GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1247
Europe showing it has better taste again. --- >_______________> |
GranzonEx posted... Has our voterbase eroded to such a degree that only people in their late 20s and early 30s visit? I feel like RE4 would be destroying SMRPG a few years ago. Hell SMRPG wouldn't even be in this match a few yeas ago. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5953-how-old-are-you About two-thirds of users are 25 or older so I guess so? --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] (edited 12/10/2015 10:06:45 AM)report |
AxemRedRanger posted...
Wow, if you go through the age polls, you can watch the peak age get older and older. --- 3DS FC: 1805-2178-2522 NNID: Scarlettail |
xp1337 posted... ahahaha This bandwagon story is one I can get behind --- satoru iwata |
Looks like this is basically going to be MGS3/BioShock again, where MGS3 basically stalls out for 18 hours. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Achromatic posted... Man, did Infinite tank though? Like, did it truly tank? I don't think it did. Infinite is currently projected to get doubled by SMRPG, so that's up to you to decide whether that's a tank job or not. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Dark Silvergun posted... So the votes haven't really changed much then, I wonder what that's going to mean for later then, under a thousand votes isn't that massive of a lead, so we will see, just under 13 hours is still a lot of time. LOL GTAV --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
So what were the x-stats for yesterday? Wanna see what Mario Maker got --- http://i.imgur.com/yrqRzHJ.gif |
Leon has demonstrated many times that trends within geolocations are just as important. I believe MGS1 is the more mainstream game of the two and that could shift things in its favour with ASV. I think mainstreamfaqs is more important than oldfaqs in this match since both games are pretty old now. We'll see if it comes true. MGS was doing slightly better with the morning vote, now it is tied again. If no major shifts happen by 4 it's definitely over though. --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
Division V The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 50.00% Final Fantasy IX 35.04% Kingdom Hearts 34.28% Castlevania: Symphony of the Night 31.82% Okami 29.54% Banjo-Kazooie 25.07% Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddys Kong Quest 24.16% Xenoblade Chronicles 23.99% Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos 23.28% Fire Emblem: Awakening 23.15% Suikoden II 23.11% Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate 19.90% Baldurs Gate II: Shadows of Amn 18.89% Super Mario Maker 16.48% Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations 15.92% Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft 8.97% Division VI The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past 50.00% The Legend of Zelda: Majoras Mask 47.61% Super Metroid 47.11% Super Mario Galaxy 38.07% Final Fantasy IV 34.55% Final Fantasy XII 29.64% Dark Souls 29.42% Dragon Age: Origins 27.38% Bloodborne 26.33% Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain 26.24% Perfect Dark 23.79% Valkyria Chronicles 22.96% Deus Ex 20.89% Sid Meiers Civilization V 19.61% Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare 19.35% Cave Story 11.98% For the record, since I know everyone is curious about the battle for last place, OoT needs to beat LTTP with at least 62.56% to drive Cave Story below Hearthstone. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
I'd be kind of surprised if MGS1 did anything other than stall out the rest of the match at this point. And even if it does manage to get close, its legendary second night vote will seal the deal for MGS3...! --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
LeonhartFour posted... Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate 19.90% man --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
Monster Hunter 4 is projected to get 58.59% on Mario Maker. Baldur's Gate II is projected to get 56.38% on Mario Maker. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
LeonhartFour posted... I'd be kind of surprised if MGS1 did anything other than stall out the rest of the match at this point. I'll be surprised too, just hoping and preparing for the possibility. And yeah that snv might kill things. --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
So...does
MGS3 have what it takes to make the semis? I feel like it might have a
better chance against SMRPG than it did vs RE4. --- sharp. distance. |
Lol, SMRPG will win easily friend. --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? 124 Gurus were better than me in BGE 2015 contest! |
So here's my take on the top 25 or so: God Tier: Whatever Gets a Major Rally Ocarina of Time Final Fantasy VII Chrono Trigger (Tempted to move it higher. But even if it is stronger than FFVII currently, the remake and Cloud might do enough to let it beat CT long-term. Plus it's not like CT actually got its chance.) Upper Elite Tier: A Link to the Past (shaky and very arguable for the #4 spot but nothing that automatically disqualifies LttP imo) Super Mario 64 Super Mario World Pokemon RBY (Can probably consistently get major reddit/other rallies to move up a tier) Super Mario Bros. 3 Super Smash Bros. Melee (Can probably consistently get major reddit/other rallies to move up a tier) Majora's Mask Super Metroid Final Fantasy VI Lower Elite Tier: Wind Waker Twilight Princess Final Fantasy X Skyrim Pokemon GSC Kingdom Hearts II Metroid Prime Final Fantasy IX Kingdom Hearts Super Mario RPG Metal Gear Solid 3 Metal Gear Solid Fallout 3 Honorable mentions (Strong midcarders; no particular order here and there are probably others I forgot.) Resident Evil 4 Oblivion Shadow of the Colossus Bioshock Goldeneye Okami Half-Life 2 Mega Man X Super Mario Galaxy Final Fantasy VIII Castlevania: Symphony of the Night Probably strong but probably not making another contest: Super Mario Bros. The Legend of Zelda The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening Super Smash Bros. Brawl Super Mario Kart Mario Kart 64 --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] (edited 12/10/2015 10:39:44 AM)report |
Super Mario Kart will make the next Games Contest it qualifies for. No way B8 doesn't rally behind getting that one in. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
And they'll be the only ones doing so. And its gamefaqs rating, while not bad, isn't all that high. And it has no metacritic score. Does have a good gamerankings score, though. Maybe it was the particular nature of our guru nom this time that caused its absence but I interpret that debacle as meaning certain types of games are effectively locked out of the bracket no matter how many nominations board 8 can (within reason) throw at them. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] (edited 12/10/2015 10:52:25 AM)report |
it's okay we'll be ready next time one of the requirements for the Guru will be to go give the game a 5/5 before you nominate it --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Only if we also go for Mario Kart 64 as well. Then knowing Allen, he'll have them face off in like Round 3. --- http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens | http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens http://na.finalfantasyxiv.com/lodestone/character/5086952/ |
This Oblivion > RE4 thing that's happening confounds me. Did our increased vote totals benefit SMRPG? --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
Well, looks like that 30 vote cut for MGS1 was a fluke. Janus5k posted... This Oblivion > RE4 thing that's happening confounds me. Did our increased vote totals benefit SMRPG? Honestly, the vote totals in this match won't be significantly higher than the Oblivion match. Right now, this match has 31545 votes. Oblivion/SMRPG at the same time had 26558. I don't think that vote disparity would explain this match. Maybe Skyrim = Oblivion isn't that farfetched, after all! --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
...I shouldn't have looked at this match again today. Now I just feel robbed by this miserable affair. --- Goddamn Metal Gear Solid 3 |
There's
not much spillover here. We are a couple thousand votes below that
OOT/FFIX match actually. Yesterday's spillover finished around 60% of
the size of Melee's rally. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
If it weren't for the initial vote favouring mgs3 this would be the greatest match of all time. --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
If it weren't for the initial bracket rush favoring MGS1, MGS3 would be up by over 1000...! --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
...This match is going to project Shenmue pretty close to Paper Mario, isn't it? --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
AxemRedRanger posted... ...This match is going to project Shenmue pretty close to Paper Mario, isn't it? Paper Mario is projected to win with about 57% as of right now. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
I'd
put Rally of the Year and Ocarina of Time in top tier. The reason is,
however strong CT or FFVII might be, they are always vulnerable to
rallies from the 2nd tier Ninty games. OOT has the best rally defenses
and can immediately no-sell any Nintendo game. Second tier is a mess, it all depends on bracket placement. Like, if we had already switched to 1 match per day and gotten another votals boost like we got from switching from 4 to 2, CT might have beaten Melee. I'm not sure how to rank them fairly (is there any way we ever see a "normal" FFVII/RBY poll?) --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
If
you ran FF7/RBY over and over again, especially in a non-contest
setting, I'm sure you'd eventually get a day where people didn't bother
to rally anymore. --- Goddamn Metal Gear Solid 3 |
Karma Hunter posted... If you ran FF7/RBY over and over again, especially in a non-contest setting, I'm sure you'd eventually get a day where people didn't bother to rally anymore. If you ran OoT/(CT|RBY|FFVII) 30 times in a row , I'm pretty sure OoT will get weaker and weaker until it keeps losing (for every win, more antivote) "OoT has been winning this whole week , enough is enough" So it's not a normal result either. (edited 12/10/2015 11:26:28 AM)report |
... Well it worked last time. *now playing: Interstellar OST* Do what's necessary, MGS! --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
I didn't say in a row. Run it, I don't know, once or twice a month or something? And if antivotes start building up because voters realize the damn things always win, well, they're joining most of our core voters. Mega Man/Charizard/Zero probably can't happen without Cloud/Squirtle/Leon and Pikachu/Sora/Blue directly preceding it. --- Goddamn Metal Gear Solid 3 |
Glad to see the superior MGS is still winning, I was actually expecting MGS1 to be ahead after a few hours. However as much as I like SMRPG it shouldn't be winning here. |
Don't tell me ASV is favouring mgs3 noooo --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
DaruniaTheGoron posted... Don't tell me ASV is favouring mgs3 noooo AMERICA --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
A
few RE1 = RE2 stats (I'm assuming the current match ends with SMRPG at
55%; but since I started with SM64 that only affects just how high SMRPG
goes): 50.00% SM64 40.40% SMRPG 36.36% RE4 33.77% FFT 33.13% MGS2 28.65% RE2 28.65% RE1 --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] (edited 12/10/2015 11:35:28 AM)report |
MGS1
isn't coming back, we're moving into some of its worst time periods for
the remainder of the match (ASV/SNV). It's just looking like it's in
the realm where a different picture could have mattered. I wouldn't even
have minded MGS3 getting its godslayer from last round if MGS1 just had
something to fight back somewhat properly with. And I think it's impossible to overstate how badly Charizard did after the run of Pokes ranging from Mewtwo to Squirtle to Pikachu. He essentially did worse than Weighted Companion Cube did in the situation, and that's a 'character' that got knocked out by Zero and Rikku the round beforehand. --- Goddamn Metal Gear Solid 3 (edited 12/10/2015 11:36:41 AM)report |
So RE4 is somehow weaker than Oblivion now? Lol this site. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
The fact that Oblivion looks like such a beast is fascinating. It seemed like one of the most likely contenders for a significant drop this contest, due to Skyrim overshadowing it at every turn. And yet, it now appears that it could put the fear of God into Resident Evil 4. SMRPG is a true stars of the contest contender, too. The fact that it's winning this match at all is a surprise; the fact that it's winning by such a decisive margin is downright astonishing. --- Now crack that combination: 27 99 23. (edited 12/10/2015 12:04:10 PM)report |
Too bad it's going to run into OoT. --- BGE3: Today's Matches RE4 > SMRPG, MGS > MGS3 Points 195/240 |
Well, I suppose I'm happy I'll at least get to see 1 Mario game on semis. |
Undertale's average rating continues to drop. I'm not sure why watching buttfuriosity quantified like this fascinates me so much but it definitely does! --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Seems
like the ASV has allowed MGS3 to stabilize its percentage and increase
its lead again after being stalled for about 11 hours. Although MGS3
isn't going up in percentage with the ASV like we would normally see
from the newer game in a same-series match-up (like KH/KH2 and
Melee/Brawl). --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
What do you guys think is the largest comeback Undertale could possibly pull off? 15k? 20k? --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest "F*** Draven." -SBAllen |
charmander6000 posted... Too bad it's going to run into OoT. It's hard to be too down on it getting to the semifinals. That's a pretty cushy spot considering it's not a Top 10 game on this site. Either way, it would be running into a buzzsaw of Melee/FF7, Undertale, or Ocarina. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! Future 2015 Guru Contest runner-up. |
AxemRedRanger posted... http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/gamefaqs.com I'm sure those demographics are very wrong, since about 62% of our votes come from the US (back when we could see vote totals from the US). I think today, that US percentage should be slightly lower based on the last continent poll back in 2013. The demographics shown on that page also have the UK listed at 6.3%, which is only slightly lower than the UK's actual percentage of the votes in the polls. Canada is way off, since that page has it listed at 4.2% while Canada actually brings in about 10% of the total votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
