The Mana Sword posted...
Man, that Mario/Pokemon gauntlet would have been fun looking that those numbers.


Mario World was beast mode. People give CT all the credit, nah man, Mario World.
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satoru iwata
Grudge matches sound fun, even if spillover will still mess with it.
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
Votal update: Undertale 67342 - 49109 OoT. At this time in their previous battles, Undertale had 70285 and OoT had 43481. OoT is still garnering more votes than yesterday while Undertale supporters are putting slightly less effort in than they did against Melee (or just deciding that their votes are no longer needed).
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-Abraham Lincoln
(edited 12/15/2015 12:49:50 PM)report
Can we use the new info from Allen (the referal traffic and the votes from registered users) to calculate the backfire rate for each match?
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3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
The quest for a 20k lead.
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3DS FC: 1805-2178-2522 NNID: Scarlettail
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Portal: 70.37% / 29.63%
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Pokemon Gold/Silver: 57.72% / 42.28%
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Kingdom Hearts II: 59.51% / 40.49%
Chrono Trigger vs. Smash Bros. Melee: 63.28% / 36.72%
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Final Fantasy VII: 42.92% / 57.08%

HAH
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
CT > FFVII
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http://i.imgur.com/yrqRzHJ.gif
DpObliVion gets to hang out with my sig waifus for winning the 2015 Guru
Allen confirms SSBM is literally a joke game
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Welcome to the League of Antivotes.
my god CT rally could have won the contest
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http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png
Melee garbage confirmed
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satoru iwata
check out KH2 bringing in all those unregistered users
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http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png
Melee just slightly stronger than FFX
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http://i.imgur.com/yrqRzHJ.gif
DpObliVion gets to hang out with my sig waifus for winning the 2015 Guru
This'll make adjusting the X-stats a lot easier at least. I'm just going to give Melee 38% against CT and like...44% against FF7? Seems fair.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
(edited 12/15/2015 1:01:41 PM)report
KamikazePotato posted...
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Portal: 70.37% / 29.63%
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Pokemon Gold/Silver: 57.72% / 42.28%
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Kingdom Hearts II: 59.51% / 40.49%
Chrono Trigger vs. Smash Bros. Melee: 63.28% / 36.72%
Smash Bros. Melee vs. Final Fantasy VII: 42.92% / 57.08%

HAH


Rallying doing God's work, as usual.

Also the next topic is the last one with a subtitle. I can't help how happy I am right now so hey.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru!
You would also have to adjust GSC's percentage on Melee as well.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
So is CT being the strongest game on the site in terms of registered users not even a bold prediction anymore?
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Welcome to the League of Antivotes.
Ocarina doubling Undertale in the finals is not bad!
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
UltimaterializerX posted...
Rallying doing God's work, as usual.


>Believing in God
>Almost 2016
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You dare bring light to my lair? YOU MUST DIE! - CDI Ganon
I think melee vs kh2 proves you can't assume registered voters are well in line with what the final outcome would be in nonrallied conditions. But still very interesting data and something to work from for adjusted stats.
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http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
pjbasis posted...
Yeah well it's not 2016 YET


What I mean is that I don't understand why people STILL believe in God when it's obvious he's a myth.
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You dare bring light to my lair? YOU MUST DIE! - CDI Ganon
This is what we're going to do in the Contest Stats & Discussion topic right now

really
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Welcome to the League of Antivotes.
I'm not adjusting KH2's match. Some games are just casualbait.

CT already looked like it was going to 62-38 Melee - this just confirms it.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
Yeah I think many of 2013's non-rallied matches had different results taking only registered votes into account too.

Something dumb like Squall losing to Missingno so yeah registered voters suck
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
MegaWentEvil posted...
pjbasis posted...
Yeah well it's not 2016 YET


What I mean is that I don't understand why people STILL believe in God when it's obvious he's a myth.


If God isn't real then how come determination?

God: 1
Nonbelievers: 0
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-Abraham Lincoln
(edited 12/15/2015 1:10:35 PM)report
MegaWentEvil posted...
pjbasis posted...
Yeah well it's not 2016 YET


What I mean is that I don't understand why people STILL believe in God when it's obvious he's a myth.


Oh wow, such a strong argument. So mature. So off topic.
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I like giant robots.
Karma Hunter posted...
So is CT being the strongest game on the site in terms of registered users not even a bold prediction anymore?


Everyone is sleepin on Mario World
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satoru iwata
In the non-rallied matches where Melee does better with the registered users compared to the final result, this lines up very well with Melee winning the board vote in those matches.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
Yeah, we basically had confirmation last contest of what we had long-suspected from the board vote: that registered users tend to favor Nintendo:

4) Registered users only

If, hypothetically, we were to restrict the contest voting to registered GameFAQs users (which we can't do in the middle of the contest, and which we couldn't get a budget or justify the hours for an entire contest), then we'd have a lot fewer votes (registered users only account for around 1/3 of the total), and a lot of different results:

5149: Jak over Draven
5171: Falcon over Alucard
5220: ?-Block over Rikku
5227: Mega Man X over Draven
5232: Luigi over Big Boss
5246: Mario over Vivi
5247: Missingno over Squall
5251: Zelda over Charizard
5253: Link over Draven
5255: Kirby over Sephiroth
5261: Charizard over Mega Man

It's not all about Draven. Non-registered users impact quite a few battles, and would leave us with completely different results.

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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO DpObliVion NO PEACE]
(edited 12/15/2015 1:13:32 PM)report
Like every non-Draven had a worse result lmao
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
Mario over Vivi, Charizard over Mega Man

absolutely disgusting you are making it hard for me to defend you GameFAQs
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Welcome to the League of Antivotes.
Registered voters know how to vote
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satoru iwata
Luigi is new Big Boss.
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I like giant robots.
Karma Hunter posted...

absolutely disgusting you are making it hard for me to defend you GameFAQs


The 2/3 of unregistered voters are pretty legit though!
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
It just occurred to me what the most revealing thing about that list is.

Registered voters only would not have flipped Auron vs. L-block despite the latter's large 4chan rally.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO DpObliVion NO PEACE]
Number of bracket entries with these games winning the entire contest:

SBAllen posted...
The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time-4145
Final Fantasy VII-1831
Chrono Trigger-703
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim-429
Grand Theft Auto V-319
The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past-281
The Last of Us-251
Super Smash Bros. Melee-239
Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow/Green Version-230
The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask-227
Minecraft-205
Super Mario Bros. 3-203
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt-203
Dark Souls-171
Final Fantasy VI-158
Super Mario 64-125
Undertale-124
Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater-122
World of Warcraft-121
Half-Life 2-104

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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
-LusterSoldier- posted...
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim-429
Grand Theft Auto V-319


Welcome to CasualFAQs.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
Undertale not even the biggest upset get out of here
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
Luster, can you please explain how come most fake updates are in favor of OOT? how does it work?
Because whenever there is a fake update, it's in favor of OOT and then in the real update Undertale wins it hard
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3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Number of bracket entries with these games winning the entire contest:

Minecraft-205
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt-203
Dark Souls-171
Undertale-124
World of Warcraft-121


A decent amount of RallyFaqs brackets.
Karma Hunter posted...
So is CT being the strongest game on the site in terms of registered users not even a bold prediction anymore?


Well, it's number one on the list and in noms for good reason!

Whether that makes it strong enough to actually beat FF7 or OoT in an actual match is hopefully something we'll find out tomorrow!
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Not_Wylvane
Nanis23 posted...
Luster, can you please explain how come most fake updates are in favor of OOT? how does it work?
Because whenever there is a fake update, it's in favor of OOT and then in the real update Undertale wins it hard


The fake updates are caused by GameFAQs sometimes showing incorrect vote totals in between the normal 5 minute update cycle. The large majority of the time (over 95%), viewing the results page in between the 5 minute update cycle will show you the correct vote totals. But there's a very small chance you end up getting slightly different vote totals.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
Nanis23 posted...
Can we use the new info from Allen (the referal traffic and the votes from registered users) to calculate the backfire rate for each match?


Is no one interested in this?
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3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
205 for Minecraft uh
I guess they thought it might be the Undertale of this contest
Wonder how many people would have picked Hearthstone to win if it was against something else than OOT in the first round
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3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
We could calculate the backfire, but I don't think it would be particularly illuminating or useful. The general answer for all the backfire in Undertale's matches has been "low", in short.
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Welcome to the League of Antivotes.
A registered-only contest would suuuuuuuuuck is what I'm seeing.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru!
Nanis23 posted...
Nanis23 posted...
Can we use the new info from Allen (the referal traffic and the votes from registered users) to calculate the backfire rate for each match?


Is no one interested in this?


We wouldn't really have enough information to figure it out with any degree of accuracy, I think.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO DpObliVion NO PEACE]
Nanis23 posted...
205 for Minecraft uh
I guess they thought it might be the Undertale of this contest


I wouldn't be surprised if most of those people just thought Minecraft would legit win.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
play barkley
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO DpObliVion NO PEACE]

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