nutshell.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Lopen 11/8/2018 6:36:28 PM#239
ExThaNemesis posted...
None of these results make any sort of sense after round one.


None of these are too far off from what my expectations were. Auron is lower than expected but yeah
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
You expected Pac Man to be this close to Bayo after she blew Riku to hell?
"undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS
Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE
ExThaNemesis posted...
You expected Pac Man to be this close to Bayo after she blew Riku to hell?


no
GJ BK_Sheikah
Lopen 11/8/2018 6:38:36 PM#242
I thought Pac was going to win actually. That match always felt like Riku flopping more than anything and Pac looked impressive in his own right last round.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
snake_5036 11/8/2018 6:45:22 PM#243
Another tie
You felt your sins weighing down on your neck.
lordjers 11/8/2018 6:48:55 PM#244
These guys are fighting to the death.
Backlog: Splatterhouse 2 (GEN). Last finished: Splatterhouse: Wanpaku Graffiti (NES). Friday the 13th (C64). Splatterhouse (ARC). Friday the 13th (NES).
snake_5036 11/8/2018 6:51:27 PM#245
Simon with the HEART OF FIRE to take back the lead and keep this match in his favor 👀

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VlBVOeFME7U
You felt your sins weighing down on your neck.
Well, for anyone curious, based on a scan of the prediction rates, it does appear that all R2 winners' percentages are lower than their R1 percentages, which would seem to indicate that their opponents' number of picks are actually just everyone who did not pick the winner.

*huff huff*

If that is true, so far the character with the lowest R1 prediction rate that has advanced to R3 is Aeris: 3250/7221 (45.01%) in R1 and 2538/7221 (35.15%) in R2.

Top 5 upsets in R2 so far (based on prediction rates):

1. Red: 28.39%
2. Fox: 34.59%
3. Aeris: 35.15%
4. Donkey Kong: 38.06%
5. Phoenix Wright: 40.38%
Character Battle X
Current Score: 84/104 Aeris Lives
davidponte 11/8/2018 7:16:47 PM#247
lead change!
The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
snake_5036 11/8/2018 7:17:46 PM#248
c'mon simon, stay in it
You felt your sins weighing down on your neck.
ExThaNemesis posted...
You expected Pac Man to be this close to Bayo after she blew Riku to hell?

Yes, because Pac-Man absolutely anihilated Sans. This is a battle of the s***-tier smash characters, in which noone wins. Also after seeing Sora absolutely bomb to Red in a year where Pokemon has looked questionable, the writing is on the wall for the Kingdom Hearts series
BKSheikah, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club
lol xstats
I guess I just misjudged people's ability to care about Pac-Man.

Good news for me though if Gerry pulls this off, he could very much win next round too.
"undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS
Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE

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