GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1262
Game of the Year polls! These are legitimately really fun. Also I'm adding a couple abbreviations and fixing a couple typos if that's okay. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis, and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings (X-Stats) - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. LPF - Last Place Factor, which a term used in matches that have three or four entrants. Usually when there is an obvious choice for last place, that entrant performs weaker than usual since voters are smart enough these dates to put their votes on something that matters. A good example is Link/Shepard/Draven. ASV - After school vote, which is usually the biggest trend in a poll other than the first hour and the morning vote. --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru! (edited 12/31/2015 10:41:14 PM)report |
UltimaterializerX posted... LFF - Last Place Factor, which a term used in matches that have three or four entrants. Usually when there is an obvious choice for last place, that entrant performs weaker than usual since voters are smart enough these dates to put their votes on something that matters. A good example is Link/Shepard/Draven. I am not sure exactly what you meant here. "Last Place Factor" would be abbreviated as LPF instead of LFF (one letter difference). LFF is a term that refers to the impact of 2 or more entrants of the same fanbase has on a match featuring more than 2 entrants. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
Thanks for that, Luster --- http://myanimelist.net/profile/angryaria <Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!! |
AppIekidjosh posted... Thanks for that, Luster This but unironically. --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru! |
Vote Rocket League --- Your new reigning and defending Guru Champion, DpObliVion! |
Here's to hoping Splatoon has a better performance for GotY than it did in the contest. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! DpObliVion is the new greatone. Congratulations to our Guru overlord. |
*tag* --- What's wrong with the world these days is people don't have any common sense. http://i.imgur.com/4p4wGOs.png |
_SecretSquirrel posted... Here's to hoping Splatoon has a better performance for GotY than it did in the contest. The only real competition for Splatoon in the Wii U poll will be Super Mario Maker and Splatoon definitely isn't a lock to win that poll. I would probably lean towards Super Mario Maker winning that poll, but it won't be running away with the poll. Super Mario Maker also finished higher in the final x-stats than Splatoon, so we'll how much that holds up in the Wii U poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
Gonna say it again. Chrono Trigger: Uncrowned contest winner. --- Give me kuribo's shoe or give me death! - transcience Mario 3 > Pokemon R/B/Y/G - Vote quality over nostalgia! |
What
happened to the real LFF, Leech Fanbase Factor, probably the most
important term of all from 2007-2009? Did we take it off the first post
in the belief/hope that 4-ways would never return? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Yeah, my thought there was more, "LPF? Kind of weird that that makes the cut over LFF." >_> --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
LPF is also irrelevant without multiway polls, so --- Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit! |
So I beat Mass Effect 3 today. Back when SBAllen had announced the "Worst Character Ever" contest, was there a push to get --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] [NO DpObliVion NO PEACE] |
I'd have been opposed to it simply because of spoilers. but then we have precedent for those not mattering in contests --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
xp1337 posted... I'd have been opposed to it simply because of spoilers. LOL Mithos --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
lol indeed --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
To
follow up on Ngamer's thoughts from the last topic, this year probably
has a more extreme version of what we saw with Dark Souls 2 against
South Park: Stick of Truth last year. While I'm fine with two
multi-platform polls and an exclusives poll to better settle this, I
also liked 2012's system of doing it by genre. --- DpObliVion wins the contest and fills you with determination. My bracket had a bad time. |
I
also liked the 2012 system because we got to avoid having a Mobile poll
which would get maybe 8000 votes today (based on last year's Mobile
poll and factoring in the vote total drop-off over the past year). Also, since 2015 has officially come to an end, here is an update on our average vote totals by year: 1999 - 4408 2000 - 7062 2001 - 14019 2002 - 34435 2003 - 55397 2004 - 54598 2005 - 56643 2006 - 74644 2007 - 87908 2008 - 91112 2009 - 85797 2010 - 72588 2011 - 56882 2012 - 42981 2013 - 36506 2014 - 27323 2015 - 21162 --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
Those those numbers include contest polls? --- My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion. Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest! |
No, regular polls only. I ignored contest polls, since they would throw off the averages by a lot. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
Oh boy, a heated Wii U poll. Super Mario Maker and Splatoon both seemed to do well with the early vote here. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
Xenoblade is making a run at Super Mario Maker. --- Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the guru. |
Xenoblade
Chronicles X way up on the second update, Splatoon and Super Mario
Maker drop off. Xenoblade has made this poll interesting now, as it
could threaten Super Mario Maker overnight. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
It
just occurred to me that we might actually get better vote totals on
the GotY polls if people didn't view them as regular PotDs (and thus,
ignoring them completely). Because of this, I actually recommend
replacing the standard "Poll of the Day" header text above the poll
question with something that says "Game of the Year Awards" or something
similar to that. Here is a mock-up screenshot of what my proposal
would look like: http://i.imgur.com/0UqBRmf.png For the entire duration of the GotY polls, I feel the standard "Poll of the Day" header text should be replaced with something else completely, so people no longer view these polls as regular PotDs anymore. This could possibly boost vote totals. It's no secret that the GotY polls receive very poor treatment from Allen as nothing is really done to promote these polls among the general GameFAQs community. Sites like GameSpot and IGN simply do a better job getting their own communities to participate in their yearly Game of the Year polls (which doesn't override the official awards handed out by the GameSpot and IGN staff). --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
Man. This is a weak poll. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
3 options all under 0.6% is pretty incredible! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
These votes are so pathetic! And a non 1st party game wins? Man! --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? 124 Gurus were better than me in BGE 2015 contest! But the best of all was DpObliVion! Congrats! |
I wondered if XCX will look weaker than SMM due to SMM splitting votes with Splatoon here, but maybe not... http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5915-which-scheduled-big-name-2015-release-are-you-most-looking ...either way, XCX looks unlikely to win the final-GotY poll. Witcher 3 already more than doubled Splatoon here (and suggested Witcher 3 will beat Bloodborne later too)... http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/6198-best-of-2015-wii-u ...and I don't trust XCX after GOTY 2010 2011 2012 2015's past performances. Xenoblade and its characters never got out of the first round, and Xenoblade's runner-up for GotY in 2012 looks worse when we saw how all the 2012-games looked in our last contest*. Throw in the SMM-comparison and being a Wii U-exclusive, and I don't like its chances. * --- DpObliVion wins the contest and fills you with determination. My bracket had a bad time. |
XCX will be lucky to make the top 5 this year, honestly. Hell, unrallied Undertale could probably beat it. --- Got wrecked in the Guru by the dastardly DpObliVion! |
Regarding
the CT/Melee discussion in the last topic - BT, there is no way CT
would've finished under 63% there without a rally. CT is not the board
vote wonder it used to be, and Melee has quasi-joke trends. Leon is right that KH2 shows Melee and FFX aren't far apart. People may accuse him of bias but he's the most objective guy here when he isn't joking around. Anyone have the raw stats? And maybe a spreadsheet I could upload, allowing people to make their own adjustments? |
I've still got a copy of the raw stats. I forgot to send you the RR and CBIX X-Stats, too, so I guess I could go ahead and send you those as well. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
LeonhartFour posted... I've still got a copy of the raw stats. Great! :) |
Sent. KP also made a set of adjusted X-Stats if you want to use them: http://pastebin.com/GLPUVj5x --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Xbox
One poll today and somehow Rare Replay is currently winning. I'm
hoping this is only the board vote, because I don't think Rare Replay is
going to hold on to win this poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
Still no Life is Strange sightings --- "He thinks he owns the place just because he owns the place" - Okarin |
Let's go Rare Replay. --- Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the guru. |
lol at these votals --- ... |
Do it gamefaqs. Fall prey to your deepest urges and have Rare Replay win Game of the Year. You know you want to! --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] [NO DpObliVion NO PEACE] |
Rare
Replay falls below 20% by the end of the board vote. Considering the
strong night vote for The Witcher 3 in both its contest matches and the
PS4 GotY poll, I expect The Witcher 3 to take the lead eventually and
hold the lead to win this poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
Rare Replay is the type of game GameFAQs would vote for. New games? What are those? --- Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the guru. |
Who chose these options Why are MGS5 and DS2 here and not Halo did I miss something --- satoru iwata (edited 1/2/2016 9:07:25 PM)report |
...if
Rare Replay actually wins this, I'm afraid to rule it out of winning
GotY. It wouldn't act the same as Bloodborne for PS4, anyway. OldFAQs will not be denied, even on new systems with bad reputations! --- DpObliVion wins the contest and fills you with determination. My bracket had a bad time. |
Rare Replay loses about 1% on that update, but Fallout 4 really stormed back on that update. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
Tag --- Congratulations to DpObliVion, the 2k15 BGE Guru champ! |
ZFS posted... Who chose these options Oh man. I heard Halo 5 didn't get the same sales or acclaim as before, but to be snubbed for Dark Knight? Ouch. --- DpObliVion wins the contest and fills you with determination. My bracket had a bad time. |
I voted for Rare Replay because I checked the results and thought it was funny that it was in the lead --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
