Hopefully Melee breaks 40% :(



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SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
not likely on ChronoFAQs
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
Hopefully Melee does worse than FFX.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Hopefully Melee wins when I rally every Nintendo community
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http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
hopefully everyone you rally decides to vote for CT instead

and FFVII too
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
CT and FFVII both breaking 60%, calling it now.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.
In other news, this is currently where the MGS1/MGS3/RE4 hierarchy stands based on MGS2/RE4 and MGS1/SotC:

Resident Evil 4 43.09%
Metal Gear Solid: 42.36%
Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater 42.30%

Cutting it a little close there, MGS1...
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
tag

And Melee will break 40%.
oh that wacky spooky maybe you'll get a prediction right once in this contest but probably not

(am I doing it right)
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
With the news that FFVII Remake is episodic, FF6 can now comfortably win!


*sobs*
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
Future 2015 Guru Contest winner.
LeonhartFour posted...
oh that wacky spooky maybe you'll get a prediction right once in this contest but probably not

(am I doing it right)


lol yes haha


But in all seriousness, I do think CT's opponents were exceptionally weak too, FFX disappointed all contest so that doubling honestly wasn't out of the world performance after seeing the MMX/FFX match.
bold prediction:


FFVII does better on FFVI than CT does on Melee
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"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism." -ArgaiRonso
That doesn't seem that bold to me. CT is all set to underperform (fingers crossed that it doesn't - UNLESS IT LOSES OUTRIGHT) and FFVII could seriously slap FFVI with the SFF hammer if the remake hype catches fire. This is a perfect storm for FFVII that I don't think FFVI's pic advantage is going to save it from.
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
What does SSBM get if KH2 = FFX again?
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
Mac Arrowny posted...
What does SSBM get if KH2 = FFX again?


38.57%
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I will bet the testicle I won from Alec on SSBM breaking 40%.

I'm actually pretty confident in 45%, too. FFX is a f***ing fraud and there was also some SFF and Melee is going to show that in 2 hours.
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http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
if FFX is a fraud Melee is a fraud too

just sayin'
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I can deal with everyone in this division being a fraud
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
DaruniaTheGoron posted...
I will bet the testicle I won from Alec on SSBM breaking 40%.

I'm actually pretty confident in 45%, too. FFX is a f***ing fraud and there was also some SFF and Melee is going to show that in 2 hours.


No bet on 40%.

45% would be tempting, but don't like to bet here.
Do you guys honestly think that KHII beats FFX? And not only beats it, but by a considerable margin too?
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
CT/FFX SFF can be real. So can KH2 > FFX. I can't call that match with any confidence at this point unless CT doubles Melee or something.
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
The SQUARE HIERARCHY is real

just ask KH1 about that
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
ugh right the hierarchy

I didn't think it was real but then that FFIX > KH bulls*** happened

FFX wins
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
How would that make Melee a fraud? I'm saying FFX has dropped since 2010.

And LOL x-stats is a thing for a reason
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http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
Melee has always been close to FFX regardless of what the FFX naysayers claim

it's never been as strong as people want it to be
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Coming from someone who had Melee in the finals, Melee proved it was fraudulent when KH2 embarrassed the hell out of it. FFX may not be able to beat it but that part's pretty much sealed for me.
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
speaking of X-Stats I always get excited when we're about to hit a new round and we get the next set of expanded X-Stats

so much fun
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
There is no hierarchy. Just strength of games. KH2 could beat FF9 and it's certainly looking like it would beat FF8.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
Speaking of x-stats, MGS1 is now officially projected to lose to MGS3

Great
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
KH2 being the strongest post-90s Square game would make me happy despite my love of FFX
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I'm still saying that SotC has gone up from GotD. You'll see that MGS1 still wins.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
Poll updates and trend charts for the 1v1 FFVI/FFVII poll from last year:

Poll updates - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PiUsAZucUJE0wRACvE2HXrZl8nw6V40KF2z5w1RyAp4/pub
Trend charts - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PiUsAZucUJE0wRACvE2HXrZl8nw6V40KF2z5w1RyAp4/pub?gid=1

Maybe red sox would be interested in using this for trend projections over the course of the actual FFVI/FFVII match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
12/6/2015 7:56:49 PM#33
The upper end of the GotD X-Stats have been holding up really well, haven't they? Even the MGS games that we used to think had tanked are showing they aren't too far off their GotD numbers.
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No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
Game of the Decade stats have been shockingly consistent considering we're 5 years out from them.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
More evidence that this site is frozen in time.

Perfect Dark projects a 55.03% win for LTTP > Majora so keep that in the back of your mind...!
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Karma Hunter posted...
Coming from someone who had Melee in the finals, Melee proved it was fraudulent when KH2 embarrassed the hell out of it. FFX may not be able to beat it but that part's pretty much sealed for me.


We're like in the same boat, lost all hope for Melee when KH2 embarrassed Melee. I had RBY > Melee in the semis.

I'm confident that if this contest was held in 2013, Melee > FF7 could have actually happened, that year was just too pathetic for Cloud/Sephy and Nintendo-Pokemon love seemed all-time high.
LeonhartFour posted...
More evidence that this site is frozen in time.

Perfect Dark projects a 55.03% win for LTTP > Majora so keep that in the back of your mind...!


That sounds about right to me. I doubt we'll see an SFF beating, as I think Majora will at least partially function as an OoT proxy, for those (crazy) people that prefer 3-D N64 Zelda to 2-D SNES Zelda.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
so, um... does MGS or MGS3 win next round?
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-_-...-_-
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LeonhartFour posted...
More evidence that this site is frozen in time.

Perfect Dark projects a 55.03% win for LTTP > Majora so keep that in the back of your mind...!


LTTP has looked stronger than MM in the tourney thus far so no surprise there, and also I'd like to point out the two closest games this round both had Metroid games in them.
Mannequin Depressive posted...
so, um... does MGS or MGS3 win next round?


Good question! Looks like a tossup at this point.

Of course, MGS3/ME2 looked like a tossup, too, so...!
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Think the safe money is on MGS still. MGS3 is divisive enough that I think people like me that couldn't stand having to go into a menu every 30 seconds in a stealth action game will bolster MGS.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
you people that are like 'menu every 30 seconds auuuuuughhh'

were you literally getting shot and hit every 30 seconds or something

maybe you just sucked at the game
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"I'll admit that I made one or two sarcastic remarks in this topic, but in all serious I akin Undertale to fascism." -ArgaiRonso
looking ahead, the CT vs FF7 match happen on the same day that Undertale vs M64... Who will tumblr vote for? FF7?
who knows
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
If Melee miraculously got out of tomorrows match though they'd probably vote Melee > FF7
I can't even catch a hypothetical break!
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
I'd go with MGS3 becauseit had the real Big Boss. And it has looked more impressive than MGS.
If Undertale beats Pokemon, it's more like "who cares."
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http://i.imgur.com/gByqgPg.gif
foxhead84 posted...
looking ahead, the CT vs FF7 match happen on the same day that Undertale vs M64... Who will tumblr vote for? FF7?


FFVII seems like the safe bet since it's the more well known game.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
foxhead84 posted...
looking ahead, the CT vs FF7 match happen on the same day that Undertale vs M64... Who will tumblr vote for? FF7?


Tumblr will vote for Pokémon, I got typed word today that a popular tumblr user is backing it.
Menu every 30 seconds is also necessary if you're trying to maintain optimum camo. Which you shouldn't have to do, Tiger Stripe is sufficient to quickly sneak through 99% of the game without interacting with 99% of the enemies, but it's a legitimate concern for more methodical players.
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time

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