my final four of the 2004 games contest was Tetris/FF6/FF7/FF10
xyzzy
LeonhartFour 5/5/2017 3:37:10 PM#252
The one good prediction I had from the 2004 Games Contest was having Melee win Division 128.
My favorite prediction is nailing both Pikachu > Sora and Mega Man > Charizard in the most recent character battle. Got me tied for second in Guru that year!

e: If I have to pick only one then definitely Mega Man > Charizard. I was one of the few it seemed to take Charizard more at his Kratos match performance than as his Bowser/Mario performances.

e2: As for failed predictions I think I've only ever picked the correct winner like two or three times through every single contest.
Not_Wylvane
(edited 5/5/2017 3:40:52 PM)report
Oxbridge 5/5/2017 3:41:50 PM#255
rip 2000
Congratulations to DpOblivion, the Guru champion for the 2013 Character Battle.
LeonhartFour 5/5/2017 3:43:10 PM#256
SwiftyDC 5/5/2017 3:43:15 PM#257
In 2003, I originally had a Cloud vs. Sephiroth final... but changed it at the last minute. D'OH!
Dilated Chemist
DpObliVion is the one true king of Guru's.
No GSC.

Thanks to Link 1988 might overperform, in that it might only get tripled.
Not_Wylvane
LeonhartFour 5/5/2017 3:55:39 PM#259
The box art was just a red background. The sprites are official artwork but weren't part of the US box art.
Not_Wylvane
WhiteLens 5/5/2017 4:01:59 PM#261
Allen just combined both box arts.

https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/box/6/2/1/3621_front.jpg
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/box/0/2/7/28027_front.jpg

Because you know, it's his favorite game ever.
http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens | http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens
Congrats to the last man standing in Guru, DpObliVion
Why the f*** is Edge #3 behind red-haired Cecil and Rosa. Edge sucks in the original game.
Not_Wylvane
MoogleKupo141 posted...
StealthRUSH posted...
How come my username is not present on Best Year in Gaming Contest Stats page? I've submitted my entry before the deadline with correct personal information, is it just listing 50 users based on what?


it's based on who submitted first


oh ok thanks.
CFN/XBL: PRINCE_H4RMING | PSN: bawitback | GGPO/FC: stealthrush
SFV: Vega/F.A.N.G | USFIV: Vega/Decapre | KOFXIV: Kyo/Kukri/King | KOF02UM: Team Japan
Haste_2 5/5/2017 5:01:24 PM#264
I never created a newb bracket before.

In 2002 I missed creating a bracket, though. I made my own written-down bracket after Morrigan beat Spyro by a margin that blew me away. I heard people on the board talking about TJF. I thought that must be a massive factor. As a result, I had Morrigan beating Mario (because I thought people didn't like Mario), and I had a Lara Croft vs. Samus final.

The worst pick I remember making in recent years is taking Kirby/Meta-Knight over Sonic/Robotnik in the rivals contest. I thought people would love Kirby/Meta-Knight, but I was soooo wrong.
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun. So... what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
I wonder what my worst pick percentage-wise is. I'd have to limit it to 2005 and on because I was an idiot before that. otherwise it's probably Tetris/Zelda.
add the c and back away
iphonesience
My 2006 bracket was literally cancer.

I went in blind.
WhiteLens 5/5/2017 5:19:34 PM#267
I remember that the very first bracket I created in 2003 had Magus winning the whole thing, so yeah....
http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens | http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens
Congrats to the last man standing in Guru, DpObliVion
I just flipped through every oracle pick I've ever made. I have some bad picks but none where I picked a hilarious loser like Kerrigan or No Mercy. in fact, I think the most shocked I've ever been in a contest match is when RBY absolutely demolished Majora. I missed RBY by 13% and Majora by 10% and still ended up pretty high on the leaderboard. yeesh.
xyzzy
My biggest contest failure is looking at Undertale in 2015, considering very strongly if it was going to be the game to catch fire, and then chickening out. I probably win the contest if I'd rolled the dice on that.
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
RBY/Majora is one of those matches where our entire perception of contests changed. It marked the start of Pokemon going nuts. Also set us up for failure due to Majora wrecking 2010 mostly out of nowhere.
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
transience posted...
I just flipped through every oracle pick I've ever made. I have some bad picks but none where I picked a hilarious loser like Kerrigan or No Mercy. in fact, I think the most shocked I've ever been in a contest match is when RBY absolutely demolished Majora. I missed RBY by 13% and Majora by 10% and still ended up pretty high on the leaderboard. yeesh.


Oh god, I remember WWF No Mercy. It was a minority pick in the Oracle, but the WWF No Mercy fans were hyping up that game so much that I was legitimately scared about a potential upset, so I ended up putting in a prediction of just 52.21% for Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
I think 2000 should be okay against 1990, but I really hope it get Pokemon GS in the picture next round.
Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit!
yeah RBY/Majora might be in the top 5 most important matches ever.
xyzzy
reminder that Heroic Mario took Star Ocean over Pokemon
xyzzy
WhiteLens 5/5/2017 5:40:07 PM#275
Where has he been? How is he not around when we have another contest going on?
http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens | http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens
Congrats to the last man standing in Guru, DpObliVion
https://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3486-division-5-round-2-pokemon-zelda-mm-mgs-pokemon-gs

This is one of the most nonsensical results we've ever had. Majora basically got that same result against GSC 1 v 1 a few years later in 2010 when RBY wasn't in the poll anymore. It's really hard to look at that and not imagine that MM boosted by the time 2010 rolled around, which makes me feel a bit better about getting snakebitten by that.

I also remember at the time that people were calling RBY's performance disappointing and an indication it wasn't THAT strong because it couldn't beat MGS, and more or less ignoring what else was in the poll. People were still in Pokeshock by then.
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
Match IX – Round 1 – 1997 vs. 1999

Notable Releases – Adjusted X-Stats (Year)

1997
Games
Castlevania: Symphony of the Night – 31.48% (2015)
Final Fantasy VII – 44.59% (2015)
PaRappa the Rapper
GoldenEye 007 – 30.04% (2015)

Platforms
Game.com

1999
Games
Sonic Adventure
Final Fantasy VIII – 30.52% (2015)
Silent Hill
Planescape: Torment – 12.97% (2015)

Platforms
Dreamcast
Neo Geo Pocket Color

Analysis

1997 is seen as a potential contender at reaching the finals and it isn’t hard to see why. Final Fantasy VII is one of the strongest games in the contest while Castlevania: Symphony of the Night and GoldenEye 007 give it some depth.

On the other side 1999, already a bit of a runt in this decade was given its worst match-up possible. Final Fantasy VIII will likely fold hard against its older brother and without much else to offer, especially without Super Smash Bros. in the poll we should see a blowout.

SFF matches are already hard to predict and with no previous data things are even more difficult. Even without SFF I could see 1997 push for 70% and thus our string of blowouts will continue.

charmander6000’s Bracket: 1997 > 1999

charmander6000’s Prediction: 1997 wins, 78.82% - 21.18%
Best Year in Gaming - Today's Winners: 2001 and 2008
Current Bracket Score: 6/6
Match X – Round 1 – 2007 vs. 2012

Notable Releases – Adjusted X-Stats (Year)

2007
Games
Mass Effect – 27.93% (2015)
Portal – 24.72% (2015)
BioShock – 29.67% (2015)
Super Mario Galaxy – 30.71% (2015)

Platforms
None

2012
Games
Borderlands 2 – 21.33% (2015)
Dishonored
Journey – 14.21% (2015)
Xenoblade Chronicles – 23.73% (2015)

Platforms
Playstation Vita
Wii U

Analysis

2007 is an interesting year, outside of Super Mario Galaxy it does not have the traditional GameFAQs games, but I wouldn’t call the year weak. While the lack of a true anchor prevents 2007 from being a powerhouse the year has a nice group of middle tier games in BioShock, Mass Effect, Portal and Super Mario Galaxy. In a match like this it should be enough to win.

When the contest was announced I expected 2012 to be among the weakest years in the bracket. Like 2007 the year does not have an anchor, but once you start looking at the games it is quite clear it is a step below 2007. At this point GameFAQs pretty much stopped caring about gaming and it was evident during the last games contest with Borderlands 2 and Xenoblade Chronicles losing in the first round to middle tier Nintendo games. We could see some SFF between Super Mario Galaxy and Xenoblade Chronicles. 70% is definitely possible.

charmander6000’s Bracket: 2007 > 2012

charmander6000’s Prediction: 2007 wins, 71.62% - 28.38%
Best Year in Gaming - Today's Winners: 2001 and 2008
Current Bracket Score: 6/6
LeonhartFour 5/5/2017 7:18:16 PM#279
transience posted...
reminder that Heroic Mario took Star Ocean over Pokemon


to be fair we all still thought Pokemon was garbage at that point so it's not quite as egregious as it'd be now
Not_Wylvane posted...
My favorite prediction is nailing both Pikachu > Sora and Mega Man > Charizard in the most recent character battle. Got me tied for second in Guru that year!

e: If I have to pick only one then definitely Mega Man > Charizard. I was one of the few it seemed to take Charizard more at his Kratos match performance than as his Bowser/Mario performances.

e2: As for failed predictions I think I've only ever picked the correct winner like two or three times through every single contest.

Mega Man > Charizard was an upset? I took that without hesitation
DpObliVion, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club
lol xstats
totally - (well, I think it was egregious, but yeah) - but that was more to underscore how crazy the rby/mm match was.
xyzzy
KamikazePotato posted...
https://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3486-division-5-round-2-pokemon-zelda-mm-mgs-pokemon-gs

This is one of the most nonsensical results we've ever had. Majora basically got that same result against GSC 1 v 1 a few years later in 2010 when RBY wasn't in the poll anymore. It's really hard to look at that and not imagine that MM boosted by the time 2010 rolled around, which makes me feel a bit better about getting snakebitten by that.

I also remember at the time that people were calling RBY's performance disappointing and an indication it wasn't THAT strong because it couldn't beat MGS, and more or less ignoring what else was in the poll. People were still in Pokeshock by then.


I remember people being really impressed by RBY there, this was the birth of Pokefear. It had no business beating MM with GSC also leeching it
DpObliVion, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club
lol xstats
Team Rocket Elite 5/5/2017 7:23:31 PM#283
I was so happy Pokemon managed to win that match. Pokemon always looked so bad before that I really thought that it might lose. It would still be many years before I would feel like Pokemon was really strong and here to stay.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
eh, that metroid match was the eye opener for me. maybe not the match that made me think it was top 3 on the site, but that was still a moment.
xyzzy
NeoElfboy 5/5/2017 7:24:31 PM#285
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Mega Man > Charizard was an upset? I took that without hesitation


It was an upset because Zero was in the match too. I think Mega Man would have been the slight favourite otherwise, although Pokemon had been impressing that contest so maybe not.
The RPG Duelling League: www.rpgdl.com
An unparalleled source for RPG information and discussion
LeonhartFour 5/5/2017 7:26:10 PM#286
transience posted...
totally - (well, I think it was egregious, but yeah) - but that was more to underscore how crazy the rby/mm match was.


Yeah, it was still a bad pick, but it was at least slightly more understandable at that point in time.

transience posted...
eh, that metroid match was the eye opener for me. maybe not the match that made me think it was top 3 on the site, but that was still a moment.


I think most of us chalked that up to Metroid being bad more than Pokemon being good, and we wouldn't know otherwise until 2007 because the only Pokemon that got into SC2K6 was...Nidoran F.
LeonhartFour 5/5/2017 7:26:45 PM#287
Team Rocket Elite 5/5/2017 7:26:57 PM#288
Keep in mind Mega Man vs Charizard wasn't a fair fight due to Zero being around and considered a huge leech on Mega Man. And Zero really was a huge leech. Mega Man needed to out rally a Pokemon to take the win in the end.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
LeonhartFour 5/5/2017 7:27:58 PM#289
hey remember when I said Snake would get 45% on Mega Man/Zero in 2008 and BT said he'd be willing to bet his account that wouldn't happen

good times
Team Rocket Elite 5/5/2017 7:28:09 PM#290
https://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3295-division-4-final-crono-l-block-pikachu-alucard

save_us.rat
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
I wish we had a game contest in 2006-2007. things would have been really crazy.

I think the top games on the site were:

1. OOT (but we didn't know yet)
2. FF7
3. Melee
4. LTTP
5. Mario something
6. Chrono Trigger
xyzzy
LeonhartFour 5/5/2017 7:28:47 PM#292
Yeah, Melee would've been insane in 2006. It'd basically have been what R/B/Y is now.
NeoElfboy posted...
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Mega Man > Charizard was an upset? I took that without hesitation


It was an upset because Zero was in the match too. I think Mega Man would have been the slight favourite otherwise, although Pokemon had been impressing that contest so maybe not.

Oh right, forgot about that.
DpObliVion, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club
lol xstats
LeonhartFour posted...
hey remember when I said Snake would get 45% on Mega Man/Zero in 2008 and BT said he'd be willing to bet his account that wouldn't happen

good times

I don't recall ever agreeing to it, just said I was confident enough that I would be willing to. Those topics still archived somewhere?
DpObliVion, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club
lol xstats
LeonhartFour 5/5/2017 7:34:28 PM#295
Yeah, that's why I said you said you'd "be willing" to do it.

Stats topics and Crew topics are all archived, but I don't really want to dig through them and find it.
LeonhartFour posted...
Yeah, that's why I said you said you'd "be willing" to do it.

Stats topics and Crew topics are all archived, but I don't really want to dig through them and find it.

Ya, me either lol
DpObliVion, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club
lol xstats
oh man, I just flipped through the RBY/MM stats topic. it's amazing.

transience | Posted 4/22/2009 9:01:48 PM | message detail
someone archive this topic.
---
xyzzy
xyzzy
spooky96 5/5/2017 8:53:19 PM#298
lol
Congrats DpObliVion for wrecking gurus
From the place of your birth to the ends of the Earth~
KamikazePotato posted...
My biggest contest failure is looking at Undertale in 2015, considering very strongly if it was going to be the game to catch fire, and then chickening out. I probably win the contest if I'd rolled the dice on that.

Mine is Melee in 2004. I knew the order that FFX/GTA:VC/MGS2 would come in, but I wasn't sure where Melee would drop. I took MGS2 over Melee because I knew the PS2 was way stronger than the GameCube, but I knew Melee was a threat.

If I take Melee to win, I win the contest outright. I probably make the leaderboard if I just take it to beat Vice City. Augh.
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for 2017 Guru champion.
KamikazePotato posted...
https://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3486-division-5-round-2-pokemon-zelda-mm-mgs-pokemon-gs

This is one of the most nonsensical results we've ever had. Majora basically got that same result against GSC 1 v 1 a few years later in 2010 when RBY wasn't in the poll anymore. It's really hard to look at that and not imagine that MM boosted by the time 2010 rolled around, which makes me feel a bit better about getting snakebitten by that.

I also remember at the time that people were calling RBY's performance disappointing and an indication it wasn't THAT strong because it couldn't beat MGS, and more or less ignoring what else was in the poll. People were still in Pokeshock by then.

Weren't there people who predicted PokePower? I think Ulti was one of them. I certainly wasn't!

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