Averia posted...
I think I got it.
It was .8267 of 202 -> 167 - 35
Now it's 0.8235 of 204 -> 168 - 36

There was a .8257 in between there that doesn't work with that (and .8228 now)

I think I have it though:
.8267 ~= 501/606
.8257 ~= 502/608
.8235 ~= 504/612
.8228 ~= 506/615
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Has anybody tracked the ratios for China?
LordoftheMorons posted...
Averia posted...
I think I got it.
It was .8267 of 202 -> 167 - 35
Now it's 0.8235 of 204 -> 168 - 36

There was a .8257 in between there that doesn't work with that (and .8228 now)

I think I have it though:
.8267 ~= 501/606
.8257 ~= 502/608
.8235 ~= 504/612
.8228 ~= 506/615


.8231 ~= 507/616
Yes, this is probably the actual count.
ExThaNemesis posted...
Nanis23 posted...
On unrelated note, why couldn't this match be two days later? with Smash announcement hype and discussion etc


oh god that's right

if Melee gets to the finals we're gonna be dealing with Sephiroth's announcement


Christ if this happens I will geek out so hard.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
By the way why are people so sure Melee can't beat Ocarina? Are you not seeing today's match?
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
lifeiswierd posted...
Has anybody tracked the ratios for China?

I haven't. It's a little annoying to do since you need probably 4 or so adjacent datapoints to get a good guess. Basically what I did was make a stupid brute force program that looped through all fraction m/n for 1<=m<n<1000 and printed the denominators of fractions that would round correctly to the given percentages, but you get a list of like 50 possibilities per number. Then you look through the lists for each update and pick out nearby ones by eye.
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
UltimaterializerX posted...
By the way why are people so sure Melee can't beat Ocarina? Are you not seeing today's match?


Not sure. I personally think OoT would do better than FF7, worse than CT.
There's pretty much no reason to think CT would do better against Melee than Ocarina of Time.
---
satoru iwata
(edited 12/13/2015 6:51:29 AM)report
The l-block final had 70646 votes at this time, and Melee/Undertale haven't even hit their afternoon rally war godmode yet. On top of that, this is a weekend.

We really are going to hit 200000 votes, holy f***.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
ZFS posted...
There's pretty much no reason to think CT would do better against Melee.


???
LordoftheMorons posted...
lifeiswierd posted...
Has anybody tracked the ratios for China?

I haven't. It's a little annoying to do since you need probably 4 or so adjacent datapoints to get a good guess. Basically what I did was make a stupid brute force program that looped through all fraction m/n for 1<=m<n<1000 and printed the denominators of fractions that would round correctly to the given percentages, but you get a list of like 50 possibilities per number. Then you look through the lists for each update and pick out nearby ones by eye.


Ahh, that makes sense. How did you filter for fractions that would round correctly? Filtering by finding the remainder after dividing by 1 and filtering out the results with remainder greater than say....0.1?
ZFS posted...
There's pretty much no reason to think CT would do better against Melee.


shut up heroic mario
---
Communists
UltimaterializerX posted...
By the way why are people so sure Melee can't beat Ocarina? Are you not seeing today's match?


Because it's what my bracket says.
---
NEW YORK METS - 2015 National League Champions
T4libKw4li posted...
ZFS posted...
There's pretty much no reason to think CT would do better against Melee.


???


Ocarina of Time would not do worse than CT.
---
satoru iwata
America is about to flip to Melee. 49.98% right now, it was like 47% earlier.

What's up with Asia and Eastern Europe? Those percentages are crazy.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
UltimaterializerX posted...
America is about to flip to Melee. 49.98% right now, it was like 47% earlier.

What's up with Asia and Eastern Europe? Those percentages are crazy.


Stuffing tbqh
---
Hello, I'm Chris!
https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif
Safer_777 posted...
We still have a lot of hours left. Plus Melee has a huge rally too. If not for Undertale Melee would easily reach the finals and maybe even win. Yeah I know back fire and all that but still.


I don't think the Melee rally would have even happened in the first place if Undertale hadn't already done it. 2 stupid rallies ruined what would have been a really compelling FF7/RBY match today.
---
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
ExThaNemesis posted...
Nanis23 posted...
On unrelated note, why couldn't this match be two days later? with Smash announcement hype and discussion etc


oh god that's right

if Melee gets to the finals we're gonna be dealing with Sephiroth's announcement


Man I don't care who but that Smash reddit is going to be loaded with people, it might be like R2 Draven or something
Like I don't have enough reasons to want Melee to win already!
---
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
UltimaterializerX posted...
America is about to flip to Melee. 49.98% right now, it was like 47% earlier.

What's up with Asia and Eastern Europe? Those percentages are crazy.


Well if Russia is legit they are too!
---
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
lifeiswierd posted...
LordoftheMorons posted...
lifeiswierd posted...
Has anybody tracked the ratios for China?

I haven't. It's a little annoying to do since you need probably 4 or so adjacent datapoints to get a good guess. Basically what I did was make a stupid brute force program that looped through all fraction m/n for 1<=m<n<1000 and printed the denominators of fractions that would round correctly to the given percentages, but you get a list of like 50 possibilities per number. Then you look through the lists for each update and pick out nearby ones by eye.


Ahh, that makes sense. How did you filter for fractions that would round correctly? Filtering by finding the remainder after dividing by 1 and filtering out the results with remainder greater than say....0.1?


If(abs(m/n-x)<=.00005)
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Safer_777 posted...
We still have a lot of hours left. Plus Melee has a huge rally too. If not for Undertale Melee would easily reach the finals and maybe even win. Yeah I know back fire and all that but still.


I don't think the Melee rally would have even happened in the first place if Undertale hadn't already done it. 2 stupid rallies ruined what would have been a really compelling FF7/RBY match today.


I don't think it would have been compelling. RBY probably wins that one with ease.

The literal trainers beat Cloud and Seph, Squirtle beat Cloud and Mewtwo beat Sephiroth. I imagine most Oracle picks for an FF7/RBY match would be RBY in the 55% range.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
Oh man I would laugh so hard if the Undertale ralliers thought they had it and eased off only to have Allen remove 5000 stuffed votes

(I don't actually think they're stuffing, but that would be hilarious)
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Okay, that's weird. Russia's been moving down fast the past few updates (down to 79.93 for Undertale), but .7993 gives no denominators between 613 and 802.

Guess there were probably more combinations that worked that I overlooked. Whatever.
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
(edited 12/13/2015 7:05:02 AM)report
Putin picked Undertale to win the whole thing.
---
raytan is the guru champ, yo yo yo
He won it in the year of the draggy crow
12/13/2015 7:10:22 AM#225
If there aren't any rallies, FF7 never gets past Chrono Trigger. FF7 vs RBY is not a match that would ever happen.
---
No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
Has lady heiress posted yet
---
Arcvalons really is a genius.-kamikazetomato.
Voice of Myself.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1663-tournament-final-chrono-trigger-vs-final-fantasy-vii

Are we really so sure Chrono Trigger turns that around?
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
UltimaterializerX posted...
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1663-tournament-final-chrono-trigger-vs-final-fantasy-vii

Are we really so sure Chrono Trigger turns that around?


FFX vs Smash 4 who do you take

or for that matter Mega Man X vs Mass Effect 1
1337gamerpr0 posted...
FFX vs Smash 4 who do you take

or for that matter Mega Man X vs Mass Effect 1


As yoblazer said, contests don't work like this anymore. Each match is truly its own match now.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
12/13/2015 7:26:33 AM#230
UltimaterializerX posted...
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1663-tournament-final-chrono-trigger-vs-final-fantasy-vii

Are we really so sure Chrono Trigger turns that around?


Yes.
---
No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
Yeah, the match one day before that got turned around, to the tune of FFVII losing 19%. It's been 11 years, FF7 has fallen a long way.
---
September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
By the way, am I missing something or did the L-Block final run for 25 hours?
---
Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
Arcvalons posted...
Has lady heiress posted yet


No. Last rally post was for Mario 64, and then she answered a couple asks.
---
Anything is possible when your man smells like Old Spice and not a lady.
UltimaterializerX posted...
By the way why are people so sure Melee can't beat Ocarina? Are you not seeing today's match?


Nintendo SFF. A lot of today's Melee voters would vote for Zelda in the final.
---
My Blog:
http://theotakujudge.com
By the way, am I missing something or did the L-Block final run for 25 hours?


I think it was on the day daylight savings time ended that year.
---
September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
what did melee just do
---
Anything is possible when your man smells like Old Spice and not a lady.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3504-contest-quarterfinal-zelda-oot-pokemon-ssbm-ffx

LoZ:OoT has beaten SSBM and RBY combined before, and I can see this being pretty representative of Nintendo fans as a whole. I was talking down on the idea of backfire-rate recently, but with a potential SSBM/LoZ:OoT match attempting SFF-rallies...I wouldn't like Melee's chances of keeping a dedicated rally going. Undertale will have a significantly better chance just because its rallies aren't so clearly Nintendo fans in the same sense.
---
M E N: nominate Metal Man in 20XX!
http://i.imgur.com/Dr4NAeq.png
So it looks like Melee has narrowed the lead Undertale had last night.

Welp, I was kinda hoping Undertale could win here, but Melee's just going to chip away at Undertale and win in the end...
---
*I am not a car*
12/13/2015 7:31:37 AM#241
SSBM just grabbed a Smash Ball?
---
No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
Someone must have posted or tweeted somewhere big.
---
Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
I'm assuming a tweet or Smashbiards has the link up now
Melee winning the US again.

time to call this one guys, melee going to ride TRENDS to victory
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
551 update for a 211 vote cut. Probably some big player tweeting?
---
September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
MELEE

Does it begin?
---
NEW YORK METS - 2015 National League Champions
Where the f*** did that one come from?
---
"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism." -ArgaiRonso
melee just got like 200 extra votes that update

time for a second rally push, i guess?
---
Anything is possible when your man smells like Old Spice and not a lady.
Melee is so winning this contest.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
it begins
---
Communists

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