GameFAQs Contests

MGS2 has recovered a bit.

I'd still take it over the GTA games, while it is sticking out console SFF/LFF is a thing and MGS2 was never the type of game that had rabid fans.

When all was said and done, GTA5 actually looked pretty good last contest. It would have been competitive against MGS2 last year. I don't have nearly as much respect for the other GTA games, though.

San Andreas is the biggest mystery. It always looks like the strongest GTA in POTDs and the weakest in contests.

well I guess it's not too mysterious if we accept RacistFAQs as a real thing

LeonhartFour posted...

San Andreas is the biggest mystery. It always looks like the strongest GTA in POTDs and the weakest in contests.

I can't imagine San Andreas being weaker than GTA III in the contests based on this poll result. From the last contest, we only got to see Vice City, San Andreas, and V in action. III and IV did not qualify for the bracket.

GTA also is the best selling of the bunch by a landslide so it doing well in a 10 game poll doesn't surprise me

(Gran Turismo has a lot of sales too but Racing Sims don't really need FAQs)

Guess this explains pretty well why GTA III didn't make the bracket.

To be fair GTA3 has its two worst opponents in the poll. While the game has a lot of respect in the series it would be hard to find a lot of people saying it was their favourite game. It would be like calling Super Mario Bros. weak because it got crushed in a poll with Super Mario Bros. 3 and Super Mario World

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3502-contest-quarterfinal-smb-1-zelda-i-smb-3-smw

Just for comparison's sake.

According to my adjusted x-stat from last contest:

Final Fantasy X34.48
Kingdom Hearts31.08406576
Metal Gear Solid 228.86813516
GTA: Vice City24.597216
GTA: San Andreas23.28998379
Final Fantasy XII22.9403196

I don't think these predicted results would change, personally.

The GameFAQs homepage is completely dead right now. The funny thing is the homepage died right when the new PotD went up. You can still vote in the new PotD from the main boards page.

As a result of the homepage being broken, we can see the effect it has on the vote totals for today's poll. With the homepage dead, today's poll has received just 19 votes in the first 5 minutes. This suggests that a very large majority of the votes come from the homepage and the addition of the poll to the main boards page has almost no effect on helping out the vote totals. I have no idea how many votes this poll would have gotten in the first 5 minutes if the homepage worked just fine, but it seems like less than 10% of all votes come from the main boards page.

Even if we assumed there was a slight increase in the number of people voting in the poll while the homepage was broken, the overall percentage of votes coming from the boards page would still be under 10%. If I made an assumption that today's poll would have gotten 240 votes at the freeze if the homepage wasn't broken, this leads to a rough estimate of 8% of all votes coming from the main boards page.

The homepage got fixed a few minutes ago. I didn't expect the homepage to remain dead for any extended period of time. In the long run, this will ultimately have no effect on the final vote totals for today.

I'm relieved.

Today's poll is going to be a snooze fest:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/6501-

Resident Evil is easily going to win this poll.

Yikes, terrible vote totals in this poll so far. 179 votes at the freeze.

Five Nights At Freddy's might win if this were a Youtube poll, or a poll with a younger audience, but as is, no one can come close to Resident Evil/

I say this as someone with no particular caring for any of these games, but Five Nights at Freddy's doing this badly really shows how old/niche GameFAQs has become. There aren't too many places you could hold this poll and have it finish last.

Yeah, I was surprised recently to see all the merchandise 5NaF had at GameStop recently. I watched some of it streamed earlier today for my first time...seemed alright.

Bump

Today's poll will be a battle between FFXV and Pokemon Sun/Moon.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/6504-

I figure if Pokemon Sun/Moon can't win this poll, it probably won't win GotY unless FFXV ends up being a disappointment when people finally get to play the full game.

Damn, Pokemon Sun/Moon unable to hold the lead over FFXV at the freeze.

Is there anything else that can really compete for GotY? Seemed like a weak year as far as the types of games GameFAQs users gravitate to.

These were the top games from the first half of this year:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/6381-

From that poll, I guess only Uncharted 4 and Dark Souls III have any serious chance of making a run for GotY and they will probably be at a disadvantage since they came out earlier in the year. From the second half, we only have FFXV and Pokemon Sun/Moon. December is unlikely to provide us with any GotY candidates.

I learned there's a new Mario Party, thanks poll

Unless FF15 gets huge praise I'm predicting Dark Souls 3 for GotY, with maybe an outside shot for Sun/Moon.

Sun & Moon is probably my favorite, unless as you say, FFXV gets huge praise.

Sun/Moon is now getting destroyed by FFXV now. The final lead should be at least 1000 votes or more after Sun/Moon had a lead for 3 hours, 10 minutes total (FFXV barely had a lead at the board vote and didn't have the lead again until 3:20 AM).

FFXV has more potential to be a disappointment than Sun/Moon. These 2 games are being released only 12 days apart, so neither game will have an advantage in GotY in terms of when the game was released during the year. Although Sun/Moon coming out before FFXV might help out Sun/Moon as the people planning to buy both games will get a chance to play Sun/Moon before FFXV is out. FFXV is going to be a larger scale game than Sun/Moon, so that could have hurt Sun/Moon if you swapped the release dates for the 2 games.

bump

ya go my tails

-LusterSoldier- posted...

December is unlikely to provide us with any GotY candidates.

No faith in Lost Guardian?

EPIC POLL ALERT

An age poll has been scheduled for November 6th. This poll will fall on the same day that DST ends, meaning this poll will either last 25 hours (if Allen remembers to set up the November 7th poll to start at 12:00 AM EST) or 24 hours (ending at 11:00 PM EST due to a glitch).

Zylothewolf posted...

No faith in Lost Guardian?

The actual name of the game is "The Last Guardian".

Today's pool is stupid. It strongly depends on the game. New Super Mario Bros can only have so many levels before it becomes too much and the amount it had its good, but I wouldn't want The Witcher 3 to be any shorter and those two games are many hours apart.

At 1:00 AM in the 2015 age poll, the average age was 26.62. At that same time in today's poll, the average age is 27.82.

Over the course of the night vote, we should see the average age go over 28 at some point. Vote totals are again quite high for the age poll, with 2207 votes at the end of the first hour (putting us on track for 21000 to 23000 votes).

This poll falls on an odd day, with the DST switch happening for most of North America. Prior to the March 2015 DST switch, polls used to run for 25 hours when they fall on the November DST switch or 23 hours if they fall on the March DST switch. However, that occurrence was more of a byproduct of GameFAQs's poor DST coding. At some point between the November 2014 and March 2015 DST switch, Devin finally got around to fixing the terrible DST code that GameFAQs uses. Starting with the March 2015 DST switch, the poll that falls on the March DST switch runs for 24 hours instead of 23 hours, but the poll ends at 1:00 AM instead. All future polls end up starting at 1:00 AM unless Allen manually fixes that (we still get a 23 hour poll when he manually fixes that). The November DST switch now produces a 24 hour poll, but it ends at 11:00 PM instead. Future polls will start at 11:00 PM unless Allen manually fixes that, and we still end up getting a 25 hour poll whenever the poll starting time is moved back to 12:00 AM.

In a few minutes from now, we'll know whether or not Allen remembered to set up the next poll to start at 12:00 AM EST or if the next poll starts at 11:00 PM instead. As of right now, it seems likely this poll will end up with an average age of 28.44 unless this poll runs for an extra hour (closing at 12:00 AM). When the poll ends, I'll update the Board 8 wiki page on the average age subject.

Edit: Looks like the age poll will indeed run for one more hour. This will allow the poll to break 24000 votes with the extra hour.

@AxemRedRanger @red_sox_777


With another age poll out of the way, the site continues to grow even older. The average age has increased from 27.31 to 28.44 from the 2015 to 2016 age polls. Unlike with the large increase in average age between the 2014 and 2015 age polls (an age increase of 686 days over a 474 day period), the average age increase between the 2015 and 2016 age polls was smaller this time around. The 2016 age poll happened 465 days after the 2015 age poll, but the average age of the site increased by only 412 days in that time period.

In terms of the average date of birth, this has improved slightly since the last age poll. In the 2015 age poll, the average date of birth went backwards by about 7 months compared to the 2014 age poll. In the 2016 age poll, the average date of birth moved forward again by 53 days (4/13/1988 to 6/5/1988).

Vote totals were also quite high as usual for the age poll in comparison to our average vote totals. The lower limit for age poll territory vote totals is a poll that receives at least 35% higher vote totals when compared to average vote totals. A typical age poll will be somewhere in the 39% to 45% higher than average vote totals. This year's age poll pulled in vote totals that were 49.89% higher than average, but that was with the extra hour included (this was a 25 hour poll). If we ignored the final hour and only looked at the vote totals at the 24 hour mark, this poll brought in vote totals of 46.74% above average. This is still quite impressive even if this age poll only ran for 24 hours.


Board 8 wiki page for Average Age has been updated:

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Average_Age

Poll updates and trend charts for yesterday's age poll:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1HV4CyRUG_MRsNIiwi1K6rYAsuKYHCTilC5fM4P3bee4/pub?gid=567384368

Average date of birth went backwards by 7 months in 2015? No wonder CT got a big boost. Well, I guess moving 53 days forward, while a pretty good thing, probably won't lead to too significant shift.

Tomorrow's poll - Who do you most want to win today's US presidential election?

This will be a re-run of the same poll we had in 2012, except replace Barack Obama and Mitt Romney with Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. At this point, we have no idea if this will be a 1v1 poll or if Allen will include other options for third party candidates (due to the high unfavorable ratings for the 2 main candidates).

Usually I wouldn't do an contest match style analysis for a regular PotD, but I'll be doing that for tomorrow's poll. I already posted this analysis in the politics topic, but I guess I'll post it here as well.


Luster Soldier's Analysis

11/8/2016 - Who do you most want to win today's US presidential election?

This is a re-run of the 2012 poll, which saw Obama pull in 78.33% vs. Romney. My analysis of this poll assumes tomorrow will be a 1v1 poll, as the high unfavorable ratings of the 2 main candidates may cause Allen to throw in some additional options for third party candidates.

Several months before the Obama/Romney 1v1 poll, we had this poll related to political affiliation:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4813-

The 2 conservative options combined for 19.78% (Romney got 21.67% in the 1v1 poll against Obama). The 2 liberal options combined for 41.41%. The 78.33% received by Obama in the 2012 poll could have been accomplished by pulling in 14746 out of the 15499 total votes for the "Moderate" option from that political affiliation poll, assuming Obama also receives 100% of the votes from the 2 liberal options. People viewing themselves as "Moderate" in that GameFAQs poll heavily favored Obama.

For the 2016 election poll that GameFAQs is running tomorrow, I am going to guess that political affiliation will be a less accurate predictor as to how someone will vote in the GameFAQs poll. Mostly due to Donald Trump being a non-traditional Republican and also from both candidates have high unfavorable ratings. It probably won't be too likely that everyone who voted for one of the 2 liberal options will actually vote for Hillary Clinton at a 100% rate, and the same goes for Donald Trump among those who voted for one of the 2 conservative options.

Another factor that could affect the final result of this 1v1 poll is the potential of a rally. Already, there has been talk of getting a rally going for this poll. A rally in a regular PotD is not an unusual occurrence, though it rarely happens. The last major rally in a regular PotD was some Mass Effect 3 poll where outside forces hijacked the poll to alter the result in their favor (the poll was about the game's ending) and the rally for that poll brought in about 12500 extra votes.

Geolocation trends would be quite interesting to see for this poll. Romney won only a single state (Utah) from the 2012 poll and it would be interesting to see if Donald Trump can win at least one state (maybe even more than one). However, if a rally happens, this would taint the Geolocation results and not give us a clear picture as to what the results would have been without the rally. If the rally occurs later in the poll after we've gotten a chance to see what the untainted results would have looked like, we would still get some idea of which US states would have supported Trump with only our natural GameFAQs voters.

Overall, I don't think Hillary Clinton is going to outdo Obama's percentage from the 2012 poll. That's even if we don't have a rally. But if there's a rally, Hillary Clinton will easily underperform Obama's percentage.

Luster Soldier's Prediction: Hillary Clinton - 67.74%

Looks like there's a joke option on the poll this time.

Aw yea giant meteor.

The obvious question that needs to be asked: Who is getting hit harder by Giant Meteor LFF, Clinton or Trump?

Wow, the joke option actually went up in percentage after the freeze.

Gotta root for the meteor.

-LusterSoldier- posted...

Wow, the joke option actually went up in percentage after the freeze.

Actually, I was wrong about that. I saw the huge percentage drop for Clinton and thought the Giant Meteor went up in percentage. It actually went down a bit on the second update, but went back up on the third update.


It would be interesting to see Geolocation trends for this poll once enough votes have come in to establish whether or not countries outside the US have the same general opinion towards the 2 main candidates that the US has.

The vote totals for this poll are also quite high. Early vote totals so far put this poll on track to surpass 20000 votes.

A vote for Giant Meteor is like a vote for Sephiroth, so no wonder it's in the lead.

I'm going to use this poll as "proof" for my friends to show them what USA really wants.

Electoral college:

Giant Meteor: 451 (all except those below)
Hillary Clinton: 79 (AK, CT, DC, HI, MA, MT, NH NV, OH, OK, VA)
Donald Trump: 8 (LA)

Oxbridge posted...

Electoral college:

Giant Meteor: 451 (all except those below)
Hillary Clinton: 79 (AK, CT, DC, HI, MA, MT, NH NV, OH, OK, VA)
Donald Trump: 8 (LA)

5 hours later...

Giant Meteor: 485 (all except those below)
Hillary Clinton: 50 (AK, CT, DC, HI, KS, MA, MT, ND, NH, NV)
Donald Trump: 3 (DE)

Yes, Trump is somehow winning Delaware...

Final Electoral College

Giant Meteor: 511 (all except those below)
Hillary Clinton: 37 (DC, HI, KS, MA, NH, NV, VT)
Donald Trump: 0

Congratulations, President Meteor!

Poll updates and trend charts for yesterday's poll:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aDApdprRZb-o9_6J92CCMF3lHkuTNluJLhFZ5E4AWE8/pub?gid=1433233704

Surprisingly, most of these trends aren't too interesting at all.

Donald Trump performed best during the Power Hour and ASV. He performed worst during the night vote and morning vote, but the overall trends have very little variation over the course of the entire poll.

Gary Johnsonshowed some noticeable trends, starting off the poll with a bad Power Hour, night vote, and early morning vote. He performed much better during the late morning vote, ASV, and SNV.

Hillary Clinton had a strong board vote, but the Power Hour as a whole was her worst time period. She also had a bad night vote and ASV, but she performed best during the morning vote and SNV.

Giant Meteor had a terrible board vote and SNV and also had a below average morning vote and ASV. It performed best during the Power Hour and night vote. Giant Meteor reached a maximum percentage of 42.32% at 5:50 AM. After that point in time, Giant Meteor went on to lose exactly 2.00% over the remainder of the poll to finish with a final percentage of 40.32%.



The vote totals for this poll were quite strong. The vote totals for this poll were roughly 35% above average, which puts this poll just barely into age poll territory in terms of vote totals.

The Geolocation trends were quite interesting. In the US, Kansas was the only state she won that she didn't win in the actual election. All of the other states she won were also the same states she won in the election. Giant Meteor performed slightly over 3% worse in the US compared to the rest of the world. Outside the US, Giant Meteor performed better. Donald Trump, Gary Johnson, and Hillary Clinton performed better in the US compared to the rest of the world. Jill Stein did better outside the US compared to her US percentage. Evan McMullin performed best in the US state of Utah (no surprise there) and the second best performance came from Idaho (another state with a high Mormon population).

Out of countries with more than 15 votes, Donald Trump's best performance was in Russia. Hillary Clinton didn't get a single vote from Russia. Out of major countries, Donald Trump's worst performances were in Mexico, Columbia, Venezuela, France, and South Korea. Hillary Clinton did best in US, UK, Mexico, Venezuela, and Italy.

Bump