GameFAQs Contests

62.94% for Alucard
84.46% for Yuna
60.50% for Kefka
54.18% for Bomberman

ZeldaTPLink posted...

Squall vs Zelda has flipped so many times since this started

it never actually flipped though...!

LeonhartFour posted...

54.18% for Bomberman

I really wonder how the brackets would have gone if you flipped the seeds here.

Bomberman probably gets somewhere between 70-80% I think if he's the 2 seed instead.

LeonhartFour posted...

ZeldaTPLink posted...

Squall vs Zelda has flipped so many times since this started

it never actually flipped though...!

yep it's still Zelda

FF6 is actually a Nintendo game, that’s the only explanation

Lopen posted...

charmander6000 posted...

Both Alucard and Yuna were suppose to be weaker.

I dunno man I feel like you'd need them to be a lot weaker. Peach generally looks to be barely over the fodder line. Even at their weakest those two were comfortably ahead of that. Plus Peach shows Pac-Man like tendencies where she crumples really hard the stronger the competition gets, so I wouldn't really want to bet on her on any sort of debatable match, personally.

Don't mean to beat you down too much on a pick though I have plenty of bad ones myself. It's just a really weird thing to bank on to me.

Peach wasn't too bad, she got 33% against Tifa in 2006 and would have gotten 35% through Freeman in 2010. To be honest, this is exactly the performance Alucard would have had if he didn't drop. It was a long shot.

Peach > Alucard wasn't a bad pick, honestly. I couldn't see anything beyond that though.

Charizard should be stronger than Red. Is Sora still stronger than Terra and Kefka?

Team Rocket Elite posted...

Charizard should be stronger than Red. Is Sora still stronger than Terra and Kefka?

I'd be tempted to take Kefka > Sora at this point.

I'd probably still go Sora > Terra though.

Why does every match in this contest trend in the more boring direction?

Big blowouts get less blowouty, close matches get less close. Surprising results in general look more normal as time passes.

sigh

DoctorJimmy133 posted...

Why does every match in this contest trend in the more boring direction?

Big blowouts get less blowouty, close matches get less close. Surprising results in general look more normal as time passes.

sigh

I blame the doublevoting

Yeah doublevoting enhances bracket/board voting big time.

Then as that ends, matches quickly trend into what they should look like in theory, and never go back.

This makes me feel pretty good about Bowser > Kirby. Then maybe Gordon really sucks now who knows

I know Cayde is supposed to be turbo fodder, but what are the chances 2B is getting a rally here? 80% is pretty ridiculous.

Is she the rally target?

Gordon is definitely really bad now so it's hard to read how much, if any, is due to Bowser boosting.

junk_funk posted...

I know Cayde is supposed to be turbo fodder, but what are the chances 2B is getting a rally here? 80% is pretty ridiculous.

Is she the rally target?

She's been getting >80 since the beginning of the match, so that's really unlikely.

It's hard to getting rallies to push a character above 52% or so. Any rallying for 2B would be mostly small time stuff like asking a friend to vote and people likely won't even bother with that.

You think this is a general Valve deboost or just a return to GFNW? Is GlaDOS going to get obliterated by Mewtwo?

Bowser looking like a beast. Compared to Ganondorf, I mean, Gordon Freeman should be well ahead of Neku.

Won't be surprising if Valve got weaker because of not making any games for years

Yeah, I said before the contest that this would probably be the weakest Gordon since the GFNW days. I didn't think he'd be this weak though. This isn't good news for GlaDOS if nothing else.

ZeldaTPLink posted...

Yeah doublevoting enhances bracket/board voting big time.

Then as that ends, matches quickly trend into what they should look like in theory, and never go back.

as TRE has repeatedly said the double voting doesn't affect the final percentage that much

squexa posted...

You think this is a general Valve deboost or just a return to GFNW? Is GlaDOS going to get obliterated by Mewtwo?

Too early to tell at this point. If GlaDOS wins against Mewtwo or just barely loses, we can call it a Half-Life deboost. Mewtwo going above 60% would suggest general Valve deboost.

I don't know guys. These matches are the most interesting of the contest by far. The trends they are following go against some trends we've seen already. Bowser shouldn't be this strong, Terra isn't this strong, 2B is not Bowser level (I'm guessing)...Shadow and Ness are the two doing what they're supposed to.

Maybe not 2B, but there's something weird happening that's causing the others to look weird too. Is someone else getting a rally potentially?

IDK maybe Gordon just sucks now I guess and 2B is a near top tier mid carder.

Terra's been good for the last couple of contests! I tried to tell you guys!

if anyone's getting a rally it's Charizard because Pokemon tends to get rallies if its characters are threatened

There's nothing strange about what 2B is doing. If a character is Tanner or Chester level, you don't even have to be that strong to quadruple them.

...And Terra is better than Tidus and immune to FF's deboost

junk_funk posted...

...And Terra is better than Tidus and immune to FF's deboost

or the deboost never existed...!

Ha. Alright I'll accept I didn't see three of these matches happening anything like this then.

Deboost is real. Kefka got the IT remake boost clearly making creepy clown looking guys all the rage again. It’s the only thing that makes sense tbh

Well, the Bowser result is pretty surprising to me in terms of percentage. It's hard to say how much of this is Bowser being good and how much of it is Gordon being bad.

2B is now under 80%. After the Power Hour ended, 2B has been bleeding percentage since then.

Jesus, Bowser 2B and Terra all looking great here. Either that or Pokefear is dead in the water

LusterSoldier posted...

2B is now under 80%. After the Power Hour ended, 2B has been bleeding percentage since then.

If only Bowser would stop bleeding himself for the visual of Bowser dominating Gordon Freeman worse than 2B decimating Cayde 6.

Trend charts:

Time | Alucard | Peach | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 59.05% | 40.95% | 525 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 58.27% | 41.73% | 3647 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 56.54% | 43.46% | 9731 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 57.31% | 42.69% | 3462 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 55.65% | 44.35% | 6165 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 57.22% | 42.78% | 6279 | (16:00-24:00)

Alucard likes it at night and doesn't enjoy morning time.

Time | Yuna | Godot | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 60.95% | 39.05% | 525 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 68.99% | 31.01% | 3647 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 72.47% | 27.53% | 9731 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 72.47% | 27.53% | 3462 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 75.26% | 24.74% | 6167 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 72.17% | 27.83% | 6277 | (16:00-24:00)

That Ace Attorney board vote is still something to behold. Godot supporters were too busy drinking their eighth cup of morning coffee to vote for him during that timeframe.

Time | Kefka | L-Block | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 64.33% | 35.67% | 527 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 63.14% | 36.86% | 3649 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 60.16% | 39.84% | 9733 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 58.79% | 41.21% | 3463 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 59.90% | 40.10% | 6169 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 59.57% | 40.43% | 6275 | (16:00-24:00)

After Kefka's crazy first hour, the match mostly stabilizes, although L-Block does a little better during the day.

Time | Kazuma | Bomber | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 41.94% | 58.06% | 527 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 38.21% | 61.79% | 3651 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 40.14% | 59.86% | 9731 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 39.33% | 60.67% | 3463 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 37.25% | 62.75% | 6169 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 39.82% | 60.18% | 6274 | (16:00-24:00)

Kiryu did his best work at night. The kiddies voted Bomberman when they woke up.

Oh wow, the first time someone brwaks 80% this contest and it's 2B

Just how bad is Cayde-6

Nanis23 posted...

Oh wow, the first time someone brwaks 80% this contest and it's 2B

Just how bad is Cayde-6

way to jinx it

We'll see how Kefka's division shakes out but it's getting hard to see him not at least knocking on the door of our non-NN elites.

Magus > Vincent is also looking pretty plausible now!

AxemRedRanger posted...

Magus > Vincent is also looking pretty plausible now!

let's not get carried away here

I'm still betting on Vincent over Magus... the gap between them is pretty large. But Magus > Vincent does seem a little more possible with all the changes in character strength.

Bowser vs. Gordon Freeman reminds me of Super Metroid vs. Call of Duty... both were Nintendo vs. FPS that were supposed to be within 65/35, but they ended up nearly 80/20.

You know... if Bowser and Charizard switched places in today's match I bet everyone would have been calling for Charizard > Bowser!

Oh, yeah, and if 2B proves to be fodder next round, 2B vs. Cayde-6 would be only the second 1v1 match in character battle history where fodder has successfully tripled somebody.

Haste_2 posted...

You know... if Bowser and Charizard switched places in today's match I bet everyone would have been calling for Charizard > Bowser!

If they switched places, these two matches would look different enough that Bowser would still be a slight favorite at worst.

Haste_2 posted...

But Magus > Vincent does seem a little more possible with all the changes in character strength.

What changes?

Look at Kefka and Terra's results in 2010 and 2013. This isn't new.

Magus was still hot garbage in 2010 and 2013. Vincent could have his Turks pic and still beat that Magus.

Oh, are you willing to bet your life that Vincent could not possibly lose to Magus under any circumstance when there's reason to believe CT has increased? I'm just talking slightly possible, not even a 2% chance about Magus over Vincent.

Also if Charizard/Bowser switched, Charizard would likely break 70% on Gordon which could have deceived some about Charizard's strength.

Haste_2 posted...

Oh, are you willing to bet your life

well this escalated quickly

also maybe Bowser would be doing this to Terra and Charizard would be choking just as hard to Gordon because BOWSETTE

Haste_2 posted...

Oh, are you willing to bet your life that Vincent could not possibly lose to Magus under any circumstance when there's reason to believe CT has increased? I'm just talking slightly possible, not even a 2% chance about Magus over Vincent.

I still don't trust Magus to beat a potentially weaker Vincent. Magus is part of a group of characters that I call The Four Chokers™, which consists of Tidus, Donkey Kong, Kefka, and Magus.

I have Magus > Vincent

I also have Crono > Cloud so I'm going all in for that Chrono Trigger boost.

yeah I think you should probably take Kefka out of that trademarked group

put Master Chief in there instead because he deserves it more anyway

Yeah, 2B is performing right where she should be. We all predicted Cayde to be one of the weakest - if not THE weakest - characters in the racket. And while Terra is doing a little better than I thought, even with SMASHFEAR, it was ridiculous to think Charizard would blow her away. Did anyone honestly think he would double Terra?

Bowser is definitely the biggest surprise of today's matches. And if he manages to finish over 80%, he has to be in contention for the Star of the Round.

also I'm not saying it's totally impossible for Magus to beat Vincent

just that nothing from this contest shows it

cyko posted...

Did anyone honestly think he would double Terra?

Pretty sure he got a lot of high Oracle picks!

Finally, after all these years, we get to the true finals of the Devil Division to determine who will break the Noble 9 first.