GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1214
Let's mosey, Link. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
I voted for all of the options on the right today. --- David Hayter Seriously, Who in the hell is "Draven?" (Sounds like a draggy crow.) |
What are the chances that The Wind Waker beats FFVII? --- Video Games are pretty cool. |
transience posted... anyway, people calling for Smash 4 > Brawl are clearly wrong - that game looks to be only slightly above Galaxy 2 and probably weaker than Galaxy. FF7 should go to town next round on it. The sad thing about Smash 4 is those who have played it generally seem to agree the game is better than Brawl. And yet that probably won't translate into contest strength despite being a more well liked game than Brawl. I guess playrate probably factors into the contest strength of Smash 4 and its playrate certainly isn't up to par with Brawl. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Much smaller gain for Smash 4 that update Gonna give it one more update --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
I still have faith for Mass Effect it's not right but neither is the existence of Smash 4 --- Welcome to the League of Stickies. |
lmao Wii U games/FPS/FF6 --- Communists |
:15 for Smash 4 - 58.47% :15 for Galaxy 2 - 57.03% --- xyzzy |
um did Final Fantasy VII just not lose the board vote LOL Halo --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
Ganondorf
paced the champion's box, furtively glancing at the stadium entrances.
He had been ordered to come here tonight, but he hoped he would not
have to subject himself to abject humiliation. Maybe the champion would
not show up- he hadn't attended any match so far except for his own,
after all. Ganondorf groaned as he caught sight of that horrible green
tunic that haunted all his dreams. Ganondorf sighed as he lay himself
facedown on the floor in front of the champion's chair. Link stepped upon Ganondorf's body and hoisted himself into the champion's high seat. To Ganon's dismay, Link kept his feet resting atop Ganondorf's body. He would be used as a footstool for the duration of the match, it appeared. The festive crowd slowly fell silent as they saw who sat in the champion's seat. Out on the field, Cloud saw. This was a surprise. He had thought that the One no longer thought of him as a rival, that he was no longer worthy of any attention. Why had Link come tonight? Was he simply bored, and wanted to see some fighting? Either way, Cloud and his team would give him a good show, and maybe, just maybe, strike a little fear into that heart of adamant. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
KamikazePotato posted... transience posted...KOTOR doesn't beat Paper Mario 2. that's like SMRPG-Oblivion lite 1. That was a day match - and KOTOR actually beat FFIX in the U.S. so it probably mattered a bit. 2. Most of KOTOR's gamefaqs fanbase back during that poll had probably played it for Xbox. The game may have dropped due to shifting site demographics. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Yesterday's X-Stats: Chrono Trigger 50.00% Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King 18.07% Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 16.36% Ratchet & Clank: Up Your Arsenal 14.15% UYA gets 43.25% on P3, 39.15% on DQ8 Final Fantasy X 50.00% Mega Man X 44.52% Half-Life 35.58% Batman: Arkham City 35.01% Half-Life gets 50.80% on Batman, 39.96% on MMX Super Smash Bros. Melee 50.00% Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal 39.97% Portal 32.29% The World Ends With You 18.68% Portal gets 70.80% on TWEWY, 40.39% on G/S/C Kingdom Hearts II 50.00% Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots 41.29% The Last of Us 39.97% Halo 3 25.98% MGS4 gets 68.54% on Halo 3, 51.60% on Last of Us --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
For an old comparison, FFVI was expected to get 65.09% on Super Mario RPG. (in 2004, that is) --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." (edited 11/21/2015 9:21:08 PM)report |
such high votals yesterday :) i see a few rallies happened --- Not changing this sig until the Bengals, Bills, Lions and Colt McCoy win the Super Bowl (10/10/10) ~User of the Year 2015~ |
Is this really surprising for FF7? If you have Halo a bit stronger than Halo 3, and use the KH2 Halo 3 relation, I'd think that pegs FF7 sky high. FPSes are just done on this site. This match tells me little. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
And yeah, there's a decent chance KOTOR is weaker now than 2010. Anything affiliated primarily with PC and/or Xbox probably is. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Forget Portal 2, Halo 3, Super Mario Maker and everything else. Super Smash Bros. 4 is turd of the contest so far. --- JAK The Character Battle IX people's champ. |
So if there was a rematch between SMS and Halo... --- No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585. Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest! |
Whiskey_Nick posted... such high votals yesterday Please get CT to win the contest bro. We will love you forever. What's the group name on FB? --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest "F*** Draven." -SBAllen |
I guess SMRPG, PM64 and TTYD are just stronger than before. --- Video Games are pretty cool. |
UberPyro64 posted... What are the chances that The Wind Waker beats FFVII? Thats not happening. --- 63/72 pts - GameFAQs' 20th Anniversary Best. Game. Ever. Contest! NP: Final Fantasy VI/Zelda: WW/Smash Bros. Wii U/Final Fantasy VII |
I've never understood the PM fanbase. do people think PM1 = PM2 or is PM1 a little stronger? --- xyzzy |
red sox 777 posted... Ganondorf paced the champion's box, furtively glancing at the stadium entrances. He had been ordered to come here tonight, but he hoped he would not have to subject himself to abject humiliation. Maybe the champion would not show up- he hadn't attended any match so far except for his own, after all. Ganondorf groaned as he caught sight of that horrible green tunic that haunted all his dreams. Ganondorf sighed as he lay himself facedown on the floor in front of the champion's chair. "The crownless again shall be king." --- Best. Game. Ever.: 20th Anniversary Edition Current Score: 56/64 |
TheCodeisBosco posted... Forget Portal 2, Halo 3, Super Mario Maker and everything else. How...? Some people were picking ME/SMG2 to beat it. It's 60-40ing --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
ffmasterjose posted... UberPyro64 posted...What are the chances that The Wind Waker beats FFVII? You don't know that for sure. This is ZeldaFAQs. Well Wind Waker will still have problems with VI. If it even gets past VI. VII will be a stronger opponent for sure. But who knows. If Wind Waker gets bandwagoned or not. --- Video Games are pretty cool. |
transience posted... I've never understood the PM fanbase. do people think PM1 = PM2 or is PM1 a little stronger? I honestly have no idea myself. If PM = TTYD, FFVI is currently projected at 56.24% on RE4 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4191-final-rounds-quarterfinal-final-fantasy-x-vs-resident-evil-4 FFX > FFVI confirmed --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
TheCodeisBosco posted... Forget Portal 2, Halo 3, Super Mario Maker and everything else. If it loses the match, then maybe. But not many thought it could beat FF7 in the third round. --- Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing) On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no. |
60/40 probably turns into 55/45, and maybe even lower. that's not great. but really, it was just some users' expectations being off. kinda like Last of Us had a few believers. --- xyzzy |
Smash
4 has already exceeded the maximum lead that Galaxy 2 managed to get
against Mass Effect and it's only the 20 minute mark so far. Galaxy 2
maxed out at 265 and I think Smash 4 has the strength to extend its
current lead even farther to put a comeback out of reach through normal
trends. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
transience posted... I've never understood the PM fanbase. do people think PM1 = PM2 or is PM1 a little stronger? GotD stats: Paper Mario 35.96% Halo: Combat Evolved 35.54% Super Mario Galaxy 35.28% BioShock 35.09% Mass Effect 35.06% Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic 34.59% Golden Sun 34.26% Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door 33.94% Take as many grains of salt from that as you want to! --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
LeonhartFour posted... transience posted...I've never understood the PM fanbase. do people think PM1 = PM2 or is PM1 a little stronger? TTYD definitely seems stronger than PM64. At least when you look at fan circles. Usually people's favorite Mario RPG is TTYD or SMRPG. PM is usually a distant third in that. --- Video Games are pretty cool. |
TheCodeisBosco posted... Forget Portal 2, Halo 3, Super Mario Maker and everything else. Did you pick SSB4 to go deep in this contest or something? Because this is exactly what I expected SSB4 to be doing. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima raytan: Champ without picking the champ |
KamikazePotato posted... transience posted...I've never understood the PM fanbase. do people think PM1 = PM2 or is PM1 a little stronger? lol --- Communists |
Paper Mario is stronger. It just is. It's probably the strongest Mario RPG because of SMRPG's lol europe vote It's also the worst Mario RPG, but that's never stopped it from causing damage before! --- Welcome to the League of Stickies. |
I'm
just gonna set them equal. RE4 was right next to TP in some of those
fourways (I don't think there was any overlap except maybe MGS3/RE4?
honestly I barely remember) I think FF6 wins like 54-46 next round. as this match plays out, it probably gets more clear. Wind Waker's a fine upset to take though. --- xyzzy |
Good gain for FFVI. --- Video Games are pretty cool. |
And okay yeah, if FF6 keeps that up it's going to win next round Will be interesting to see where everything ends up after the night vote --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
FFVII currently projected at 70% on Majora based on Halo Watch out OoT --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
so does anyone think Halo is actually stronger than COD4 by any notable margin? --- xyzzy |
I like how that block of stats includes a game in every match today ...What does FFVII beat FFVI with, using those numbers? --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." (edited 11/21/2015 9:27:45 PM)report |
transience posted... so does anyone think Halo is actually stronger than COD4 by any notable margin? Obviously yes? --- Hello, I'm Chris! https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif |
transience posted... so does anyone think Halo is actually stronger than COD4 by any notable margin? Super Metroid secret powerhouse --- Communists |
I imagine Halo would pretty easily dispatch CoD4. I mean...it's like sci fi at least --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
I just hope if TWW can beat VI that it can bandwagon and beat VII as well. That would be acceptable to me. --- Video Games are pretty cool. |
transience posted... so does anyone think Halo is actually stronger than COD4 by any notable margin? By a good bit, yeah. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
you're
sure? I figure they're equal, maybe a slight edge to Halo but nothing
notable. it got 55% on Minecraft without a rally man --- xyzzy |