GameFAQs Contests

charmander6000 posted...

TsunamiXXVIII posted...

Been updating the "histories" for some of our returners, especially the one-and-dones but also some that are still alive.

And holy crap, I guess I didn't really pay attention to the numbers on Lightning-Chloe! Even if that's not even a tripling, that could easily set Chloe up for a potential last-place finish in the X-Stats; Lightning's still very much hated and could easily get blown out by Dante, and then Dante's probably the underdog against Ganondorf...and then there might not be any "maybe" to it because Ganondorf gets SFF'd out by Link and the entirety of Division 1 looks horribly weak in the raw X-stats.

How is this Loser's Bracket going to affect those, anyway? Do we just ignore the loser's bracket? Or maybe we ignore the winner's bracket and just have the elimination matches?

I suggest we ignore the loser's bracket for the raw x-stats and use it in the adjusted x-stats.

Yeah, the loser's bracket is much more likely to cause over-performances, especially in the case of any rematches.

My bracket has bigger losses than GLaDOS > Mewtwo, but I sure would like to get this one right instead of adding it to the list.

2018's trends this contest suggest it won't happen at this point, but, you know...we live in hope.

charmander6000 posted...

So far the gurus are 39-9 against the site. Our loses were from Master Hand (-1.48%), Pac-Man (-5.58%), Wario (-12.45%), Claire (-13.26%), Bayonetta (-19.91%), Knuckles (-24.05%), Simon (-31.85%), Crash (-33.89%) and Donkey Kong (-34.68%). Funny enough both Wario and Bayonetta were guru favourites, but the site overwhelming sided with them.

Our 5 best performances against the site are Vincent (+35.57%), Big Boss (+34.37%), Captain Toad (+33.43%), Chun-Li (+33.18%) and Phoenix Wright (+33.13%). 10 picks had us beating the site by more than 30 points.

Our average prediction percentage is 81.72% while the site is 68.04%. If we remove matches where both the site and gurus predicted with over 80% accuracy this drops to 74.71% for the gurus and 60.79% for the site. This basically means we don't have any more of an advantage predicting head scratchers relative to us predicting predictable matches

I love these kind of stats.

Mewtwo with 90% He's winning the contest!

mmx bringin' it in the first 40 seconds

Mewtwo looking legitimate

first minute overreaction: thank god i took X to win this division

Jesus Christ, Ocelot.

dedede is winning lol

Ocelot's in big trouble early.

We won't know if Mewtwo is a fraud yet, but Ocelot is surely one.

If glados can keep mewtwo under 65 I think that's a real victory

mewtwo under 60 after 2 minutes?

Mewtwo is a fraud.

ocelot's losing because of the mgsv photo

give him MGS3 and he wins

Meanwhile, Tifa better hope she rises to this if she wants to avoid FF decline.

Tifa > MMX is not looking so good

LOL X STATS

“Ocelot has a 100% chance to beat King Dedede” my f***ing ass.

Lord I wish I looked at that Ocelot picture before putting in my oracle prediction

Tifa pulling away while Mewtwo isn't, that's good

This could be another close one for Ocelot.

What is with that man and close matches?

I mean Geno being not turbofodder makes a lot of sense after SMRPG proved to be like a top 15 game

paulg235 posted...

This could be another close one for Ocelot.

What is with that man and close matches?

Close matches he should be winning fairly easily no less.

The true question is, how much would you expect Glados to score against Geno.

ShatteredElysium posted...

Lord I wish I looked at that Ocelot picture before putting in my oracle prediction

MGS3 would not have mattered.

Is Ocelot for real?

Next few updates will be important. If Tifa can do a Rise to Heaven, that would be just swell

UItimaterializer posted...

ShatteredElysium posted...

Lord I wish I looked at that Ocelot picture before putting in my oracle prediction

MGS3 would not have mattered.

true, i was joking

Ocelot pls ;_;

That's my boy Triple D showin Ocelot what's up.

Ouch. Tails was a big round 1 bracket buster for both Gurus and site.

I will laugh if Ocelot makes a night comeback only for the Smash Direct-infused Day Vote to bury him

KamikazePotato posted...

I will laugh if Ocelot makes a night comeback only for the Smash Direct-infused Day Vote to bury him

plot twist the direct announces ocelot

I think Tifa will eventually gain few % points, Geno probably isn't too weak. Still...I think Mewtwo beats her. Ocelot though....seriously...here goes any chance Quite had against Aqua.

9 people fell off the Top 50. VeryInsane, aphorism, Underleveled, Fr0zoN, Ngamer64, MetalmindStats, Dva69, StartTheMachine and DarkFalconX did not have Luigi, Frog, Master Chief and Tails winning.

30 people got one match wrong and mostly didn't move down very much. Former first splace SamusOverCloud, former second place Zylothewolf, BradyFumbled, Captain_Sorzo, tennisboy213, Wreath, art_of_the_kill, paulg235, Vegink, darthsidius, Bolto4, FlyingForever, Polycosm, foxhead84, iGenesis, TheRock1525, hylianknight3, Claude_Rena, Rthan, Oxbridge, PSI_NESS, scott182000, bejma, Xcarvenger, MrXGamer, Exaspenite, Ulti69, CaptainOfCrush, NeoElfboy and OFool also did not have Luigi, Frog, Master Chief and Tails winning.

SMRPG wasn't released in Europe right?

Yeah I don't think Aqua has to be too much weaker than Riku and still win that.

Quiet ain't Nintendo!

MMX somehow increased his percentage.
Just how weak is Isabelle ?
A doubling by Monokuma ?

KamikazePotato posted...

SMRPG wasn't released in Europe right?

Not originally, no.

And you have to have a Wii U or SNES Classic to play it legally.

KamikazePotato posted...

SMRPG wasn't released in Europe right?

Yeah, it wasn't. Although it was later released on the Virtual Console for both Wii and Wii U, it hasn't seemed to improve the game's strength in Europe.

Animal Crossing is a very not gamefaqs kinda franchise.

Oh my god, poor Isabelle. She's too pure for this world.

xp1337 posted...

KamikazePotato posted...

I will laugh if Ocelot makes a night comeback only for the Smash Direct-infused Day Vote to bury him

plot twist the direct announces ocelot

Further plot twist: Ocrlot still loses.

And good game GLaDOS. Bah!

pjbasis posted...

Yeah I don't think Aqua has to be too much weaker than Riku and still win that.

Quiet ain't Nintendo!

If anything else, Aqua is a more visually appealing design than Quiet is. Aqua/Quiet reminds me a lot of the Aloy/D.Va match where D.Va had a more visually appealing design.

pjbasis posted...

Animal Crossing is a very not gamefaqs kinda franchise.

True, and it would probably be a lot weaker here if this was a non-Nintendo series.

pjbasis posted...

Animal Crossing is a very not gamefaqs kinda franchise.

Yeah, Mega Man X is also a horrible opponent for her too. Even Nintendo/Smash fans won't go for her.

Also really Ocelot? You're worse than Kefka...

So, Mewtwo is looking great today. Will not argue against that. Before we jump to conclusions, however, I would like to remind people of this match:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7265-division-4-round-1-bowser-vs-gordon

Ooh, on the leaderboard now!

go Mewtwo!

davidponte posted...

Tifa > MMX is not looking so good

yup.

f*** me.

KamikazePotato posted...

So, Mewtwo is looking great today. Will not argue against that. Before we jump to conclusions, however, I would like to remind people of this match:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7265-division-4-round-1-bowser-vs-gordon

I think GLaDOS has more staying power than Gordon, and won't get the same tarnish from not having the third game of the series come out.

But yeah, Bowser > Mewtwo is a lock. Tifa, on the other hand, this is looking to be a showdown.

Not gonna lie after how Nintendo and MGS looked the first half of Division 1, I was afraid of Dedede > Ocelot and said so on the Show

Kinda crazy how it might actually happen