Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1254 - Match of the Year Edition!

Only making this super early so we have that subtitle for archive purposes. Also Team Rocket Elite and NG gods among man for doing that saving for all these years.

200,000 votes, here we come!



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
All I'm gonna do is eat popcorn and watch the carnage unfold.
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What's wrong with the world these days is people don't have any common sense.
12/13/2015 9:24:00 AM#3
KCGemini posted...
All I'm gonna do is eat popcorn and watch the carnage unfold.


Indeed.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
lead change imminent
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Anything is possible when your man smells like Old Spice and not a lady.
(edited 12/13/2015 9:25:44 AM)report
It's goat slaughtering time
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sharp.
distance.
Another big cut. Lead under 200.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
NICE cut for Melee
ZeldaTPLink posted...
mkwstar posted...
/r/smashbros post from Mew2king:

https://www.reddit.com/r/smashbros/comments/3wnze8/melee_vs_undertale_as_best_game_ever_voting_ends/


Mfw there is a guy being against the rally because it may draw casuals into the Melee community


That's really dumb. The Melee community's health owes itself to recent waves of casuals getting drawn in.

I do kinda see their point though that this rally will mean a lot more for Undertale than it will for Melee.
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I like this guy - Shiny Mewtwo
Undertale pulled 460 out of nowhere and still got cut by almost 100.
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Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
Huh. I went to sleep when Undertale was getting 900 vote updates. I expected Melee to be buried at this point.
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http://i.imgur.com/yrqRzHJ.gif
* 115 left

Wait, memeing the wrong side.
12/13/2015 9:27:19 AM#12
Melee going full godmode now.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
This is probably the recent Melee spike

https://twitter.com/PoorZhu/status/676089847271006208
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Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
Remember when we were so impressed by Undertale pulling updates in the 400s in the Pokemon match? Melee's getting a bunch of updates in the 500s here.
---
September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
MaskedSheik posted...
ZeldaTPLink posted...
mkwstar posted...
/r/smashbros post from Mew2king:

https://www.reddit.com/r/smashbros/comments/3wnze8/melee_vs_undertale_as_best_game_ever_voting_ends/


Mfw there is a guy being against the rally because it may draw casuals into the Melee community


That's really dumb. The Melee community's health owes itself to recent waves of casuals getting drawn in.

I do kinda see their point though that this rally will mean a lot more for Undertale than it will for Melee.


Every community depends on casuals getting draw in. No exceptions.

That doesn't stop some communities from being elitist s***holes.
Undertale just doesn't have it in it. Melee's gonna win.
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NEW YORK METS - 2015 National League Champions
I can't believe how often I have read "Undertake" instead of Undertale in the last few hours.

The picture in my head of the Undertaker beating the s*** out of some game disks is pretty funny tho
12/13/2015 9:28:03 AM#18
melee pls
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520
BOILER UP!
12/13/2015 9:29:10 AM#19
mkwstar posted...
I can't believe how often I have read "Undertake" instead of Undertale in the last few hours.

The picture in my head of the Undertaker beating the s*** out of some game disks is pretty funny tho


That's what autocorrect does.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4GXb2Da1Rak

Forward smash him! Disgrace him!
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Currently playing: The Witcher III: Wild Hunt
<100 vote lead for Undertale now
Getting closer
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Anything is possible when your man smells like Old Spice and not a lady.
Undertale pulls in 496 votes.

Melee gives no ****s.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
12/13/2015 9:31:01 AM#25
LOL

This match is over!
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
Undertale almost pulled in 500 votes that update. Where are all of these coming from?
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Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
red sox 777 posted...
Remember when we were so impressed by Undertale pulling updates in the 400s in the Pokemon match? Melee's getting a bunch of updates in the 500s here.


Melee is getting 500s because Melee fans understand the rallying power that needs to occur. More than they needed against Chrono Trigger and Final Fantasy VII.

Now we just need to see what happens in retaliation.
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Don't forget about your self-care~!
this is an amazing match... wow Ulti you are right(Match of the Year)
I love Melee.
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raytan is the guru champ, yo yo yo
He won it in the year of the draggy crow
12/13/2015 9:31:33 AM#30
And remember guys, all contests rallies are bad!

Unless they support a game we like. Then they're the greatest thing ever!
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
12/13/2015 9:32:08 AM#31
POOTERSS posted...
this is an amazing match... wow Ulti you are right(Match of the Year)


If Undertale fights back later, this will actually be the best match we've ever had.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
UltimaterializerX posted...
all contests rallies are bad!

Unless they support a game we like.


It's more like unless they oppose a game we hate.
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sharp.
distance.
Holy hell Melee, I wish it won't stop but just like with Pokemon I know the turnaround is close

Is this how Undertale fans feel when they are making a comeback? (just without the fear of the opponent spiking out of nowhere)
This is..nice, to see Melee putting up such a fight and might take the lead next update
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3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
guys,annyone can contact to etika to promote this?
UltimaterializerX posted...
And remember guys, all contests rallies are bad!

Unless they support a game we like. Then they're the greatest thing ever!

I'm not really enjoying this! Melee is the lesser of two evils in my mind, but like... this match is just "who cares" for me. The numbers are impressive, sure, but eh.

match of the year probably still Super Metroid/Majora's Mask
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
If Melee wins this, this is officially my favorite match of all time. Sorry, MGS2/SotC. You'll have to settle for second.
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Currently playing: The Witcher III: Wild Hunt
UltimaterializerX posted...
And remember guys, all contests rallies are bad!

Unless they support a game we like. Then they're the greatest thing ever!


I think the thing is that SSBM is far more deserving a best game ever tournament than bloody Undertale.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
PSN ID - Kudaark Steam Name : skaalfa
Incoming lead change
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"This place has a nice view of Hod. And also... I promised someone."
- Asch, Tales of the Abyss
inb4 Undertale has a monster spike
12/13/2015 9:33:39 AM#40
Qwaar posted...
I think the thing is that SSBM is far more deserving a best game ever tournament than bloody Undertale.


I can't even remotely disagree. The problem is Melee might just not care in the final, which would be awful.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
UltimaterializerX posted...
And remember guys, all contests rallies are bad!

Unless they support a game we like. Then they're the greatest thing ever!


I'm pretty sure the majority here would've rather seen a normal CT/RBY (or SMW or SM64 or whatever you think makes it here)

but if we're going to have one rally might as well have a second rally so the first doesn't just walk over the whole contest
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Undertale almost pulled in 500 votes that update. Where are all of these coming from?


Russia, China, Indonesia.. Florida, Texas.
12/13/2015 9:34:01 AM#43
Oh and tumblr really hasn't shown up yet. This could actually get silly later.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
None of this will matter as SMRPG is going to win this whole thing
L-L-L-LEAD CHANGE!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eajoen8TeT8
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
LEAD CHANGE

The true war begins now. Buckle up B8.
The moment.
Lead change.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
Boom goes the dynamite
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"This place has a nice view of Hod. And also... I promised someone."
- Asch, Tales of the Abyss
AND MELEE LEADS

BELIEVE

BELIEVE, DAMN lT
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NEW YORK METS - 2015 National League Champions

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