MPF augh
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xyzzy
transience posted...
what does base Undertale (before the rallies got started) project to for Fallout 3/Mass Effect 3? like 59/41?

'cause MGS3's about to 59/41 Mass Effect 2.


If you just base it off of what Undertale had at the freeze of both matches, FO3 wins with 62.28%
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
FO3 or MGS3?
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xyzzy
AxemRedRanger posted...
It seems like it's boosted a ton. I can only guess that the cancellation of Silent Hills and all the related Konami crap greatly increased sympathy for Silent Hill.


This sympathy vote might actually be a thing. I was half-facetious recently when pointing it out about Metroid and Mega Man, but P.T. had hype and Konami's woes have been pretty publicized this year.
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M E N: nominate Metal Man in 20XX!
http://i.imgur.com/Dr4NAeq.png
I never understood the love for ME2. It ruined a lot of things that made the original an amazing game. It should be ME > ME2 > ME3.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
power hour's over
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xyzzy
back in the ICU for ol' KH
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
transience posted...
FO3 or MGS3?


Fallout 3, because

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/72936985/838372157

Ignore the fact that the GotD stats are being murdered by today's results
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
KH where do you live

I'll be right there
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Karma Hunter posted...
transience posted...
here's a thought exercise. let's say that FF7 gets 60% on MGS3 - seems a little low to me, but whatever. then let's say that MGS3 wins this with 60%. that's about as much credit as we can really give ME2 and MGS3.

that calculates out to a 68% win for FF7. FF7 beats ME1 with 68.7%. that's nuts.


all aboard the ZPF train

choo choo plucky underdog OoT is comin' for ya CT

What's ZPF?
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
ZPF = Zelda Pic Factor
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I am dead to the past and dead to the future; I live on the moment's edge now

(ZPF is Zelda Picture Factor which jokingly but not really a joke explains Zelda's last matches)
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
The only pic factor in this contest I would give credence to in this contest is ME2's. That thing is just two blobs. Even then, you've still got the logo there. Voters aren't dumb - tt's far more likely it's just fallen from grace since it won that GotY poll, unfortunately.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
KH look on the bright side.

If SOTC is as strong as it was in GOTD, then based on how this is going MGS might be able to beat Gold/Silver/Crystal.
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http://i.imgur.com/M1heX2g.jpg
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
MGS still (tentatively) looks fine to me, but I'm not impressed unless it can somehow push over 55 and keep it there. Otherwise it's about where I expected.
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
Karma Hunter posted...
I am dead to the past and dead to the future; I live on the moment's edge now

(ZPF is Zelda Picture Factor which jokingly but not really a joke explains Zelda's last matches)

Well I don't know about the other Zelda's, but that Ocarina pic for FFIX was really bad on my phone.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
creativename posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
I am dead to the past and dead to the future; I live on the moment's edge now

(ZPF is Zelda Picture Factor which jokingly but not really a joke explains Zelda's last matches)

Well I don't know about the other Zelda's, but that Ocarina pic for FFIX was really bad on my phone.


I think they are also referring to Majora's Mask not featuring Link.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
Future 2015 Guru Contest winner.
Zelda deserves all the excuses in the world, it's not like it's been renowned for slaughtering everything in its path no matter the situation
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4962-best-of-2012-game-of-the-generation-2006-2012

ME2's performance there seems very telling in hindsight.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
In honor of MGS3 I invite you to watch this guys channel:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Le23bsVURds
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Formerly known as Dilated Chemist
SOTC/MGS gives me that FF6/Wind Waker vibe. the night vote will put MGS out of reach. nice show from SOTC though - it's legit, and MGS1 is not ahead of 2/3 by any significant margin.
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xyzzy
58.5% update for MGS1

I think we can resuscitate KH now
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Ugh not even a SFF beating of epic proportions will get people to believe that MGS1 is the significantly stronger game

ME2 why did you have to choke this

...well, Bioshock in hindsight
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
oh right if RE4 doesn't choke to SMRPG we can still salvage this analysis
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
MGS1 can SFF 3 into the ground and still not be way stronger. GOTD stats have more or less held up and it's showing a 53/47 match that MGS3 won 51/49.
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xyzzy
I still think MGS1 wins next round but I will be rooting my hardest for MGS3.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I trust SotC about as far as I can throw it, especially in this grudge match kind of setup, which is why I'd be far more inclined to trust direct matches in the same year with RE4 for MGS1/MGS2. MGS3 who cares
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
SotC, why did I ever doubt you :(
Yesterday's charts:

Time | SMRPG | C. Cross | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 62.65% | 37.35% | 680 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 62.64% | 37.36% | 4590 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 58.99% | 41.01% | 9754 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 57.98% | 42.02% | 4833 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 61.61% | 38.39% | 10483 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 61.79% | 38.21% | 10094 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 61.79% | 38.21% | 2036 | (22:00-24:00)

Talk about a consistent day vote! AMERICA

Time | MGS2 | RE4 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 40.51% | 59.49% | 664 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 44.40% | 55.60% | 4565 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 45.33% | 54.67% | 9716 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 45.62% | 54.38% | 4809 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 44.83% | 55.17% | 10574 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 46.33% | 53.67% | 9908 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 49.16% | 50.84% | 2018 | (22:00-24:00)

RE and MGS have pretty similar trends, so not too much to see here other than RE4's good board vote and that sneaky MGS second night vote.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I blame this on the RE4 SNV without having any knowledge of its trends
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
Karma Hunter posted...
Zelda deserves all the excuses in the world, it's not like it's been renowned for slaughtering everything in its path no matter the situation

*cough* Sprite Magus vs. Bible Link *cough*
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
hello night vote
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
Hello night vote indeed

Finally back over 54%
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
So I guess Destiny really sucks. Bit of a flop from ME2, but good numbers from SotC. We might actually get an all-MGS clash after all.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
goodbye night vote
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
MGS 3 is not doing crap. Does the crap come in the day?
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Board 8's Greatest Beard Band - Chairmen of the Beard
http://www.youtube.com/BeardAwesome
So... I guess BioShock really was more legit than everyone thought?
Do we have estimates of how many rallied votes there were in ME2/SC?
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Lynx_7 posted...
So... I guess BioShock really was more legit than everyone thought?


BioShock is only two years newer than Resident Evil 4 and Shadow of the Colossus.

It should be more legit.
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Video Games are pretty cool.
MGS3 is going to fall in the day, but it never looked this good against Bioshock at any point last round. I'm as anti-MGS3 > MGS1 as you can get, but if anything has let MGS3 back into that match it's today's results.
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
Karma Hunter posted...
MGS3 is going to fall in the day, but it never looked this good against Bioshock at any point last round. I'm as anti-MGS3 > MGS1 as you can get, but if anything has let MGS3 back into that match it's today's results.

I think today's results don't help MGS3 because it was more relying on MGS flopping. ME2 isn't as known of a quantity as SOTC. That match means more to me, we're comparing a direct matchup MGS3 had.

It's beat hope, other than yearly variation, is that SOTC overperformed against it due to a bandwagon. I'm not convinced that happened though.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
LordoftheMorons posted...
Do we have estimates of how many rallied votes there were in ME2/SC?


It's hard to say. The vote totals weren't any different than what we normally average, so it probably wasn't anything that significant.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
MGS3's in trouble even assuming a SotC overperformance. It fought SotC at night (by far MGS's best time) while MGS2 and MGS4 took it on in the daytime. You'd likely see a significant day vote shift in that match over 24 hours, as we should confirm with MGS/SotC today.

At any rate, I don't think MGS3 will win that match, but it's certainly looking much better than when it was pulling down 52% on Bioshock last round.
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
creativename posted...
It's beat hope, other than yearly variation, is that SOTC overperformed against it due to a bandwagon. I'm not convinced that happened though.


I feel like it probably did, based on the RE4/MGS2 results. MGS3 and RE4 have always been near equals in every contest they've been in together, with a slight edge to RE4.

MGS3 did have the advantage of getting SOTC at night, which might have prevented it from losing, but I feel like SOTC probably did have at least a small bandwagon at that point.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
(edited 12/5/2015 11:03:47 PM)report
LeonhartFour posted...
LordoftheMorons posted...
Do we have estimates of how many rallied votes there were in ME2/SC?


It's hard to say. The vote totals weren't any different than what we normally average, so it probably wasn't anything that significant.


The fact that we had normal votals despite a bunch of poor vote draws, especially with no flagship Squintendo to be found, suggests there could have been significant rallying.
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
Depends on what you mean by significant, I guess. I'd say maybe a couple thousand rallied votes.

The vote totals today are mostly fine and I don't think there's rallying anywhere yet.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I don't think it's anything crazy. I'm just suggesting MGS3 is worth somewhat more than 52% on Bioshock.

e: and barely 63% on Silent Hill 2 holy geez I forgot that was a thing
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Goddamn Ocarina of Time
(edited 12/5/2015 11:08:54 PM)report
Oh, I agree.

If you do something like assume 2000 rallied votes and 1500 of them went to BioShock, that would improve MGS3's percentage to 53.37%. Nothing huge or anything but a decent difference. Maybe it was more than that, who knows.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Silent Hill 2 being stronger than expected is yet another mark on the FINAL FANTASY VIII VALIDATION TOUR

(you know, because Vice City faced SH2 in GOTD and everything)
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
MGS at 54% again

It loves to get cut every time it reaches 54% so let's see what happens
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif

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