GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1231
R.I.P. DKC2 ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php But then, a day came when a fell wind began to blow across the kingdom. The great evil that all thought had been forever sealed away by the hero once again crept forth from the depths of the earth, eager to resume its dark designs. ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
DK had a good run --- satoru iwata |
Please... with (C)... Please give me more percentage... Please... with (C)... --- raytan is the guru champ, yo yo yo He won it in the year of the draggy crow |
The FF9/KOTOR projection has always overrated KOTOR because it was a day match. But KOTOR's strong. It beat Xenogears soundly! ...based on FF9/KOTOR, Xenogears gets- ohhhhhhh no OoT is falling --- Welcome to the League of Stickies. |
LeonhartFour posted... Hmm Link is playing an ocarina Majora's Mask obvs --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
Chrono Trigger 50.00% The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 48.82% Super Smash Bros. Melee 39.64% Kingdom Hearts II 35.44% Final Fantasy X 34.48% Final Fantasy IX 34.48% Kingdom Hearts 33.72% Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal 31.69% Mega Man X 30.70% Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots 29.26% Okami 29.07% The Last of Us 28.33% Portal 25.60% Half-Life 24.54% Batman: Arkham City 24.14% Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos 22.91% Suikoden II 22.56% Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate 19.43% Halo 3 18.42% Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King 18.07% Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 16.36% The World Ends With You 14.81% Ratchet & Clank: Up Your Arsenal 14.15% Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft 8.76% --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Really
hoping that ME2 wins against MGS3 so I can actually make the
leaderboard for a change. I think that pick, and SMRPG to its division
final, might just give me the push I need. Of course, I took FFX to win its division, so I'm not actually in contention in the grand scheme of things. >_> --- Now crack that combination: 27 99 23. |
Ya go my eef eff nine --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
When
I saw that pic I thought it was Link sucking on a blanket. I didn't
realize it was an ocarina until reading this topic, thought it was some
random Zelda art someone dug up. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
TheCodeisBosco posted... Really hoping that ME2 wins against MGS3 Don't worry, it will. It's amazing how salty I am at MGS3 for no really great reason. --- Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses |
Well I guess I'm happy FF IX at least isnt getting doubled |
red sox 777 posted... When I saw that pic I thought it was Link sucking on a blanket. Hmmmmmm --- satoru iwata |
red sox 777 posted... When I saw that pic I thought it was Link sucking on a blanket. I didn't realize it was an ocarina until reading this topic, thought it was some random Zelda art someone dug up. quaking in fear of Undertale obviously --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
red sox 777 posted... When I saw that pic I thought it was Link sucking on a blanket. I didn't realize it was an ocarina until reading this topic, thought it was some random Zelda art someone dug up. I rest my case Also this: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/72927394 Calling pic factor on this one. Goddamnit Allen why don't you show text under the game? --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
OoT way too low. terrible day let's just move on to the next matches --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
Looks like one of the flutes from Oracle of Ages. --- raytan is the guru champ, yo yo yo He won it in the year of the draggy crow |
Updated Top 10 Top 10 Closest Matches 1. Donkey Kong Country 2 50.36% vs. Xenoblade Chronicles 49.64% - Round 1 0.72% 2. TESV: Skyrim 50.64% vs. Metroid Prime 49.36% - Round 3 1.28% 3. Mass Effect 50.83% vs. Super Mario Galaxy 2 49.17% - Round 1 1.66% 4. Undertale 50.95% vs. Mass Effect 3- 49.05% - Round 1 1.90% 5. Final Fantasy IX 51.09% vs. Kingdom Hearts 48.91% - Round 1 2.18% 6. Mass Effect 2 51.12% vs. Starcraft 48.88% - Round 2 2.24% 7. Paper Mario: TTYD 51.87% vs. Tales of Symphonia 48.13% - Round 1 3.74% 8. Metal Gear Solid 3 52.03% vs. BioShock 47.97% - Round 2 4.06% 9. Donkey Kong Country 2 52.11% vs. Fire Emblem: Awakening 47.89% - Round 2 4.22% 10. Sonic 2 53.17% vs. Portal 2 46.83% - Round 1 6.34% Top 10 Smallest Vote Gaps 1. Donkey Kong Country 2 17688 vs. Xenoblade Chronicles 17434 Round 1 254 2. Mass Effect 19172 vs. Super Mario Galaxy 18547 Round 1 625 3. TESV: Skyrim 29215 vs. Metroid Prime 28481 Round 3 734 4. Final Fantasy IX 20048 vs. Kingdom Hearts 19194 Round 1 854 5. Mass Effect 2 22205 vs. Starcraft 21228 Round 2 977 6. Undertale 28218 vs. Mass Effect 3 27162 Round 1 1056 7. Paper Mario: TTYD 18093 vs. Tales of Symphonia 16786 Round 1 1307 8. Metal Gear Solid 3 22142 vs. BioShock 20412 Round 2 1730 9. Donkey Kong Country 2 22800 vs. Fire Emblem: Awakening 20950 Round 2 - 1850 10. Sonic 2 20259 vs. Portal 2 17840 Round 1 2419 Top 10 Most Popular Polls 1. Undertale vs. Super Mario World Round 3 98833 2. Pokemon RBYG vs. Sonic 2 Round 3 92882 3. Undertale vs. Fallout 3 Round 2 81673 4. Pokemon RBYG vs. Super Mario Bros. 3 Round 2 78653 5. Super Mario World vs. Final Fantasy VIII Round 2 76895 6. Sonic 2 vs. Uncharted 2 Round 2 74183 7. Super Mario 64 vs. LoZ: Twilight Princess Round 3 58011 8. TESV: Skyrim vs. Metroid Prime Round 3 57696 9. Undertale vs. Mass Effect 3 Round 1 55380 10. Super Mario World vs. Animal Crossing: NL Round 1 54683 Top 10 Most Impressive Losers 1. Super Mario World Round 3 44637 2. Fallout 3 Round 2 36146 3. Super Mario Bros. 3 Round 2 29362 4. Metroid Prime Round 3 28481 5. Mass Effect 3 Round 1 27162 6. LoZ: Twilight Princess Round 3 25023 7. Uncharted 2 Round 2 24692 8. Final Fantasy VIII Round 2 24416 9. LoZ: Wind Waker Round 3 21653 10. Starcraft Round 2 21228 Top 5 Largest Comebacks 1. Undertale vs. Mass Effect 3 Round 1 9252 2. Undertale vs. Fallout 3 Round 2 6834 3. Undertale vs. Super Mario World Round 3 3224 4. Mass Effect 2 vs. Starcraft Round 2 566 5. TESV: Skyrim vs. Metroid Prime Round 3 455 --- BGE3: Today's Matches LoZ:OoT > FFIX, BK > DKC2 Points 135/160 |
Going through KOTOR right now, Xenogears gets 63% on Suikoden II. Rest in peace, Suikogears Stats --- Welcome to the League of Stickies. |
charmander6000 posted... 4. Metroid Prime Round 3 28481 So without the inflated rally votals, Metroid was the most impressive loser in the contest. I can live with that, I guess. --- Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses |
you poor oppressed Zelda fans --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
how are you calculating Melee's side of the bracket there? --- xyzzy |
transience posted... how are you calculating Melee's side of the bracket there? KH2 > KH1 based on GOTD Then adjust Melee based on what it got on KH2, --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
And honestly, FF10's first round match match it look about on the level of FF9. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3465-division-5-round-1-c-cross-ff9-half-life-zelda-oot FF9 vs. HL1 with Chrono Cross in the poll: 59.44% FF10 vs. HL1: 64.44% --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. (edited 12/2/2015 9:28:21 PM)report |
Assuming
yesterday's matches would have naturally pulled in about 47000 votes,
that means we got about 11000 rally spillover votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Janus5k posted... you poor oppressed Zelda fans its not easy being green --- raytan is the guru champ, yo yo yo He won it in the year of the draggy crow |
oh, so there's two adjustments there? hmm I'd guess that we're gonna see CT/Ocarina equal by the end of the day. --- xyzzy |
Zelda just wanted to do a nice homage to its home system with its percentage right now. |
Well, if I set KH1 = KH2, it only makes Melee look worse! That's actually the most favorable projection I can give it! --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
I doubt KH1 is as strong as KH2. Close, but yeah. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
man, DKC2 finally gets exposed. Banjo really is going to be the #2 game in this pack --- xyzzy |
Going through KOTOR right now, Xenogears gets 63% on Suikoden II. 2004 stats predict Xenogears to get 64.02% on Suikoden II Close enough. --- BGE3: Today's Matches LoZ:OoT > FFIX, BK > DKC2 Points 135/160 |
If KH1 and KH2 are both as strong (or stronger) as perhaps the 3rd strongest FF game, that speaks a lot for its strength! Kind of amazing how the KH games have improved relative to Final Fantasy over the years. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
And the words Ocarina of Time are barely readable, if you stare at it. The other games are all clear. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
transience posted... man, DKC2 finally gets exposed. Banjo really is going to be the #2 game in this pack Eh, it's not too surprising. I gave DKC2 a little benefit of the doubt based on fanboyism and the possibility of an overperformance due to its two surprising wins, but I would've expected it to be weaker than Banjo straight up. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
transience posted... man, DKC2 finally gets exposed. Banjo really is going to be the #2 game in this pack SotN has looked incredibly strong with contest, and Banjo being the #2 game here seems about right. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
CaptainOfCrush posted... I honestly have no idea what you guys are talking about. man, senility sets in that quickly once you hit 30, huh? I better prepare myself --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
well, it's more surprising how bad Xenoblade and company are. and Mario Maker. yikes. --- xyzzy |
Every round makes Mario Maker look even worse than the round before. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
red sox 777 posted... And the words Ocarina of Time are barely readable, if you stare at it. The other games are all clear. Man, Twilight Princess just had this exact same problem, but no one was making excuses for it. --- Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses |
LeonhartFour posted... If KH1 and KH2 are both as strong (or stronger) as perhaps the 3rd strongest FF game, that speaks a lot for its strength! At least as far as the rest of the internet is concerned, the fact that KH skipped a whole generation seems to have caused a lot of nostalgia for the first 2 titles and fans eager for a new numbered sequel. It definetely feels like its grown somewhat over the years. |
Now for some Okamistats! Using Metroid Prime/Okami and Final Fantasy IX/Okami, Metroid Prime gets 35.44% on Ocarina of Time indirectly right now. Majora's Mask gets 40.87%. --- Welcome to the League of Stickies. |
Yes dracula Revenge for xenoblade and FE --- Christopher Christopher Christopher Christopher |
I was just looking at Okami/Prime. I feel like FF9 = Prime is the most accurate comparison right now. --- xyzzy |
People
who are not me are extrapolating things to show CT > OOT, yoblazer.
I think I'll wait for CT/Melee to get in on this, and then I'll be
extrapolating through 2004 stats because I can actually remember those. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
transience posted... well, it's more surprising how bad Xenoblade and company are. and Mario Maker. yikes. I think you're overstating this. Being behind Banjo is not a bad thing. Banjo is projected to be as strong as Paper Mario 2! --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Yesterday's X-Stats: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 50.00% Metroid Prime 49.36% Half-Life 2 41.51% GoldenEye 007 40.95% The Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind 36.44% Diablo II 36.09% Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney 33.38% Demons Souls 29.97% Super Mario 64 50.00% The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 43.13% Final Fantasy Tactics 33.77% Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 4 29.96% Resident Evil 2 28.65% Skies of Arcadia 23.86% Mario Kart 8 19.96% Nine Hours, Nine Persons, Nine Doors 13.30% --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
I
seriously cannot tell that Zelda is OoT. I'm on this site with my phone
and Ocarina of Time is unreadable And the Ocarina is cut off at the
bottom of the picture. --- David Hayter Seriously, Who in the hell is "Draven?" (Sounds like a draggy crow.) |
wait, you think SOTN could get like 47% on FF6 and possibly beat Wind Waker? --- xyzzy |
well, it's more surprising how bad Xenoblade and company are. and Mario Maker. yikes. More like Castlevania: SotN is strong, it's been putting up FFIX-like numbers all contest. --- BGE3: Today's Matches LoZ:OoT > FFIX, BK > DKC2 Points 135/160 |
