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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1296
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Lopen posted... Hey Dante looks stronger than ever If we assume constant Lightning from 2013, what do the Xstats say for Dante/Ganon and Dante/Vivi? Shine on, you crazy diamond. |
Dante is going to choke against Ganondorf and lose, he always does this Courage is the magic that turns dreams into reality. |
KanzarisKelshen posted... Lopen posted...Hey Dante looks stronger than ever The 2013 stats for Lightning are very inaccurate because she was judged through DK, who proceeded to fold to Zelda/Zard like he always does against other Nintendo characters. Falco was also in the DK match with Lightning, which further makes getting accurate numbers difficult. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
UItimaterializer posted... DoctorJimmy133 posted...The more this contest goes on, the more it looks like Square is just stagnant while Nintendo has boosted and other properties have dropped. Well, that's a pessimistic way of looking at it. If we measure contest strength as popularity relative to others in the field, it's impossible for anyone to drop without others boosting. Yay! If all else fails use fire. |
I mean the net result is the same regardless of how you look at it |
That's not what Kanzaris wanted. Let's calibrate Dante and Ganondorf assuming constant Lightning and Chun Li with lol x-stats! Dante (Big Boss) (2013c) VS Lightning (2013c) Dante has a strength of 34.72. Lightning has a strength of 23.02. Dante wins with 66.85% of the vote! A win of 18,184 with 53,960 total votes cast. ------------ Ganondorf (Commander Shepard) (2013c) VS Chun Li (2013c) Ganondorf has a strength of 31.76. Chun Li has a strength of 24.75. Ganondorf wins with 61.04% of the vote! A win of 11,910 with 53,960 total votes cast. --------- Dante (Big Boss) (2013c) VS Ganondorf (Commander Shepard) (2013c) Dante has a strength of 34.72. Ganondorf has a strength of 31.76. Dante wins with 54.26% of the vote! A win of 4,600 with 53,960 total votes cast. Realistically though, yeah who really knows where Lightning is. I'm just saying I feel like Lightning beats Chun Li. That's just the "obvious" result to me. Maybe not in a stomp but on this site I feel like Lightning has to be stronger, if just a bit. Dante looking good to walk over Ganondorf I think. If you wanna play the choke card Vivi/DK is the one to play it against. He's never really lost matches where he's seemed heavily favored. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Uh, Lightning beating Chun Li would definitely be surprising. All the stars in the sky are waiting for you. |
Mac Arrowny posted... Uh, Lightning beating Chun Li would definitely be surprising. would it be Communists |
Spyro beating Lightning after Crash beat Cecil seems like a probable result to me. |
2010 lightning beating chun wouldn't be a surprise 2013 lightning doing so, on the other hand This is definitely interesting to think about. I think Lightning does beat Chun but it's close - which intuitively favors Dante, but he's never come through when it counted so it'd be a big, big deal if he defeated Ganondorf. Can you imagine if DK beat Vivi though? A Dante/DK final would be the craziest s***. Shine on, you crazy diamond. |
Well
Lightning's probably stronger than Cecil and Crash is probably stronger
than Spyro so no I don't think that Spyro beats Lightning at all. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I'd rank Lightning at around the same strength as Chun-Li. Not looking good for Ganondorf though... CBX - Today's Winners: Dante, Ganondorf, Vivi, Leon Kennedy Score: 54/64 |
Lopen posted... Well Lightning's probably stronger than Cecil ehhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh I know you want to think highly of Lightning but I kinda don't |
I
think Chun-Li beats Lightning but not by much. Lightning/Cecil I'd have
to think about. Cecil losing to Crash by 55% is hard to get over. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Lopen posted... Well Lightning's probably stronger than Cecil and Crash is probably stronger than Spyro so no I don't think that Spyro beats Lightning at all. aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaI don't know about that one chief Character Battle X Current Score: 54/64 You should feel ashamed of your words and deeds. |
I think Lightning blowing out garbage is more impressive than anything Cecil's done, honestly. Keep in mind when I say "Lightning beating Chun Li feels intuitive to me" I'm closer to the charmander putting them at about the same strength than saying Lightning is a lot stronger, though. Like I'm definitely not thinking there's plausibly a big enough gap between them to feel Dante isn't a pretty big favorite over Ganondorf beyond any reason other than superstition about Dante choking in any case. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Lopen posted... I think Lightning blowing out garbage is more impressive than anything Cecil's done, honestly. well yeah because she's actually won a match not even Cecil could blow it against Chloe maybe |
but
yeah I think the match is close enough that Dante/Ganondorf is
potentially in the air because Lightning doesn't even need to beat
Chun-Li for that to happen If Dante = Ganondorf, Chun-Li beats Lightning with 57.74% |
I'm
kinda having trouble seeing Cecil get 74% against anything that isn't
Draven. Like I feel like if you can get 74% against anything with a
following of any sort you're a low midcarder at worst. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
@charmander6000 After one full round of matches so far, are you going to start doing stats for highest/lowest voted matches, largest/smallest final vote leads, largest/smallest final vote percentage difference, etc? I'd also suggest doing stats for highest/lowest voted matches based on the raw vote totals (without the registered user bonus). Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ! |
well the good news is that there's room for Lightning to lose to Spyro and still have Dante beat Ganondorf |
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/949-east-division-round-1-ryo-hazuki-vs-guybrush-threepwood You can have a following and still be really, really weak. This was not the best year for my bracket. Congrats to BK_Sheikah00 for winning the BYIG Guru Contest! |
wow TRE read my mind because I was trying to remember how much Ryo got in that match |
Quick numbers: In 2013, Dante gets 65% on Spyro In 2013, Ganon gets 66% on Spyro Assuming that this match ends 60-40, Ganon gets 65% on Spyro Assuming that this match ends 59-41, Ganon gets 64% on Spyro Assuming that this match ends 58-42, Ganon gets 63% on Spyro The worse Chun-Li punishes Ganon overnight, the worse he's going to look. She's outright winning in most European countries so I don't think pushing to 42% is out of the question. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
To
be fair Ryo Hazuki didn't actually have the worst year that year. He
got 40% on Lara Croft and finished in the top half of the x-stats! I guess I give Chloe a bit more credit than Dirk the Daring or Guybrush and would say neither of those quite pass the bar of having "a following of any sort" but yeah, point taken, sorta. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
well
I think in addition to only having a small following there's probably a
decent chunk of people who've played Life is Strange who hate Chloe too like me |
Going to cross-post this from the Crew topic because I think it's worth mentioning to the people who don't check that topic: KamikazePotato posted... Side note: I arbitrarily set Vivi equal to Squall in the 2013 stats because I figured his match against Squall was very bandwagon-influenced but didn't want to set him lower when he clearly won. This results in: Fodder matches are unreliable, but I think two fodder matches in a row that line up perfectly is a trend. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. (edited 11/3/2018 7:50:07 PM) |
Leon Kennedy vs. Jill Valentine... who wins that match? I love these results. Suddenly everything is up in the air. I don't like the idea of DK/Vivi part three, though.... Vivi had better win again, though, 'cause my bracket depends on it. I sure hope Knuckles does great against Zero to ensure FFIX hasn't lost much. But still, the thought of DK winning the division is hilarious. Dante has 66% while my DK/Lightning's 2013 estimated result is a 58/42 match. Dante also is beating Sonic's score against Lightning. But more than likely Lightning has weakened (and I feel that Noctis' bombing is connected to that). I mean, Lightning is expected to get.... 57.85% on Cuphead? Oh, yeah, and that means Cuphead is expected to get...69.39% on Chloe! #CupheadIsAPowerhouse KamikazePotato posted... Fodder matches are unreliable, but I think two fodder matches in a row that line up perfectly is a trend. I sure hope it's a true trend. Remember when Chrono Trigger got two huge blowouts against fodder and people were still skeptical about its strength? And then the next round, CT got a percentage against FFX consistent with its percentage on R&C and DQ8! "Ah,
a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is
a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." (edited 11/3/2018 7:53:30 PM) |
Wait what the f*** Even as a big supporter of SMASH BOOST I never expected this result, not even close 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
DK blows past 56% and shows no signs of slowing down yet this really is the year for SC2K2 characters |
Tidus > Leon x-stat value dream lives on No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
LeonhartFour posted... DK blows past 56% and shows no signs of slowing down yet Oh, I know who should have been in the field this year. Tina f***ing Armstrong. Since GFNW is back, we should have paid tribute to a true original. Agent Triple Zero at your service! This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2018 Guru Contest winner. http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=40 |
this could've been the glorious return of Strider |
Cut! By Chun-Li. "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
TWO CUTS BY CHUN-LI DON'T CALL lT A COMEBACK No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
All right Donkey Kong vs. Ganondorf who ya got If all else fails use fire. |
I
think people are going a little DKrazy here, like this result is
shocking but there's only so strong DK can be with 57% against Tidus,
and I say that as someone with healthy respect for Tidus. I think most
of this is Leon dropping, unfortunately. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1307-north-division-round-1-tidus-vs-ganondorf I'm just sayin man. No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Ganon,
if you want to choke away this division while on post-BotW hype, Smash
fever, and every other intangible you could have, my Vivi > Ganon
Division 1 bracket really doesn't mind Agent Triple Zero at your service! This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2018 Guru Contest winner. http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=40 |
and when you thought Dragonborn couldn't look any worse |
Smash adding so much strength to characters really is the worst. |
until it helps Snake win the contest |
_SecretSquirrel posted... Ganon, if you want to choke away this division while on post-BotW hype, Smash fever, and every other intangible you could have, my Vivi > Ganon Division 1 bracket really doesn't mind ISFJ Big on Visual Novels, Anime, Video games. Twitter: superange128 Planned 2018 Fighting Game Mains: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DgH4MCHVMAAKV9l.png |
NowItsAngeTime posted... _SecretSquirrel posted...Ganon, if you want to choke away this division while on post-BotW hype, Smash fever, and every other intangible you could have, my Vivi > Ganon Division 1 bracket really doesn't mind inb4 Dante > Ganon and DK > Vivi |
handsomeboy2012 posted... NowItsAngeTime posted..._SecretSquirrel posted...show hidden quote(s)Ganon, if you want to choke away this division while on post-BotW hype, Smash fever, and every other intangible you could have, my Vivi > Ganon Division 1 bracket really doesn't mind Well, DK > Dante in the Division Finals would pretty much f*** everyone up, so I'd be no worse. Agent Triple Zero at your service! This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2018 Guru Contest winner. http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=40 |
so apparently i have Link>Vivi then, Vivi>Zero and Mega Man>Vivi. going to be interesting to see how that plays out. "L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion" Always remember. "L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass" |
I really doubt that Lightning could beat Spyro, let alone Chun-Li. She and her game are just too widely hated. |
Dang,
I wake up to find that not only Chun-Li is stalling, but even making
cuts in the wee hours of the morning? You go Chun! ^^ At CEOtaku2018: BBTag, GGXrd Rev2, & Under Night In-Birth |
im317 posted... so apparently i have Link>Vivi then, Vivi>Zero and Mega Man>Vivi. going to be interesting to see how that plays out. I have this exact setup as well. I'm still confident in Vivi winning the division, not so sure that some of my other division winners will get there though. Congratulations to BKSheikah, the Guru champion for the 2017 Best Year in Gaming contest. |
So I woke up. I was here yesterday at the start of the matches. Ganon fell even further! And DK is winning by even more! So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
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