GameFAQs Contests

Go 95! At least go down swinging!

I don't expect this lead to last but I was expecting 95 to be crushed out of the gate.

woot made it on the leaderboard. First time since 2003.

If 1995 pulls it off it seems like it would be pretty definitive evidence that pics really matter in this contest given how bad 95 looked last round.

Why is CT not listed on the front left? Probably won't make too big of a difference but I would think the most popular game for each year would be the first listed.

So, do we believe in pic factor now? Because I don't think this is the same 95 we saw in the last two rounds.

1995 manages to hang on until the freeze. Next update will be interesting.

LordoftheMorons posted...

If 1995 pulls it off it seems like it would be pretty definitive evidence that pics really matter in this contest given how bad 95 looked last round.

Or 1987 could just be legit.

1991 > 1994 and I believe it won't be a toss up. I'm actually predicting 1991 to get around 60% or even 65%.

Was anyone sincerely doubting the effect that pics could have in this contest?

Both years have pretty fair match order of match pics. I would give 2001 a slight advantage in that, because Twisted Metal and Command & Conquer aren't all that strong there . MGS2 has still been snubbed....

Did anyone submit a Playstation picture or are consoles getting snubbed again?

CaptainOfCrush posted...

Was anyone sincerely doubting the effect that pics could have in this contest?

There were a couple people taking the "smart voter" theory a little too far (and more admitting it was a factor, but doubting it could swing a ten point match like 2006/2011)

Also, no consoles appeared in the match pictures for either year, so Allen might snub them again despite user submissions for consoles.

Also where is MGS2?

let's go 95

charmander6000 posted...

Did anyone submit a Playstation picture or are consoles getting snubbed again?

I submitted one but it wasnt as good as I like

25 people fell off the Top 50. King_of_Swing, haloiscoolisbak, NowItsAngeTime, Lemonayde26, Axl_Rose_85, shane15, WilliamGeesdorf, richiethedude86, Camden, Black_Rabite, DrWiIy, Link_VS_Cloud, JakeTheJake, TylerF, TehLostOne, Mr_Monster, SDGTheMercenary, Metal_DK, DiegoArmado, creativename, Dragon66116, ZeroSignal620, ff6man, MechanicalWall and Seanchan did not have both 1998 and 2003 winning.

charmander6000 posted...

Did anyone submit a Playstation picture or are consoles getting snubbed again?

You can see how many pics were submitted in the form. Last I checked, the PlayStation had four (though it's actually three, as one of them was my pic for GameFAQs itself).

Seanchan

@Eddv We've got another Wheel of Time fan in the house here at GameFAQs, yo.

The only contests I make the leaderboard on are the massive contests.... I've made plenty of appearances in 2007, 2008, and 2015... maybe 2013, too. I didn't make a bracket for 2010. But a smaller contest? Never.

Yesterday's X-Stats:

1998 – 50.00%
1992 – 27.15%
1993 – 14.70%
2016 – 13.96%

2003 – 50.00%
2005 – 42.33%
2013 – 41.97%
2015 – 34.69%
1978 – 12.25%

1995 is still holding...

Chrono Trigger might be too big of an anchor

95 stalling, oh boy.

Wow 87 was a monster this whole time or is the pic factor even more extreme then I could of had imagined

1995 is looking good, but I would surprised if it didn't lose at least 5% between now and the end.

Chrono Trigger!

Do not go gentle into that good night, rage, rage against the dying of the light.

The updater has an incorrect update for the freeze. The actual freeze happened at 278 votes, but the updater picked up an update with 280 votes at the 12:05 AM mark. The real freeze is the 12:06 AM update picked up by the updater.

10-minute X-Stats:

1995 – 50.00%
2001 – 48.74%
1987 – 47.61%
2008 – 30.80%
1985 – 24.38%
2009 – 17.35%
2014 – 16.41%
1986 – 11.00%
1979 – 6.55%

Also, I feel a bit better about having 1997 beat 2001 next round.

Is 1995 supposed to have the Board Vote? 2001 should be the massive bracket favourite. 2001 might not have Chrono Trigger but it has a lot of games that are popular on the board as well.

With the vastly improved pics, hopefully we will see increased vote totals.

well looks like the dream ends tonight

people die and Yuna dances

Trends tonight could be interesting. FFX and SSBM have about as diametrically opposite trends as 2 games can get. I guess 2001 will be pretty middle of the road.

Haste_2 posted...

With the vastly improved pics, hopefully we will see increased vote totals.

wouldn't bet on it

Surprised to see 1995 holding so far, no way it keeps this up though. 2001 is just too stacked.

Also CT gained a lot last contest after the board vote against both FFX and SSBM.

red sox 777 posted...

Trends tonight could be interesting. FFX and SSBM have about as diametrically opposite trends as 2 games can get. I guess 2001 will be pretty middle of the road.

how long until Melee fans try to rally again

Augh. MGS2 got snubbed again.

2001 isn't looking great. Chrono Trigger is a goddamn monster for being able to carry its year like this.

95 gained! Wat!?

Bolto4 posted...

95 stalling, oh boy.

Wow 87 was a monster this whole time or is the pic factor even more extreme then I could of had imagined

I would put this on the pic factor being very extreme and showing what happens when you have Chrono Trigger and 3 fodder games vs. 4 NES games that were the first games in their series.


Team Rocket Elite posted...

Is 1995 supposed to have the Board Vote? 2001 should be the massive bracket favourite. 2001 might not have Chrono Trigger but it has a lot of games that are popular on the board as well.

In Round 2, 1995 had an extremely impressive 57.85% prediction percentage, with the remaining 42.15% split between 1985/1986/1987. So it seems as though the site overall thought 1995 was going to win that match in their brackets, but pic factor led to a massive underperformance against 1987.

red sox 777 posted...

Trends tonight could be interesting. FFX and SSBM have about as diametrically opposite trends as 2 games can get. I guess 2001 will be pretty middle of the road.

Don't think we see much in terms of trends, besides 1995 dying off overnight and with the morning vote.

1995 got its secret weapon FULL THROTTLE in the match pic again, so it might pull this off.

once you go Full Throttle you never go back

Time to start rallying for FFX!

CaptainOfCrush posted...

Time to start rallying for FFX!

get out

And there we go! We doubled the lead! (I'll pretend that was a 100 vote gain like the same percentage move would have been in days goneby instead of 12 votes).

Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. 1996 – 51.38% vs. 2000 – 48.62% - Round 2 – 2.76%
2. 1995 – 52.39% vs. 1987 – 47.61% - Round 2 – 4.78%
3. 2011 – 54.86% vs. 2006 – 45.14% - Round 1 – 9.72%
4. 1991 – 54.87% vs. 2002 – 45.13% - Round 2 – 9.74%
5. 2003 – 57.67% vs. 2005 – 42.33% - Round 2 – 15.34%
6. 2003 – 58.03% vs. 2013 – 41.97% - Round 1 – 16.06%
7. 1994 – 58.69% vs. 2004 – 41.31% - Round 1 – 17.38%
8. 2005 – 59.02% vs. 2015 – 40.98% - Round 1 – 18.04%
9. 1994 – 62.02% vs. 2011 – 37.98% - Round 2 – 24.04%
10. 2000 – 65.30% vs. 1990 – 34.70% - Round 1 – 30.60%

Top 10 Smallest Vote Gaps
1. 1996 – 7880 vs. 2000 – 7465 – Round 2 – 424
2. 1995 – 8668 vs. 1987 – 7878 – Round 2 – 790
3. 1991 – 8664 vs. 2002 – 7125 – Round 2 – 1539
4. 2011 – 9262 vs. 2006 – 7622 – Round 1 – 1640
5. 2003 – 9305 vs. 2005 – 6830 – Round 2 – 2475
6. 2003 – 9711 vs. 2013 – 7024 – Round 1 – 2687
7. 2005 – 9799 vs. 2015 – 6803 – Round 1 – 2996
8. 1994 – 10236 vs. 2004 – 7205 – Round 1 – 3031
9. 1994 – 9808 vs. 2011 – 6006 – Round 2 – 3803
10. 2000 – 10770 vs. 1990 – 5722 – Round 1 – 5048

Top 10 Least Impressive Winners
1. 1996 – Round 2 – 7880
2. 1991 – Round 2 – 8664
3. 1995 – Round 2 – 8668
4. 2011 – Round 1 – 9262
5. 2003 – Round 2 – 9305
6. 2003 – Round 1 – 9711
7. 2005 – Round 1 – 9799
8. 1994 – Round 2 – 9809
9. 1994 – Round 1 – 10236
10. 2000 – Round 1 – 10770

Top 10 Most Impressive Losers
1. 1987 – Round 2 – 7878
2. 2006 – Round 1 – 7622
3. 2000 – Round 2 – 7456
4. 2004 – Round 1 – 7205
5. 2002 – Round 2 – 7125
6. 2013 – Round 1 – 7024
7. 2003 – Round 2 – 6830
8. 2015 – Round 1 – 6803
9. 2011 – Round 2 – 6006
10. 1990 – Round 1 – 5722

Top 10 Least Predictable Matches
1. 2003 vs. 2005 – Round 2 – 27.77%
2. 1994 vs. 2011 – Round 2 – 35.74%
3. 2005 vs. 2015 – Round 1 – 40.10%
4. 1996 vs. 2000 – Round 2 – 46.81%
5. 1994 vs. 2004 – Round 1 – 49.15%
6. 2003 vs. 2013 – Round 1 – 50.17%
7. 1991 vs. 2002 – Round 2 – 52.24%
8. 2011 vs. 2006 – Round 1 – 52.93%
9. 1995 vs. 1987 – Round 2 – 57.85%
10. 2000 vs. 1990 – Round 1 – 63.21%

I honestly don't know what to think right now

there's really only one thing I can do

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hcsfrOGOP6o

Yesterday's charts:

Time | 1998 | 1992 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 73.09% | 26.91% | 249 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 74.26% | 25.74% | 1651 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 73.90% | 26.10% | 3353 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 70.82% | 29.18% | 2344 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 72.40% | 27.60% | 4308 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 72.87% | 27.13% | 4073 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 73.69% | 26.31% | 821 | (22:00-24:00)

Time | 2003 | 2005 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 58.30% | 41.70% | 247 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 59.16% | 40.84% | 1604 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 55.25% | 44.75% | 3269 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 59.00% | 41.00% | 2278 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 57.17% | 42.83% | 4212 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 58.43% | 41.57% | 3967 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 59.63% | 40.37% | 805 | (22:00-24:00)

KamikazePotato posted...

Augh. MGS2 got snubbed again.

2001 isn't looking great. Chrono Trigger is a goddamn monster for being able to carry its year like this.

As much as I want to say this is true, it's not just Chrono Trigger. Round 1 and Round 2 was Chrono Trigger trying to solo the contest. That would not have been enough to beat 2001. The other 1995 games showing up is why 1995 might steal the win.

lead change imminent

CT board vote is finally dying