GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1261
http://static.giantbomb.com/uploads/original/0/498/184034-the_legend_of_zelda___ocarina_of_time.jpg ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- This is Yesmar Congrats to BGE 3 Guru Winner *DPOblivion*! |
go go Mario RPG --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form |
Here's the top 20, this is going to take a while Top 20 Biggest Blowouts 1. LoZ: Ocarina of Time 91.03% vs. Hearthstone 8.97% - Round 1 82.06% 2. LoZ: Link to the Past 88.02% vs. Cave Story 11.98% - Round 1 76.04% 3. Chrono Trigger 85.85% vs. Ratchet & Clank: UYA 14.15% - Round 1 71.70% 4. Super Mario Bros. 3 84.17% vs. Age of Empires II 15.83% - Round 1 68.34% 5. Final Fantasy VII 84.07% vs. Journey 15.93% - Round 1 68.14% 6. Chrono Trigger 81.93% vs. Dragon Quest VIII 18.07% - Round 2 63.86% 7. Super Mario 64 80.04% vs. Mario Kart 8 19.96% - Round 1 60.08% 8. Super Metroid 79.46% vs. CoD4: Modern Warfare 20.54% - Round 1 58.92% 9. Mass Effect 2 79.08% vs. ZE: Virtues Last Reward 20.92% - Round 1 58.16% 10. Metal Gear Solid 79.07% vs. Splatoon 20.93% - Round 1 58.14% 11. Super Smash Bros. Wii U 79.05% vs. Planescape: Torment 20.95% Round 1 58.10% 12. Final Fantasy VII 78.21% vs. Halo 21.79% - Round 2 56.42% 13. Pokemon RBYG 78.04% vs. Sonic 2 21.96% - Round 3 56.08% 14. SMT: Persona 4 77.80% vs. 9 Hours, 9 Persons, 9 Doors 22.20% - Round 1 55.60% 15. Final Fantasy VI 77.03% vs. Assassins Creed II 22.97% - Round 1 54.06% 16. LoZ: Ocarina of Time 76.89% vs. Suikoden II 23.11% - Round 2 53.78% 17. Pokemon GSC 76.63% vs. The World Ends With You 23.37% - Round 1 53.26% 18. LoZ: Majoras Mask 75.89% vs. Valkyria Chronicles 24.11% - Round 1 51.78% 19. Castlevania: SotN 74.99% vs. Phoenix Wright: AA T&T 25.01% - Round 1 49.98% 20. Starcraft 74.49% vs. Destiny 25.51% - Round 1 48.98% |
Top 20 Largest Vote Gaps 1. Pokemon RBYG 72487 vs. Sonic 2 20395 Round 3 52092 2. LoZ: Ocarina of Time 36560 vs. Hearthstone 3604 Round 1 32956 3. LoZ: Ocarina of Time 60157 vs. Super Mario RPG 29129 Round 6 31028 4. Super Mario World 52479 vs. Final Fantasy VIII 24416 Round 2 28063 5. LoZ: Link to the Past 32386 vs. Cave Story 4410 Round 1 27976 6. Chrono Trigger 33415 vs. Ratchet & Clank: UYA 5506 Round 1 27909 7. Chrono Trigger 34045 vs. Dragon Quest VIII 7507 Round 2 26538 8. Super Mario Bros. 3 32381 vs. Age of Empires II 6091 Round 1 26289 9. Final Fantasy VII 31574 vs. Journey 5985 Round 1 25589 10. Super Mario World 40067 vs. Animal Crossing: NL 14616 Round 1 25451 11. Super Mario 64 69099 vs. TESV: Skyrim 43688 Round 4 25411 12. Sonic 2 49491 vs. Uncharted 2 24692 Round 2 24799 13. Undertale 90545 vs. LoZ: Ocarina of Time -66059 Round 7 24486 14. LoZ: Ocarina of Time 34577 vs. Suikoden II 10391 Round 2 24186 15. Super Metroid 31806 vs. CoD4: Modern Warfare 8220 Round 1 23586 16. Fallout 3 37861 vs. Life is Strange 14324 Round 1 23537 17. Super Mario 64 31065 vs. Mario Kart 8 7745 Round 1 23320 18. LoZ: Ocarina of Time 42896 vs. Castlevania: SotN 20023 Round 4 22873 19. Final Fantasy VII 30614 vs. Halo 8531 Round 2 22083 20. Metal Gear Solid 29833 vs. Splatoon 7897 Round 1 21936 |
Top 20 Closest Matches 1. Donkey Kong Country 2 50.36% vs. Xenoblade Chronicles 49.64% - Round 1 0.72% 2. LoZ: Majoras Mask 50.53% vs. Super Metroid 49.47% - Round 3 1.06% 3. TESV: Skyrim 50.64% vs. Metroid Prime 49.36% - Round 3 1.28% 4. Super Smash Bros. Melee 50.76% vs. Chrono Trigger 49.24% - Round 4 1.52% 5. Mass Effect 50.83% vs. Super Mario Galaxy 2 49.17% - Round 1 1.66% 6. Undertale 50.95% vs. Mass Effect 3- 49.05% - Round 1 1.90% 7. Final Fantasy IX 51.09% vs. Kingdom Hearts 48.91% - Round 1 2.18% 8. Mass Effect 2 51.12% vs. Starcraft 48.88% - Round 2 2.24% 9. Undertale 51.20% vs. Super Smash Bros. Melee 48.80% - Round 6 2.40% 10. Undertale 51.33% vs. Super Mario 64 48.67% - Round 5 2.66% 11. Undertale 51.52% vs. Pokemon RBYG 48.48% - Round 4 3.04% 12. Metal Gear Solid 3 51.86% vs. Metal Gear Solid 48.14% - Round 4 3.72% 13. Paper Mario: TTYD 51.87% vs. Tales of Symphonia 48.13% - Round 1 3.74% 14. Metal Gear Solid 3 52.03% vs. BioShock 47.97% - Round 2 4.06% 15. Super Mario RPG 52.32% vs. Metal Gear Solid 47.68% - Round 5 4.64% 16. LoZ: Link to the Past 52.39% vs. LoZ: Majoras Mask 47.61% - Round 4 4.78% 17. Donkey Kong Country 2 52.11% vs. Fire Emblem: Awakening 47.89% - Round 2 4.22% 18. Sonic 2 53.17% vs. Portal 2 46.83% - Round 1 6.34% 19. Metal Gear Solid 53.56% vs. Shadow of the Colossus 46.44% - Round 3 7.12% 20. Star Wars: KotOR 53.65% vs. Xenogears 46.35% - Round 1 7.30% Top 20 Smallest Vote Gaps 1. Donkey Kong Country 2 17688 vs. Xenoblade Chronicles 17434 Round 1 254 2. LoZ: Majoras Mask 24574 vs. Super Metroid 24054 Round 3 520 3. Mass Effect 19172 vs. Super Mario Galaxy 18547 Round 1 625 4. TESV: Skyrim 29215 vs. Metroid Prime 28481 Round 3 734 5. Final Fantasy IX 20048 vs. Kingdom Hearts 19194 Round 1 854 6. Mass Effect 2 22205 vs. Starcraft 21228 Round 2 977 7. Undertale 28218 vs. Mass Effect 3 27162 Round 1 1056 8. Super Smash Bros. Melee 36915 vs. Chrono Trigger 35806 Round 4 1109 9. Paper Mario: TTYD 18093 vs. Tales of Symphonia 16786 Round 1 1307 10. Metal Gear Solid 3 24089 vs. Metal Gear Solid 22365 Round 4 1724 11. Metal Gear Solid 3 22142 vs. BioShock 20412 Round 2 1730 12. Donkey Kong Country 2 22800 vs. Fire Emblem: Awakening 20950 Round 2 - 1850 13. Sonic 2 20259 vs. Portal 2 17840 Round 1 2419 14. Star Wars: KotOR 18373 vs. Xenogears 15872 Round 1 2501 15. Super Mario RPG 31847 vs. Metal Gear Solid 3 29028 Round 5 2819 16. Metal Gear Solid 22220 vs. Shadow of the Colossus 19264 Round 3 2956 17. Undertale 57010 vs. Super Mario 64 54046 Round 5 2964 18. LoZ: Link to the Past 32595 vs. LoZ: Majoras Mask 29623 Round 4 2972 19. Metal Gear Solid V 19285 vs. Perfect Dark 15990 Round 1 3295 20. Metal Gear Solid 2 21406 vs. The Witcher 3 18083 Round 2 3323 |
Top 20 Most Popular Polls 1. Undertale vs. Super Smash Bros. Melee Round 6 176159 2. Undertale vs. LoZ: Ocarina of Time Round 7 156604 3. Undertale vs. Pokemon RBYG Round 4 119895 4. Super Mario 64 vs. TESV: Skyrim Round 4 112787 5. Undertale vs. Super Mario 64 Round 5 111056 6. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Final Fantasy VII Round 5 105052 7. Undertale vs. Super Mario World Round 3 98833 8. Pokemon RBYG vs. Sonic 2 Round 3 92882 9. LoZ: Ocarina of Time vs. Super Mario RPG Round 6 89286 10. Undertale vs. Fallout 3 Round 2 81673 11. Pokemon RBYG vs. Super Mario Bros. 3 Round 2 78653 12. Super Mario World vs. Final Fantasy VIII Round 2 76895 13. Sonic 2 vs. Uncharted 2 Round 2 74183 14. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Chrono Trigger Round 4 72721 15. Final Fantasy VII vs. Final Fantasy VI Round 4 64948 16. LoZ: Ocarina of Time vs. Castlevania: SotN Round 4 62919 17. LoZ: Link to the Past vs. LoZ: Majoras Mask Round 4 62218 18. LoZ: Ocarina of Time vs. LoZ: Link to the Past Round 5 61335 19. Super Mario RPG vs. Metal Gear Solid 3 Round 5 60875 20. Super Mario 64 vs. LoZ: Twilight Princess Round 3 58011 Top 20 Least Popular Polls 1. Starcraft vs. Destiny Round 1 33182 2. Mass Effect 2 vs. ZE: Virtues Last Reward Round 1 33294 3. BioShock vs. Silent Hill 2 Round 1 33737 4. Metal Gear Solid 3 vs. Mother 3 Round 1 33985 5. Star Wars: KotOR vs. Xenogears Round 1 34245 6. Banjo-Kazooie vs. Baldurs Gate II Round 1 34484 7. Fire Emblem: Awakening vs. Super Mario Maker Round 1 34538 8. The Witcher 3 vs. The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth Round 1 34744 9. Castlevania: SotN vs. Phoenix Wright: AA T&T Round 1 34803 10. The Last of Us vs. Halo 3 Round 1 34855 11. Paper Mario: TTYD vs. Tales of Symphonia Round 1 34879 12. Donkey Kong Country 2 vs. Xenoblade Chronicles Round 1 35122 13. Metal Gear Solid V vs. Perfect Dark Round 1 35275 14. Kingdom Hearts II vs. Metal Gear Solid 4 Round 1 35369 15. Final Fantasy VI vs. Assassins Creed II Round 1 35400 16. LoZ: Wind Waker vs. Pokemon XY Round 1 35426 17. Fallout: New Vegas vs. BioShock Infinite Round 1 35501 18. Pokemon GSC vs. The World Ends With You Round 1 35540 19. Dark Souls vs. Civilization V Round 1 35558 20. SMT: Persona 4 vs. 9 Hours, 9 Persons, 9 Doors Round 1 35579 |
Top 20 Highest Individual Votes 1. Undertale Round 7 90545 2. Undertale Round 6 90186 3. Super Smash Bros. Melee Round 6 85973 4. Pokemon RBYG Round 3 72487 5. Super Mario 64 Round 4 69099 6. LoZ: Ocarina of Time Round 7 66059 7. Undertale Round 4 61769 8. LoZ: Ocarina of Time Round 6 60157 9. Super Smash Bros. Melee Round 5 59125 10. Pokemon RBYG Round 4 58126 11. Undertale Round 5 57010 12. Undertale Round 3 54196 13. Super Mario 64 Round 5 54046 14. Super Mario World Round 2 52479 15. Sonic 2 Round 2 49491 16. Pokemon RBYG Round 2 49291 17. Final Fantasy VII Round 5 45927 18. Undertale Round 2 45527 19. Super Mario World Round 3 44637 20. TESV: Skyrim Round 4 43688 Top 20 Lowest Individual Votes 1. Hearthstone Round 1 3604 2. Cave Story Round 1 4410 3. Ratchet & Clank: UYA Round 1 5506 4. Journey Round 1 5985 5. Age of Empires II Round 1 6091 6. ZE: Virtues Last Reward Round 1 6966 7. Dragon Quest VIII Round 2 7507 8. Mario Kart 8 Round 1 7745 9. Planescape: Torment Round 1 7761 10. 9 Hours, 9 Persons, 9 Doors Round 1 7897 10. Splatoon Round 1 7897 12. Assassins Creed II Round 1 8132 13. CoD4: Modern Warfare Round 1 8220 14. The World Ends With You Round 1 8307 15. Destiny Round 1 8466 16. Halo Round 2 8531 17. Phoenix Wright: AA T&T Round 1 8705 18. The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth Round 1 8973 19. Valkyria Chronicles Round 1 9631 20. Pokemon XY Round 1 9705 |
Top 20 Least Impressive Winners 1. Donkey Kong Country 2 Round 1 17688 2. Paper Mario: TTYD Round 1 18093 3. Star Wars: KotOR Round 1 18373 4. Mass Effect Round 1 19172 5. Metal Gear Solid V Round 1 19285 6. Fallout: New Vegas Round 1 19855 7. Final Fantasy IX Round 1 20048 8. Sonic 2 Round 1 20259 9. Metal Gear Solid 2 Round 1 20393 10. Dragon Quest VIII Round 1 20459 11. Dark Souls Round 2 20662 12. BioShock Round 1 20725 13. Kingdom Hearts II Round 1 20766 14. Halo Round 1 20814 15. Super Mario RPG Round 1 21114 16. Suikoden II Round 1 21148 17. Metal Gear Solid 2 Round 2 21406 18. Super Smash Bros. Wii U Round 2 21479 19. Banjo-Kazooie Round 1 21492 20. Final Fantasy XII Round 1 21499 Top 20 Most Impressive Losers 1. Super Smash Bros. Melee Round 6 85973 2. LoZ: Ocarina of Time Round 7 66059 3. Pokemon RBYG Round 4 58126 4. Super Mario 64 Round 5 54046 5. Final Fantasy VII Round 5 45927 6. Super Mario World Round 3 44637 7. TESV: Skyrim Round 4 43688 8. Fallout 3 Round 2 36146 9. Chrono Trigger Round 4 35806 10. LoZ: Majoras Mask Round 4 29623 11. Super Mario Bros. 3 Round 2 29362 12. Super Mario RPG Round 6 29129 13. Metal Gear Solid 3 Round 5 29028 14. Metroid Prime Round 3 28481 15. Mass Effect 3 Round 1 27162 16. Final Fantasy VI Round 4 25947 17. LoZ: Twilight Princess Round 3 25023 18. Uncharted 2 Round 2 24692 19. LoZ: Link to the Past Round 5 24598 20. Final Fantasy VIII Round 2 24416 Top 15 Largest Comebacks 1. Undertale vs. Mass Effect 3 Round 1 9252 2. Undertale vs. Pokemon RBYG Round 4 7570 3. Undertale vs. Fallout 3 Round 2 6834 4. Undertale vs. Super Mario World Round 3 3224 5. Undertale vs. Super Mario 64 Round 5 1083 6. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Chrono Trigger Round 4 802 7. LoZ: Link to the Past vs. LoZ: Majoras Mask Round 4 604 8. Mass Effect 2 vs. Starcraft Round 2 566 9. TESV: Skyrim vs. Metroid Prime Round 3 455 10. LoZ: Majoras Mask vs. Super Metroid Round 3 322 11. Donkey Kong Country 2 vs. Xenoblade Chronicles Round 1 290 12. Mass Effect vs. Super Mario Galaxy 2 Round 1 265 13. Undertale vs. Super Smash Bros. Melee Round 6 166 14. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Final Fantasy VII Round 5 88 15. Dragon Quest VIII vs. SMT: Persona 3 Round 1 28 |
Top 20 Most Predictable Matches 1. LoZ: Ocarina of Time vs. Hearthstone Round 1 95.61% 2. LoZ: Link to the Past vs. Cave Story Round 1 95.43% 3. Final Fantasy VII vs. Journey Round 1 94.02% 4. Fallout 3 vs. Life is Strange Round 1 92.72% 5. Chrono Trigger vs. Ratchet & Clank: UYA Round 1 92.68% 6. SMT: Persona 4 vs. 9 Hours, 9 Persons, 9 Doors Round 1 92.48% 7. Mass Effect 2 vs. ZE: Virtues Last Reward Round 1 92.00% 8. Super Mario Bros. 3 vs. Age of Empires II Round 1 91.22% 9. Super Mario World vs. Animal Crossing: NL Round 1 90.18% 10. Pokemon GSC vs. The World Ends With You Round 1 90.07% 11. TESV: Skyrim vs. Phoenix Wright: AA Round 1 90.05% 12. LoZ: Majoras Mask vs. Valkyria Chronicles Round 1 89.29% 13. Castlevania: SotN vs. Phoenix Wright: AA T&T Round 1 88.76% 14. Super Smash Bros. for Wii U vs. Planescape: Torment Round 1 88.48% 15. LoZ: Ocarina of Time vs. Suikoden II Round 2 87.94% 16. Super Mario 64 vs. Mario Kart 8 Round 1 86.53% 17. LoZ: Twilight Princess vs. Skies of Arcadia Round 1 86.21% 18. Metal Gear Solid vs. Splatoon Round 1 85.77% 19. The Witcher 3 vs. The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth Round 1 85.74% 20. Grand Theft Auto V vs. Shenmue Round 1 84.99% Top 20 Least Predictable Matches 1. Undertale vs. LoZ: Ocarina of Time Round 7 0.91% 2. Undertale vs. Super Smash Bros. Melee Round 6 1.17% 3. Undertale vs. Super Mario 64 Round 5 1.68% 4. Undertale vs. Pokemon RBYG Round 4 2.58% 5. Super Mario RPG vs. Metal Gear Solid 3 Round 5 3.05% 6. Undertale vs. Super Mario World Round 3 3.73% 7. Super Mario RPG vs. Resident Evil 4 Round 4 6.41% 8. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Final Fantasy VII Round 5 6.67% 9. Undertale vs. Fallout 3 Round 2 6.83% 10. Chrono Cross vs. GTA: San Andreas Round 2 13.47% 11. Metal Gear Solid 3 vs. Metal Gear Solid Round 4 13.72% 12. Super Mario RPG vs. Chrono Cross Round 3 14.06% 13. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Chrono Trigger Round 4 19.19% 14. Donkey Kong Country 2 vs. Fire Emblem: Awakening Round 2 21.94% 15. Super Mario RPG vs. Grand Theft Auto V Round 2 22.37% 16. Undertale vs. Mass Effect 3 Round 1 23.38% 17. Sonic 2 vs. Uncharted 2 Round 2 25.64% 18. Super Mario 64 vs. TESV: Skyrim Round 4 26.18% 19. Chrono Cross vs. World of Warcraft Round 1 27.32% 20. Metal Gear Solid 2 vs. The Witcher 3 Round 2 27.52% |
Is Undertale the strongest game in GameFAQs history? --- http://i135.photobucket.com/albums/q155/Gamecubesupreme/sf7y9s.jpg http://i.imgur.com/TVkqM83.jpg |
Geiki Ganger posted... Is Undertale the strongest game in GameFAQs history? I think 2015 Undertale vs 2009 Ocarina of Time would be an insane match. --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru! |
UltimaterializerX posted... I think 2015 Undertale vs 2009 Ocarina of Time would be an insane match. Are you using a time machine for 2009 OoT's votals? >_> --- Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit! |
Hmm looking back they weren't much higher, actually. Presumably would have been higher if threatened though. --- Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit! |
Well, thing's could have been closer. Can't complain though. |
Man these results seem kinda wonky. Though I guess we got lots of spillover --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
2015 Games Contest Raw X-Stats 1. Undertale 50.00% 2. Mass Effect 3 49.05% 3. Super Smash Bros. Melee 48.80% 4. Super Mario 64 48.67% 5. Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow/Green 48.48% 6. Chrono Trigger 48.06% 7. Super Mario World 45.16% 8. Fallout 3 44.26% 9. Kingdom Hearts II 43.62% 10. Final Fantasy VII 42.67% 11. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 42.18% 12. The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 41.98% 13. Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal 39.01% 14. The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 37.70% 15. Metroid Prime 37.21% 16. Super Mario Bros. 3 36.20% 17. Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots 36.02% 18. The Last of Us 34.87% 19. Final Fantasy VI 34.09% 20. The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past 33.83% 21. Final Fantasy X 33.14% 22. Final Fantasy Tactics 32.87% 23. The Legend of Zelda: Majoras Mask 32.21% 24. Super Metroid 31.87% 25. The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker 31.53% 26. Portal 31.52% 27. Half-Life 2 31.29% 28. GoldenEye 007 30.88% 29. Tetris 30.70% 30. Super Smash Bros. for Wii U 29.62% 31. Final Fantasy IX 29.56% 32. Mega Man X 29.50% 33. Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 4 29.16% 34. Kingdom Hearts 28.92% 35. Final Fantasy VIII 28.68% 36. Resident Evil 2 27.89% 37. Super Mario RPG: Legend of the Seven Stars 27.52% 38. The Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind 27.48% 39. Diablo II 27.22% 40. Castlevania: Symphony of the Night 26.84% 41. Mass Effect 26.73% 42. Super Mario Galaxy 2 26.27% 43. Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater 26.24% 44. Super Mario Galaxy 25.76% 45. Metal Gear Solid 25.27% 46. BioShock 25.18% 47. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney 25.17% 48. The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion 25.08% 49. Okami 24.92% 50. Resident Evil 4 24.47% 51. Life is Strange 24.30% 52. Animal Crossing: New Leaf 24.14% 53. Half-Life 23.59% 54. Grand Theft Auto V 23.55% 55. Shadow of the Colossus 23.47% 56. Final Fantasy IV 23.38% 57. Skies of Arcadia 23.23% 58. Batman: Arkham City 23.20% 59. Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic 23.18% 60. Halo 3 22.67% 61. Demons Souls 22.59% 62. Grand Theft Auto: Vice City 22.55% 63. Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door 22.54% 64. Metal Gear Solid 2: Sons of Liberty 22.30% --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form |
65. Tales of Symphonia 21.70% 66. Chrono Cross 21.60% 67. Xenogears 21.48% 68. Sonic the Hedgehog 2 21.29% 69. Banjo-Kazooie 21.15% 70. Mass Effect 2 20.65% 71. Fallout: New Vegas 20.51% 72. The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt 20.42% 73. Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddys Kong Quest 20.38% 74. Xenoblade Chronicles 20.24% 75. Starcraft 20.20% 76. Paper Mario 20.13% 77. Final Fantasy XII 20.05% 78. EarthBound 20.04% 79. Portal 2 19.94% 80. Dark Souls 19.90% 81. Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos 19.64% 82. Fire Emblem: Awakening 19.53% 83. Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas 19.52% 84. Suikoden II 19.50% 85. Mario Kart 8 19.43% 86. Silent Hill 2 19.41% 87. Resident Evil 19.28% 88. Red Dead Redemption 19.13% 89. Halo: Combat Evolved 18.59% 90. Dragon Age: Origins 18.53% 91. The World Ends With You 18.23% 92. World of Warcraft 18.12% 93. BioShock Infinite 18.07% 94. Bloodborne 17.82% 95. Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain 17.75% 96. Shenmue 17.74% 97. Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King 17.37% 98. Pokemon X/Y 17.28% 99. Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate 16.79% 100. Borderlands 2 16.59% 101. Perfect Dark 16.10% 102. Minecraft 16.09% 103. Mother 3 16.00% 104. Baldurs Gate II: Shadows of Amn 15.94% 105. Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 15.72% 106. Assassins Creed II 15.66% 107. Valkyria Chronicles 15.53% 108. Shovel Knight 15.12% 109. Uncharted 2: Among Thieves 14.18% 110. Deus Ex 14.13% 111. Super Mario Maker 13.90% 112. Bayonetta 2 13.78% 113. Ratchet & Clank: Up Your Arsenal 13.60% 114. Journey 13.59% 115. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations 13.43% 116. Sid Meiers Civilization V 13.27% 117. Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare 13.09% 118. Nine Hours, Nine Persons, Nine Doors 12.95% 119. Team Fortress 2 12.82% 120. Planescape: Torment 12.40% 121. Age of Empires II: The Age of Kings 11.46% 122. Splatoon 10.58% 123. Binding of Isaac: Rebirth 10.55% 124. Destiny 10.30% 125. The Walking Dead 9.39% 126. Zero Escape: Virtues Last Reward 8.65% 127. Cave Story 8.11% 128. Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft 7.57% --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form |
Aw yeah Hearthstone --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
10. Final Fantasy VII 42.67% 11. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 42.18% This is one heckuva case of rSFF --- Welcome to the League of Antivotes. |
At least Cave Story avoided last place...! --- Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit! |
Any rallies here too? --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
I'll be posting Division X-stats as I adjust them, followed by a full list at the end when I finish. Division 1 Adjustments: 1. Chrono Trigger vs. Smash Bros. Melee set to 63.28% / 36.72%. Registered voters. Probably works out. 2. Pokemon Gold set to 44% on Melee. Kind of arbitrary but it was looking there before the first Melee rally happened. 3. Not an adjustment, but a note: Batman/Portal lines up very closely with the GotD stats, even after all the adjustments. Chrono Trigger - 50 Super Smash Bros. Melee - 36.72 Final Fantasy X - 34.48 Kingdom Hearts II - 32.82768 Pokemon GSC - 32.3136 Mega Man X - 30.700992 Metal Gear Solid 4 - 27.10909814 The Last of Us - 26.24244739 Half-Life - 24.535968 Batman: Arkham City - 24.14326011 Portal - 23.713776 Dragon Quest VIII - 18.07 Halo 3 - 17.0575908 Persona 3 - 16.364192 The World Ends With You - 15.10337664 Ratchet and Clank: UYA - 14.15 Division 2 Adjustments: 1. Set FFVI to 46% vs. FF7. When you take out spillover and SFF, that seems about right. We also know that Melee gets about 43% on FF7 thanks to Allen's registered voter stats, so that puts Wind Waker just under Melee. 2. Not really an adjustment, just a note: Paper Mario 2 is projected to get 35.75% on WW this year, and 39.27% in 2010. Considering that and how good Wind Waker looked overall, it's likely that it boosted from 2010 to 2015. Final Fantasy VII - 50 Final Fantasy VI - 46 Wind Waker - 42.55 Super Smash Bros. For Wii U - 34.71 Mass Effect - 31.315362 KOTOR - 31.27425 Super Mario Galaxy 2 - 30.79552699 Paper Mario 2 - 30.4152 Tales of Symphonia - 29.27767152 Xenogears - 28.9849749 Pokemon X/Y - 23.3174 Halo: Combat Evolved - 21.79 Assassin's Creed II - 21.1324 Minecraft - 18.861424 Journey - 15.93 Planescape: Torment - 14.54349 --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. (edited 12/15/2015 11:42:21 PM)report |
LinkMarioSamus posted... Any rallies here too? Only one I can find on reddit is for CT (small sub, ~3500) --- Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit! |
Oh hey nice. It might also be a Paper Mario drop. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
I
see the CT fanbase has built up some determination to win matches in
the future. This is good, I wish we had a stronger opponent than FFVI
today. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
And CT is now further ahead of FFVI than OOT is ahead of FFVII. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
KamikazePotato posted... I'll be posting Division X-stats as I adjust them, followed by a full list at the end when I finish. Chrono Trigger/Melee would have been higher than 63.28% naturally, since you didn't factor in that Chrono Trigger would have done even better than that when you factor in the unregistered users who were not connected to the rally. Melee actually won the board vote over Chrono Trigger, which would line-up with Melee doing better among registered users than the unregistered users. I'd recommend bumping Chrono Trigger up to 64% on Melee. FFVI at 46% on FFVII seems like a slight overestimation. Judging from the early vote, FFVII looked like it was going to finish at 57% on FFVI after ignoring the spillover. So maybe setting FFVI to 45% on FFVII would be a better option to go with, since SFF has been very minimal to non-existent in this contest. Melee's percentage on FFVII should be moved down a bit since FFVII would have done better among the unregistered users not connected to the rally. Melee at 42% on FFVII seems more reasonable. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
"Ideal" bracket based off of raw X-Stats: Division I (1) Undertale (16) Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft (8) Metal Gear Solid 2: Sons of Liberty (9) Tales of Symphonia (5) Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 4 (12) Shenmue (4) Mega Man X (13) Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King (6) The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion (11) Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos (3) Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots (14) Bayonetta 2 (7) Okami (10) Dark Souls (2) Super Mario Bros. 3 (15) Ratchet & Clank: Up Your Arsenal Division II (1) Fallout 3 (16) Age of Empires II: The Age of Kings (8) Skies of Arcadia (9) The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt (5) Castlevania: Symphony of the Night (12) Halo: Combat Evolved (4) The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker (13) Baldurs Gate II: Shadows of Amn (6) Mass Effect (11) Red Dead Redemption (3) Super Metroid (14) Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 (7) Final Fantasy IV (10) Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddys Kong Quest (2) Kingdom Hearts II (15) Planescape: Torment Division III (1) Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow/Green (16) Destiny (8) Halo 3 (9) Banjo-Kazooie (5) Super Mario RPG: Legend of the Seven Stars (12) World of Warcraft (4) GoldenEye 007 (13) Perfect Dark (6) Super Mario Galaxy (11) Mario Kart 8 (3) Final Fantasy X (14) Shovel Knight (7) Half-Life (10) Paper Mario (2) The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess (15) Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare Division IV (1) Super Mario 64 (16) The Walking Dead (8) Demons Souls (9) Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (5) Resident Evil 2 (12) BioShock Infinite (4) Tetris (13) Borderlands 2 (6) Metal Gear Solid (11) Suikoden II (3) The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past (14) Uncharted 2: Among Thieves (7) Animal Crossing: New Leaf (10) Final Fantasy XII (2) Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal (15) Sid Meiers Civilization V --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form |
Division V (1) Chrono Trigger (16) Binding of Isaac: Rebirth (8) Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic (9) Mass Effect 2 (5) The Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind (12) The World Ends With You (4) Half-Life 2 (13) Minecraft (6) Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater (11) Silent Hill 2 (3) Final Fantasy Tactics (14) Valkyria Chronicles (7) Grand Theft Auto V (10) Starcraft (2) The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time (15) Nine Hours, Nine Persons, Nine Doors Division VI (1) Super Smash Bros. Melee (16) Zero Escape: Virtues Last Reward (8) Grand Theft Auto: Vice City (9) Xenogears (5) Final Fantasy VIII (12) Bloodborne (4) Super Smash Bros. for Wii U (13) Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate (6) BioShock (11) Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas (3) Final Fantasy VI (14) Deus Ex (7) Life is Strange (10) EarthBound (2) The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim (15) Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations Division VII (1) Super Mario World (16) Splatoon (8) Batman: Arkham City (9) Fallout: New Vegas (5) Diablo II (12) Dragon Age: Origins (4) Portal (13) Mother 3 (6) Super Mario Galaxy 2 (11) Resident Evil (3) The Legend of Zelda: Majoras Mask (14) Assassins Creed II (7) Shadow of the Colossus (10) Xenoblade Chronicles (2) Final Fantasy VII (15) Team Fortress 2 Division VIII (1) Mass Effect 3 (16) Cave Story (8) Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door (9) Chrono Cross (5) Kingdom Hearts (12) Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain (4) Final Fantasy IX (13) Pokemon X/Y (6) Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (11) Fire Emblem: Awakening (3) The Last of Us (14) Super Mario Maker (7) Resident Evil 4 (10) Portal 2 (2) Metroid Prime (15) Journey --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form |
Oh
hey maybe in that universe Undertale beats Hearthstone on its own
merits without a rally and then can't beat MGS2 in the next round ...or maybe the Hearthstone rally emerges instead --- Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit! (edited 12/16/2015 12:25:07 AM)report |
DIVISION 5: Adjustments: 1. Bumped up SotN 1% to account for spillover. Bit arbitrary, but it looked nearly on FF9's level all contest so I think it's fair. Ocarina of Time - 50 Final Fantasy IX - 35.04 Kingdom Hearts - 34.276128 Symphony of the Night - 32.82 Okami - 29.53872 Banjo-Kazooie - 25.855596 Donkey Kong Country 2 - 24.923508 Xenoblade Chronicles - 24.74405874 Fire Emblem: Awakening - 23.87173596 Warcraft III - 23.2824191 Suikoden II - 23.11 Monster Hunter 4U - 19.902332 Baldur's Gate 2 - 19.48477715 Super Mario Maker - 17.00145035 Phoenix Wright 3 - 16.416564 Hearthstone - 8.97 DIVISION 6: Note: Deus Ex and Perfect Dark line up perfectly with their GotD stats, so they're good bases to use. Note: MM performed according to 2010 stats against Valkyria and FF12, so its probably the same strength that it was in GotD. Note: The Super Metroid/MM match performed about as expected if you projected through Galaxy's result on Dragon Age. Because of this, I don't think Galaxy was SFFd much if at all, so it doesn't need to be adjusted. Note: In fact, pretty much EVERYTHING in this Division lined up eerily perfectly with GotD stats. Adjustments: 1.If you project MM/LTTP using Perfect Dark, MM is predicted to get 45% against LTTP normally. When accounting for MM's spillover and pic advantage, that seems about right. Zelda: LTTP - 50 Zelda: Majora's Mask - 45 Super Metroid - 44.523 Super Mario Galaxy - 35.9834886 Final Fantasy IV - 34.55 Dark Souls - 29.42 Final Fantasy XII - 28.017 Metal Gear Solid V - 26.24264 Dragon Age: Origins - 25.879325 Bloodborne - 24.8846994 Perfect Dark - 23.79157742 Valkyria Chronicles - 21.699 Deus Ex - 20.88893 Civilization V - 19.59372 Call of Duty 4 - 18.2900484 Cave Story - 11.98 Skipped Division 3 and 4 for now because it's already late and those are massive, massive headaches. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. (edited 12/16/2015 12:34:33 AM)report |
Rally
spill-over and Direct-hype and SFF or not, but Melee's looking pretty
solid to me! I mean, Super Mario RPG or FF6, which would you take? Not
to mention Melee being rather close to what OoT got on it! Also, god damn FF9. Vivi > Mario makes a lot more sense now. And as has been said, looking like OoT > CT > FF7, though if CT made the finals this year it could've won just to dethrone OoT. Probably not looking too likely next contest, though! --- Not_Wylvane (edited 12/16/2015 12:42:44 AM)report |
How is Division 4 problematic? --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
LeonhartFour posted... 1. Undertale 50.00% geetttttttt dunked on!!!!! --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru! |
char do you have top 10 all-time lists? --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru! |
At least FFVII is finally starting to go up. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form |
Natural trends are starting to set in for FFVII, but this is a much slower rise than I'm used to seeing from FFVII. Oh yeah, vote total comparisons at 4:00 AM for today's matches vs. OoT/SMRPG at the same time: OoT/SMRPG - 26537 SSBM/SMRPG - 27390 CT/FFVI - 26302 RBY/SM64 - 27907 FFVII/OoT - 27623 All of the vote totals in today's matches are comparable to OoT/SMRPG, which is another match that had very heavy spillover. Today's matches should all be on track to get at least 85000 votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
The titles for these matches are great. --- Ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do and die. |
UltimaterializerX posted... Geiki Ganger posted...Is Undertale the strongest game in GameFAQs history? Actually I think Undertale would win that handily since it proved in the last two rounds that its voter pool really was as big as needed. But if you took 2009 Ocarina of Time, and added LSD Link's rallying motivation/strength, that would be insane. I would literally pay money for a sports-announcer-style viewing of that match. --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
And hey, I made top 120 :D best ive ever done in a contest!! --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
LinkMarioSamus posted... How is Division 4 problematic? Spillover, I would assume. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! DpObliVion is the new greatone. Congratulations to our Guru overlord. |
Makes enough sense, otherwise it looked legit enough to me. Well okay yeah Skyrim/Goldeneye and Prime/HL2 looked fishy I suppose. Still find it funny that Goldeneye did so badly this contest while Mario RPG did well, then you look at 2009 and see who beat who. For all we know Goldeneye might have been able to 60-40 RE4 or any MGS back then! --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
The
real issue was that Div 4 has been under spillover the whole contest,
so it's not even clear how things were affected (besides the obvious PW
boost) --- Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit! |
Ugh people keep filling up Allen's topic with pointless arguing I need him to answer my questions! (Which he probably won't do anyway, but still...!) --- Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit! |
LordoftheMorons posted... The real issue was that Div 4 has been under spillover the whole contest, so it's not even clear how things were affected (besides the obvious PW boost) Skyrim actually did better against PW than the likes of Mario Galaxy and BioShock were projected to do in GOTD, plus Wright himself has most definitely gotten stronger. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
Hey look, CT > FFVII and OoT > FFVII. Who didn't see that coming? I find it hard to believe that Pokemon R/B > SMW, though. Oh well, it's something to note if I ever enter these contest again. --- What's wrong with the world these days is people don't have any common sense. http://i.imgur.com/4p4wGOs.png |
FFVII has a total of one cut so far and it was a 5 vote cut at 4:35 AM. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ! |
-LusterSoldier- posted... FFVII has a total of one cut so far and it was a 5 vote cut at 4:35 AM. Better than what OoT did against UT ! (also finally above 40%) |
KCGemini posted... Hey look, CT > FFVII and OoT > FFVII. Who didn't see that coming? I would take these results with a huge grain of salt They're definitely being affected by spillover. --- Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit! |
LordoftheMorons posted... KCGemini posted...Hey look, CT > FFVII and OoT > FFVII. Who didn't see that coming? Ah. They do have the rest of the day. 2PM EST could be the major switching point. --- What's wrong with the world these days is people don't have any common sense. http://i.imgur.com/4p4wGOs.png |