Melee doesn't need a rally to easily beat GSC.
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My old signature was really outdated. I haven't thought of a proper new one yet.
Man.....I didn't think Mother 3 could do that to MGS3. I thought it would be one of those games that could look decent against weak games but then fold against real competition. Mother 3 is legit! And if Mother 3 can get 30% on MGS, I wonder how well Earthbound can do against it?

And Starcraft is looking like it could pull an upset here next round... it would nice to see an more-than-slight upset for once this contest (that doesn't involve big rallies).

Meanwhile, it's great seeing Silent Hill 2 do pretty well. While most people in the Oracle predicted this, this caught me off guard, doing better against Bioshock than against Vice City. I think it's BIoshock sucking it up far more than SH2 being stronger, though.
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Alright, now I'm gonna give my list of winners and losers. It's quite long.

Star of the Round: Undertale

No matter how much one person loves or hates the game, and no matter how rotten I feel the Tumblr community is, the massive rally that caused Undertale to make a comeback of nearly 10000 votes is impressive. The game here is out to do damage and and can very well change the contest. We've entered a new chapter of the contest thanks to the Tumblr rally towards their beloved indie title. Watch out, Fallout and Mario!

Division I:

Chrono Trigger - While Ratchet and Clank are weak as hell, CT pulled such a impressive and massive blowout against it that for me pits it as the favorite to beat FFX and perhaps even take the division.

Mega Man X - Beat Batman handily in a debatable match and will probably put up a good performance against FFX.

Half-Life - When other shooters and Western games in general have been flopping badly, Half-Life held its own against a beloved Square RPG by avoiding the doubling with 35% of the vote. Shame it didn't get a better bracket placement.

Pokemon G/S/C - While TWEWY is weak as hell, Pokemon nonetheless demonstrated how to blowout fodder as did other games. It did not disappoint in that regard.

Kingdom Hearts II - Thrived to an impressive victory against MGSIV and is perhaps the favorite to take down TLoU.

The Last of Us - Granted, Halo might be hated in this site, but a doubling was still impressive from The Last of Us, and may show to be an exception to what appears to be bias against recent games.

Division II:

Final Fantasy VI - Amazing blowout against AC2, even if the latter game has gone into the realm of hatred from GameFAQs. Such a win shows that FF6 is here to contend and perform well.

Zelda: The Wind Waker - Blasts Pokemon X/Y greater than many anticipated to the point where IMO Wind Waker has a distant yet present chance to upset FF6. The performances of both games in the second round will determine who's the favorite going into the FF6 vs. WW match.

Mass Effect - Impressive comeback against Mario Galaxy 2, and proved itself to be an exception to what appears to be a Western decline in GameFAQs. I think the game will perform very respectably against Smash in the next round.

Final Fantasy VII - My personal runner-up for Star of the Round. For once in many years FF7 looked to be a contender for the championship. Considering the woeful history its characters have been in the past couple of contests due to anti-voting, bandwagoning, and PokeFear, FF7 looks to be back in its glory days of 2003-2004, and can only go stronger thanks to Cloud's appearence in Smash.

Division III:

Mario 3 - Like other high seeds, took its fodder and slammed it into pieces. Definitely the favorite into round 2, except for one thing...

Age of Empires II - Showed itself not to be the turbo fodder many thought it would be. Of course I'm biased towards AoEII (one of my favorite games in the bracket), and I'm glad it exceeded expectations.

Sonic 2 - Sonic 2's win over Portal 2 is perhaps the greatest match Sonic 2 has ever been. Considering how bad it's done in the 2004 contest, it's poor performance in the 2009 contest along with the other two games, and Sonic Adventure 2 embarrassing Board 8 and the gurus in GotD, Sonic took advantage of its OldFAQs and anti-WesternFAQs atmosphere and won.

Uncharted 2 - Solid performance all around and exceeded Oracle expectations.

Fallout 3 and Super Mario World (prior to Tumblr rally) - Just like other high seeds, both games took their fodder and slammed it into the ground, and Mario World itself made full use of its SFF to look like a contender to exit the division. However...
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Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
(edited 11/20/2015 4:08:23 PM)report
Division IV:

Persona 4 - While it's likely due to 999's weakness more than anything else, Persona showed that it at least had the capacity to blowout a game when it easily could've been a something like a 55-45 or 60-40 match, or something like the Vyse vs. Laharl match in 2004 or the Laharl vs. Neku match in 2010. Solid performance from Board 8's beloved RPG.

Division V:

Zelda: Ocarina of Time - Having the blowout of the contest is absolutely worthy of a spot in the winner's list. No matter what the opponent is, pulling 91% and getting 10x the votes against your opponent in a 1-vs-1 poll is no joke. Ocarina showed to be a contender for the championship.

Final Fantasy IX - Won a debated match with hard work and everything. Worthy of a winner spot in my eyes.

Donkey Kong Country 2 - Pulled the upset against Xenoblade Chronicles and comes in as the lowest seed to enter round 2.

Fire Emblem Awakening - Won a very debated match against Mario Maker decisively and is the favorite to take down DKC2. If proven legit, perhaps it might even have a shot against SotN!

Banjo-Kazooie - I know games =/= characters, but seeing that Banjo never had a good history behind him, seeing it win this way earns a spot in my eyes.

Castlevania: Symphony of the Night - While PW is likely very weak and everything, this is arguably the best match SotN has ever had. A near tripling is impressive considering the game hasn't done so much in the past.

Division VI:

Zelda: A Link to the Past - Like OoT before it Zelda 3 took its piece of fodder and slammed Cave Story to the point where it made the latter game kiss the moons. Link to the Past proved that it is a powerful force to be reckoned with, and should have no problem reaching the quarter-finals.

Super Metroid - Without the presence of a kryptonite of other Nintendo games Super Metroid proved its worth and destroyed Call of Duty with its hyper beam, super missles, and a powered-up suit. Well done.

Division VII:

The Elder's Scrolls IV: Oblivion - Even though it lost, Oblivion showed that it's no pushover and did alright in its match.

Super Mario RPG - Shows to be a very strong game and to me is the favorite to beat GTAV right now.

Chrono Cross - Won easily against a hated game despite being rather hated itself--stunned the casuals and is looking to stun them again in the second round.

The Witcher 3 - Despite the poor performances of recent games, The Witcher 3 proves to be an exception by killing the indie game down, and I feel it's the favorite to win against MGS2 in the next match.

Paper Mario - Despite losing, it put up a solid performance against RE4 and showed that it was no slouch.

Division VIII:

Metal Gear Solid - The only MGS game to perform well this round. Like other high seeds it crushed its opponent into pieces, and it did so to a game that has gained quite a fanbase at that.

EarthBound - Considering how poorly the game has done in the past, EarthBound's win is outstanding. Consider the fact that the game lost to Doom 43-57 and failed to beat Chrono Trigger and Yoshi's Island and now has won a match against Borderlands 2. This is arguably EB's greatest moment.

Shadow of the Colossus - Proved to be legit by destroying Team Fortress 2, and has a good chance at taking down MGS1 IMO.
---
Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
(edited 11/20/2015 4:53:09 PM)report
And now, the Losers:

Turd of the Round: Portal 2

Considering that Portal 2 was in a position, perhaps even the favorite, to take the four-pack before the tournament began, it has bombed horrendously. Considering Portal's amazing history in past contests, combined with Sonic's very poor performances during that same time, even with a general decline of Western games, Portal 2 still should have had this match. But it dropped to a point so bad that it allowed a game that I feel is almost solely powered by nostalgia to beat it with little trouble. In fact, Portal 2 has done so poorly that Portal from GotD is projected to 60-40 this game. No matter how you look at it, Portal has flopped hard in this tournament.

Go hit the showers, Portal 2. You've been relegated out of the Premier League and into Division Two. Contract terminated.

Division I:

Persona 3 - Simply could not win its match despite being rather favored to do so.

Batman: Arkham City - Was beaten soundly by MMX and may turn out to be surprisingly fodder in this tournament--not good at all if people expected more out of you.

Portal - Performed well under expectations. Much of my criticisms to Portal 2 also apply to this game, but at least Portal 1 was expected to lose, hence it's nowhere near being the turd of the round.

Metal Gear Solid 4 - Easily the MGS game that performed the worst. Blown away from KHII in a debatable match, and may turn out to be easily the weakest game in the series.

Halo 3 - The only thing you've proven in your match is that your series remains hated on GameFAQs, and that is never a good thing when it comes to these contests.

Division II:

Assassin's Creed II - Welcome to the hate realm of GameFAQs. AC was simply an absolute disaster in its performance.

Pokemon X/Y - When the other two games are in contention of doing some major damage in this contest due to PokeFear, you do not take an SFF beating in the hands of Wind Waker. Truly a disaster, and was in contention for being Turd of the Round.

Super Mario Galaxy 2 - A poor performance from a mainline Mario game, especially in the light of other Western games bombing. You had lots going for you Mario, and yet you failed to maintain the lead. For that you've been put on the losers' list.

Minecraft - Considering that you had potential to do something in this contest (IMO), getting 43-57 against a game from a hated series is very poor.

Division III:

Pokemon R/B/Y - When some people have you in the finals, beating three Mario games in the process, a doubling on Tetris is simply not enough, especially in the light that Zelda 1 nearly tripled that game over a decade ago, which in turn was beaten by Mario 3. Barring an outside Tumblr rally Mario 3 is the favorite for your match.

Mass Effect 3 - Imagine the ME3 ending, and replace the three suriviors with the cast of Undertale. (And Shepard is still dead.) That's what just happened to you, because you never bothered to fight back and simply rolled over and died. This is now your state:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90x0892pstU

Karma bites, eh?

Final Fantasy VIII - Performed under expectations against a game from a hated series, you're lucky Tumblr came to make your performance not as bad.

Fallout 3 and Super Mario World (during Tumblr rally) - ...you simply cannot let two fodder games suck this much percentage from you. The analysis of the rallies show that Life is Strange and Animal Crossing flat-out won when using Tumblr votes alone. If the Tumblr rally for Undertale picks up steam early in the next two rounds, then you two are in big trouble.
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Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
(edited 11/20/2015 4:59:52 PM)report
Division IV:

Skyrim - I know PH has a strong board vote and was likely supported by the Tumblr spill, but failing to double it is still pretty bad, especially considering that some people have you going very far in this contest. Not a good showing for a game believed to be the strongest Western game in this site.

Goldeneye, Metroid Prime, and Half-Life 2 - All three games failed to blowout their opponents harder than expected.

Division V:

Hearthstone - Considering how popular this game is in some circles, allowing yourself to get blasted this badly by Ocarina of Time is nothing short of failure on your part. Could very well come out as the weakest game of the bracket.

Monster Hunter U - Considering how popular you've gotten recently, as well as the fact that Suikoden has shown itself to be immensely weak in these tournaments (as much as it's liked in Board 8), getting clearly beaten by a game in the latter series just shows how much you suck. Congrats for embarrassing yourself to the point of being even worse fodder than Suikoden II!

Xenoblade Chronicles - Losing to DKC2 all but eliminates the notion that you're a respectable and strong game in this site. You're not, Xenoblade. You just don't really have any strength here.

Super Mario Maker - A contender for Turd of the Round. When you're a Mario game, one with major recent success and an active community, and fail to show up in a debatable match against a weeb game, only getting 35% of the vote (SFF'd or otherwise), then simply put you're a failure for allowing Awakening to beat you by this much.

Division VI:

Deus Ex - You're weak. That's all I can say.

Metal Gear Solid V - Bad performance against a game that hasn't done much in the past.

Call of Duty 4 - Talk about a drop. It takes a crazy amount of hatred to flop this hard, but CoD managed to do it. Talk about a disaster.

Bloodborne - You're weak if you lose to a hated FF game. Simple as that.

Division VII:

Grand Theft Auto V - For a game that has sold millions, being one of the most successful games of all time, getting 62% against a Dreamcast game is a travesty on your part. You're pretty much a goner now.

World of Warcraft - Losing to a rather disliked game like Chrono Cross the way you did just shows how little GameFAQs respects you, WoW. Congratulations for showing yourself to be a hated game in this site.

Metal Gear Solid 2 - Not an impressive showing against RE1. I can't see the game going so far.

Division VIII:

Borderlands 2 - For being 2012's Game of the Year, failing to put up a fight against a game which has stuggled in the past is pretty bad.

Team Fortress 2 - Failed rally means the fail list for you.

Destiny - Like Leonhart said, LOL Destiny. Congratulations Destiny, you are HATED on this site. Here's a nice song for you:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bq_DoLU_5yY

Whew, that was a lot of writing. Good thing it won't be anywhere as much to write for the remaining rounds.
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Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
_Dog posted...

Fallout 3 and Super Mario World (during Tumblr rally) - ...you simply cannot let two fodder games suck this much percentage from you. The analysis of the rallies show that Life is Strange and Animal Crossing flat-out won when using Tumblr votes alone. If the Tumblr rally for Undertale picks up steam early, then you two are in big trouble.


Fallout 3 never lost an update.
Fallout 3 merely ceased extending its lead.

What exactly did you want from it.
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Board 8's Voice of Reason
http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg
Fallout 3 has Undertale next. If it couldn't extend its lead while not even being the target of the rally, it's going to drown if the rally has any staying power next round.
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.
11/20/2015 5:03:00 PM#209
LinkMarioSamus posted...
Wasn't RE4's performance like right what the GOTD x-stats predicted?

Unless you think Paper Mario is weaker this year just because its seed is lower lol.


Indeed. It actually outperformed the X-Stat projection by about half a percent!
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
11/20/2015 5:04:06 PM#210
man you've got half the round as stars and the other half as turds
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Eddv posted...
_Dog posted...

Fallout 3 and Super Mario World (during Tumblr rally) - ...you simply cannot let two fodder games suck this much percentage from you. The analysis of the rallies show that Life is Strange and Animal Crossing flat-out won when using Tumblr votes alone. If the Tumblr rally for Undertale picks up steam early, then you two are in big trouble.


Fallout 3 never lost an update.
Fallout 3 merely ceased extending its lead.

What exactly did you want from it.


Fallout only won the updates because the strength it has from GameFAQs (80-20 in favor of FO3) overall nullified the effect of Tumblr (which voted 45-55 in favor of LiS). If the rally starts earlier, then Fallout could be in big trouble.
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Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
I thought we established that AC:NL is in fact not fodder at all with the tumblr crowd
11/20/2015 6:30:33 PM#213
Oh right, creative was asking for RR and CBIX X-Stats just for the sake of completeness. I dug through the Stats Topics archives and found the RR X-Stats:

1. Link vs. Ganondorf – 50.00%
2. Mario vs. Bowser – 42.28%
3. Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth – 41.74%
4. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue – 37.51%
5. Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake – 31.62%
6. Ryu vs. Ken Masters – 29.98%
7. Samus Aran vs. Ridley – 29.58%
8. Mega Man X vs. Zero – 28.19%
9. Big Boss vs. The Boss – 27.52%
10. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion – 26.67%
11. Crono vs. Lavos – 26.08%
12. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik – 24.88%
13. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily – 24.74%
14. Chris Redfield vs. Albert Wesker – 23.90%
15. Terra Branford vs. Kefka Palazzo – 23.19%
16. Alucard vs. Dracula – 22.40%
17. Tidus vs. Jecht – 22.22%
18. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – 21.00%
19. Frog vs. Magus – 20.94%
20. Pac-Man vs. Blinky – 20.47%
21. Chell vs. GLaDOS – 20.31%
22. Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy – 19.91%
23. Sora vs. Riku – 19.63%
24. Lloyd Irving vs. Kratos Aurion – 19.50%
25. Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth – 19.41%
26. Kratos vs. Zeus – 19.38%
27. Dante vs. Vergil – 19.30%
28. Donkey Kong vs. K. Rool – 18.94%
29. Kirby vs. Meta Knight – 18.81%
30. Raiden vs. Vamp – 18.38%
31. Jim Raynor vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 17.32%
32. Gordon Freeman vs. Dr. Breen – 16.87%
33. Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja – 16.77%
34. Ness vs. Giygas – 16.63%
35. Luigi vs. Waluigi – 16.53%
36. Ike vs. Black Knight – 16.51%
37. Commander Shepard vs. Saren Arterius – 16.47%
38. Yuna vs. Seymour Guado – 16.40%
39. Amaterasu vs. Orochi – 16.31%
40. William B.J. Blazkowicz vs. Adolf Hitler – 15.63%
41. Jill Valentine vs. Nemesis – 15.62%
42. Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Rodrigo Borgia – 15.08%
43. Crash Bandicoot vs. Dr. Neo Cortex – 14.93%
44. Cecil Harvey vs. Golbez – 14.79%
45. Arthas Menethil vs. Illidian – 14.70%
46. Leon Kennedy vs. Ada Wong – 14.28%
47. Conker vs. The Great Mighty Poo – 13.40%
48. Katherine vs. Catherine – 13.38%
49. Siegfried Schtauffen vs. Nightmare – 13.24%
50. Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh – 12.85%
51. Earthworm Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 12.38%
52. Meat Boy vs. Dr. Fetus – 11.87%
53. Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral – 11.73%
54. The Kid vs. The Guy – 11.46%
55. Banjo vs. Gruntilda – 11.14%
56. Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow – 11.03%
57. Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious – 11.01%
58. Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd – 10.73%
59. Laharl vs. Mid-Boss – 10.49%
60. Professor Layton vs. Don Paolo – 10.03%
61. Dan Hibiki vs. Sagat – 9.94%
62. Vyse vs. Galcian – 9.89%
63. Guybrush Threepwood vs. LeChuck – 9.20%
64. Sol Badguy vs. Ky Kiske – 6.72%
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I have absolutely no memory of that contest
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xyzzy
11/20/2015 6:31:36 PM#215
Oh, and before anyone asks why Cloud/Seph is above Red/Blue, I only used the results from the actual contest matches. I didn't use the bonus poll to make adjustments because LOL it's Rivalry Rumble who cares

I'll keep digging for CBIX X-Stats.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Surprised Alucard/Dracula is that low.
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Formerly known as Dilated Chemist
11/20/2015 6:38:07 PM#217
SwiftyDC posted...
Surprised Alucard/Dracula is that low.


Well, that's a direct result from facing Link/Ganon, so these things happen!
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Great to see Chris vs. Wesker so high when they have nothing to do with RE4 and Gamefaqs seems to not care about anything else RE at all.
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
LeonhartFour posted...
Oh right, creative was asking for RR and CBIX X-Stats just for the sake of completeness. I dug through the Stats Topics archives and found the RR X-Stats:

1. Link vs. Ganondorf – 50.00%
2. Mario vs. Bowser – 42.28%
3. Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth – 41.74%
4. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue – 37.51%
5. Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake – 31.62%
6. Ryu vs. Ken Masters – 29.98%
7. Samus Aran vs. Ridley – 29.58%
8. Mega Man X vs. Zero – 28.19%
9. Big Boss vs. The Boss – 27.52%
10. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion – 26.67%
11. Crono vs. Lavos – 26.08%
12. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik – 24.88%
13. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily – 24.74%
14. Chris Redfield vs. Albert Wesker – 23.90%
15. Terra Branford vs. Kefka Palazzo – 23.19%
16. Alucard vs. Dracula – 22.40%
17. Tidus vs. Jecht – 22.22%
18. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – 21.00%
19. Frog vs. Magus – 20.94%
20. Pac-Man vs. Blinky – 20.47%
21. Chell vs. GLaDOS – 20.31%
22. Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy – 19.91%
23. Sora vs. Riku – 19.63%
24. Lloyd Irving vs. Kratos Aurion – 19.50%
25. Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth – 19.41%
26. Kratos vs. Zeus – 19.38%
27. Dante vs. Vergil – 19.30%
28. Donkey Kong vs. K. Rool – 18.94%
29. Kirby vs. Meta Knight – 18.81%
30. Raiden vs. Vamp – 18.38%
31. Jim Raynor vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 17.32%
32. Gordon Freeman vs. Dr. Breen – 16.87%
33. Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja – 16.77%
34. Ness vs. Giygas – 16.63%
35. Luigi vs. Waluigi – 16.53%
36. Ike vs. Black Knight – 16.51%
37. Commander Shepard vs. Saren Arterius – 16.47%
38. Yuna vs. Seymour Guado – 16.40%
39. Amaterasu vs. Orochi – 16.31%
40. William B.J. Blazkowicz vs. Adolf Hitler – 15.63%
41. Jill Valentine vs. Nemesis – 15.62%
42. Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Rodrigo Borgia – 15.08%
43. Crash Bandicoot vs. Dr. Neo Cortex – 14.93%
44. Cecil Harvey vs. Golbez – 14.79%
45. Arthas Menethil vs. Illidian – 14.70%
46. Leon Kennedy vs. Ada Wong – 14.28%
47. Conker vs. The Great Mighty Poo – 13.40%
48. Katherine vs. Catherine – 13.38%
49. Siegfried Schtauffen vs. Nightmare – 13.24%
50. Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh – 12.85%
51. Earthworm Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 12.38%
52. Meat Boy vs. Dr. Fetus – 11.87%
53. Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral – 11.73%
54. The Kid vs. The Guy – 11.46%
55. Banjo vs. Gruntilda – 11.14%
56. Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow – 11.03%
57. Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious – 11.01%
58. Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd – 10.73%
59. Laharl vs. Mid-Boss – 10.49%
60. Professor Layton vs. Don Paolo – 10.03%
61. Dan Hibiki vs. Sagat – 9.94%
62. Vyse vs. Galcian – 9.89%
63. Guybrush Threepwood vs. LeChuck – 9.20%
64. Sol Badguy vs. Ky Kiske – 6.72%


LOL Guilty Gear
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Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
Mega Man X/Zero is definitely my finest accomplishment on this site.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
It's amazing we didn't get X/Sigma after some of those horrible entries.

I'm still reeling over Golbez instead of Kain

And Eggman instead of Shadow (Knuckles would have been fine too)
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
(edited 11/20/2015 7:43:33 PM)report
ROUND 2 – DAY 1 – ALL OF DIVISION 1

Match LXV: (1) Chrono Trigger vs. (8) Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King

Previous Rounds

Chrono Trigger
85.85% against Ratchet & Clank: Up Your Arsenal

Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King
54.72% against Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3

Analysis

Round 2 is here. With people looking down at the game per-contest Chrono Trigger looked like a contest winner with its performance last round. Sure most of it is probably due to Ratchet & Clank being weak, but Chrono Trigger did look like its old self.

Dragon Quest VIII was able to hold off any drop of strength in its win over Persona 3 and that was before the 3DS port announcement. The game has no chance against Chrono Trigger, but people will be using it as a measuring stick for the match next round. Dragon Quest VIII was expected to get 25.08% against Majora’s Mask so a similar performance is expected. Despite both games being made by Square Enix I don’t feel there will be much SFF; one game is more Square while the other is more Enix plus there’s quite the age gap between the two.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Chrono Trigger > Persona 3

charmander6000’s Prediction: Chrono Trigger wins, 76.35% - 23.65%



Match LXVI: (12) Mega Man X vs. (4) Final Fantasy X

Previous Rounds

Mega Man X
60.68% against Batman: Arkham City

Final Fantasy X
64.42% against Half-Life

Analysis

Final Fantasy X underperformed a bit worse than expected, but more of a pressing issue is that Chrono Trigger looked legit last round. I know it was against fodder, but it looks like FFX will have to win next round through strength and not Chrono Trigger’s weakness. On the other hand Mega Man X looked really impressive by breaking 60% against Batman: Arkham City, though given how well the round went for new games the performance now looks a bit less impressive.

Final Fantasy X’s target for this round should be surpassing Final Fantasy VI’s number on Mega Man X which was 38.08%. Some people argue that Mega Man X may have been SFF a bit given the opponents, but I don’t think it was by very much and most of the idea sort of came around after MMX’s match against Batman.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Final Fantasy X > Batman: Arkham City

charmander6000’s Prediction: Final Fantasy X wins, 63.72% - 36.28%
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BGE3: Today's Matches MGS3>Mother 3, BioShock>SH2, Starcraft>Destiny, ME2>VLR
Points 53/60
Match LXVII: (3) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. (6) Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal

Previous Rounds

Super Smash Bros. Melee
67.71% against Portal

Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal
76.63% against The World Ends With You

Analysis

It is a shame that GSC was fed to Melee so early in the contest. Both games were impressive last round, but it is more likely that their opponents were weaker relative to their 2010 numbers. This match is being used as a measuring stick for the future performance of Pokemon RBY. Of course SFF may muddle this match should it occur. Pokemon has been good at resisting SFF, but it has happened in the past. Melee does feel it could be the type of game that could SFF GSC, considering Pokemon are playable characters within the game.

Some people are still down on GSC after losing to Majora’s Mask in 2010, but they are forgetting that it still put up a decent showing and was still one of the strongest games of the decade which includes Melee. Should no SFF occur I will expect Melee will struggle to distance itself from GSC. If GSC puts a real scare onto Melee we may have to bring back poke-fear.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Super Smash Bros. Melee > Pokemon GSC

charmander6000’s Prediction: Super Smash Bros. Melee wins, 56.25% - 43.75%



Match LXVIII: (10) Kingdom Hearts II vs. (2) The Last of Us

Previous Rounds

Kingdom Hearts II
58.71% against Metal Gear Solid 4

The Last of Us
67.50% against Halo 3

Analysis

I honestly did not expect much out of The Last of Us and it placed an easy doubling on Halo 3. Of course given Halo’s performance on Minecraft this more has to do with the Halo series being weaker than The Last of Us potentially giving Melee a scare. Still, it would take quite the drop for the game not to look respectable against Kingdom Hearts II.

Speaking of Kingdom Hearts II it had no issue laying waste to MGS4, though to be fair its drop was fairly predictable. I always felt that the winner of that match would be the massive favourite to win though I am no longer sure Kingdom Hearts II will outdo its first round percent. Then again this is a relative new game we’re talking about.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Kingdom Hearts II > The Last of Us

charmander6000’s Prediction: Kingdom Hearts II wins, 60.93% - 39.07%
---
BGE3: Today's Matches MGS3>Mother 3, BioShock>SH2, Starcraft>Destiny, ME2>VLR
Points 53/60
It's amazing we didn't get X/Sigma after some of those horrible entries.

The guru nomination saved us from that.
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BGE3: Today's Matches MGS3>Mother 3, BioShock>SH2, Starcraft>Destiny, ME2>VLR
Points 53/60
ME2 finally breaks 79 non VLR.

I definitely think it beats Starcraft. ME2 has been going up all day, meanwhile Starcraft has failed to get past 75% since the morning.
---
Cranky's Advice - "git gud"
Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
So are we getting a bonus match before Round 2 or nah?
---
Formerly known as Dilated Chemist
(edited 11/20/2015 7:47:09 PM)report
huh? ME2 has gone up .4% in 12 hours!
---
xyzzy
oh hey we don't have pictures yet, or at least not ones we know how to find.
---
xyzzy
So are we getting a bonus match before Round 2 or nah?

Nope, SBAllen wants to get this contest done ASAP so he can go on vacation.
---
BGE3: Today's Matches MGS3>Mother 3, BioShock>SH2, Starcraft>Destiny, ME2>VLR
Points 53/60
transience posted...
huh? ME2 has gone up .4% in 12 hours!


Destiny still bled Starcraft to the point where it couldn't triple it. It's also harder for ME2 to gain percentage when it it has to get more votes than Starcraft in a given update period to do so, due to ME2 having a higher percentage in its match.
---
Cranky's Advice - "git gud"
Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
11/20/2015 7:51:20 PM#231
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Mega Man X/Zero is definitely my finest accomplishment on this site.


I don't think anyone will argue that.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
that's some revisionist history, or at least against common thinking. nobody expected Starcraft to be that high in the first place.

I mean ME2 should (and is) be the consensus favourite over Starcraft, but I wouldn't use trends in the day to prove that!
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xyzzy
11/20/2015 7:52:19 PM#233
transience posted...
oh hey we don't have pictures yet, or at least not ones we know how to find.


I wonder if Bacon is just going to be boring and reuse the round 1 pics.

I hope not.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Maybe we will have a bonus poll then with big rigs.

I would have guessed he would have used title screens otherwise.
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
This next match is going to definitively prove the existence of the legendary Toriyama SFF.
---
Christopher Christopher Christopher Christopher
11/20/2015 8:10:33 PM#236
Okay, I found CBIX X-Stats, too. Behold!

Noble Nine bolded for ease of access

1. Draven – 50.00%
2. Link – 49.65%
3. Jak – 45.06%
4. Mewtwo – 41.43%
5. Solid Snake – 40.05%
6. Chie Satonaka – 39.42%
7. Sonic the Hedgehog – 37.50%
8. Sephiroth – 33.85%

9. Phoenix Wright – 33.41%
10. Kirby – 31.83%
11. Vincent Valentine – 30.52%
12. Marth – 29.99%
13. Bowser – 29.90%
14. Big Boss – 29.00%
15. Luigi – 28.71%
16. GLaDOS – 28.51%
17. Kefka – 28.40%
18. Terra Branford – 28.04%
19. Raiden – 26.91%
20. Samus Aran – 26.88%
21. Pikachu – 26.73%
22. Sora – 26.63%
23. Zack Fair – 26.30%
24. Barret Wallace – 25.71%
25. Squirtle – 25.07%
26. Mega Man – 24.95%
27. Ryu Hayabusa – 24.94%
28. Charizard – 24.93%
29. Zelda – 24.92%
30. Sub-Zero – 24.90%
31. Cloud Strife – 24.78%
32. Crono – 24.69%

33. The Boss – 24.53%
34. KOS-MOS – 24.51%
35. Dracula – 24.25%
36. Tifa Lockhart – 24.07%
37. Waluigi – 23.54%
38. Altair – 23.35%
39. Lara Croft – 23.14%
40. Scorpion – 22.78%
41. Yoshi – 22.77%
42. Morrigan Aensland – 22.73%
43. Pokemon Trainer Red – 22.72%
44. Epona – 22.69%
45. Garrus Vakarian – 22.41%
46. Mega Man X – 22.36%
47. Alucard – 21.90%
48. Captain Falcon – 21.79%
49. Vivi Ornitier – 21.10%
50. Mario – 21.05%
51. Dante – 20.91%
52. Gilgamesh – 20.74%
53. Ike – 20.59%
54. Elizabeth – 20.57%
55. Nightmare – 20.52%
56. Crash Bandicoot – 20.44%
57. Protoman – 20.43%
58. Midna – 20.28%
59. Commander Shepard – 20.25%
60. Spyro the Dragon – 19.90%
61. L-Block – 19.89%
62. Ratchet – 19.81%
63. Professor Layton – 19.75%
64. Aerith Gainsborough – 19.73%
65. Dragonborn – 19.54%
66. Chrom – 19.38%
67. Rydia – 18.97%
68. Wheatley – 18.94%
69. Auron – 18.88%
70. Miles Edgeworth – 18.65%
71. Squall Leonhart – 18.60%
72. Dr. Robotnik – 18.41%
73. Magikarp – 18.29%
74. Poison – 18.26%
75. Mordin Solus – 18.03%
76. Lucina – 18.02%
77. Zidane Tribal – 17.86%
78. Frog – 17.81%
79. Isaac – 17.78%
80. Ryu – 17.72%
81. Missingno – 17.71%
82. Tidus – 17.69%
83. Pokemon Trainer Blue – 17.59%
84. Fei Fong Wong – 17.50%
85. Isaac BOI – 17.33%
86. Yuna – 17.31%
87. Bayonetta – 17.26%
88. Booker DeWitt – 17.22%
89. Heavy – 17.19%
90. Princess Peach – 17.06%
91. Meta Knight – 17.01%
92. Riku – 16.84%
93. Fox McCloud – 16.82%
94. Slime – 16.69%
95. Agent 47 – 16.63%
96. Lloyd Irving – 16.50%
97. Cole MacGrath – 16.45%
98. Big Daddy – 16.41%
99. Zero – 16.36%
100. Ridley – 16.30%
101. Little Mac - 16.22%
102. Tom Nook - 16.15%
103. Ramza Beoulve - 16.08%
104. Master Chief - 16.00%
105. Shulk - 15.86%
106. Revolver Ocelot - 15.83%
107. Urdnot Wrex - 15.74%
108. Thrall - 15.65%
109. Lugia - 15.64%
110. Pyramid Head - 15.51%
111. John Marston - 15.23%
112. Balthier Bunansa - 15.09%
113. Cecil Harvey - 14.92%
114. Aya Brea - 14.90%
115. Yoshimitsu - 14.88%
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
(edited 11/20/2015 8:13:41 PM)report
11/20/2015 8:12:30 PM#237
116. Nathan Drake – 14.76%
117. Clementine – 14.72%
118. Donkey Kong – 14.54%
119. Chun-Li – 14.52%
120. Jill Valentine – 14.44%
121. Amaterasu – 14.38%
122. Captain Olimar – 14.31%
123. Pac-Man – 14.21%
124. Reimu Hakurei – 14.05%
125. Tingle – 14.04%
126. Ezio Auditore da Firenze – 13.90%
127. Knuckles the Echidna – 13.79%
128. Ness – 13.78%
129. Pit – 13.72%
130. Niko Bellic – 13.56%
131. Rikku – 13.53%
132. Solaire of Astora – 13.39%
133. Weighted Companion Cube – 13.38%
134. Tommy Vercetti – 13.34%
135. Lightning – 13.27%
136. Hero – 13.24%
137. Wario – 13.20%
138. Kratos – 13.14%
139. Claire Redfield – 13.10%
140. Leon Kennedy – 13.09%
141. Ragna the Bloodedge – 13.06%
142. Prinny – 13.05%
143. Lu Bu – 12.90%
144. ? Block – 12.84%
145. Dan Hibiki – 12.71%
146. N – 12.70%
147. Ganondorf – 12.63%
148. Zero (999) – 12.62%
149. Tharja – 12.59%
150. Laharl – 12.51%
151. Tiny Tina – 12.43%
152. Rinoa Heartilly – 12.36%
153. Palutena – 12.20%
154. Claptrap – 12.16%
155. Roxas – 12.12%
156. Archer – 12.11%
157. Viewtiful Joe – 12.06%
158. Jigglypuff – 12.03%
159. Gordon Freeman – 11.97%
160. Lenneth Valkyrie – 11.77%
161. Adam Jensen – 11.70%
162. Sandbag – 11.60%
163. Handsome Jack – 11.59%
164. Missile – 11.57%
165. Catherine – 11.49%
166. Yuri Lowell – 11.33%
167. Miles “Tails” Prower – 11.30%
168. Banjo – 11.26%
169. Magus – 11.22%
170. Neku Sakuraba – 11.20%
171. Locke Cole – 11.12%
172. Juliet Starling – 11.07%
173. Celes Chere – 10.98%
174. Groose – 10.92%
175. Sarah Kerrigan – 10.85%
176. Rayman – 10.59%
177. Shadow the Hedgehog – 10.55%
178. Wander – 10.53%
179. Sly Cooper – 10.16%
180. Dunban – 10.09%
181. Mr. Game & Watch – 10.02%
182. Corvo Attano – 9.82%
183. Creeper – 9.69%
184. Lee Everett – 9.68%
185. Alan Wake – 9.67%
186. Kain – 9.47%
187. Duke Nukem – 9.45%
188. Bomberman – 9.41%
189. Steve – 9.36%
190. Geno – 9.35%
191. Hal “Otacon” Emmerich – 9.31%
192. Albert Wesker – 9.27%
193. Seifer Almasy – 9.21%
194. Jade – 9.13%
195. Demi-Fiend – 9.09%
196. Lyndis – 9.06%
197. Frank West – 9.03%
198. Captain Viridian – 8.86%
199. Recette Lemongrass – 8.79%
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
11/20/2015 8:12:35 PM#238
200. JC Denton – 8.67%
201. Simon Belmont – 8.59%
202. Travis Touchdown – 8.58%
203. CATS – 8.56%
204. Kratos Aurion – 8.55%
205. Boko – 8.54%
206. Commander Keen – 8.52%
207. Face McShooty – 8.38%
208. Isaac Clarke – 8.37%
209. Yu Narukami – 8.35%
210. Vaas Montenegro – 8.25%
211. Mike Haggar – 8.22%
212. Reyn – 8.04%
213. Raz – 8.03%
214. King of All Cosmos – 7.99%
215. Peacock – 7.78%
216. Marisa Kirasame – 7.73%
217. Sackboy – 7.68%
218. Nier – 7.61%
219. Kaim Argonar – 7.55%
220. Oliver – 7.54%
221. Cirno – 7.50%
222. Falco Lombardi – 7.47%
223. Meat Boy – 7.38%
224. Yuri Hyuga – 6.85%
225. Vyse – 6.77%
226. Teemo – 6.76%
227. Senator Steven Armstrong – 6.70%
228. Red Bird – 6.35%
229. Welkin Gunther – 6.34%
230. Jade Curtiss – 6.20%
231. Kat – 5.52%
232. Sissel – 5.50%
233. Fawful 5.48%
234. Guybrush Threepwood – 5.47%
235. Francis York Morgan – 5.25%
236. Max Payne – 5.17%
237. Hades – 5.11%
238. Caim – 4.96%
239. Wolf O’Donnell – 4.88%
240. Adol Christin – 4.57%
241. Commander Video – 4.01%
242. Chester – 3.41%
243. Spring Breeze Dancin’ – 3.31%
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
11/20/2015 8:13:54 PM#239
Man, that contest had way too many characters.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I don't really understand how this works... did Jak get such a high ranking because he got a decent % on the eventual winner/runner up?
---
Started from the bottom now we here
Chester somehow didn't get in last place. That's a miracle.

And Mario, that's perhaps the most diastrous placing for a NN character.
what a stupid top 5
---
xyzzy
11/20/2015 8:16:42 PM#243
haloiscoolisbak posted...
I don't really understand how this works... did Jak get such a high ranking because he got a decent % on the eventual winner/runner up?


Correct. These are raw numbers. Jak and Chie look so good because the Draven rally started late into that match and wasn't in full force like it was in later rounds.

You'll see a similar effect if Undertale makes a deep contest run. Mass Effect 3 will be ridiculously overrated in the X-Stats.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Still kind of a shame we didn't get a huge games field instead.

The 243rd game is still gonna be stronger than the 243rd character.
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
13. Bowser – 29.90%
15. Luigi – 28.71%
37. Waluigi – 23.54%
41. Yoshi – 22.77%
50. Mario – 21.05%

yep
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xyzzy
11/20/2015 8:18:45 PM#246
We're not missing much by not having that 243rd game at the same time.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
11. Vincent Valentine – 30.52%

who said Vincent Valentine was weaker now? /s
hmmm I often see people go 'lol x-stats' around here but when you consider a 1v1 format and ignore rallies, they are actually pretty reliable you would assume, from a math standpoint


kinda wish I looked at the 2009 games contest results before making my bracket this year
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Started from the bottom now we here
(edited 11/20/2015 8:22:08 PM)report
11/20/2015 8:22:02 PM#249
8. Sephiroth – 33.85%
11. Vincent Valentine – 30.52%
23. Zack Fair – 26.30%
24. Barret Wallace – 25.71%
31. Cloud Strife – 24.78%
36. Tifa Lockhart – 24.07%
64. Aerith Gainsborough – 19.73%
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
In a perfect world, Professor Layton actually would be a midcarder.
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JAK
The Character Battle IX people's champ.

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