Melee likely isn't going to beat Undertale, but if the fandom gives it its all, it'll be like Sans at the end of a Genocide Run for them. Melee is also heavily anti voted by people who can't stand its fanbase...

That said, with the way things are shaping up OoT will be Asgore.
nopenopenopenop posted...
Melee likely isn't going to beat Undertale, but if the fandom gives it its all, it'll be like Sans at the end of a Genocide Run for them. Melee is also heavily anti voted by people who can't stand its fanbase...

That said, with the way things are shaping up OoT will be Asgore.


soft support means nothing in the face of a rally, it's not like an anti-vote is worth more than a regular vote
Smash seems to have a more active online community than Undertale. I think if they went ALL OUT (full effort and reddit, Smash Boards, pro players' twitter accounts, the works), it could be fearsome indeed. I mean, this topic seems convinced that CT was on it's way to a 60%+ win, and Melee snuffed that out without giving the impression that the fanbase was really trying that hard.


They tried pretty hard. They got reddit, multiple players tweeting and retweeting, Smashboards posting on the front page, Smashboards posting on Twitter and Facebook, etc.

The reason I'm rather skeptical they can do much more than that is that each of the new efforts by Melee seemed to produce less results as the day went on. The reddit rally at the beginning was able to turn CT gaining at 1000 votes per hour into Melee gaining at 500 votes per hour. The Armada tweet/retweet and Smashboards front page post in the morning was able to generate a couple hundred net votes per hour for a few hours. But the Smashboards Twitter/Facebook push 4 hours from the end, which was supposed to be a big deal, managed to stop CT's SNV gains of around 250 per hour, for about one hour. CT went right back to gaining, albeit very slowly, after that. Mew2King's tweet at the end looked decent because we were in the last hour when there are very few votes coming in. It would barely register in the middle of an Undertale ASV.

And the explanation for that is pretty simple: as you rally by more and more methods, you increasingly reach the people you've already reached.

That said, rallies have been known to get stronger in each subsequent round. The additional time, and the knowledge of the first one, help.
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(edited 12/10/2015 11:25:15 PM)report
Undertale being lazy now, I guess everyone is sleeping.
Yeah, the initial exchange seems to have them neck and neck, with Mario64 inching back up towards Undertale. No clue how things will go once we reach a less ungodly hour than this, though, though I'm betting/hoping for Undertale to pull it out in the end.
Maybe the undertale spillover votes are going to SSBM because undertale is earthbound-like and SSBM has Ness? lol probably not.
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I like giant robots.
huh, hypothetical Melee/Undertale match would be on Sunday

maybe those Twitch rallies that people have talked about since round 1 (lol Hearthstone) will finally make an appearance
Another lead change coming?
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
oh wow only 3 votes between ut and m64 now
Watchit posted...
Maybe the undertale spillover votes are going to SSBM because undertale is earthbound-like and SSBM has Ness? lol probably not.

Just a newer game and more relevant to Tumblr's demographic. I think they're much more likely to have played Melee, and even if they haven't a lot of them are likely Nintendo fans.
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Korota posted...
Yeah, the initial exchange seems to have them neck and neck, with Mario64 inching back up towards Undertale. No clue how things will go once we reach a less ungodly hour than this, though, though I'm betting/hoping for Undertale to pull it out in the end.


What the hell are you talking about??? Hopeful undertale pulls it off? Undertale is winning this match 100% the question is can mario make the % close
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so when KH2 > FF7 is a thing in the xstats ... uhhh
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Remember when everyone thought I was crazy for saying that Mario 64 would take the lead back by morning? (And by everyone I mean one guy.) Yeah.
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If SSBM holds its current percentage, this will be the first time that Cloud or Final Fantasy VII has ever gotten less than 46% 1v1, on anything, ever.

SSBM by the hour:

1:00 | 52.76%
2:00 | 55.17%

SM64 by the hour:

1:00 | 54.58%
2:00 | 43.11%
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
Whiskey_Nick posted...
so when KH2 > FF7 is a thing in the xstats ... uhhh


I want TLOU > ffvii
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SM64's only chance is to take the lead and have another LEAGUE OF DOWNTIME scenario
It may or may not keep things respectable depending on how motivated the ralliers are to continue with UT already in the lead early.
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Whiskey_Nick posted...
so when KH2 > FF7 is a thing in the xstats ... uhhh


Once Melee passes 55.30%
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LordoftheMorons posted...
SM64's only chance is to take the lead and have another LEAGUE OF DOWNTIME scenario
It may or may not keep things respectable depending on how motivated the ralliers are to continue with UT already in the lead early.


Only melee has a chance to beat undertale now.
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LeonhartFour posted...
Whiskey_Nick posted...
so when KH2 > FF7 is a thing in the xstats ... uhhh


Once Melee passes 55.30%


What about ffx> ffvii? Hahaha
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Yuri_LowelI posted...
Korota posted...
Yeah, the initial exchange seems to have them neck and neck, with Mario64 inching back up towards Undertale. No clue how things will go once we reach a less ungodly hour than this, though, though I'm betting/hoping for Undertale to pull it out in the end.


What the hell are you talking about??? Hopeful undertale pulls it off? Undertale is winning this match 100% the question is can mario make the % close


Hey I'm new to this whole 'watching the polls obsessively' thing, when things look close they look close and I don't try to guess what the future holds.
Melee would have to double FFVII, and that's not happening.
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Korota posted...
Yuri_LowelI posted...
Korota posted...
Yeah, the initial exchange seems to have them neck and neck, with Mario64 inching back up towards Undertale. No clue how things will go once we reach a less ungodly hour than this, though, though I'm betting/hoping for Undertale to pull it out in the end.


What the hell are you talking about??? Hopeful undertale pulls it off? Undertale is winning this match 100% the question is can mario make the % close


Hey I'm new to this whole 'watching the polls obsessively' thing, when things look close they look close and I don't try to guess what the future holds.

Its called trends. Ill bet you my house undertale wins.
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Undertale is winning before the rallies have even started
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3DS FC: 4382 - 2449 - 5707 IGN: Anthony
Undertale doesn't want to give up the lead just yet.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
LeonhartFour posted...
Melee would have to double FFVII, and that's not happening.


You must be glad ffx lost to chrono. Imagine ffx at the strength it was this contest up against rallied melee.
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Yuri_LowelI posted...
Its called trends. Ill bet you my house undertale wins.


(psst, someone tip off the Undertale guys to switch tracks now just to laugh at him)
(edited 12/10/2015 11:41:53 PM)report
Undertale's going to lose the lead for awhile in a bit here, while everyone sleeps.
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I don't really care. If Melee fans were scared enough of FFX that they felt the need to rally, I'd laugh at them for acting like Melee was a lock to always beat it and then rallying anyway.
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Dabrikishaw15 posted...
Undertale is winning before the rallies have even started


The rallies are always going on. They have trends like everything. Stop saying there are no rallies. If that was the case undertale wouldnt be cutting at all. It would lose to most games in this site without rallies
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ok...smash's strength is definitely not just from undertale rallies spillover

its been crushing FF7 every update while undertale struggles to match Mario
OOT's percentage on FFVII in 2009 Final at 2:40: 53.94%
SSBM's percentage on FFVII now: 54.31%

Unfortunately the updater doesn't have the first 6 hours of the 1v1 bonus poll. I recall OOT was a little higher. But soon, we shall enter into territory where no game has ever gone against FFVII!
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
12/10/2015 11:44:30 PM#482
So right now Mario's game plan is to lay low and let Undertale float between 50% and 50.5%. In the closing hour of the match, FF7 will catch up to SSBM. SSBM will then perform a last minute rally to survive. Mario 64 will ride that rally and pass Undertale on the final update giving no time for a response. This can happen, right?
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1337gamerpr0 posted...
Yuri_LowelI posted...
Its called trends. Ill bet you my house undertale wins.


(psst, someone tip off the Undertale guys to switch tracks now just to laugh at him)


Ill give up my house to see undertale lose.

And leon. Melee doesnt care about fodder like ffx anymore. Its in the big time.
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well you enjoy your self-satisfaction there
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__Aizen__ posted...
ok...smash's strength is definitely not just from undertale rallies spillover

its been crushing FF7 every update while undertale struggles to match Mario


This proves chrono would have crushed ffvii even harder

Bonus poll should be oot v chrono now. No two ways about it
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Yuri_LowelI posted...


(psst, someone tip off the Undertale guys to switch tracks now just to laugh at him)

Ill give up my house to see undertale lose.

And leon. Melee doesnt care about fodder like ffx anymore. Its in the big time.


I see we've gone up from spending a few hundred bucks on Facebook ads to giving up houses now.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
Team Rocket Elite posted...
So right now Mario's game plan is to lay low and let Undertale float between 50% and 50.5%. In the closing hour of the match, FF7 will catch up to SSBM. SSBM will then perform a last minute rally to survive. Mario 64 will ride that rally and pass Undertale on the final update giving no time for a response. This can happen, right?


If undertale didnt have the asv boost it would lose to a ton of games.
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red sox 777 posted...
Yuri_LowelI posted...


(psst, someone tip off the Undertale guys to switch tracks now just to laugh at him)

Ill give up my house to see undertale lose.

And leon. Melee doesnt care about fodder like ffx anymore. Its in the big time.


I see we've gone up from spending a few hundred bucks on Facebook ads to giving up houses now.


I havent spent a penny. Im saving for when it matters
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http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif
Team Rocket Elite posted...
So right now Mario's game plan is to lay low and let Undertale float between 50% and 50.5%. In the closing hour of the match, FF7 will catch up to SSBM. SSBM will then perform a last minute rally to survive. Mario 64 will ride that rally and pass Undertale on the final update giving no time for a response. This can happen, right?


http://i.imgur.com/oRH2KBP.jpg
Undertale back at work.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
If OoT beats Undertale, unlikely as that would be, would a CT vs OoT really be worth it?
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(edited 12/10/2015 11:51:38 PM)report
lolilikeff8 posted...
As unlikely as that would be, if OoT beats Undertale, would a CT vs OoT really be worth it?


Short answer:

Yes.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
If OoT beats Undertale, unlikely as that would be, would a CT vs OoT really be worth it?


That's a big reason of why I'm rooting for Undertale!
---
September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
Undertale picked up a surge that update, and the spike corresponded with an FFVII surge.

That's new.
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Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
lol not even going to let SM64 temporarily get back the lead
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Undertale picked up a surge that update, and the spike corresponded with an FFVII surge.

That's new.

Could just be a different Tumblr subcommunity (like an FF blogger reblogging it)
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Oh no europe is waking up aka ffvii bumloving continent
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http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif
FFVII surge still lost the update by 45 votes.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O_iT8TdE7lU

Nothing ever
Stays forever
Things could be better
It doesn't matter
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