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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1298
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https://i.imgtc.com/lNQc6z0.gif Curator of the Character Battle X Archive https://bit.ly/2yYUo0A (edited 11/7/2018 10:50:21 AM) |
Perfect Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Based on the last half hour, Ike takes the lead around 6:20 EST I think. Didn't check that super precisely. "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
JANUS I JUST MADE A GIF Don't do this to me Curator of the Character Battle X Archive https://bit.ly/2yYUo0A |
There are 63 updates left. Ike needs to cut 7.67 votes per update to win. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Phoenix is losing really badly in the US and Canada, so this could get rough. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
well you all wanted a turnabout "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
Janus5k posted... well you all wanted a turnabout I was pretty comfy with how things were going! Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Oh
wow, 2B ended up looking pretty good here. 54% on Ness is no joke,
especially with all the s*** tier Smash characters doing well this year. BKSheikah, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club lol xstats |
do you think 2B will hold close to where she's at now 5 years from now? 10? is her design iconic enough and her game good/respected enough to stop her from falling off a cliff? Curator of the Character Battle X Archive https://bit.ly/2yYUo0A |
Ike has gotten the lead under 400. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BvKoQaAZgf8 Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
ZenOfThunder posted... do you think 2B will hold close to where she's at now 5 years from now? 10? She'll hold onto as much of her strength much as all these other recent not-from-the-90s characters have. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. (edited 11/7/2018 11:22:22 AM) |
Phoenix pls The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history. |
ZenOfThunder posted... do you think 2B will hold close to where she's at now 5 years from now? 10? Design iconic enough? There's a solid chance. Her game good/respected enough? Probably not. It's very hard for a newer non-Nintendo game to resonate with this site long term, and Nier Automata isn't good enough to pull it off IMO. Courage is the magic that turns dreams into reality. |
No need to worry, we have already seen this contest that 500 barriers can be bent but not broken. Phoenix has it. |
Ike power hour OVER "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
+11 for Phoenix there. Might this be the first match decided by the registered user bonus? If all else fails use fire. |
This is the first match of the contest where I've gotten somebody I know who doesn't use gamefaqs to come and vote The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history. |
If registered voters decide this, it'll be in Ike's favor. Damn forged evidence. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Uh Phoenix still got this right |
So Ike will win based on t his? So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
pjbasis posted... Uh Phoenix still got this right https://media1.tenor.com/images/130280e4ea4e557e14885dc9159c120a/tenor.gif?itemid=5225470 Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
I
feel like this is too little too late from Ike to be honest. Still
though, great match. Also really impressed with 2B's performance. Now crack that combination: 27 99 23. |
Safer_777 posted... So Ike will win based on t his? Too early to tell. The thing about comebacks is that they need to keep up a very consistent pace over an extended period of time. Even just a half hour of Phoenix gaining back some ground would hurt Ike's chances significantly. He has been going well over the amount of votes needed when he makes a cut, though. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
KamikazePotato posted... There are 63 updates left. Down to 7.47 per update votes over 53 updates. If all else fails use fire. |
Nearly collapsing but holding on for dear life and living to fight again would be the most Phoenix thing ever. "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
https://i.imgtc.com/n2VOp6w.gif Curator of the Character Battle X Archive https://bit.ly/2yYUo0A |
Zen in rare form today Even rarer than usual Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
https://i.imgtc.com/JtllI47.png shots fired from allen (response for my ren/joker ticket) Curator of the Character Battle X Archive https://bit.ly/2yYUo0A |
DoctorJimmy133 posted... KamikazePotato posted...There are 63 updates left. And the last 20 minutes of stalling has already brought it back up to 7.61 votes per update. Comebacks are hard in this format. It's only going to get worse for Phoenix as more of Europe goes to sleep, though... Black Turtle did a pretty good job. (edited 11/7/2018 11:44:29 AM) |
ZenOfThunder posted... https://i.imgtc.com/JtllI47.png I guess a better Joker pic might have made the difference. Today's results show that recent Japanese characters with great designs can be midcarders. At least the picture he got wasn't as blatantly unfair as "Ren Amamiya" If all else fails use fire. |
To
try and distract myself from the current proceedings (why can't Phoenix
ever have a normal match augh), time for some numbers. Kirby (2013c) has a strength of 35.60 against Base Link. Isaac (2013c) has a strength of 23.19 against Base Link. Kirby67.43%36,385 Isaac32.57%17,575 Kirby wins with 67.43% of the vote! At a glance, today seems like a pretty good result for Kirby. Let's do a bit of a deeper dive. https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7264-division-4-round-1-terra-vs-charizard https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7315-division-4-round-2-charizard-vs-bowser With these two results, Bowser is expected to get 59.21% against Terra. https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5168-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-1-kirby-vs-terra-vs Here's a match where Kirby faced Terra. Unfortunately it was an LFF match, which doesn't make for great stats, but based on contest history Nintendo LFF is generally severe. Based on some comparisons I ran in a few other matches, I'm going to say that 75% of Peach's votes would have gone to Kirby. Doing so has Kirby beating Terra with 59.20%. So...I guess Bowser beats Kirby by like 50.01%? Black Turtle did a pretty good job. (edited 11/7/2018 11:53:05 AM) |
"If you check the Court Record, you'll find that day vote comebacks are considered illegal in this contest." https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/aceattorney/images/f/fd/DD_Phoenix_and_Document.gif/revision/latest?cb=20140827210826 Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Phoenix just bluffed and managed to delay the veredict for a fee more hours. |
when does the match end again? 7pm EST? Tribe Time! |
ZenOfThunder posted... https://i.imgtc.com/JtllI47.png What adjustments were made? The Big Problem with the Pokemon anime: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/217-pokemon/75265633 |
7pm EST, yes Curator of the Character Battle X Archive https://bit.ly/2yYUo0A |
pezzicle posted... when does the match end again? 7pm EST? Yes, I assuming I get USA timezones. |
Ike now needs 9.7 votes/update. |
ZeldaTPLink posted... Ike now needs 9.7 votes/update. Ouch. Yep, this is done. Now crack that combination: 27 99 23. |
ZenOfThunder posted... https://i.imgtc.com/JtllI47.png yet he still hasn't fixed pick percentages or personal brackets ... Character Battle X Current Score: 74/88 "..." |
Thank you for stalling, Nick. BK_Sheikah? More like BYIG_Sheikah. https://imgur.com/gw03gl7 - Number of people that D'awwed: 102 |
LOL at Ike losing. Been away from the contest for majority of Round 2. Dilated Chemist |
I originally had Red > Sora, but I let B8 sway me. Damn you, B8. Dilated Chemist |
SwiftyDC posted...
How did you know my motto when making close picks this year? Character Battle X Current Score: 74/88 "..." |
Something I just noticed about the previous day's winners. ALL of them had under 50% prediction rate! So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
HaRRicH posted... redrocket posted...The last couple times a series finally made a big release after dicking around with their fanbase for a decade, we got Duke Nukem Forever and Final Fantasy XV. *Looks at the performance Noctis put up* Yeah, I think "divisive goty winner" only happened due to recency. Now that the hype has cooled off I think FF XV has been exposed as a disaster. It's like paying for bubble wrap. -transience on Final Fantasy: All the Bravest (edited 11/7/2018 1:48:06 PM) |
Safer_777 posted... Something I just noticed about the previous day's winners. ALL of them had under 50% prediction rate! About time we started looking at least a little better than the casuals. If all else fails use fire. |
I always believed. |
Safer_777 posted... Something I just noticed about the previous day's winners. ALL of them had under 50% prediction rate! We can't tell which other R2 winners were under 50% too (which I suspect are a majority). The picks from R1 are being lumped into their totals. Character Battle X Current Score: 74/88 "..." |
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