GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1291
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davidponte posted... This better be just an excellent board vote for Waluigi The board vote massively favored Aerith, she was over 70% at one point. https://imgur.com/M1heX2g RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
If Waluigi can't get ahead now he's not winning without good rallies. Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone. |
https://i.imgur.com/ZoBo1Mb.png boy's closer than I thought he'd be I owe it to y'all, DpOblivion and BKShiekah. Congrats on your brackets! |
ZeldaTPLink posted... Aerith winning the first hour. There will always be ff anti vote And its damn well deserved yep, don't mind, I've already won one and I'm rich, it's not like I need 1k for video games - UltimaterializerX |
D.Va
winning round 1 on natural strength alone (if this result holds) would
be a good thing as it avoids a rally from starting up in round 1 and
tainting the other 3 matches running at the same time. While also
forcing D.Va to try and establish some kind of rally momentum in round 2
against a much stronger opponent. Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ! |
Poor Shovel Knight :( Congrats to BKSheikah for winning the BYIG Guru Challenge! |
LusterSoldier posted... D.Va winning round 1 on natural strength alone (if this result holds) would be a good thing as it avoids a rally from starting up in round 1 and tainting the other 3 matches running at the same time. While also forcing D.Va to try and establish some kind of rally momentum in round 2 against a much stronger opponent. Thanks for the... absolutely useless insight luster yep, don't mind, I've already won one and I'm rich, it's not like I need 1k for video games - UltimaterializerX |
Yeah, I would expect Waluigi to do much better with the board vote than the rest of the match. |
i don't think i've ever been more disappointed in this site than i have watching a f***ing toad with a hat win Born to lose, live to win! |
Luster said exactly what I was going to say there, yeah. D.Va winning on natural strength here might be a good thing. The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history. |
I'm kinda liking Jills chances here. She stalled Fox for only 9 vote gain in the last 3 minutes. The Albion Hero Playing: Red Dead Redemption 2 (PS4), Da Capo III (PC) |
Looks like my bracket needs a serious Waluigi rally. XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak PSN ID - Kudaark Steam Name : skaalfa |
The_Ctes posted... If Waluigi can't get ahead now he's not winning without good rallies. Well that was always the expectation. I don't think any of us thought Waluigi had enough legit strength to beat Aerith, but a combination of him having some natural strength just for being a Mario character and Square supposedly being weaker (which doesn't quite look true?) meant it wouldn't take much for Waluigi to pull the upset. And that was always going to be a 3-point match, so if Waluigi beat Aerith, he'd make it to Round 3, which is usually the make-or-break round for rally targets (due to the bizarre format of CBIX, Draven's R2 is the proper comparison.) L-Block got a lucky draw that allowed him to reach R3, and then the novelty allowed him to start causing havoc. Undertale managed to luck out, too, avoiding any Squintendo until Round 3. (Actually, forget just Squintendo; Undertale didn't even have to face anything Japanese until round 3. Not to take anything away from Fallout 3 since it did make the GotD semis, but I do feel that if Undertale had run into any of its later opponents in R2, it would've been in trouble). Missingno may have knocked off a Noble Niner in R1, but Crono has always been Sephiroth's inferior. I feel like if Missingno had gotten past Seph, nothing would've stopped it. And so on. If you look at it harder, the "Round 3 factor" is even true when we didn't know that it was going to be an issue. For example, take a look back at the Guru stats and see where the eventual champion first became an underdog. Round 3. From a certain point of view, it wouldn't be an underdog again until the semis. See, in later rounds, you have to look at more than just raw percentage because a lot of those that don't have a given entrant had them losing earlier than that. Majora's Mask had a very high retention rate in Round 4, and it was above 50% in Round 5 as well. (Retention rate being picks to win over picks to win the previous round, rather than out of total brackets. I'll again go back to 2015 when the Gurus were divided enough on RBYG vs. SM64 in the Quarterfinals that Final Fantasy VII was considered the cookie cutter pick for that semifinal even though "not RBYG or SM64" had only one bracket more than "RBYG or SM64" (and yes, some of those other options were from that QF rather than FFVII's) and there were literally more brackets picking FFVII as the loser of that match than as the winner (it was something like 35% winner, 42% loser, 13% eliminated in a previous round)). "Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!" BKSheikah has the power. He is the one. (edited 10/27/2018 5:33:06 PM) |
Allen ruined it all I am Nick. Go Sens, Bills, Blue Jays! UotY 2015, You should listen to The Show w/ Ngamer and Yoblazer |
So Garrus vs. Ramza was one for the records, right? Character Battle X Current Score: 32/36 "Let me now revive his honor. Let his way of life be absorbed by the next generation." |
Big jumps for D.Va, Shovel Knight, and Aerith on that update. Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ! |
Woah Shovel Knight cut Congrats to BKSheikah for winning the BYIG Guru Challenge! |
Poor Waluigi. He got the match pic advantage of a lifetime and still can't compete. Now crack that combination: 27 99 23. |
Stop it Shovel Knight Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone. |
Wow, Shovel Knight is going to win. :> Truly smilin' |
Captain Toad is screwed lol Now crack that combination: 27 99 23. |
Toad is dying |
After seeing D.va and Fox, who is the favorite there next round? The Albion Hero Playing: Red Dead Redemption 2 (PS4), Da Capo III (PC) |
Shovel Knight is digging Toad's grave Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
FSABot posted... After seeing D.va and Fox, who is the favorite there next round? If no rally comes, Fox wins no question Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone. |
FSABot posted... After seeing D.va and Fox, who is the favorite there next round? Fox unless Dva gets a rally, as always. Aloy is probably bottom 10 in terms of strength. |
At this rate, Shovel will have buried Toad next update (edited 10/27/2018 5:20:57 PM) |
Let's go Shovel Knight! You can overcome the dreaded Mushroom Knight! My Quest to beat the Final Fantasies: I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XII XIII XV |
Of course he’s called “Toad” without the “Captain” in front of it smh Not sure if this favors him or not though If all else fails use fire. |
aww yeah shovel knight come on boy, make it happen! Strike the earth! Shine on, you crazy diamond. |
Also
Shovel Knight and Captain Toad are both really fun (and pretty short)
games that everyone should play if they haven't already Congrats to BKSheikah for winning the BYIG Guru Challenge! |
Knight > Captain Dilated Chemist |
DoctorJimmy133 posted... Of course he’s called “Toad” without the “Captain” in front of it smh 'Toad' helps. I would not have picked Shovel Knight if I had known it would just be 'Toad' on the front page. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
KamikazePotato posted... DoctorJimmy133 posted...Of course he’s called “Toad” without the “Captain” in front of it smh There's no way it makes a difference Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone. |
Well I don't feel so bad for picking Shovel Knight even if he does lose. I'm betting Aeris finishes above 60% assuming no rally. "Ah,
a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is
a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
The Owner of FF9 posted... So Garrus vs. Ramza was one for the records, right? It's up there. The record books apparently weren't updated in 2015 though. Also, damnit Shovel Knight! I just can't win with you. I figured that Shovel Knight could pull some upsets last contest because it would be against anti-vote magnets (and its second opponent wouldn't even have the benefit of bracket votes to curtail its anti-votes because said opponent's first opponent is the biggest piece of casualbait ever), and I got totally burned. "Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!" BKSheikah has the power. He is the one. (edited 10/27/2018 5:38:22 PM) |
KamikazePotato posted... DoctorJimmy133 posted...Of course he’s called “Toad” without the “Captain” in front of it smh Same. I do think the Captain Toad pic is a bit suboptimal for an entrant called “Toad” but that probably doesn’t counteract the name factor. If all else fails use fire. |
Aeris will probably start to gain percentage similar to Squall. If she doesn't, her chances against Fox look to be slim. |
Of
course it makes a difference. One is a very specific Toad in a specific
game that most people haven't played. The other is the general Toad
that has been in a million spinoffs and that people have played as a
lot. Goombario from Paper Mario would be much weaker than Goomba. Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
v_charon posted... Wow, Shovel Knight is going to win. ? Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n |
Wait is "captain Toad" listed "Toad" on the poll pic? "Ah,
a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is
a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Toad
was at something like 57% before Shovel Knight cut most of that away in
two updates. Their match has stalled since, but if he had kept up that
pace he would've won easily. He'd already have the lead. |
Captain
Toad barely looks any different. Toad is among the most recognizable
characters ever and it's just a title. Goombario is different in that
regard (also looks more differently because he's made of paper) Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone. |
Haste_2 posted... Wait is "captain Toad" listed "Toad" on the poll pic? Yeah. This is a really, really stupid quirk. Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n |
D.Va's
performance so far seems to be disappointing. D.Va's not going to lose,
but Aloy seems like she's making a match out of this one so far. |
Titles matter quite a bit. They're part of a character's identity. It's not going to be a HUGE difference because it's still Captain Toad in the pic, but if the match ends up super close like it's looking it may, I'm calling foul play. Let's see what was in your bracket, Allen!!! Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
KamikazePotato posted... Titles matter quite a bit. They're part of a character's identity. Would “Toad” be stronger than “Captain Toad”? Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n |
UltimaterializerX posted... KamikazePotato posted...Titles matter quite a bit. They're part of a character's identity. It's uncertain, but I do agree with the notion of calling out this mistake if the result winds up close. Yoblazer https://imgur.com/gByqgPg |
No
I mean if it’s close, what effect would this have? Captain Toad would
be a weaker character but “Toad” as an option is stronger, right? Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest http://www.twitch.tv/ultimaterializerx ; https://imgur.com/dsnL40n |
I would have picked Captain Toad for certain if I had known he'd be listed as "Toad" in the match pic. Formerly ff6man. |
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