I want to believe.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4AZHakzJF5A


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
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~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
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~*Character Contest Histories*~
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~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
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~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
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~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
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~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
---
"This place has a nice view of Hod. And also... I promised someone."
- Asch, Tales of the Abyss
ME3 spoilers

Shepard chose Control instead of Destroy.

That's why Undertale is doing this.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
LeonhartFour posted...
ME3 spoilers

Shepard chose Control instead of Destroy.

That's why Undertale is doing this.


It all makes sense now...
---
Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
2100 barrier up

this is over
---
Anything is possible when your man smells like Old Spice and not a lady.
2000 vote lead, whoa!
---
3DS FC: 1805-2178-2522 NNID: Scarlettail
I just remembered my works christmas party is tonight.

f***. I'm going to miss out on a lot of the end of this match.
---
www.twitch.tv/Hylian88
www.twitter.com/Hylian88
12/13/2015 11:21:07 AM#7
The real shocker of all this is people believing Zelda rolls over to rallies. This is the real surprise. Undertale ain't new, Link's been here before. He knows. Ocarina of Time isn't gonna roll over.
---
satoru iwata
ZFS posted...
The real shocker of all this is people believing Zelda rolls over to rallies. This is the real surprise. Undertale ain't new, Link's been here before. He knows. Ocarina of Time isn't gonna roll over.


Link is much stronger than OoT.
---
www.twitch.tv/Hylian88
www.twitter.com/Hylian88
Hey maybe let's get Sakurai tweet


It will backfire even worse than Masuda
---
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
ZFS posted...
The real shocker of all this is people believing Zelda rolls over to rallies. This is the real surprise. Undertale ain't new, Link's been here before. He knows. Ocarina of Time isn't gonna roll over.

OoT doesn't even get close to these numbers. Unless there's a counter rally, it's over.
---
What's wrong with the world these days is people don't have any common sense.
ZFS posted...
The real shocker of all this is people believing Zelda rolls over to rallies. This is the real surprise. Undertale ain't new, Link's been here before. He knows. Ocarina of Time isn't gonna roll over.

i want to believe

i really do

but all hope has left me

only despair now
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
12/13/2015 11:22:15 AM#12
Hylian88 posted...

Link is much stronger than OoT


Ha, no way. Not even close.
---
satoru iwata
I'm so pumped for the final if UT pulls this off.
---
3DS FC: 1805-2178-2522 NNID: Scarlettail
ZFS posted...
The real shocker of all this is people believing Zelda rolls over to rallies. This is the real surprise. Undertale ain't new, Link's been here before. He knows. Ocarina of Time isn't gonna roll over.


Get real, son. OOT is gonna be spanked so hard Link won't even LISTEN anymore. stop jinxing it!
12/13/2015 11:23:08 AM#15
'Unless Ocarina gets a rally'

Yo Zelda fans are familiar with this game
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satoru iwata
Sheesh, why the hell is there so many votes coming in from China and Russia? Really, these are very well proxies, is there anything being done to bar proxies from voting. I have a hard time believing thousands of votes from mainland asia, voting for a game that wasn't even localized, is winning there. Meanwhile Smash Melee has had lots of localizations across the world.
Only 284 votes for Melee that update, by the way.
---
3DS FC: 1805-2178-2522 NNID: Scarlettail
looks like I was right - Melee's worst thing was to take the lead early. it needs to snipe a victory without people noticing.

what a silly match
---
xyzzy
Lynx_7

"Don't you know the Undertale and Homestuck fanbases have a secret line of communications where they can rally without us seeing?

It's the new meta."


Well actually there's an Undertale thread in the MSPA forums that's voting for undertale right now, but it's not exactly very active.
---
I like giant robots.
I actually wonder who would win in Link vs. OoT.

Sounds like it's time for a Games X Characters contest
---
http://i.imgur.com/RHvCiY3.png
baphomet_billy posted...
Sheesh, why the hell is there so many votes coming in from China and Russia? Really, these are very well proxies, is there anything being done to bar proxies from voting. I have a hard time believing thousands of votes from mainland asia, voting for a game that wasn't even localized, is winning there. Meanwhile Smash Melee has had lots of localizations across the world.

Do I need to post my data from the other topic?
---
What's wrong with the world these days is people don't have any common sense.
12/13/2015 11:24:02 AM#22
The Mana Sword posted...
I actually wonder who would win in Link vs. OoT.

Sounds like it's time for a Games X Characters contest


The final form.
---
satoru iwata
Hylian88 posted...
ZFS posted...
The real shocker of all this is people believing Zelda rolls over to rallies. This is the real surprise. Undertale ain't new, Link's been here before. He knows. Ocarina of Time isn't gonna roll over.


Link is much stronger than OoT.

Yes, older games are much harder to rally. So outside this site Link is definitely stronger.

OoT can't muster what Melee tried IMO.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
12/13/2015 11:25:42 AM#24
When this happens I don't want shocked faces none zero zip
---
satoru iwata
Scarlettail posted...
Only 284 votes for Melee that update, by the way.


well since there was a mid-update at 14:17:05, the 5-minute update totals would be 373 to 511
---
-Abraham Lincoln
ZFS posted...
Hylian88 posted...

Link is much stronger than OoT


Ha, no way. Not even close.


You're joking right? Many zelda fans think OoT is overrated, and zelda fans have a lot of variance on their favorite zelda game. One thing they all have in common though is that they love Link. Link get's the zelda fandoms 100%, Oot does not.
---
www.twitch.tv/Hylian88
www.twitter.com/Hylian88
Hahaha, it's a massacre!
---
3DS FC: 1805-2178-2522 NNID: Scarlettail
ZFS posted...
When this happens I don't want shocked faces none zero zip


You are deluding yourself if you think OoT doesn't get blown into oblivion here man.
---
"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism." -ArgaiRonso
LOL OoT is completely f***ed against this man

Not even close
---
http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
PIayer_0 posted...
Scarlettail posted...
Only 284 votes for Melee that update, by the way.


well since there was a mid-update at 14:17:05, the 5-minute update totals would be 373 to 511


Oops, I didn't see that update!
---
3DS FC: 1805-2178-2522 NNID: Scarlettail
Can Melee pull an Undertale in the second half of the match and win against Undertale?

Are Smash fans just waiting to dish out Undertale fans a taste of their own medicine?

The plot thickens.
Holy votals
---
Currently dead in the water in the Best. Game. Ever! Contest!
It seems Toby's tweets helped there.
Vote totals at an all-time low.

But we're about to break a votal record

Even Draven didn't pull this off
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
12/13/2015 11:28:38 AM#35
I see our lines are drawn then

You guys had to go and back the video game that got 55% on KH2
---
satoru iwata
ExThaNemesis posted...
ZFS posted...
When this happens I don't want shocked faces none zero zip


You are deluding yourself if you think OoT doesn't get blown into oblivion here man.


It'll be over in the first 10 minutes.
Also all things considered, CT was pretty lucky.
It would have been embarassed pretty badly against this Melee.
US has flipped to Undertale
---
I like giant robots.
200 vote gain.
---
3DS FC: 1805-2178-2522 NNID: Scarlettail
yeah sure Undertale just completely flips that when all trends were pointing to Melee for so long

just totally legitimate.

so legit.

lmao this is the worst.
---
"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism." -ArgaiRonso
Undertale on cruise control
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
this is just a slaughter at this point
---
Anything is possible when your man smells like Old Spice and not a lady.
All according to ME3's plan.
Melee lol

maybe I'll get GAF in on this. let's get 300k votes
---
xyzzy
melee dipping under 300 that update

edit: turns out it was actually the most one-sided update since the midnight one
---
-Abraham Lincoln
(edited 12/13/2015 11:33:21 AM)report
Melee is showing what a normal rally and normal voting looks like.

Undertale looks like 200 stuffed votes per update.
---
Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
12/13/2015 11:31:17 AM#47
ExThaNemesis posted...

You are deluding yourself if you think OoT doesn't get blown into oblivion here man.


I have said this before but what am I gonna do abandon my ship before the final battle I don't think so
---
satoru iwata
Averia posted...
Also all things considered, CT was pretty lucky.
It would have been embarassed pretty badly against this Melee.


What this contest has taught me is that rallies work on supply and demand.

CT is low demand so it'd never garner a rally of this size against it, thus being impossible to embarass itself against either Melee or Undertale. Just ask Mario 64, he's in the known.
(edited 12/13/2015 11:31:58 AM)report
transience posted...
looks like I was right - Melee's worst thing was to take the lead early. it needs to snipe a victory without people noticing.

what a silly match


It's like rubberband AI.

Also I doubt that actor tweeting would even matter. Undertale is unstoppable.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Melee is showing what a normal rally and normal voting looks like.

Undertale looks like 200 stuffed votes per update.


exactly

And every time Undertale has looked in remote danger they just happen to find a surge of HUNDREDS

if Allen says/does nothing I won't be surprised but it'll be hard to care about future results.
---
"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism." -ArgaiRonso

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