LoZ1 was a lot better than worth 25% on FFVII back in 2004. Of course, it's possible that it's gotten weaker since then, but still.
All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
(edited 5/7/2017 8:24:23 PM)report
Enix 5/7/2017 8:29:45 PM#102
I'm torn on today's results... SMB3 and FF losing >>
I bet it was predominantly Mejora Mask folks


... wait, just saw they included Diablo II in the 2000 bracket despite no specific picture. Guess I need to click the ? instead of browsing the game pics :D
FFBE - 917,595,760
(edited 5/7/2017 8:31:47 PM)report
UltimaterializerX posted...
LusterSoldier posted...
CaptainOfCrush posted...
Leaving Bloodborne out would be a travesty.


Looking at 2015's notable games, I think The Witcher 3 and Fallout 4 seem like locks to appear in the match picture rotation. Undertale will probably also appear as well. Since Allen seems to be going with diversity for these match pictures so far, I see Life is Strange being left out to avoid having 2 indie games in the match picture rotation. If Bloodborne appears along with The Witcher 3, Fallout 4, and Undertale, the entire match picture rotation would consist of RPGs, so I could see Bloodborne being left out in favor of MGSV.

Bloodborne is the best game from 2015 and one of the 10 best games ever made. I haven't played Dark Souls 3 yet but it's probably the best game in that series, too. It's the closest you'll get to a perfect video game in the modern era.

Wait, are you saying a game you never played is close to perfect? Did I misread this?
How long will it take 88 to get a single vote?
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for 2017 Guru champion.
37-0 i saw that
Moltar Status: contest woo
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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I love this contest
xyzzy
Whoa there 2002, come down a bit
Best Year in Gaming - Today's Winners: 1991 and 2002
Current Bracket Score: 12/12
I'm not impressed by 2002 here! I figured 80% was in play and this will surely come back to earth after the bracket vote ends.
xyzzy
cyko 5/7/2017 9:03:09 PM#110
these early blowouts are mildly amusing. I guess its better than nothing!
Yay - DpObliVion is the guru champion of awesomeness.
Team Rocket Elite 5/7/2017 9:04:33 PM#112
12 people fell off the Top 50. WhiteLens, Ultima_X, thedragon31, MZero11, Evil_REmade, HaloOfTheSun442, Rockin_Steve, Porygon, chumpykalamoona, Guard_Master, ESY16 and Oxbridge did not have both 2000 and 1996 winning their matches.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
Not surprisingly, 1990 vs. 2000 is the most debated match so far with 63.21% favoring 2000.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for 2017 Guru champion.
this contest is so bad it's good!
Joe Bulo says hi
RySenkari 5/7/2017 9:06:00 PM#115
*checks top 50*

Well all right, all right, all right.
"With hard work and dedication, you can master the magical properties of your Gem and perform your own dance!"- Pearl, Steven Universe
I had 2010 winning "oh well"
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life. - Terry Pratchett
gonna be hard to argue 2002 over 1991, darn
xyzzy
X-Stats for yesterday:

1996 – 50.00%
1989 – 16.31%
1983 – 9.88%

whoops posted them in the wrong topic
transience posted...
gonna be hard to argue 2002 over 1991, darn


I have 2002 in the semis.

Let's do this.
Sir Chris
The Cult of Personality
why do people trust Metroid Prime and KH1

they've never won a match that actually mattered
ninkendo 5/7/2017 9:14:21 PM#121
1991 beats 2002 easy

oh hey I'm finally on the leaderboard
Updated Top 5

Best Year in Gaming Stats

Top 5 Biggest Blowouts
1. 1995 – 89.00% vs. 1986 – 11.00% - Round 1 – 78.00%
2. 2005 – 85.53% vs. 1978 – 14.47% - Wildcard – 71.06%
3. 1996 – 83.69% vs. 1989 – 16.31% - Round 1 – 67.38%
4. 2001 – 83.17% vs. 2014 – 16.83% - Round 1 – 66.34%
5. 2009 – 81.10% vs. 1979 – 18.90% – Wildcard – 62.20%

Top 5 Largest Vote Gaps
1. 1995 – 14966 vs. 1986 – 1849 – Round 1 – 13117
2. 2001 – 13966 vs. 2014 – 2826 – Round 1 – 11140
3. 1996 – 13583 vs. 1989 – 2648 – Round 1 – 10935
4. 2005 – 12343 vs. 1978 – 2088 – Wildcard – 10255
5. 2009 – 12792 vs. 1979 – 2978 – Wildcard – 9804

Top 5 Closest Matches
1. 2000 – 65.30% vs. 1990 – 34.70% - Round 1 – 30.60%
2. 1989 – 69.71% vs. 1983 – 30.29% - Wildcard – 39.42%
3. 2008 – 71.83% vs. 2009 – 28.17% - Round 1 – 43.66%
4. 2006 – 74.29% vs. 1981 – 25.71% - Wildcard – 48.58%
5. 1987 – 74.40% vs. 1985 – 25.60% - Round 1 – 48.80%

Top 5 Smallest Vote Gaps
1. 2000 – 10770 vs. 1990 – 5722 – Round 1 – 5048
2. 1989 – 10929 vs. 1983 – 4749 – Wildcard – 6180
3. 2008 – 11633 vs. 2009 – 4563 – Round 1 – 7070
4. 2006 – 11158 vs. 1981 – 3862 – Wildcard – 7296
5. 2007 – 11669 vs. 2012 – 3573 – Round 1 – 8096

Top 5 Most Popular Polls
1. 1987 vs. 1985 – Round 1 – 16868
2. 1995 vs. 1986 – Round 1 – 16815
3. 2001 vs. 2014 – Round 1 – 16792
4. 2000 vs. 1990 – Round 1 – 16492
5. 1996 vs. 1989 – Round 1 – 16231

Top 5 Highest Individual Votes
1. 1995 – Round 1 – 14966
2. 2001 – Round 1 – 13966
3. 1996 – Round 1 – 13583
4. 2009 – Wildcard – 12782
5. 1987 – Round 1 – 12549

Top 5 Lowest Individual Votes
1. 1986 – Round 1 – 1849
2. 1978 – Wildcard – 2088
3. 1989 – Round 1- 2648
4. 2014 – Round 1 – 2826
5. 1979 – Wildcard – 2978

Top 5 Least Impressive Winners
1. 2000 – Round 1 – 10770
2. 1989 – Wildcard – 10929
3. 2006 – Wildcard – 11158
4. 2008 – Round 1 – 11633
5. 2007 – Round 1 – 11669

Top 5 Most Impressive Losers
1. 1990 – Round 1 – 5722
2. 1983 – Wildcard – 4749
3. 2009 – Round 1 – 4563
4. 1985 – Round 1 – 4319
5. 1981 – Wildcard – 3862

Top 5 Most Predictable Matches
1. 1995 vs. 1986 – Round 1 – 88.66%
2. 2009 vs. 1979 – Wildcard – 87.86%
3. 1989 vs. 1983 – Wildcard – 87.35%
4. 1996 vs. 1989 – Round 1 – 86.18%
5. 2005 vs. 1978 – Wildcard – 85.96%
5. 2001 vs. 2014 – Round 1 – 85.96%

Top 5 Least Predictable Matches
1. 2000 vs. 1990 – Round 1 – 63.21%
2. 1987 vs. 1985 – Round 1 – 68.16%
3. 2008 vs. 2009 – Round 1 – 71.87%
4. 2007 vs. 2012 – Round 1 – 75.18%
5. 1997 vs. 1999 – Round 1 – 81.06%
Best Year in Gaming - Today's Winners: 1991 and 2002
Current Bracket Score: 12/12
Eh, only 8% of Gurus have 2002 over 1991. Seems about right for an upset like that.
I'll probably wait to see 95 vs. 87 before coming to a solid conclusion on this one. pretty sure the 91/88 result is just SFF.
xyzzy
I wouldn't put 1991 quite in the same category as 1995.

I don't think 2002 is that deep anyway. It just has two solid anchors.
I went low on 91 (82%) because I figured even when the entrant is AoL, there could be a limit to how badly a Zelda can get blown out. I know it's a stretch but this has to be the worst a "Zelda" entrant has been blown out by a non-Link opponent.
Yesterday's charts:

Time | 2000 | 1990 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 68.48% | 31.52% | 257 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 66.36% | 33.64% | 1653 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 67.29% | 32.71% | 3534 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 65.37% | 34.63% | 1851 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 64.80% | 35.20% | 4475 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 64.07% | 35.93% | 4075 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 63.50% | 36.50% | 904 | (22:00-24:00)

Time | 1996 | 1989 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 85.21% | 14.79% | 257 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 84.64% | 15.36% | 1621 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 82.76% | 17.24% | 3474 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 83.10% | 16.90% | 1828 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 84.51% | 15.49% | 4390 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 83.72% | 16.28% | 4011 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 82.58% | 17.42% | 907 | (22:00-24:00)
eh, I dunno. let's just take em game by game

Mario World - ~56% on Metroid Prime?
FF4 - ~40% on KH1?
Sonic 1 - 50/50 with Vice City? hard to say here
SF2 - 45% on Morrowind? or maybe 50/50 with WC3

and I used 95/87 because I think 87 did a similar thing to 85. if 95 blows up 87 then I'll feel better about these old NES/SNES-offs
xyzzy
ninkendo 5/7/2017 9:21:10 PM#129
I don't really look at the individual games for 1991 I look at it and see MARIO, SONIC, FINAL FANTASY AND STREET FIGHTER?! HOOLLYYYYYYYY SHHHHHH***********************TTTTTT
ninkendo posted...
I don't really look at the individual games for 1991 I look at it and see MARIO, SONIC, FINAL FANTASY AND STREET FIGHTER?!


ninkendo gets it

the sum is greater than the whole of its parts
yeah I know. 91 should have it. it's just a fun thought exercise
xyzzy
LeonhartFour posted...
ninkendo posted...
I don't really look at the individual games for 1991 I look at it and see MARIO, SONIC, FINAL FANTASY AND STREET FIGHTER?!


ninkendo gets it

the sum is greater than the whole of its parts

Agreed, that's why 1990 couldn't break into the top years. It had two stars and two zeroes up there.
LusterSoldier posted...
creativename posted...
OK, now I'm willing to say depth beats top heavy. Not looking good for 1995 backers.


1995 should beat 1987 next round, but it's not going any farther than round 3. 1987 has a good amount of depth, but all of that depth is very weak compared to Chrono Trigger. No game from 1987 would even sniff 25% against Chrono Trigger in a 1v1 match. Chrono Trigger would just slaughter every 1987 game quite easily.

I meant against 2001. 1995 should easily beat 1987.
ninkendo 5/7/2017 9:26:04 PM#135
I would assume most people associate 1991 mainly as the year that Mario vs. Sonic happened and that kinda surpassed just video games that was a global rivalry
looking forward to how 1994 fares tomorrow
Started from the bottom now we here
brackets could really fall tomorrow!
add the c and back away
iphonesience
transcience posted...
brackets could really fall tomorrow!


are you anticipating the 2004 upset?
Started from the bottom now we here
2011 > 2006 is more likely than 2004 > 1994

but I'd love for 2004 to win
I thinke hes thinking 2011 > 2006
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I have 2011 winning tomorrow. This is gonna be fun.
Nanis23 5/7/2017 11:12:23 PM#142
94 wins easily
2006 also wins, although less easily
The only hard match in round 1 is the last one
2005 should win but Witcher 3 is scary and it has Undertale which I don't know if it can mean anything but...it can
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
2011 winning with its intrinsic strength is far more likely than 2015 winning with a rally, which it absolutely would need to win.
VeryInsane 5/7/2017 11:34:27 PM#144
94 is Super Metroid/FF6 combo with DKC1 backing it up so it's gonna be really tough to beat

(Sonic 3 should be listed in 94 too, but it's not. Phantasy Star IV will show up in the picture instead it seems)

11 is Portal 2/Skyrim/Skyward Sword/Arkham City/Dark Souls? Good combo but don't know if it matches up to 2006.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life. - Terry Pratchett
(edited 5/7/2017 11:36:28 PM)report
2015 has the best chance of winning with a rally, since the match could end up being less than a 60% win for 2005 if there was no rallying. 2015 is at far less of a disadvantage when it comes to flipping the result through rallying.

2016 has a much more difficult path to win a match without a rally. 2016 would be lucky just to score 25% on 1992, so it's already in a serious hole to win that match through rallying.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
i stupidly went with 2011 over 2006 just because of how much I hate Oblivion (compared to Morrowind and Skyrim) and since its a 1 point match anyway i didnt spend a lot of time thinking about it

bad philosophy
Started from the bottom now we here
(edited 5/8/2017 12:14:24 AM)report
Why lose hope now? 2006 was never a guarantee and certainly isn't one now when we know that it isn't getting KHII or FFXII in its match picture. If 2011 gets Skyrim, Zelda, and Dark Souls in its rotation, then you should at least feel good about your chances.
I have 2011 winning in my bracket, not very confident in the pick but still somewhat hopeful that it can happen.

I'd pick 2006 now if I could change it though.
2006/2011 is the first match I actually feel kinda nervous about.

Hoping Skyrim, Dark Souls, and Portal 2 are enough to overcome TP.
Not_Wylvane
need to see the 2011 picture before feeling confident in 2011.

what's the most likely -- Skyrim, Skyward Sword (wouldn't be surprised if this misses the picture), Dark Souls, Arkham City? maybe Pokemon Black/White is a better fourth. Portal 2 or Uncharted 3 is a good one too. 2011's kinda like 2009, just with Skyrim to shore up any weakness.
xyzzy

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