This match needs to stay within 109 all day. Or at least break DKC2/FE's record. This match deserves "closest wire to wire" much more than those two chumps.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
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~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
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~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

But then, a day came when a fell wind began to blow across the kingdom. The great evil that all thought had been forever sealed away by the hero once again crept forth from the depths of the earth, eager to resume its dark designs.

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
Zelda games rule here.
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Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing?
124 Gurus were better than me in BGE 2015 contest!
The last champion is in captivity.
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http://i.imgur.com/M1heX2g.jpg
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
DKC2 > Both these games
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
The last champion is in captivity.

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http://i.imgur.com/M1heX2g.jpg
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
Please don't be a trend please don't be a trend
https://media2.giphy.com/media/cu1E1ckIedYl2/200_s.gif
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
My fault for picking "dance til dawn" last time!
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
LordoftheMorons posted...
https://media2.giphy.com/media/cu1E1ckIedYl2/200_s.gif


More like Un-Happy Mask Salesman
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http://i.imgur.com/M1heX2g.jpg
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
I wanted the 500 post to be "Play Super Metroid and Majora's Mask"
Because you can't pick between them!
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3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
here comes the day vote burying Zelda

yeah
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
LeonhartFour posted...
DKC2 > Both these games


Damn right. Though, there isn't any reason I would ever type "> DKC2" though.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
Future 2015 Guru Contest winner.
Kiddies waking up to push Super Metroid to victory.
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http://i.imgur.com/M1heX2g.jpg
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
LordoftheMorons posted...
https://media2.giphy.com/media/cu1E1ckIedYl2/200_s.gif


More like Un-Happy Mask Salesman

For the record, when I tried to make this topic (having forgotten Ulti already made it), this was going to be at the top:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HQdVrQofPis
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Oh no 50 VOTE BARRIER
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
12/4/2015 4:03:23 AM#16
transcience posted...
here comes the day vote burying Zelda

yeah


This is actually blowing my mind.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
Up to 50. Still much too close to call anything.
The only thing that's better than watching this nailbiter of a match is playing Super Metroid.

In fact, I think it's time I do that. It's been way too long.
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it's hard to give someone the benefit of the doubt when they actually like EarthBound - Leonhart
Wow, you'd think that Majora would get the 90s vote. I guess not even a N64 game from 2000 can stand up to 90s nostalgia.

I still think Majora is the 3rd strongest Zelda though. Well I used to think it was 2nd, but... yeah.
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"This place has a nice view of Hod. And also... I promised someone."
- Asch, Tales of the Abyss
Cut! SM isn't running away yet.

I'm gonna go shower/probably sleep, someone keep up this count:

Lead changes: 13
Ties: 4
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
OrangeCrush980 posted...
I still think Majora is the 3rd strongest Zelda though.


LttP > OoT > LoZ > Link's Awakening > Majora

You heard it here first, folks.
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http://i.imgur.com/M1heX2g.jpg
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
Queensland (Northeastern part of Australia) is very one-sided - less than 2% for Super Metroid. Think it isn't the first close match this contest either where one of the choices has well over 90% there (in the other match today, Dark Souls has something like 97% too). Too lazy to go through all the matches to make sure it isn't just today, but seems someone there is stuffing.
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~ Ringworm ~
Congrats to raytan - Guru champion CBIX!
UltimaterializerX posted...
transcience posted...
here comes the day vote burying Zelda

yeah


This is actually blowing my mind.


past trends suggest that Super Metroid is at least equal to Majora in the day. not all Zeldas are made equal and SM is a mile ahead of Prime trend wise.

still a little surprising to see it become reality though.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
12/4/2015 4:11:26 AM#23
Actually Ulti, you did just b**** about the rallying in that match.

Uh I said TF2 deserved to win because Fable sucks.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
UltimaterializerX posted...
Actually Ulti, you did just b**** about the rallying in that match.

Uh I said TF2 deserved to win because Fable sucks.


Listen you, have you not been paying attention to my posting this contest?

Everything I say is either doomsaying, snarky/bad jokes, or a complete burial of anything related to GotD in favor of old games kicking ass (except MGS, I also bury MGS because woo SMRPG).

...Ok I guess what I said could qualify under both of the last two, but still! Nobody should respond to me in these topics seriously!
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http://i.imgur.com/M1heX2g.jpg
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
UltimaterializerX posted...
Actually Ulti, you did just b**** about the rallying in that match.

Uh I said TF2 deserved to win because Fable sucks.


Listen you, have you not been paying attention to my posting this contest?

Everything I say is either doomsaying, snarky/bad jokes, or a complete burial of anything related to GotD in favor of old games kicking ass (except MGS, I also bury MGS because woo SMRPG).

...Ok I guess what I said could qualify under both of the last two, but still! Nobody should respond to me in these topics seriously!


But we are seeing YEAR OF THE SNES right in front of our very eyes!
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3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
do I need to throw in another standard "rallies always suck" post to satisfy Ulti

he doesn't remember anyone whining about rallies because who cares enough to remember TF2/Fable
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
The antivotes extend to Majora's Mask! http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/72933996/838291175

Can the Hero of Time rise to the occasion and win anyway...?
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
What's really weird about this is that if these two games were actually 50/50 and each vote was random, the expected value of the lead would be the square root of the total number of votes (currently ~138), but the match has been within 40 or so for most of the time once things semi-stabilized

It's almost like people are checking the results and voting for the loser!
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
This MM match pic is insanely cool.
Lead change again?
---
Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing?
124 Gurus were better than me in BGE 2015 contest!
ZeldaTPLink posted...
This MM match pic is insanely cool.


It's the upper half of MM3D cover art (probably existed as concept art before or something), isn't it? The whole cover is great.
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http://i.imgur.com/8t1rzi1.gif
1 vote lead for MM!

Lead changes: 14
Ties: 4

and with that, I'm going to sleep
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
This is f***ing insanity. Who even thought this match would be even remotely close?
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
Holy s***, great match here. Voted for SM, but rooting for LoZ:MM because I still want to see it go head to head with LoZ:LttP. LttP has shown it has the advantage most rounds this contest, but I don't believe it wouldn't be close and I'd hate to see it SFF SM instead to where it looks foolish to ever believe it could have been close. Stats up to this point have legitimized LoZ:MM's run so far, so this is all underestimating SM.

What a run for Metroid this contest.
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M E N: nominate Metal Man in 20XX!
http://i.imgur.com/Dr4NAeq.png
Metroid in the lead again.

How? HOW?
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
I lied. What the hell, 29 vote swing out of nowhere

Lead changes: 15
Ties: 4
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Oh wow, never expected this result. What a match!
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
OK, no more votes for Metroid please.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
PSN ID - Kudaark Steam Name : skaalfa
Looks like the lead changes will end
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BGE3: Today's Matches LoZ: LttP > MGSV, LoZ: MM > SMG
Points 139/168
This better not be the day vote!
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
SM wins in USA and since it is such a close match, it has the advantage.
---
Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing?
124 Gurus were better than me in BGE 2015 contest!
Well, when the vote is this close the possible existence of any real intra-country trends could be very relevant
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
f***

Gonna call that a trend
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Uhh, DKC2/Fire Emblem was decided by a difference of almost 2000 votes, no way that's a record of any kind.

I think SotC vs. one of the Metal Gears has the record for closest wire to wire match with 180 or something.

And what the hell, this match is insane.
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Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
It isn't just America, though. Some way, somehow, Metroid has taken most of Europe.

So can we put a rest to all the, "ONLY AMERICA CARES ABOUT METROID!" stuff now?
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
Super Metroid is slowly creeping up in America. it seems like the UK is the one place keeping Majora going. makes me think that the last 4-5 hours could swing towards SM if it's still close.

I wouldn't call this a trend or anything yet. SM pushed the lead to 50 before and Majora took back the lead an hour later.
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xyzzy
Also, in regards to the ither topic, no such thing exist as a MM3DS deboost, stop the nonsense. At worst, it's not gonna boost. People that liked the game doesn't suddenly stop liking it because they didn't enjoy the remake as much.
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Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
Shinespark time.
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http://i.imgur.com/M1heX2g.jpg
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(

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