Janus5k 10/29/2018 6:11:09 PM#451
You'll never see it COMIIIIIIIIIIIIIIN
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Averia 10/29/2018 6:11:21 PM#452
Lead chance for Joker and FRAUD sinking
ExThaNemesis posted...
Things look okay for Claire, just based off what Europe says for her, but we'll see.

Who the f*** KNOWS with Vincent/Magus

Magus winning would be too good.
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n
pjbasis posted...
Uh Claire is favored in the day?


Resident Evil historically has a pretty garbage day vote, so I wouldn't be too sure.
MZero11 10/29/2018 6:14:39 PM#455
Lopen posted...
Joker's probably being carried by Japan right now (I think we get vaguely respectable vote totals from Japan?) it's kind of a stomp there. RE has always done well in Europe historically as well. Those two combined (Europe waking up and Japan going to sleep) will probably make this one not very close in the long run, but it's fun to watch now.


It's 10am in Japan >_>
MZero, to the extreme
"2017 Guru champ BKSheikah is racist against cute Pokemon." - Luster
Just imagine if Vincent had his suit. Magus would be winning by even more! Or maybe the suit was the only thing keeping Vincent from hitting rock bottom?
Courage is the magic that turns dreams into reality.
Division 6, Round 1

Geralt vs. Rosalina
Registered Vote Result:
Geralt - 5375 (55.26%)
Rosalina - 4351 (44.74%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Geralt - 6029 (57.44%)
Rosalina - 4468 (42.56%)

Ryu Hayabusa vs. Simon Belmont
Registered Vote Result:
Ryu Hayabusa - 4709 (48.41%)
Simon Belmont - 5018 (51.59%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Ryu Hayabusa - 5325 (50.72%)
Simon Belmont - 5174 (49.28%)

Sans vs. Pac-Man
Registered Vote Result:
Sans - 2853 (29.33%)
Pac-Man - 6873 (70.67%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Sans - 2865 (27.29%)
Pac-Man - 7634 (72.71%)

Bayonetta vs. Riku
Registered Vote Result:
Bayonetta - 6310 (64.86%)
Riku - 3418 (35.14%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Bayonetta - 6669 (63.53%)
Riku - 3829 (36.47%)

Hayabusa/Simon is another match where registered and anonymous users don't pick the same winner. Even without double voting, Simon still wins by 158 votes.

Sans actually does about 2% better among registered users. It would make sense that Sans is stronger among registered users since they're more familar with Undertale and the contest run it pulled off in 2015.

Extra info - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Lopen 10/29/2018 6:15:35 PM#458
MZero11 posted...
It's 10am in Japan >_>


Yeah I know what time it is in Japan

People are awake at 10am, generally!
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Xeybozn 10/29/2018 6:15:48 PM#459
Lopen posted...
(I think we get vaguely respectable vote totals from Japan?)

Really? I thought Japan had fairly bad votals here unless it's only compared to other non-Western countries.
Congrats to 2017 Guru champ BKSheikah!
pjbasis 10/29/2018 6:16:09 PM#460
ZeldaTPLink 10/29/2018 6:16:09 PM#461
Lead change for Claire, and Vincent cut!
Haste_2 10/29/2018 6:17:06 PM#462
I'm feeling fairly confident in Vincent and Joker winning their respective matches, but time will tell....

Funny thing about today: Auron is on track to get yet ANOTHER 64%-65% victory here. He already did so against Tails, Scorpion, Ness, and Alucard....
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
(edited 10/29/2018 6:18:00 PM)report
Panthera 10/29/2018 6:17:08 PM#463
I'm pretty sure Claire's 3 vote lead right now is the closest margin I've ever personally seen as it was actually happening
Meow!
Yeah, we may not be big on new characters, but we're still RPGFAQs.

And SMT is actually a very long-running franchise! Granted, it has about as much between-games continuity as Final Fantasy, maybe even less because Square's been trying to turn each numbered Final Fantasy into its own franchise, so expecting Joker to be at least decent simply because of that would be like expecting Noctis to, you know, not lose to a glove.

But yeah, even lesser RPG series can apparently compete with RE now.
"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
Lopen 10/29/2018 6:17:24 PM#465
Xeybozn posted...
Really? I thought Japan had fairly bad votals here unless it's only compared to other non-Western countries.


I mean it probably does have fairly bad votals but dude's literally winning with 90% there. Even if there are only like 100 votes from Japan right now that's an 80 vote differential.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
MZero11 10/29/2018 6:18:23 PM#466
Lopen posted...
MZero11 posted...
It's 10am in Japan >_>


Yeah I know what time it is in Japan

People are awake at 10am, generally!


Well yeah but everyone's at work probably not voting in a GameFAQs poll
MZero, to the extreme
"2017 Guru champ BKSheikah is racist against cute Pokemon." - Luster
Xeybozn posted...
Really? I thought Japan had fairly bad votals here unless it's only compared to other non-Western countries.


Japan actually has fairly bad vote totals. Native Japanese people aren't the type to visit a site like GameFAQs, owing to their generally limited knowledge of English. Almost all the votes we get from Japan are from foreigners currently living in Japan.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Lopen 10/29/2018 6:19:34 PM#468
Well I'm not saying Japan is exactly flooding the ballot or anything

Just that when it becomes 10pm in Japan and 1pm in Europe this is probably a different tale than it is right now.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
ZeldaTPLink 10/29/2018 6:20:08 PM#469
New factor: Japan Factor?
The Phillipines gets more votes than Japan, but it looks like Joker has 100% of the votes there so far, so same thing.
Yesmar
Okay, time to take a break for trend charts:

Time | Geralt | Rosalina | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 49.16% | 50.84% | 592 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 53.48% | 46.52% | 3882 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 52.79% | 47.21% | 9512 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 59.06% | 40.94% | 3732 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 58.40% | 41.60% | 6351 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 58.24% | 41.76% | 6472 | (16:00-24:00)

Surprise, surprise! It's another heavily frontloaded Nintendo character!

Time | Hayabusa | Simon | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 43.82% | 56.18% | 591 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 47.77% | 52.23% | 3885 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 46.87% | 53.13% | 9511 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 52.49% | 47.51% | 3734 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 50.12% | 49.88% | 6351 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 50.77% | 49.23% | 6472 | (16:00-24:00)

This match basically went 50/50 the whole way after the first three hours.

Time | Sans | Pac-Man | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 27.53% | 72.47% | 592 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 29.30% | 70.70% | 3887 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 29.75% | 70.25% | 9512 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 28.63% | 71.37% | 3731 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 27.02% | 72.98% | 6351 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 28.10% | 71.90% | 6470 | (16:00-24:00)

Man, who would've guessed that the best time for Sans would be the early part of the match after how things started?

Time | Bayonetta | Riku | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 59.29% | 40.71% | 592 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 62.85% | 37.15% | 3887 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 64.94% | 35.06% | 9515 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 64.86% | 35.14% | 3728 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 65.15% | 34.85% | 6353 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 63.51% | 36.49% | 6471 | (16:00-24:00)

Oh hey, Riku at least has a semblance of a day vote...!
Xeybozn 10/29/2018 6:21:46 PM#472
Lopen posted...
Xeybozn posted...
Really? I thought Japan had fairly bad votals here unless it's only compared to other non-Western countries.


I mean it probably does have fairly bad votals but dude's literally winning with 90% there. Even if there are only like 100 votes from Japan right now that's an 80 vote differential.

If Japan has cast 100 votes so far, that'd be around 2% of the overall vote. I really doubt Japan makes up that much of the vote even with this being a bad time for Europe.
Congrats to 2017 Guru champ BKSheikah!
ZeldaTPLink 10/29/2018 6:21:55 PM#473
Asia Factor then.

Weaboo characters trend stronger in the night.
I cannot wait to get home and start blasting Magus’s theme in the house.

Also, if Claire could put away this Joker clown, I might be able to sniff the leaderboard soon even with missing the Magus match.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2018 Guru Contest winner. http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=40
oh you guys let Tsunami make a Stats Topic huh

that's unfortunate
also Auron is really starting to take off now

Power Hour over indeed
pjbasis 10/29/2018 6:26:15 PM#477
MZero11 10/29/2018 6:26:26 PM#478
Claire is pulling away

Need Joker to be announced for Smash to turn this around!
MZero, to the extreme
"2017 Guru champ BKSheikah is racist against cute Pokemon." - Luster
Lopen 10/29/2018 6:26:32 PM#479
I bet Japan + Phillipines being 2% of the vote probably isn't too far off the mark though. May even be an undershoot.
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
HeroicSpiderPig posted...
The Phillipines gets more votes than Japan, but it looks like Joker has 100% of the votes there so far, so same thing.


Not surprising; they speak English there. Not exclusively, but they do.

Same for Singapore.
"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
Another Vincent cut; another Claire extension.

I'm starting to doubt Joker will be able to keep it in reach.
"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
pjbasis 10/29/2018 6:32:28 PM#483
pjbasis posted...
What's CT vs. FFVII trends historically?


CT does really well early and fades late

except when it cheats like in 2008

of course the new start time changes things a bit
pyresword 10/29/2018 6:34:35 PM#485
pjbasis posted...
Claire and Magus got some nice lead extensions too

Top 10 things I never thought I'd read in a contest thread
Congratulations to BK_Sheikah00, this year's guru to achieve contest enlightenment!
Vincent/Magus tied!
Congrats to BKSheikah for winning the BYIG Guru Challenge!
LITERAL TIE!

Also Joker gets a cut.
"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
(edited 10/29/2018 6:36:41 PM)report
garetha200 10/29/2018 6:35:46 PM#489
tie + joker cut wowee what a time to be alive
pjbasis 10/29/2018 6:36:02 PM#490
Janus5k 10/29/2018 6:36:05 PM#491
and there goes the other half

good Joker cut too
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Ranticoot 10/29/2018 6:36:46 PM#492
holy s*** a tie
Born to lose, live to win!
Hbthebattle 10/29/2018 6:38:32 PM#493
Looks like I’m going to need to set up a Lucina rally after all :)
Still hoping.
Lopen posted...
I bet Japan + Phillipines being 2% of the vote probably isn't too far off the mark though. May even be an undershoot.


The Philippines, Indonesia, and Malaysia are the 3 countries in Asia you want to keep an eye on when it comes to the Asia vote. I bet those 3 countries would make up at least 75% of Asia's total votes.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Tie breaks for Magus!
"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
LeonhartFour posted...
augh double bad update


I dunno, I kind of like Magus reestablishing the lead!

And I actually did vote for Claire even though I'm rooting against her now.
"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
;)
I am Nick. Go Sens, Bills, Blue Jays!
UotY 2015, You should listen to The Show w/ Ngamer and Yoblazer
Play Meteos.
Now crack that combination:
27 99 23.

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