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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294
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honestly Isabelle will probably finish bottom ten in the X-Stats |
LeonhartFour posted... CasanovaZelos posted...Why do we think this Mewtwo performance is bad? Mewtwo and GlaDOS were next to each other on the 2013 x-stats. I'm sure GlaDOS has fallen a bit, but I think Mewtwo going 62-38 here is actually impressive. GlaDOS isn't Gordon; she actually has a memorable character. Kratos? "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
LeonhartFour posted... honestly Isabelle will probably finish bottom ten in the X-Stats Yeah but The other characters in the bottom 10 all escaped a quadrupling. Because none of them were facing something as strong as MMX. |
LinkMarioSamus posted... Didn't Ocelot lose to Pac-Man when given MGS1 art? It was melty MGS2 art, actually. |
LinkMarioSamus posted... Kratos? and who did Kratos face in round 1 ZeldaTPLink posted... Yeah but I'd wager about half of the characters could break 80% on Cayde-6. Yes, you have to be strong to hit 80% unless you're facing something truly awful, but this isn't just "Mega Man X must be Noble Nine level if he broke 80%" |
Oh okay. IIRC the one time Ocelot was given his MGS1 art was in Round 1 of 2007, and he did advance. "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
I was just saying that Kratos should be stronger now compared to in 2013. "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
Seeing X Blue Bombering chumps like it's 2002 (almost) is really warming my heart. I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience |
well we're still a long way from 90%+ but it's nice to see someone finally hit 80% |
Insane future round prediction: Tifa has actually severely fallen, but we're not noticing because she's actually subtly SFF'ing Geno, being that they are both party members form Square JRPGs released only a year apart. Board 8's Top 250 Games 2016 Edition: https://casanovazelos.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/b8top250/ |
CasanovaZelos posted... Insane future round prediction: I mean this isn't the first Square character Geno has faced and this is pretty much always what he does |
CasanovaZelos posted... Insane future round prediction: This was I honestly thought when I saw her at 70%~ which isn't bad per se... but I think she should be at least 75-80% based on how they've both looked in the past But I think many people just want Tifa to look strong to beat Mewtwo (and possibly X) but I still dont think shes not making it past Mewtwo and definitley not past X with how this contest has been going ISFJ Big on Visual Novels, Anime, Video games. Twitter: superange128 Planned 2018 Fighting Game Mains: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DgH4MCHVMAAKV9l.png (edited 11/1/2018 11:43:06 AM) |
I mean Tifa is only doing about 1% worse than Squall did in 2005 high 70s or even 80% was not a realistic expectation |
LeonhartFour posted... well we're still a long way from 90% Link vs Ganondorf maybe? |
ZeldaTPLink posted... LeonhartFour posted...well we're still a long way from 90% Nah, if Link couldn't get 90% in 2004, he's not getting it now. He doesn't SFF as hard now as he used to because he gets anti-voted. |
ZeldaTPLink posted... LeonhartFour posted...well we're still a long way from 90% Enough people will anti-vote Link to prevent that I'd say ISFJ Big on Visual Novels, Anime, Video games. Twitter: superange128 Planned 2018 Fighting Game Mains: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DgH4MCHVMAAKV9l.png |
oh right I always forget that it's pointless to respond to anything Ange says but it still pleases me that it causes him to frequently post completely redundant information |
Still the best 4-pack of the entire bracket. Dilated Chemist |
It's wild that D3 has such an advantage in the US and is still losing. 5 hours to go, Ocelot! Hold the line! "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE |
ExThaNemesis posted... It's wild that D3 has such an advantage in the US and is still losing. well it's because Ocelot is winning just about everywhere outside of North America |
Can the 300-vote barrier hold this time? Used to be TheOneAboveAll. Forgot my password and had no way to recover it. |
LeonhartFour posted... ExThaNemesis posted...It's wild that D3 has such an advantage in the US and is still losing. I've always known it but it's still shocking to me how much of a cult Nintendo is in the US Not to be confused with XIII_Stones. |
Ocelot's lead is slightly under 300 votes at the moment. Does anyone know at what time we can expect an after school impact? Best wishes. |
Rexxar500 posted... Ocelot's lead is slightly under 300 votes at the moment. Does anyone know at what time we can expect an after school impact? Never. After School Vote is a thing of early contests, nowadays most people who come to this site are over 20. If you see anyone talking about ASV here, it's a meme. (edited 11/1/2018 12:54:32 PM) |
Surprised that Ocelot’s holding up so far Congrats to BKSheikah for winning the BYIG Guru Challenge! |
Smash got deboosted because of the direct. Ocelots got this. |
but ocelot himself was in the direct! [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] [NO BKSheikah NO PEACE] |
XIII_rocks posted... I've always known it but it's still shocking to me how much of a cult Nintendo is in the US Nintendo actually usually does noticeably better in Canada than in the U.S. Old Square stuff like FFVI and CT do, too, so it might just be a SNES thing. |
What's the largest lead been in this match so far, anyway? (>'.')> "The problem with the future is that it keeps turning into the present." -Hobbes |
DanKirby posted... What's the largest lead been in this match so far, anyway? 308 for Ocelot 206 for Dedede |
Match LVII: (1) Sephiroth vs. (16) Albert Wesker Previous Contest Performance Sephiroth - 2013 Round 1: 57.37% against Midna (24.55%) and Little Mac (18.08%) Round 2: 52.04% against Morrigan Aensland (26.30%) and Spyro the Dragon (21.66%) Round 3: 37.93% against Kirby (33.65%) and Big Boss (28.42%) Round 4: 23.06% against Draven (45.07%) and Mewtwo (31.88%) Albert Wesker - 2013 Round 1: 28.06% against Leon Kennedy (51.21%) and Oliver (20.73%) Analysis Sephiroth was the odd character out and was relegated to the main bracket. Based on his 2013 performance he does have a good chance at being the weakest noble nine character. Regardless, he is still the huge favourite at winning this division with only Ryu likely to pose any threat and while the board vote will make him look weak, he’ll have the rest of the match to increase his percentage. Wesker was rather unfortunate to be placed against Leon in the last contest, but he surprisingly held up quite well. Sadly, he won’t have much of a chance here, but he can provide us with decent information as to how strong Sephiroth will be in this contest. charmander6000’s Bracket: Sephiroth > Albert Wesker charmander6000’s Prediction: Sephiroth wins, 72.47% - 27.53% Match LVIII: (8) Richter Belmont vs. (9) Captain Falcon Previous Contest Performance Richter Belmont - N/A N/A Captain Falcon - 2013 Round 1: 35.95% against Alucard (36.32%) and Rydia (27.73%) Analysis Thanks to Super Smash Bros. Ultimate, Richter was able to make the bracket. It’s quite unlikely that he’ll be as strong as Simon, but given how well Smash characters have been performing perhaps he has some strength. Too bad his opponent is Smash fan favourite Captain Falcon. In 2013 Captain Falcon barely lost to Alucard so I doubt he would have an issue with a lesser character from the series. I also doubt that he’ll get much of a Nintendo boost from this match so we’ll pretty much get to see him at pre-Smash boost. charmander6000’s Bracket: Captain Falcon > Richter Belmont charmander6000’s Prediction: Captain Falcon wins, 66.26% - 33.74% CBX - Today's Winners: Tifa, Mewtwo, Revolver Ocelot, Mega Man X Score: 42/52 |
Match LIX: (5) Amaterasu vs. (12) Draven Previous Contest Performance Amaterasu - 2013 Round 1: 66.79% against Vyse (20.59%) and Adol Christin (12.62%) Round 2: 24.81% against Squall Leonhart (39.38%) and Missingno (35.81%) Draven - 2013 Round 1: 40.47% against Jak (33.20%) and Chie Satonaka (26.34%) Round 2: 66.52% against Mega Man X (19.15%) and Ryu (14.32%) Round 3: 44.65% against Link (44.02%) and Commander Shepard (11.34%) Round 4: 45.07% against Mewtwo (31.88%) and Sephiroth (23.06%) Round 5: 49.13% against Solid Snake (32.81%) and Samus Aran (18.06%) Analysis The champion returns. Draven was heavily rallied in 2013 to win the contest. Since then, League of Legends has relatively dropped in popularity and the reddit page has banned rallies, though I imagine some people will try regardless so it’ll be up to the mod crew to enforce their own rules. Considering what Jak was doing to him before the rally Draven does have a chance at being the weakest character in the bracket, but I imagine his run in 2013 will at least make him recognizable to some people. Which may be helpful in this match. Amaterasu’s strength has always perplexed me in these contests. While other characters from new IPs have been flopping, I feel Amaterasu will be an exception. Okami still performed well during the games contest. Regardless, unless a rally occurs she should have no issue winning this match. Though next round may be tough should she lose significant strength. charmander6000’s Bracket: Amaterasu > Draven charmander6000’s Prediction: Amateraus wins, 73.51% - 26.49% Match LX: (4) Lara Croft vs. (13) Metal Man Previous Contest Performance Lara Croft - 2013 Round 1: 57.55% against Slime (32.46%) and Yuri Hyuga (10.00%) Round 2: 28.82% against Kefka (41.93%) and Altair (29.26%) Metal Man - N/A N/A Analysis How strong will a random boss in Mega Man be? Not very, I imagine. Together the series can make Mega Man into a noble nine character, but separately the games have been shown to be quite weak. Metal Man is a great example of the difference of strength a character can have if the game/series they are from was listed. If a significant portion of voters can recognize that he’s a Mega Man boss there is a chance that he may not be terrible fodder. Lara Croft has had a bit of a revival since we last saw her, though I don’t feel that will translate in much of a boost. Still, she should have no issue in winning this match. Given that Kefka has shown to retain his strength, if the same was to apply for Lara we may have an interesting match next round. Too bad we won’t get much information from this match. charmander6000’s Bracket: Lara Croft > Metal Man charmander6000’s Prediction: Lara Croft wins, 69.31% - 30.69% CBX - Today's Winners: Tifa, Mewtwo, Revolver Ocelot, Mega Man X Score: 42/52 |
Master Hand boost with the new Smash trailer? Dilated Chemist |
AxemRedRanger posted... but ocelot himself was in the direct! And it was MGS3 Ocelot, too! Even Nintendo recognizes what the best Ocelot is! also those Hands have a One-Winged Angel vibe to them Sephiroth for Smash?! |
LeonhartFour posted... XIII_rocks posted...I've always known it but it's still shocking to me how much of a cult Nintendo is in the US N64 was big here in Canada too, relative to elsewhere, I think. All the stars in the sky are waiting for you. |
damn
it charmander how am i supposed to pass you when we keep having the
same picks? im 1 point back and its been like this for at least 3
matches now. i suspect i will fall off the table during the second round
so im probably going to have my highest percentile after the current
match or the next. "L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion" Always remember. "L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass" |
I mean what else are you likely going to pick in tomorrow's matches? |
its not just tomorrow, its today and the day before and i think the day before that. "L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion" Always remember. "L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass" |
What if Draven DOES get a rally Are we mentally and emotionally prepared for this 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
So Dedede can win? Or not? So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? |
Nanis23 posted... What if Draven DOES get a rally No one can prepare their butts for that. |
I don't think I'll give a damn. We've been through that twice already. (edited 11/1/2018 2:28:23 PM) |
Safer_777 posted... So Dedede can win? Or not? I mean he can. He just needs to cut 9.51 votes per update to win, but he hasn't shown any indication of being able to cut consistently. But we might break the record for closest wire to wire 24-hour match again just a few days after Garrus/Ramza broke it. (edited 11/1/2018 2:44:33 PM) |
BTW congrats for MMX to be the first one to finish above 80% this contest (it's not over yet, but come on) 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 (edited 11/1/2018 2:42:57 PM) |
All the complaining about Dedede winning... and he doesn't. Way to go, guys. n2k |
of course after I say that Dedede's got the lead down to the lowest it's been in over 3.5 hours so maybe it's not over yet |
Too bad Ken missed the bracket. He could have been a decent midcarder. Here lies the sig of BK_Sheikah00, who swore fealty to the Gurus of Board 8. |
well Ken could've been eliminated by now even if he had gotten in |
I still believe that direct did absolutely nothing to this match. Now cmon Ocelot Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone. |
Good pushback by Ocelot. With exactly 2 hours to go, Dedede needs to cut 10.04 votes per update to win. |
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