Undertale may stall a little, but this match is almost assuredly over for reasons yoblazer covered. Can't complain, we had a hell of a run!



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
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~*Character Contest Histories*~
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~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

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~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
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~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
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~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
Those plucky underdog Pokeymanz did it again

first L-Block now Undertale

can you believe it
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
LeonhartFour posted...
Those plucky underdog Pokeymanz did it again

first L-Block now Undertale

can you believe it


don't forget cloud
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person?
#theresafreakingghostafterus
So with huge rallies we still can't reach the vote totals that we had for the first few contests. Where all these people went?
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Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing?
124 Gurus were better than me in BGE 2015 contest!
GameFAQs is kinda obsolete for getting game help. Now there's YouTube, wikis, etc.
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Cranky's Advice - "git gud"
Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
12/8/2015 10:09:37 AM#6
LeonhartFour posted...
Those plucky underdog Pokeymanz did it again

first L-Block now Undertale

can you believe it


Save_us.rat?
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
Safer_777 posted...
So with huge rallies we still can't reach the vote totals that we had for the first few contests. Where all these people went?

They became productive people to society, and they likely don't even play games any more.
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http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens | http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens
http://na.finalfantasyxiv.com/lodestone/character/5086952/
whatisurnameplz posted...
GameFAQs is kinda obsolete for getting game help. Now there's YouTube, wikis, etc.


Yep. GameFAQs is a relic of the past at this point. I still love it, but its declining popularity makes sense.
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Next year, you'll wish you had started today.
12/8/2015 10:22:48 AM#9
A topical 500th post from me!
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
Don't give up, Undertale!
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3DS FC: 1805-2178-2522 NNID: Scarlettail
Damn and I was starting to feel good about Pokemon's chances. Now Undertale will go berserk.
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...
whatisurnameplz posted...
GameFAQs is kinda obsolete for getting game help. Now there's YouTube, wikis, etc.


Not really. Maybe it's because I'm on the site a lot lately but when I Google a question about a game the top result is often gamefaqs

I think FAQS etc have moved on but gamefaqs is still useful
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Such a lust for revenge
Pokemon can kind of maintain 200+ vote intake but that's really it, when the rally is really on Undertale will receive 400+
37 vote cut.

Is it finally happening?
still a cut, but a lot smaller, 50 vote drop for Undertale from last update
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sig
pssssssssssst - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/568795-soccer-challenge
(edited 12/8/2015 10:26:03 AM)report
Well, the Hard Mode time has arrived.

Let's see what Pokemon can do about it.
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Hello, I'm Chris!
https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif
I see people talking about how FF7 has no shot vs. Melee.

Some don't seem to grasp how rallies are ao unpredictable, I think. Not only their size, but their backfire rate is very important.

Rallies also depend very much on how the pitch is made, and by whom. Not all e.g. Reddit posts are equal - some pitch better, and something from a respected regular or community leader will mean more than random nobody.

Melee barely beat CT. That match is very hard to predict.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
tremble, mortals, and despair

doom has come to your world
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
37 more. Quota is at 58.78.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
at least that one didn't meet the quota...
Yeah the fun part begins!
Pokemon better get ready to Nuzlocke this because Undertale won't spare it anymore.
creativename posted...
I see people talking about how FF7 has no shot vs. Melee.

Some don't seem to grasp how rallies are ao unpredictable, I think. Not only their size, but their backfire rate is very important.

Rallies also depend very much on how the pitch is made, and by whom. Not all e.g. Reddit posts are equal - some pitch better, and something from a respected regular or community leader will mean more than random nobody.

Melee barely beat CT. That match is very hard to predict.


I can only imagine that Melee is going to get antivoted to oblivion from at least Board 8 for c***blocking Chrono Trigger.

Yes, you heard it here first. Something is actually going to get antivoted against FFVII.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
Wait, but I thought the match was almost "assuredly" over. You mean with 11 hours left and crazy rallying potential that we can't call it yet? Strange.
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Next year, you'll wish you had started today.
Lol at every talking doom like Undertale just won.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
PSN ID - Kudaark Steam Name : skaalfa
FINE I will calculate it myself
Pokemon average vote per update per hour -

1 - 442.666
2 - 286.333
3 - 226.333
4 - 170.916
5 - 134.25
6 - 135.41
7 - 172.66
8 - 206.41
9 - 241.08
10 - 233.83
11 - 224.25
12 - 216.41
13 - 213.75

Using the last 4 hours , we have 222 votes per update on average
With 132 more updates to go, Pokemon will gain 29304 votes, and will finish with 64156
Assuming the same Undertale from SMW match...it got only 20935 votes from the 13 hour to the end of the match, which is less than Pokemon is projected to get
Using the Fallout 3 match, it got 32148 votes during this time
And using ME3 match, it got only 20398

Now the hard part is using this data and altering it to this match, when the vote totals are much higher and so does Pokemon vote intake, so we need to give Undertale a higher number as well but I don't know how to do it
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3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
Oh great while I was calculating all hell broke loose
f*** this contest
---
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
MechanicalWall posted...
creativename posted...
I see people talking about how FF7 has no shot vs. Melee.

Some don't seem to grasp how rallies are ao unpredictable, I think. Not only their size, but their backfire rate is very important.

Rallies also depend very much on how the pitch is made, and by whom. Not all e.g. Reddit posts are equal - some pitch better, and something from a respected regular or community leader will mean more than random nobody.

Melee barely beat CT. That match is very hard to predict.


I can only imagine that Melee is going to get antivoted to oblivion from at least Board 8 for c***blocking Chrono Trigger.

Yes, you heard it here first. Something is actually going to get antivoted against FFVII.


This isn't that rare these days actually!
34.

Not enough to win the match, but maybe this means Undertale is gonna increase from now.
There are 126 updates left. Undertale's deficit is 7432. It needs to cut at 59 votes per update to win.
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Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
Like I said this morning, Undertale needs to find another gear.
---
Hello, I'm Chris!
https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif
1337gamerpr0 posted...
This isn't that rare these days actually!


True enough. After all, one of its latest opponent was Halo, the other king of the antivote.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
I see people talking about how FF7 has no shot vs. Melee.

Some don't seem to grasp how rallies are ao unpredictable, I think. Not only their size, but their backfire rate is very important.

Rallies also depend very much on how the pitch is made, and by whom. Not all e.g. Reddit posts are equal - some pitch better, and something from a respected regular or community leader will mean more than random nobody.

Melee barely beat CT. That match is very hard to predict.


I believe Hylian when he says that CT is more popular than FFVII among the competitive Melee crowd. It matches up with my experience of reading Smashboards over the years- there is a surprising amount of CT stuff. Remember, these are competitive Smash players, they are serious enough about gaming that CT generally is not going to be too obscure for them to have heard about.

Reddit rally posts seem to be all or nothing though - either it will get upvoted to the top of the subreddit and it will be full strength, or it won't catch fire and it doesn't, in which case it will barely produce anything. We saw the Melee rally fall apart against CT in the closing hours as the reddit post slided down the page, until Smashboards intervened with the last ditch Facebook/Twitter rally.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
Looks like a popular tumblr reblogged traceexcalibur, and someone else popular reblogged them. Not sure how deep their reach is though, so we'll have to wait this out and see.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*!
So long as Pokemon doesn't get cut by 100+ votes it is looking good to survive the afternoon.
Undertale will probably get some 300+ updates soon

I can't see Pokemon winning unless it can steal some of the rallied votes.
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...
(edited 12/8/2015 10:33:05 AM)report
aww yeah let's do this

Pokemon you're next
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
abdou posted...
Undertale will probably get some 300+ updates soon

I can't see Pokemon winning unless it can steal some of the rallied votes.


If that happens, the question is how long it will take for it to start happening, and how long it will last.
Where is heiress to make this interesting
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http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
abdou posted...
Undertale will probably get some 300+ updates soon

I can't see Pokemon winning unless it can steal some of the rallied votes.


It will probably steal some.
The question is, will it steal enough.
For now I believe it will be.
(edited 12/8/2015 10:34:20 AM)report
Goddamnit Pokemon slowed down too much. We let the foot off the gas. If we'd pushed this to 10,000 we'd be golden by now.

f***ing yoblazer jinxing the s*** out of us.
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"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism." -ArgaiRonso
I can only imagine that Melee is going to get antivoted to oblivion from at least Board 8 for c***blocking Chrono Trigger.

Yes, you heard it here first. Something is actually going to get antivoted against FFVII.


For that rally against CT, I am anti-voting Melee against Undertale if it gets there, and anti-voting OOT. This is all Link's fault, make no mistake! I am voting for Melee against FFVII because it would look really bad for CT if it loses to Melee and FFVII wins.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
Yeesh it's really picking up notes now. The one blog might have screwed us.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*!
we need to counter-rally right now
C'mon Undertale I thought you could challenge the King
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satoru iwata
I don't know if you can just say CT is more popular than FFVII among Melee fans.

FFVII was just such a huge game that I doubt CT would be more popular among Melee fans, especially since it only came out a few years before Melee.

I personally voted for Melee without a doubt against CT but I'll have to think about FFVII vs. Melee
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Currently Playing-Rocket League, Demon's Souls
SSBM Peach Main (Working on a Fox :D)
This is really bad.
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"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism." -ArgaiRonso
ExThaNemesis posted...
This is really bad.

---
"Yugioh has no supernatural elements. Everything is hologram." -MAtt5TER
41 votes!

Watching Undertale slowly build the strength to fight back. It fills you with...

DETERMINATION

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bPCMJC1Ig6s

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