Looks solid overall, only thing debatable is I'd put MGS above FFX, sharing a spot with MM.

Also ME2 is unaccounted for, but it's probably on the same level as Skyrim and Fallout 3. Maybe higher, but it's also untested so we'll have to see its matches.

charmander6000 posted...
A game that needs a Nickelodeon tv show

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwERpeBVJa8


Just change all references of "ink" to "slime"!
---
Cranky's Advice - "git gud"
Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
(edited 11/18/2015 6:36:27 PM)report
I have a hard time separating CT and FF6 too much. I know those are all real close but I wouldn't split them apart by more than a spot or two.
---
xyzzy
ROUND 1 – DAY 15 – TOP OF DIVISION 8

Match LVII: (1) Metal Gear Solid vs. (16) Splatoon

Previous Performance

Metal Gear Solid – 2009
37.08% against Pokemon GSC, Final Fantasy Tactics, Deus Ex
33.22% against Pokemon RBY, LoZ: Majora’s Mask, Pokemon GSC
20.94% against LoZ: Ocarina of Time, Pokemon RBY, Final Fantasy VIII

Splatoon – N/A
N/A

Analysis

This match could get ugly. As much as Nintendo has tried to push Splatoon I just don’t see it having much strength on GameFAQs. Even ignoring that it’s a new game it just isn’t the type of game people on GameFAQs would play and while it does have an advantage of being known due to advertisement it isn’t going to do it well against a well-known game like Metal Gear Solid.

Metal Gear Solid will be looking to reach the semi-finals and while it has to answer some questions the early rounds should be an easy walk. I feel Metal Gear Solid will be pushing for quite the blowout in this match where breaking 80% is a real possibility.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Metal Gear Solid > Splatoon

charmander6000’s Prediction: Metal Gear Solid wins, 80.06% - 19.94%



Match LVIII: (8) Earthbound vs. (9) Borderlands 2

Previous Performance

Earthbound – 2009
15.60% against Chrono Trigger, SMW2: Yoshi’s Island, Lufia II

Borderlands 2 – N/A
N/A

Analysis

If there is one match where a new game defeats a very old game this might be the one. Earthbound has been pretty weak in the past. In 2004 the game lost to Doom while in 2009 it was crushed though I guess you could blame it on SFF. Earthbound has its fans and while it is enough to get it into the contest it isn’t enough for the game to have strength.

I was feeling pretty confident in my pick until I saw just how badly newer games were performing. Back in 2010 the first Borderlands got just over 29% on Final Fantasy X and with Borderlands 2 being a lot more popular the pick felt almost easy. Of course Borderlands 2 is a type of game that would not age too well.

I am going to go against my bracket. With the way the contest has gone it is doubtful a game like Borderlands 2 would buck the trend. If Earthbound manages to lose this match it might be time to retire the game.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Borderlands 2 > Earthbound

charmander6000’s Prediction: Earthbound wins, 52.34% - 47.66%
---
BGE3: Today's Matches Witcher 3>BoI:R, MGS2>RE, Fallout:NV>BS:I, RE4>PM
Points 46/52
Match LVIX: (5) Shadow of the Colossus vs. (12) Team Fortress 2

Previous Performance

Shadow of the Colossus – 2010
69.35% against The Sims
50.04% against Metal Gear Solid 2
50.43% against Metal Gear Solid 4
49.38% against Metal Gear Solid 3

Team Fortress 2 – 2010
50.03% against Fable
40.48% against Batman: Arkham Asylum

Analysis

I wished Shadow of the Colossus would have been given bit of a more debatable path. It’s doubtful the game is as strong as Metal Gear Solid 3, but it would really have to flop for it to lose to any of the games in this four-pack.

Team Fortress 2 had some strength back in 2010, but it is questionable as to how much it had retained. While the game still has its community it is down considerably relative to 2010. I feel an overperformance might be in the cards which may cause a few people to start hyping the upset against Metal Gear Solid.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Shadow of the Colossus > Team Fortress 2

charmander6000’s Prediction: Shadow of the Colossus wins, 64.16% - 35.84%



Match LX: (4) Red Dead Redemption vs. (13) Bayonetta 2

Previous Performance

Red Dead Redemption – N/A
N/A

Bayonetta 2 – N/A
N/A

Analysis

Red Dead Redemption is a game I wished had strength, but it is doubtful on whether it will have it. To a lot of people the game is GTA without the name recognition. John Marston also looked pretty weak during the last character battle. It’s just not a type of game that would appeal to GameFAQs.

Lucky for the game it is up against Bayonetta 2, a newer Wii U exclusive game. While there are Bayonetta fans on this board and other places I just don’t see the game having much strength. The fact that people are afraid of buying the Wii U should be enough for Red Dead Redemption to have an easy time winning.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Red Dead Redemption > Bayonetta 2

charmander6000’s Prediction: Red Dead Redemption wins, 63.63% - 36.37%
---
BGE3: Today's Matches Witcher 3>BoI:R, MGS2>RE, Fallout:NV>BS:I, RE4>PM
Points 46/52
transience posted...
I have a hard time separating CT and FF6 too much. I know those are all real close but I wouldn't split them apart by more than a spot or two.


That run from 3 to 10 is probably extremely close in strength.

With this in mind it might be better to make these as tiers instead of a straight-up list:

OoT

FF7

LttP, CT, 64, World, 3, Melee, RBY, FF6

MM, FFX, MGS

TP, WW, GSC, RE4, MGS3

Skyrim, Fallout 3
---
Cranky's Advice - "git gud"
Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
(edited 11/18/2015 6:43:30 PM)report
Losing that badly to Doom is pretty bad, but 2004 was a long time ago and I think Earthbound has had reason to get stronger since then (VC release etc). I'm definitely not feeling too good about my Borderlands 2 pick.
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
My pre contest tier list:

Champion:
Ocarina of Time

Finalist Level:
Final Fantasy VII, Link to the Past, Super Mario 64, Pokemon RBY <—(this one is variable), Super Mario World?

Very Strong:
Pokemon RBY, Super Mario World (these guys can vary), Majora’s Mask, Final Fantasy X, Final Fantasy VI, Chrono Trigger, Super Smash Melee, Skyrim (again the last two are debatable)

Strong:
Melee (if it falls), Skyrim (western games are variable), Resident Evil 4, Super Mario 3, MGS, MGS3, Wind Waker?

Everything else:
Well, everything else.

Post-contest:

Champion :
OoT

Finalist Level:
FF7, LttP, SM64, RBY, Chrono Trigger, SMW(?), FF6(?)

Very Strong:
SMW, FF6, Melee, Super Mario 3, Majora's Mask, FFX

Strong:
MGS1, RE4, MGS3, TP, WW

In rough order within each tier.
Looks I was a off thinking CC would be under 20% after beating WoW. Fail. I was also a little off with that "feeling" that would get 52-53%, though at least MGS2 doesn't have like 60%.

Earthbound got 22% against CT.... Borderlands got 29% on FFX. Maybe Earthbound underperformed, but probably not by much. Borderlands' sequel is supposedly a bit stronger than the original, though it's probably been hurt a bit by its age (it's 3 years old now). Then there's the low votals which will favor Earthbound. Finally, old classic games aren't immune to losses. Earthbound is probably the weakest 16-bit game on the bracket.... I imagine MMX would easily get 60% on it, maybe even 65%.

All in all, Borderlands 2 should be comfortably above Earthbound. 55/45 Borderlands seems about right.
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
it's not worth arguing too much, but I bet Earthbound is comfortably above DKC2.
---
xyzzy
I think this site with these vote totals is the best possible combo for EarthBound to do well. It hasn't had a great showing before, but I think it can push 55-58% on Borderlands. I don't think any game, except maybe Batman, sums up how modern video don't stick like that one. I'm not sure anyone even talks about Borderlands anymore!
---
satoru iwata
transience posted...
it's not worth arguing too much, but I bet Earthbound is comfortably above DKC2.


the thought horrifies me
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
The 2009 X-stats say Eartbound gets about 56% on DKC2, or 63.5 with the raw stats, for what it's worth.

Which is nothing.
---
Any sound can shake the air. My voice shakes the heart!
-Sho Minamimoto
transience posted...
it's not worth arguing too much, but I bet Earthbound is comfortably above DKC2.


why do you say things to hurt people
---
Communists
I think the lower votals are allowing niche games to put up much better performances across the board, especially those that can be regarded as classics like Suikoden II.
---
Board 8's Voice of Reason
http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg
Eh, that's always been a long held belief, but OoT is still going to put up 85% on Suikoden II next round.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
LeonhartFour posted...
Eh, that's always been a long held belief, but OoT is still going to put up 85% on Suikoden II next round.


Because OoT is secretly everyones favorite game. We forget how awesome the game is because of how much love it gets.
---
David Hayter
Seriously, Who in the hell is "Draven?" (Sounds like a draggy crow.)
OoT is a classic at this point, the effect doesn't work on it.
---
Board 8's Voice of Reason
http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg
so...... I know Bayonetta 2 was a Wii U exclusive and had little exposure, but why does everyone have so much faith in Red Dead Redemption? I know absolutely nothing about the game except that it might be a western version of GTA?
---
Yay - Raytan is the guru champion of awesomeness.
because it's facing a wii u exclusive action game!
---
xyzzy
cyko posted...
so...... I know Bayonetta 2 was a Wii U exclusive and had little exposure, but why does everyone have so much faith in Red Dead Redemption? I know absolutely nothing about the game except that it might be a western version of GTA?


Seems like it got more of a critical reception. Far less of a bro game than GTA. I figure the fanbase is mostly the same though.
---
My name is Monica Lewinsky, and I am here to collect the rent.
Eddv posted...
OoT is a classic at this point, the effect doesn't work on it.


Regardless, Suikoden II will get blown out by anything with decent strength. Lower vote totals haven't helped other "cult" titles like Skies of Arcadia.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
11/18/2015 8:45:44 PM#73
Maybe if it was a user pic round...
---
No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
Bayo isn't even really gonna get a lot of the Bayo 1 franchise votes from the people alienated that the 2nd game is a Wii U exclusive

no I'm not bitter why would you suggest that
---
Welcome to the League of Stickies.
transience posted...
unhidden lose button

https://sp.yimg.com/xj/th?id=OIP.Mf10ba843f49a4cb77fc06804b4d18dc7H0&pid=15.1&P=0&w=300&h=300


we have got to get the NX out
---
satoru iwata
Here's my top 20:

1) Undertale
2-20) Everything Else

It's coming.
---
Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
Red Dead Redemption could have arguably beaten SMG2 for runner-up in 2010. It was legit for a bit and we don't have anything more recent.
---
M E N: nominate Metal Man in 20XX!
http://i.imgur.com/Dr4NAeq.png
I would actually go out on a limb that MMX is more likely than GSC to get a Rd2 upset. GSC has proven to fail against stronger NIntendo franchises, and Brawl did better on Majora than GSC did in GotD. Additionally, the old adage of 'nothing outside of RBY in the Pokemon franchise is worth anything' still stands. At least with MMX it's an unproven commodity for the most part, see as its only appearances were an SFF beatdown by Link's Awakening and it beating the relatively unknown (but likely not very strong Batman game.

Neither upset has a chance of happening, but there's at least SOME logical leaps you can make to justify MMX > FFX. What will be sad is seeing one of the best games in the bracket lose to one of the worst.
---
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
I would actually go out on a limb that MMX is more likely than GSC to get a Rd2 upset. GSC has proven to fail against stronger NIntendo franchises, and Brawl did better on Majora than GSC did in GotD. Additionally, the old adage of 'nothing outside of RBY in the Pokemon franchise is worth anything' still stands. At least with MMX it's an unproven commodity for the most part, see as its only appearances were an SFF beatdown by Link's Awakening and it beating the relatively unknown (but likely not very strong Batman game.

Neither upset has a chance of happening, but there's at least SOME logical leaps you can make to justify MMX > FFX. What will be sad is seeing one of the best games in the bracket lose to one of the worst.


44% against Majora's Mask is no joke. I can't picture MMX doing that on either FFX or Melee, which are ranked very close to MM.

Pokemon G/S/C has a much higher chance of pulling the upset than MMX does. Batman may very well end up as fodder while we're at it.

I doubt either game is going to really make the upset though.
---
Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
time for a gross board vote
---
xyzzy
Only 55% for MGS2 AND New Vegas.

I moved up 10 spots on the leaderboard somehow.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Ya go my Earthbound
---
Any sound can shake the air. My voice shakes the heart!
-Sho Minamimoto
uhhhh RDR what are you doing
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Look at Earthbound go
---
BGE3: Today's Matches MGS>Splatoon, Borderlands 2>Earthbound, SotC>TF2, RDR>Bayonetta 2
Points 50/56
wow metal gear is terrible this year

sorry splatoon i won't give you the benefit of the doubt
---
xyzzy
GOD DAMNIT
Still not on the leaderboard and now I'm getting knocked down again!
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
1 AlecTrevylan006 52

FINALLY!

BOW TO YOUR MANY TESTICLED GOD!

(until I get wrecked by Earthbound today... or having MGS, Xenoblade and WoW winning two matches each)
(edited 11/18/2015 9:02:07 PM)report
f***ing Earthbound costing me.
---
XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
PSN ID - Kudaark Steam Name : skaalfa
transience posted...
wow metal gear is terrible this year

sorry splatoon i won't give you the benefit of the doubt


yeah I'm not liking what I'm seeing here either

I hope Splatoon has the board vote here or this will be ugly.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
quick what's stronger splatoon or team fortress 2
---
xyzzy
transience posted...
quick what's stronger splatoon or team fortress 2


...

oh dear
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
dat Splatoon board vote
pjbasis posted...
whoa earthbound


Earthbound is going up against a WRPG in the board vote. It needs high 50s at the freeze if it wants to win
---
http://steamsignature.com/card/0/76561197979294707.png
Shadow of the Colossus is looking good
---
BGE3: Today's Matches MGS>Splatoon, Borderlands 2>Earthbound, SotC>TF2, RDR>Bayonetta 2
Points 50/56
Can't wait for RE4 to blow up MGS
---
Communists
i think those 6 zero brackets are probably incomplete brackets or errors or something like that. What are the odds that 6 different anti-perfect brackets exist still?
---
Don't mind me. I'm just here for the contest.
Hurray for goodtastefaqs!
---
Play Earthbound
And Dragon Warrior(Quest) 7

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