judging by D.Va's moderately low seed and the lack of a significant B8 rally, what little fanbase there is for Overwatch on this site most likely split their noms among Tracer, D.Va and whoever else because everyone has their "favorites." With no coordination only D.Va made it in

I think
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
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Grand Kirby 10/20/2018 3:22:20 PM#52
I can't say for certain how big it is overall, but there are tons of peripheral Overwatch fans that don't even play the game. They're part of the fandom for the short films and comics, the fanart, cosplay, the sports league, etc.
Okay, I rolled a 14. What's that mean? Hsu
That you're a cheater. This is a 12-sided die. Chan
CaptainOfCrush posted...
I've heard a lot about Tracer so maybe.

Btw how did Tracer not get in?


Tracer is possibly the biggest snub imo.
Now crack that combination:
27 99 23.
no Overwatch character is a big snub because this site doesn't care about it

the biggest snub is still Jecht
CaptainOfCrush posted...
I've heard a lot about Tracer so maybe.

Btw how did Tracer not get in?


Tracer is on the cover of overwatch but definitely not the most used or loved of the characters
-~get rich or drunk trying ~-
LeonhartFour posted...
no Overwatch character is a big snub because this site doesn't care about it

the biggest snub is still Jecht


Ew
-~get rich or drunk trying ~-
spooky96 10/20/2018 3:31:16 PM#57
Really wanna see how many perfect brackets remain after today's match.
spooky96 posted...
Really wanna see how many perfect brackets remain after today's match.


- never bet on teedus
- feelgoodman.jpg
-~get rich or drunk trying ~-
Ok what the f*** is a Monika and why is everyone so worried about a rally run. I've literally never heard of her or seen her before
haloiscoolisbak posted...
Be so funny if the rally only got off the ground because paranoid B8ers picking her to go far out of fear of a rally end up being the ones to propel the rally to protect their brackets

If there's no rally, this is what will make it a close match.
Character Battle X
Current Score: 4/4 How do Yu prove that Yu exist?
Grand Kirby posted...
So what do people think of Lucina > Auron after today?

I can’t see Lucina being any stronger than Marth, and even a weakened Auron would kill him.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2018 Guru Contest winner.
Averia 10/20/2018 3:37:40 PM#62
I don't remember an expected rally happening (Minecraft, Hearthstone, WoW, ect) and both the mega rallies were surprises (round 1 of course).
The fact the Monika rally seems almost expected makes me think it won't happen
Advokaiser 10/20/2018 3:39:07 PM#63
haloiscoolisbak posted...
Be so funny if the rally only got off the ground because paranoid B8ers picking her to go far out of fear of a rally end up being the ones to propel the rally to protect their brackets


If there was ever a "Post of the Day" thing, this one would win today.
Here lies the sig of BK_Sheikah00, who swore fealty to the Gurus of Board 8.
ZeldaTPLink 10/20/2018 3:40:33 PM#64
spooky96 posted...
Really wanna see how many perfect brackets remain after today's match.


No way of knowing when Allen isn't showing the point percentiles.
Tidus has actually been stalling out DK for the last couple of hours

too little too late dude
ZeldaTPLink 10/20/2018 3:41:44 PM#66
s***teredElysium posted...
Ok what the f*** is a Monika and why is everyone so worried about a rally run. I've literally never heard of her or seen her before


Character from what is basically the dating sim version of Undertale.
ZeldaTPLink 10/20/2018 3:42:21 PM#67
Averia posted...
I don't remember an expected rally happening (Minecraft, Hearthstone, WoW, ect) and both the mega rallies were surprises (round 1 of course).
The fact the Monika rally seems almost expected makes me think it won't happen


I recall there being a minority predicting the Undertale one.
Averia 10/20/2018 3:49:17 PM#68
ZeldaTPLink posted...
Averia posted...
I don't remember an expected rally happening (Minecraft, Hearthstone, WoW, ect) and both the mega rallies were surprises (round 1 of course).
The fact the Monika rally seems almost expected makes me think it won't happen


I recall there being a minority predicting the Undertale one.


I checked the archives and Transience did mention the possibility of rallying in the analysis so I guess it was not 100% unexpected.
Still this expectation is way more than Undertale back then, between the lead up in the stat topics, everyone in the crew considering it and even talks about it on The Show.
(edited 10/20/2018 3:49:29 PM)report
https://i.imgtc.com/9adVheA.mp4
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
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Judgement day is upon us
Raytan wins!
Match IX: (1) Zero vs. (16) Primrose

Previous Contest Performance

Zero - 2013
Round 1: 58.58% against Kratos Aurion (20.72%) and Boko (20.70%)
Round 2: 41.72% against Rikku (29.43%) and Weighted Companion Cube (28.85%)
Round 3: 19.62% against Mega Man (40.21%) and Charizard (40.17%)

Primrose - N/A
N/A

Analysis

If there’s a game that would buck the trend of GameFAQs not playing new games Octopath seems to be a good candidate. It is an RPG made by Square after all. Primrose will however, have the same issues as Final Fantasy VI characters, namely she is from an ensemble cast. Characters from an ensemble cast tend to do relatively poorly due to the fanbase being split as to which one is their favourite.

Regardless Zero should have no issue winning this match. He is among one of the strongest characters in the main bracket and while we won’t get much information on him this round he wants to make a good impression in his bid to win the division.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Zero > Primrose

charmander6000’s Prediction: Zero wins, 74.11% - 25.89%




Match X: (8) Zidane Tribal vs. (9) Knuckles the Echidna

Previous Contest Performance

Zidane Tribal - 2013
Round 1: 51.50% against Ridley (43.23%) and Spring Breeze Dancin’ (5.26%)
Round 2: 24.37% against Squritle (44.08%) and Dante (31.55%)

Knuckles the Echidna - 2013
Round 1: 46.21% against Celes Chere (30.59%) and Seifer Almasy (23.20%)
Round 2: 21.33% against Samus Aran (61.85%) and Catherine (16.82%)

Analysis

I struggled with this match for a long time. On one hand, Zidane hasn’t done anything impressive in his contest career, but Knuckles has dropped quite a bit since his high in 2005. In 2013 he got 46% against two Square fodder characters and in 2010 he was lucky enough to get a day match to defeat Cecil. My confidence in the Echidna is quite low right now.

While Zidane hasn’t done anything impressive he also hasn’t performed poorly. Vivi has given my prediction of Final Fantasy IX having an up year some credence, but it will be Zidane that will probably prove it exists should he win comfortably.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Zidane > Knuckles the Echidna

charmander6000’s Prediction: Zidane wins, 56.27% - 43.73%
CBX - Today's Winners: Vivi, Aya Brea, Tidus, Leon Kennedy
Score: 4/4
Match XI: (5) Noctis Lucis Caelum vs. (12) Master Hand

Previous Contest Performance

Noctis Lucis Caelum - N/A
N/A

Master Hand - 2005 Villains
Round 1: 53.76% against Kuja (46.24%)
Round 2: 40.50% against Dr. Robotnik (59.50%)

Analysis

Who else had Maser Hand/Kuja flashbacks when they saw this match? Master Hand is our first returning character who did not partake in 2013, in fact we haven’t seen him since the villains contest. For good reason too. He may have defeated Kuja, but he easily lost to Dr. Robotnik in the second round, the glove is fodder. I also don’t expect him to be much stronger since 2005. He can take a bit of solace of Robotnik’s performance in 2013 and if that somehow holds up over all these years the hand would be high fodder.

Noctis is no Kuja either. Kuja was the villain of a Final Fantasy that GameFAQs didn’t flock to until years later. GameFAQs may not play many new games, but I imagine Final Fantasy XV would be an exception. If not, then there is no hope for characters created this generation, barring rallies.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Noctis Lucis Caelum > Master Hand

charmander6000’s Prediction: Noctis Lucis Caelum wins, 62.92% - 37.08%




Match XII: (4) Monika vs. (13) Wario

Previous Contest Performance

Monika - N/A
N/A

Wario - 2013
Round 1: 49.66% against Creeper (28.80%) and The King of All Cosmos (21.54%)
Round 2: 21.12% against Pokemon Trainer Red (51.58%) and Urdnot Wrex (27.30%)

Analysis

Wario is nothing special, but on paper he should be the massive favourite in this match. Monika is a character from a new game that GameFAQs is not interested in playing. The game was crushed by Cuphead during the Game of the Year poll and we just saw him getting crushed yesterday. To be honest if things go smoothly Wario could be pushing for 70%.

Of course, we must consider rallies. Monika is our first character with the potential to be a rally magnet. In fact, the reddit page for the game already has a banner and given our vote total it won’t take too much to push her over the edge. The question is will it be enough?

If it is just the reddit page, probably not. The active user base is quite small and even with a pinned post it may not be enough. With that said it could also be a banner announcement which is worse since it’s camouflaged on the page. Of course, the rest of the internet exists and all it takes is one huge person to tweet or post about it for this to take off. Wario is lucky that the height of the game has passed, but there is still a lot of people that liked the game when it was popular.

My prediction will be based on minimal rallying, but it is very possible that Monika will pick up enough votes to win it. Also, since people will have to vote in other matches we could potentially see Knuckles and Master Hand benefit to the point where they may win.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Wario > Monika

charmander6000’s Prediction: Wario wins, 63.73% - 36.27%
CBX - Today's Winners: Vivi, Aya Brea, Tidus, Leon Kennedy
Score: 4/4
ZeldaTPLink 10/20/2018 4:11:14 PM#73
So it seems the banner for the match in the DDLC subreddit only shows for people who are browsing Old Reddit.

Apparently the sub endorses the old version over the new one so I expect the majority of regulars to use Old Reddit and see the banner, but this could reduce the strength of the rally.
ZeldaTPLink posted...
So it seems the banner for the match in the DDLC subreddit only shows for people who are browsing Old Reddit.

Apparently the sub endorses the old version over the new one so I expect the majority of regulars to use Old Reddit and see the banner, but this could reduce the strength of the rally.


:)
-~get rich or drunk trying ~-
Averia 10/20/2018 4:22:11 PM#75
I don't think this will have any influence at all (as in a winning rally will not lose due to the Reddit design mode), but as far as I can see, the majority of people do not use the new one but the old one (and I would agree, the new one is ugly).
Of course, could simply be a case of complainers being louder.
swordz9 10/20/2018 4:23:18 PM#76
Part of me wonder if the real reason Allen doubled registered votes is so we could avoid having an even more pathetic looking vote total each match. Would be kinda embarrassing for a finals to only be like 18k votes
Mac Arrowny 10/20/2018 4:25:18 PM#77
This contest is already getting more votes than the Years contest did early on, IIRC.
All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
swordz9 posted...
Part of me wonder if the real reason Allen doubled registered votes is so we could avoid having an even more pathetic looking vote total each match. Would be kinda embarrassing for a finals to only be like 18k votes


Highly unlikely the finals would have gotten under 20000 votes without the double registered votes. The final match of the Years contest broke 20000 votes and that was without the registered user bonus.

We're already getting about 17000-18000 votes early on and that's with the forced voting in all 4 matches. We already saw an increase in vote totals when going from 4 matches per day to 2 matches per day in the 2015 contest. And the Years contest saw an increase in vote totals going from 2 matches per day to 1 match per day.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
I am so nervous right now
Raytan wins!
SuperNiceDog posted...
I am so nervous right now


Hold me
-~get rich or drunk trying ~-
FlyingForever posted...
SuperNiceDog posted...
I am so nervous right now


Hold me


OK!!!! if my bracket implodes today I will not blame you
Raytan wins!
Averia 10/20/2018 4:52:40 PM#82
Also if a rally does happen and Monika wins, we can play our favorite game again : find reasons as to why it will fail next round (and the round after that when it doesn't, and then ....)
Averia posted...
Also if a rally does happen and Monika wins, we can play our favorite game again : find reasons as to why it will fail next round (and the round after that when it doesn't, and then ....)


nah I called the contest over as soon as Undertale won round 1 in 2015
Ranticoot 10/20/2018 4:54:22 PM#84
i am ready for monika

one of my good friends is a huge wario fan that thinks sayori is best girl

truly i wonder how they feel about this
Born to lose, live to win!
have Master Hand in my bracket but I'm regretting it and switched to Noctis for battle challenge and oracle
abdou 10/20/2018 4:57:29 PM#86
Monika is one of the few characters in this bracket that I never heard of. The rally has to be massive for this Monika to win.
...
pjbasis 10/20/2018 4:59:17 PM#87
oh boy here we go

maybe the most important day of the contest!
davidponte 10/20/2018 4:59:32 PM#88
here we go
The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
Wario: WAAAAAAAA
Now crack that combination:
27 99 23.
spooky96 10/20/2018 5:00:34 PM#90
I'm too scared to look at the result even though it is literally the first minute of the match.
Averia 10/20/2018 5:00:44 PM#91
Need a hand ?
lol noctis
https://imgur.com/M1heX2g
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
77.23% for Vivi
46.49% for Aya
66.99% for DK
72.69% for Leon

whoa DK huge casual favorite
My four picks looking good so far
Started from the bottom now we here
spooky96 10/20/2018 5:01:56 PM#95
Yup, got 3 wrong matches today. Woo hoo!
Janus5k 10/20/2018 5:01:57 PM#97
LeonhartFour posted...
66.99% for DK

nice
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
pjbasis 10/20/2018 5:02:12 PM#98
Oh my god Noctis
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
davidponte 10/20/2018 5:02:43 PM#100
LeonhartFour posted...
a friggin' GLOVE
The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.

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