Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1258 - Papyrus in Smash Bros Edition!

Because that's the only real way a contest like this can end, right?



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru!
(edited 12/14/2015 8:32:26 PM)report
the only way it can end is the way it's been fated to end since Mass Effect 3 lost

predictably
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form
12/14/2015 8:38:09 PM#3
It's probably a Crono reveal. A Crono reveal would have locked in a win for CT over OoT. However, that match is no longer happening. This sounds like something the universe would do to spite CT fans. Either that or Sephiroth since that's spiteful to CT fans as well. >_>
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No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
ESTUANS INTERIUS IRA VE HEMENTI

the only way my day can be made better.
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"undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS
It's going to be Crono.

you guys have to believe

First OoT. Then Crono.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
In a perfect world, Papyrus in Smash Bros. would happen.

Also, Professor Layton would already be in the game and have an Amiibo. I wish it was a perfect world.
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Now crack that combination:
27 99 23.
"Voting for Undertale is in the spirit of Melee" - Melee Champ 20 minutes before the match
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"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism."
Undyne posted...
"Voting for Undertale is in the spirit of Melee" - Melee Champ 20 minutes before the match


what a f***ing chump
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"undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS
He does seem like a douchebag.
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"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism."
12/14/2015 8:48:47 PM#10
When Melee's own fans are good sports about losing, it says a lot.

That stream has been incredible to listen to.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru!
12/14/2015 9:03:22 PM#11
This is GLORIOUS
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru!
OoT isn't getting doubled anymore, at least.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form
http://www.gamefaqs.com/users/Undertale/boards

Undertale will 90% this, it's already in God of Hyper mode, it has Seven. karma and Seven. APM.
3000 people talking about the poll in the pro-Undertale Melee Twitch Chat.
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"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism."
This is perfect. Ocarina is already an underdog, all the Undertale kids are voting, the counterattack will happen!
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satoru iwata
OOT down 1000 votes within 4 minutes of a match.

I'll never type these words again.
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http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
LOL
Of course this is how it would go
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Ralliers' determination can't even hold a birthday candle to the blazing flame of DpOblivion's winning spirit!
I dont even know what to say about this. Its just kinda sad
Almost 3500 votes at the freeze, whoa.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form
Wow, Undertale won the initial update, and is now losing updates at the moment...
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Warning, the self-destruct system has been activated, all personnel should evacuate immediately, 5 minutes to detonation.
The updater isn't working.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
12/14/2015 9:05:48 PM#23
1 person fell off the Top 50. falufa had Undertale in the finals but not OoT. Every day since day one, we've had at least one person fall off the Top 50.
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No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
Anyone who thinks UT will blow out are idiots, this going to be 60/40 at worst.
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SG: 11th, 9th, 7th, 9th, 15th, 3rd, 11th, 2nd, 4th, 20th, 9th, 14th, 6th, 4th, 1st!
Official GFAQs Captain Falcon & Jigglypuff Champion!
12/14/2015 9:05:59 PM#25
Undertale/Melee had 1576 votes five minutes in.

This has 3431.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru!
unlike you guys i will never lose faith

i was here for draven

i have seen the darkness cover all

but in that darkness is a light

hope will never die
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
Pikachu942 posted...
Anyone who thinks UT will blow out are idiots, this going to be 60/40 at worst.


That's, um, a blowout.
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Welcome to the League of Antivotes.
12/14/2015 9:06:30 PM#28
Pikachu942 posted...
Anyone who thinks UT will blow out are idiots, this going to be 60/40 at worst.


60/40 is still a blowout.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
Congrats to DpOblivion in the guru!
It's one thing for people to have been saying Ocarina was never going to lead, but quite another for it to be almost doubled at the freeze!

I've been calling Zelda's death for a long time, but those opening moments were still an immense gut punch.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
I mean who is going to be the most anxious to be here at the start it isn't your typical Zelda fan!
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satoru iwata
60/40 on OoT is a destruction never before seen.
Karma Hunter posted...
Pikachu942 posted...
Anyone who thinks UT will blow out are idiots, this going to be 60/40 at worst.


That's, um, a blowout.


I meant people thinking it's gonna be a triple or something.
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SG: 11th, 9th, 7th, 9th, 15th, 3rd, 11th, 2nd, 4th, 20th, 9th, 14th, 6th, 4th, 1st!
Official GFAQs Captain Falcon & Jigglypuff Champion!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vATlONpoS1I&index=2&list=PLbdD_OByzQieyVpk827Di9S1cXMaWSlxO
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"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism."
Better to see Undertale doing burst damage now, I guess. We should see OoT slowly gain through the morning from here, right? Or maybe once the lead is up to 1500-2000 or something.
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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
Pikachu942 posted...
Anyone who thinks UT will blow out are idiots, this going to be 60/40 at worst.


L-Block couldn't 60-40 Link. This is uncharted territory for Zelda
Bill Murray could still save the day.
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raytan is the guru champ, yo yo yo
He won it in the year of the draggy crow
The number of games currently above OoT:

Undertale – 50.00%
Mass Effect 3 – 49.05%
Super Smash Bros. Melee – 48.80%
Super Mario 64 – 48.67%
Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow/Green – 48.48%
Chrono Trigger – 48.06%
Super Mario World – 45.16%
Fallout 3 – 44.26%
Kingdom Hearts II – 43.62%
Final Fantasy VII – 42.67%
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess – 41.98%
Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal – 39.01%
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim – 37.70%
Metroid Prime – 37.21%
Super Mario Bros. 3 – 36.20%
Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots – 36.02%
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form
Blowout is such a relative term. If Link was suddenly going to get 60-40 on Tanner, I wouldn't call it a blowout.

But OoT getting 60-40ed, that's the blowout of all blowouts.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
DpObliVion is the new greatone. Congratulations to our Guru overlord.
AxemRedRanger posted...
The updater isn't working.


I manually triggered an update for the freeze.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
Nice work, Old Snake
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Welcome to the League of Antivotes.
TP best Zelda apparently.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
DpObliVion is the new greatone. Congratulations to our Guru overlord.
KH
And it does turn out reddit still is mostly f***ed, so... intrigue, at least, for the most part.

Good thing that Undertale sticky is there <.<


Oh so reddits down.

What's this about a sticky?
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
How bad does this have to get before Life is Strange gets above OoT?
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**R.O.B.A.Z.O.I.D** (On mobile)
This is fine, I'd much rather OOT start out down early and I expected it. It always had a microscopic chance, but Undertale fans seeing such a massive blowout early on will help keep the rallies down until s*** gets real, IF OOT can make any game of this at all.
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http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
#45
(message deleted)
FFVII projected to get 58.85% on OoT
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form
Mobilezoid posted...
How bad does this have to get before Life is Strange gets above OoT?


A tripling.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form
The Scar and Toph show just singlehandedly converting three thousand Melee fans to Undertale's side.
creativename posted...
What's this about a sticky?

Apparently that whole "The Undertale subreddit has banned talking about the poll"... is in the form of a sticky saying that.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
OoT gains 1%
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
What DpOblivion did to me in the Guru Contest, in GIF form

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