GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1249
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B2jVbSI9H4o Almost 4 million views! ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest "F*** Draven." -SBAllen |
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZcoqR9Bwx1Y this version has a link to GameFAQs voting --- Anime List: http://myanimelist.net/profile/superange VG List: http://myvideogamelist.com/profile/superange128 Visual Novels: https://vndb.org/u6633/votes |
You're getting these up early just to link to Undertale songs aren't you --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
Hmm,
it's pretty interesting to see that FFVII only has 53.29% in the UK
right now. Under normal circumstances, FFVII would have murdered Melee
in the UK since Smash is really weak there and FFVII has always done
well in the UK. I guess this does provide some evidence that the
Undertale rally is favoring Melee. Tumblr does seem to have a decent UK
demographic if Undertale was able to win the UK in every match except
for the ME3 and RBY matches. The rally in the ME3 match happened at an
unfavorable time to pick up a huge number of UK votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! (edited 12/10/2015 11:58:01 PM)report |
Quick keep reblogging the results with Undertale in the lead. Maybe they'll feel sorry for Mario --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
Oh right, I didn't do yesterday's charts yet: Time | SMRPG | RE4 | Votes | Demographic EBV | 56.17% | 43.83% | 915 | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 56.66% | 43.34% | 5468 | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 52.41% | 47.59% | 10696 | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 55.01% | 44.99% | 6391 | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 55.69% | 44.31% | 12091 | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 57.14% | 42.84% | 12574 | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 59.03% | 40.97% | 2309 | (22:00-24:00) SMRPG hits 55% in every demographic except the night vote, and it doesn't even let RE4 do that much damage with it. The Mario clutch was at work at SMRPG almost hits 60% with the second night vote. Time | MGS1 | MGS3 | Votes | Demographic EBV | 46.14% | 53.86% | 869 | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 44.96% | 55.04% | 5091 | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 48.02% | 51.98% | 10060 | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 49.91% | 50.09% | 6005 | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 49.78% | 50.22% | 11332 | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 47.59% | 52.41% | 11804 | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 45.79% | 54.21% | 2162 | (22:00-24:00) MGS1 came very close to winning the morning and early afternoon outright, but MGS3 pulls away with the ASV and the infamous MGS second night vote. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
SSBM by the hour: 1:00 | 52.76% 2:00 | 55.17% 3:00 | 56.25% SM64 by the hour: 1:00 | 54.58% 2:00 | 43.11% 3:00 | 50.18% SSBM powers ahead into the headwind of the night vote with a stronger 3rd than 2nd hour. SM64 narrowly wins the hour. Looks like Undertale Wave #1 is over. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
A heavily suppressed Undertale currently having a beam war with Mario 64. Up and down the percentages go! |
WhiteLens here, and this account is yet another alt of mine. So I was looking at what this bracket had, and there's one thing I noticed on it. http://i.imgur.com/wLlmoZA.png Yeah, you see what's missing beneath OoT in the semifinals? Apparently I forgot to make a pick on a match, yet here this account is on the leaderboard. (So so sorry to the people tied with this account, yet not on the leaderboard >_>) Maybe that'll shed some light on the 0 brackets. --- A faster lord to browse the web. Web browsing can change! (edited 12/11/2015 12:15:22 AM)report |
red sox 777 posted... SSBM by the hour: LOL at Melee's trends getting completely inverted |
Eh, if OoT beats Undertale, then I don't see why it'd have any trouble with CT. Think CT vs FFVII would be more exciting. FFIX > FFVII come on OoT make it happen --- ~*The true...goal of SeeD... To spread... seeds all over the world... ...Flower... Fill the world with flowers.*~ TheCruelAngel |
Eh, if OoT beats Undertale, then I don't see why it'd have any trouble with CT. This. Even if "normal" OOT is dramatically weaker than Hero of GameFAQs OOT, it would feel like a letdown, knowing that CT only won because OOT didn't pull out the ridiculous feats it needs to beat Undertale. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
Although, I am ALWAYS in favor of seeing CT vs. OOT, so I would still be in favor of that match happening! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
red sox 777 posted... Although, I am ALWAYS in favor of seeing CT vs. OOT, so I would still be in favor of that match happening! Aye, that makes sense. Undertale and SSBM doing what they're doing is entertaining stuff, but it's a shame to have missed out on (CT vs FFVII) vs (RBY vs SM64). --- ~*The true...goal of SeeD... To spread... seeds all over the world... ...Flower... Fill the world with flowers.*~ TheCruelAngel |
SM64 already losing, huh? Sooner than I expected. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? (edited 12/11/2015 12:29:59 AM)report |
Oh yeah, FFVII wins its first update since the Undertale rally kicked in. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
So, I guess I'm okay enough to compute these hourlies now. Final Hourly Trends for Chrono Trigger vs. Super Smash Bros. Melee: Chrono Trigger by the Hour: 1:00 | 55.22% 2:00 | 44.25% 3:00 | 44.14% 4:00 | 46.15% 5:00 | 48.49% 6:00 | 52.14% 7:00 | 51.42% 8:00 | 51.89% 9:00 | 50.04% 10:00 | 49.44% 11:00 | 46.22% 12:00 | 50.03% 13:00 | 46.83% 14:00 | 50.87% 15:00 | 47.70% 16:00 | 48.26% 17:00 | 48.74% 18:00 | 50.90% 19:00 | 53.26% 20:00 | 54.75% 21:00 | 47.99% 22:00 | 50.67% 23:00 | 50.42% 24:00 | 42.37% Both games won 12 hours. CT's best hour was its first, the first 25 minutes of which was not rally impacted. CT's 2nd best hour was late in the ASV/beginning of the SNV, when Melee's rallies fell off for a while. Melee's best hours were the last hour, which featured a Mew2King tweet set against Gamefaqs' very very low natural vote intake at that time, and the first 2 hours of the Reddit rally at night. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
Mario 64 doesn't seem to be folding early at least. Won't stop the inevitable, but at least it's keeping it close early. --- GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC |
GoogleChrom posted... (So so sorry to the people tied with this account, yet not on the leaderboard >_>) *AHEM* --- sharp. distance. |
UltimaterializerX - 300 is way too early! |
As
of 4:05 am (the last update before I call it a night), we are a little
over 2500 votes ahead of Undertale/Pokemon, for 10% of that match's
vote. Assuming tomorrow's rallies bring in votes at a similar pace, we
are looking at 132K total votes. We'll see what rallies do tomorrow
though. --- Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs |
By the way, I think it's pretty safe to say that most votes came from /v/ A GameFAQs topic with more than 600 posts is not something you see often, I don't recall the last time it happened..maybe Vivi/Mario and Squirtle/Cloud Both matches got stablized once that topic got archived --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
Nanis23 posted... By the way, I think it's pretty safe to say that most votes came from /v/ Oh yeah forgot about the /v/ rally They would definitely be antivoting FF7 --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
SSBM by the hour: 1:00 | 52.76% 2:00 | 55.17% 3:00 | 56.25% 4:00 | 53.53% SM64 by the hour: 1:00 | 54.58% 2:00 | 43.11% 3:00 | 50.18% 4:00 | 49.50% SSBM finally succumbing a bit to the normal trends, SM64 struggling to get back to par before the storm hits tomorrow in the day. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
From
reading the stats topic I missed and looking at some of the charts I
take it FFVII got knocked over by the rallies too quickly to give us a
good guess at where it likely would have ended up besides "it would have
won." --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
Are
we still getting higher than usual amount of votes? after that /v/
rally got archived and the reddit rallies are not so succesful? --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
From reading the stats topic I missed and looking at some of the charts I take it FFVII got knocked over by the rallies too quickly to give us a good guess at where it likely would have ended up besides "it would have won." Polls are still pretty volatile at the 10 minute mark, but judging from the Smash Wii U match and other past history, probably around 56-58%. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
If
I had to take a reasonable guess at FFVII's actual percentage on Melee
if it wasn't for the rallies, I would put FFVII at 57% on Melee. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
SM64 coming back! Maybe it can up its time in the lead to a full two hours --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
-LusterSoldier- posted... If I had to take a reasonable guess at FFVII's actual percentage on Melee if it wasn't for the rallies, I would put FFVII at 57% on Melee. No way. 53 at best. Also where is this melee rally? It doesnt exist --- http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif |
The Melee rally is located right here: https://www.reddit.com/r/smashbros/comments/3wbzuv/help_super_smash_bros_melee_win_gamefaqs_best/ --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Last hour: UT/SM64: 3660 SSBM/FFVII: 3493 UT/RBY: 3257 Yes, we are still getting more votes than the Undertale/RBY match. We are being hit by a combination Undertale and Melee rally here- the Melee rally is slowly climbing up the front page of the subreddit. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
22 vote cut for FFVII. A 54% update in the FFVII Total Domination Zone. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
FFVII losing is sad..... But I knew that FFVII would get antivoted here so I picked Melee. How many points do we get for this matches, because I might reach the leaderboard. :) --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Raytan > Me |
16 points, I think. Haven't checked though. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
So
the Melee/Undertale match is going to be Draven/Link all over again,
right? Two massive ralliable games going at it, should be another match
for the ages. --- Not_Wylvane |
Congrats Mario 64, maybe next update you will finally take the lead!!!!!!!!!!! Amazing job! --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
Can Mario 64 finally retake the lead?! Not_Wylvane posted... So the Melee/Undertale match is going to be Draven/Link all over again, right? Two massive ralliable games going at it, should be another match for the ages. That's the best case scenario for Melee, but I'm not that optimistic about its chances. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
I kinda doubt it. I really think that's going to be anti-climactic in Undertale's favor. We're not going to get some Link/Draven clash out of this. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
Dat 50% tie |
Not_Wylvane posted... So the Melee/Undertale match is going to be Draven/Link all over again, right? Two massive ralliable games going at it, should be another match for the ages. Man, if you would have gone by the opinions of the whiners on the board you would have thought this contest was boring. Good thing their opinions are absurd. :) --- GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC |
I read some posts on the /v/ rally Sounds like a typical /v/ topic, OP asks people to vote for Mario, people do the exact opposite because they think they are rebels OP is successful in getting votes for Undertale, as it was a bait all along Stay classy /v/ --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
Not even a lead change Mario you suck --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
Nanis23 posted... I read some posts on the /v/ rally Reverse psychology is key, and even then /v/ is extremely unpredictable now. |
Acerac posted... Not_Wylvane posted...So the Melee/Undertale match is going to be Draven/Link all over again, right? Two massive ralliable games going at it, should be another match for the ages. Even without the rallies we've had some fantastic matches like Super Metroid/Majora's Mask, LttP/MM, and MGS1/MGS3, as well as some big surprises like CT annihilating FFX. And I still like the idea of a small indie game riding the support of its loyal fans to win this contest out of nowhere. --- Not_Wylvane |
