Best Game Ever 2015: JRPG Revenge Edition



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~*Character Contest Histories*~
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~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

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~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
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~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
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~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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I was really happy with my 4/4 score last round. Now I'm probably losing with Witcher and San Andreas.

lol
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David Hayter
Seriously, Who in the hell is "Draven?" (Sounds like a draggy crow.)
Repost for those interested.

Behemoth_Knight posted...
Hey there, just reproduced a bracket that actually shows numbers because it was annoying to go from page to page for results. Hopefully it is of some use to others as well.

http://challonge.com/vw1wtko0

The order is a bit off but ultimately the matchups are the same.
Still wondering why the site thinks it received votes from me in all the polls already. And I tried voting in like the first minute.

bacon trying to keep chrono cross's % down i can see it already
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
Top 10 Update

Nothing cracked the top 10 today.
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BGE3: Today's Matches SMRPG>GTAV, CC>GTA:SA, MGS2>Witcher 3, RE4>Fallout: NV
Points 95/112
More like the b****er 3.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
I think getting the 500 is the upset of the contest
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LongLiveraytan
xp1337 posted...
Still wondering why the site thinks it received votes from me in all the polls already. And I tried voting in like the first minute.

bacon trying to keep chrono cross's % down i can see it already


Same here dunno why
so if chrono cross has a higher percentage than smrpg this round, will anyone entertain chrono cross > smrpg in round 3? 'cause I'm pretty sure the consensus is san andreas > 5.
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xyzzy
It's 6am in Poland so we might see a rally for Witcher 3 in a couple of hours.
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Video Games are pretty cool.
(edited 11/26/2015 9:26:38 PM)report
also, if there's a witcher rally, it has to favour the gta games. there could be some really funky results with even a small push.
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xyzzy
transience posted...
so if chrono cross has a higher percentage than smrpg this round, will anyone entertain chrono cross > smrpg in round 3? 'cause I'm pretty sure the consensus is san andreas > 5.


I'm entertaining it right now
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
so if chrono cross has a higher percentage than smrpg this round, will anyone entertain chrono cross > smrpg in round 3? 'cause I'm pretty sure the consensus is san andreas > 5.

On a normal site 5 would be stronger than San Andreas, but this is GameFAQs.
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BGE3: Today's Matches SMRPG>GTAV, CC>GTA:SA, MGS2>Witcher 3, RE4>Fallout: NV
Points 95/112
Stop with the rallies
Gah
Behemoth_Knight posted...
Repost for those interested.

Behemoth_Knight posted...
Hey there, just reproduced a bracket that actually shows numbers because it was annoying to go from page to page for results. Hopefully it is of some use to others as well.

http://challonge.com/vw1wtko0

The order is a bit off but ultimately the matchups are the same.


percentages over raw vote totals?

I guess
11/26/2015 9:29:54 PM#16
Yesterday's X-Stats:

The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past – 50.00%
Final Fantasy IV – 34.55%
Deus Ex – 20.89%
Cave Story – 11.98%

Cave Story gets 28.67% on Deus Ex and 17.34% on FFIV

Dark Souls – 50.00%
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain – 44.60%
Perfect Dark – 40.43%
Sid Meier’s Civilization V – 33.33%

Civ V gets 41.22% on Perfect Dark and 37.37% on MGSV.

Super Metroid – 50.00%
Super Mario Galaxy – 40.41%
Dragon Age: Origins – 29.06%
Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare – 20.54%

CoD4 gets 35.34% on Dragon Age and 25.41% on Galaxy

The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask – 50.00%
Final Fantasy XII – 31.13%
Bloodborne – 27.65%
Valkyria Chronicles – 24.11%

VC gets 43.60% on Bloodborne and 38.72% on FFXII.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
handsomeboy2012 posted...
Stop with the rallies
Gah


i don't think there's much evidence of one happening other than this dude's word
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Started from the bottom now we here
Chrono Cross deserves to win.
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You dare bring light to my lair? YOU MUST DIE! - CDI Ganon
haloiscoolisbak posted...
handsomeboy2012 posted...
Stop with the rallies
Gah


i don't think there's much evidence of one happening other than this dude's word


CD Projekt Red has rallied for multiple contests. Specifically GOTY related polls as well as anticipation polls when Witcher 3 was coming out.
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Video Games are pretty cool.
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Behemoth_Knight posted...
Repost for those interested.

Behemoth_Knight posted...
Hey there, just reproduced a bracket that actually shows numbers because it was annoying to go from page to page for results. Hopefully it is of some use to others as well.

http://challonge.com/vw1wtko0

The order is a bit off but ultimately the matchups are the same.


percentages over raw vote totals?

I guess


Yeah they are percentages. Total votes wouldn't fit in.
oh ok. Well I'd rather Witcher than Undertale so w/e
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Started from the bottom now we here
Again, I had San Andreas and Witcher 3 going to the division finals.
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3DS FC: 4382 - 2449 - 5707 IGN: Anthony
Dabrikishaw15 posted...
Again, I had San Andreas and Witcher 3 going to the division finals.


If a rally starts, then Witcher 3 will certainly come back, San Andreas was doomed to lose to Super Mario RPG. Hell if it was Oblivion it would still lose.

As for Witcher 3, I have it going to the final 4 cause I was pretty confident in a rally happening. My bracket is already crap so it doesn't really matter anymore. But it would help.
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Video Games are pretty cool.
(edited 11/26/2015 9:36:43 PM)report
how is it that every game in this division looks bad?
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xyzzy
11/26/2015 9:36:17 PM#26
transience posted...
how is it that every game in this division looks bad?


that was part of what made this division so interesting though!
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yeah but RE4 was the consensus winner. it could end up below 60% here against a game that couldn't pull 60% on bioshock infinite!

I wonder how Bioshock/MGS3 goes
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xyzzy
Was RE4 that strong of a pre-contest favorite? I took Mario RPG and assumed a decent chunk of others did as well...
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http://i.imgur.com/gByqgPg.gif
I wonder how Bioshock/MGS3 goes

BioShock had a decent performance against Kingdom Hearts II in 2010, though I guess the expectation now is that it is now weaker.
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BGE3: Today's Matches SMRPG>GTAV, CC>GTA:SA, MGS2>Witcher 3, RE4>Fallout: NV
Points 95/112
11/26/2015 9:40:19 PM#30
you're even overselling New Vegas's performance! It didn't even manage 56%!

MGS3 should get high 50s on BioShock, I think.

but knowing MGS3 it won't
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I feel like more people debated Mario RPG/Oblivion than did Mario RpG/RE4.
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satoru iwata
(edited 11/26/2015 9:41:20 PM)report
11/26/2015 9:41:08 PM#32
CaptainOfCrush posted...
Was RE4 that strong of a pre-contest favorite? I took Mario RPG and assumed a decent chunk of others did as well...


Man, I was one of the biggest proponents of SMRPG's strength and I didn't even consider it.

Resident Evil 4 - 160 (81.22%)
Super Mario RPG - 9 (4.57%)
Metal Gear Solid 2 - 11 (5.58%)
The Witcher 3 - 6 (3.05%)
World of Warcraft - 2 (1.02%)
Grand Theft Auto V - 7 (3.55%)
Fallout New Vegas - 1 (0.51%)
GTA San Andreas - 1 (0.51%)
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
transience posted...
so if chrono cross has a higher percentage than smrpg this round, will anyone entertain chrono cross > smrpg in round 3? 'cause I'm pretty sure the consensus is san andreas > 5.


I wouldn't take Chrono Cross over Super Mario RPG in any contest, let alone one where SNES games appear to be boosted.

If CC ends up outperforming SMRPG in their round 2 matches I'm just going to conclude that it means that GTA5 > GTA SA, until round 3 proves otherwise.
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The RPG Duelling League: www.rpgdl.com
An unparalleled source for RPG information and discussion
LeonhartFour posted...
Resident Evil 4 - 160 (81.22%)
Super Mario RPG - 9 (4.57%)
Metal Gear Solid 2 - 11 (5.58%)
The Witcher 3 - 6 (3.05%)
World of Warcraft - 2 (1.02%)
Grand Theft Auto V - 7 (3.55%)
Fallout New Vegas - 1 (0.51%)
GTA San Andreas - 1 (0.51%)


Come on, guys!
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11/26/2015 9:42:39 PM#35
who could have predicted this would be the YEAR OF THE SNES

you still probably have to basically believe GTAV > Paper Mario before you get SMRPG > RE4 though

not sure I'm ready to go there
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The most surprising thing about this to me is that WoW actually still seems to have some small semblance of strength on this site.

Figured it would be complete fodder on gamefaqs in 2015.
SMRPG > RE4 just defies all logic. It's frickin' Resident Evil 4.

I don't care if it's the year of SNES or not, that'd just be crazy.
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Now crack that combination:
27 99 23.
11/26/2015 9:43:57 PM#38
you know what else (apparently) defied all logic

SMRPG > SFII

(don't ask me because I picked SMRPG without a second thought)
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Bioshock disappointed relative to stats on SH2 too. its weak brother is going to be worth like 37% or something on RE4.
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xyzzy
and chrono cross just got cut. oh boy
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xyzzy
11/26/2015 9:46:31 PM#41
transience posted...
Bioshock disappointed relative to stats on SH2 too. its weak brother is going to be worth like 37% or something on RE4.


Yeah, BioShock looked kinda weak against SH2. GOTD X-Stats project 58.52% for MGS3 against BioShock, but I'm sure it'll find some way to underperform.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
(and for all the noise about smrpg's bad europe vote, Chrono Cross didn't come out there either)
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xyzzy
11/26/2015 9:47:21 PM#43
Every losing game got a decent jump in percentage there.

Witcher 3 rally...?!
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
LeonhartFour posted...
Every losing game got a decent jump in percentage there.

Witcher 3 rally...?!


I haven't seen any on Twitter so I don't think so.
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Video Games are pretty cool.
nah, the power hour (seems to cut off at about 45 minutes usually) is just over
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xyzzy
I'm not sure how accurate the map results are, but they suggest that GTA is winning the UK with 60%+ for both CC and SMRPG
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xyzzy
If the percents for CC and SMRPG keep going down at the same rate, that actually means SA has to beat V with less percent for CC > SMRPG right?
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
11/26/2015 9:55:39 PM#48
Well, the early returns on Europe usually shift a decent bit because there aren't that many voters yet, but I expect it'll be ugly. Oblivion got 70% on Mario RPG in the UK, I think.
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two questions. whats the power hour(i have a rough idea but wouldnt mind an explanation) and what are you talking about with this "GTA is winning the UK with 60% for both CC and SMRPG". wouldnt that mean GTA is losing the UK?
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Started from the bottom now we here
(edited 11/26/2015 9:56:14 PM)report
RE4 what are you doing
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."

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