The_Ctes 1/10/2017 9:59:56 PM#451
Isn't that on the very last hour of a potential final, final poll?

Anyway, seriously, UC4 is not holding back FFXV. Quit thinking there exists something like that.
Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
Yes, it would be the final hour of a Final, Final poll. The only way the final hour could affect things is if Pokemon Sun/Moon just barely had a lead over FFXV heading into the final hour.

Anyways, 1697 votes at the end of the first hour. This poll will be on track to finish between 17000 and 20000 votes. The higher than expected upper bound takes into consideration potential rallying for this poll.
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pjbasis 1/10/2017 10:13:40 PM#453
Based on trends, it absolutely has a shot to win today's poll. The rally potential of Pokemon is the only major thorn in FFXV's side that could halt its chances of winning today.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
The_Ctes 1/10/2017 10:41:30 PM#455
Miracle UC4 rally, let's go.
Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
The_Ctes 1/10/2017 11:20:23 PM#456
So while Pokemon is winning updates here and there, it seems inevitable that FFXV will take the lead at some point soon.

I'm not at all strong on GotY trends, but how close does it need to be for Pokemon to come back again with the day vote?
Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
In yesterday's poll, Pokemon appeared to lose the day vote to FFXV. FFXV gained about 2% during the morning vote and day vote combined.

Pokemon doesn't have the same kind of day vote you would expect from Zelda or Smash Bros.
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The_Ctes 1/10/2017 11:39:50 PM#458
No, but I would've really thought that it would still be significantly better in NA than Europe.
Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
ctesjbuvf 1/11/2017 2:28:09 AM#459
Pokemon's stalling game is pretty impressive.
No matter your determination, you will never be good enough to be both the Last Man Standing and the top Guru in 2015 like DpOblivion!
Although that huge 21 vote cut might mean FFXV takes the lead before the end of this hour. This is the hour where FFXV has finally started making some actual progress in cutting through the lead.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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ctesjbuvf 1/11/2017 2:37:42 AM#461
Well, we're deep in to the dead hours by now, but morning should come soon enough, which at least judging by the map should help out Pokemon.
No matter your determination, you will never be good enough to be both the Last Man Standing and the top Guru in 2015 like DpOblivion!
In theory, you would expect the morning vote to favor Pokemon Sun/Moon again because they're leading in the US/Canada/Mexico and also because of Asia's voting influence becoming less important as they start going to sleep in a few hours. From yesterday's poll, what ended up happening is FFXV gained a lot of percentage in the US/Canada/Mexico during the morning vote in sharp contrast to the early voting from those countries. This change in voting from the US/Canada/Mexico enabled FFXV to gain about 2% during the morning and day vote combined.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
ctesjbuvf 1/11/2017 2:45:43 AM#463
How close were Sun and Moon to Final Fantasy XV at this point of the poll yesterday?
No matter your determination, you will never be good enough to be both the Last Man Standing and the top Guru in 2015 like DpOblivion!
At 5:45 AM EST, FFXV had 20.43%. It finished the poll with 22.37%, a gain of almost 2% over what it at this point yesterday. This was mostly driven by changes in how the US/Canada/Mexico voted vs. how they voted during the first few hours of the poll.
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ctesjbuvf 1/11/2017 2:52:34 AM#465
What about Sun and Moon?

I have a difficult time wrapping my head around that having the region mostly responsible for your success wake up be a bad thing, but maybe FFXV is just flat out the stronger game outside of the power hour.
No matter your determination, you will never be good enough to be both the Last Man Standing and the top Guru in 2015 like DpOblivion!
Sun/Moon did lose some percentage, but it was less than 1% overall in the actual results. At 6:00 AM in yesterday's poll, Sun/Moon had 18.63% in the US and finished with a final percentage of 17.25%. A similar thing happened in Mexico (28.26% at 6:00 AM down to 20.34% by the end of the poll). Surprisingly, Sun/Moon gained percentage in Canada after 6:00 AM (from 13.26% to 14.01% by the end of the poll).
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Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
abdou 1/11/2017 6:59:57 AM#467
Pokemon took the lead.
...
ctesjbuvf 1/11/2017 10:25:55 AM#468
Well, looks like what I said was true. Wonder what the hell was up yesterday then.
No matter your determination, you will never be good enough to be both the Last Man Standing and the top Guru in 2015 like DpOblivion!
Not_Wylvane 1/11/2017 12:19:36 PM#469
Weak field or no, at least the final poll is one hell of a match.
Not_Wylvane
ctesjbuvf posted...
Well, looks like what I said was true. Wonder what the hell was up yesterday then.


Trends appear to be slightly different today. Although Sun/Moon has lost some percentage in the US during the morning/day vote, FFXV also hasn't gained much at the same time.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
The lead has stalled at around 100 for hours.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the guru.
charmander6000 posted...
The lead has stalled at around 100 for hours.


BARRIERS are strong today.
pjbasis 1/11/2017 2:29:28 PM#473
Does the SNV still favor FF or even exist?
swirIdude 1/11/2017 2:56:31 PM#475
LeonhartFour posted...
charmander6000 posted...
The lead has stalled at around 100 for hours.


BARRIERS are strong today.


Allen will just tell us that everything is legit instead of punishing George Romero.
"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
Now owned by DpOblivion.

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1/11/2017 3:14:24 PM#476
SM's lead is down to 59 votes.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
God dammit I'm to old to actually care about this....

It's not even a contest match..

Still keep checking how FFXV is doing...
Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. DpOblivion > Me
(edited 1/11/2017 3:23:22 PM)report
The_Ctes 1/11/2017 3:26:04 PM#478
The more percentage Uncharted gets, the better.
Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
Whoever wins, the loser stuffed at a 2:1 ratio
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1/11/2017 7:12:17 PM#480
FF15 leads by 1. Did it make its move too soon?
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!

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1/11/2017 7:31:16 PM#482
FF15 dropped off that update at the same time SM spiked. SM back with a 15 vote lead.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
f***ing Uncharted being in the way.
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spooky96 1/11/2017 7:58:08 PM#485
Trust me, in a 1v1 FF 15 beats SM
Congrats DpObliVion for wrecking gurus
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1/11/2017 7:58:58 PM#486
Maybe we'll find out tomorrow. (We won't)
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
One hour remains in the poll and Pokemon Sun/Moon is down to a 1 vote lead.
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_Dog 1/11/2017 8:01:58 PM#488
Looks like Pokémon Sun and Moon is pulling off an Ash Ketchum. Seems like FFXV has got this.
Corrin was a mistake.
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1/11/2017 8:06:11 PM#489
FF15 leads by 4 votes. Still a bit too soon. Pokemon still has plenty of time to counterattack.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
abdou 1/11/2017 8:17:14 PM#490
this match make me want a contest.
...

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1/11/2017 8:26:08 PM#491
FF15 fell off a lot there and SM takes back the lead.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
LeonhartFour posted...
Uncharted being there doesn't actually matter.

Sore thumb and such.
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
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Down to one!
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
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spooky96 1/11/2017 8:36:24 PM#494
Its like you just can't know who's gonna take the last update
Congrats DpObliVion for wrecking gurus
From the place of your birth to the ends of the Earth~

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1/11/2017 8:36:30 PM#495
Votes per 5 minutes noticeable higher for both SM and FF15 for the last two updates.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
spooky96 posted...
Its like you just can't know who's gonna take the last update

Oh come on, we all know Pokemon will rally late. Mega Man beating Charizard was a miracle because everyone assumed Charizard would godmode late.
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Hey Luster, what's the poll tomorrow? Any chance of a 1v1 rerun?
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spooky96 1/11/2017 8:39:20 PM#498
UltimaterializerX posted...
spooky96 posted...
Its like you just can't know who's gonna take the last update

Oh come on, we all know Pokemon will rally late. Mega Man beating Charizard was a miracle because everyone assumed Charizard would godmode late.


That was one of best match of the contest.
Congrats DpObliVion for wrecking gurus
From the place of your birth to the ends of the Earth~

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1/11/2017 8:39:45 PM#499
Looking at the FF15 and Pokemon SM GameFAQs boards, it sort of feels like the FF15 fanbase wants this more.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
Play Final Fantasy 15.
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