GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1206
Can Zelda break 91% before time is over? So close! Maybe not, it seems to be stuck at 90.9% --- BGE3: Today's Matches LoZ:OoT>Hearthstone, Suikoden II>MH4U, Okami>Warcraft III, FFIX>KH Points 27/32 |
It's hard to gain percent this high up, you have to maintain a 10:1 advantage with incoming votes just to hold even. |
Yeah, I guess your right, the gains will have to be quite massive to stay at pace to get that final 0.11%. --- Warning, the self-destruct system has been activated, all personnel should evacuate immediately, 5 minutes to detonation. |
The Mana Sword posted... Well yeah, that was 7 years ago. Like 10% of the voting population of the site is in school age range these days, and everyone has smartphones now. Trends in general are going to be extremely muted compared to the old days. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5953- Based on that poll, less than 5% of the voting population would still be in high school these days. The "17-20" option would include some people that are still in high school due to including 17 year olds, so it's not like the entire voting block for that option would be voting during the traditional ASV time period. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Meh,
in retrospect I should've known that Monster Hunter would lose. I just
find it ironic that the top game on this list is bad fodder: http://www.gamefaqs.com/users/!/games Further proof for my theory that 3DS user ratings are inflated. --- "Max... I'll always be with you. Forever..." (edited 11/13/2015 3:29:48 PM)report |
-LusterSoldier- posted... The "17-20" option would include some people that are still in high school due to including 17 year olds And 18 year olds --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
OrangeCrush980 posted... Meh, in retrospect I should've known that Monster Hunter would lose. I just find it ironic that the top game on this list is bad fodder: That's not a good indicator at all since probably only like 1% of the site even uses the My Games feature. --- http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens | http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens http://na.finalfantasyxiv.com/lodestone/character/5086952/ |
After
missing a few matches that didn't appear close (MMX > B:AC, Suikoden
2 > MH4U), it's nice to land FF9 winning the four-pack...don't mess
this up Okami! Tomorrow is hell. I don't trust the DKC-games and Xenoblade has tons of hype the past few years, but after seeing SMG2 lose and every other Wii-game released after 2007 be snubbed, it's scary to think if Xenoblade gets abandoned here too. Still rolling with it though. SMM scares me because you don't really need to play it to know if you'd like it. Ever played Mario? This is for you, by you. It's Wii U-exclusive though, and I think FE:A has managed to be among the top games for the 3DS. I may not like its demo, but I like its chances enough. Imagine if PW:TaT upset C:SotN...surely not, but PW:AA made Skyrim look bad for awhile. It'll be interesting to see how the board vote lasts here. My biggest gamble is on Banjo Kazooie winning its half of the division. I know what the GameFAQs polls say and I dread it if they're right...but I've never personally thought Tooie was close to Kazooie's quality or popularity, and I can see BK being hurt the worst in its match with LoZ:MM, R/B/Y, and PD. Banjo by himself couldn't represent how loved that game is either. C:SotN is the proven pick for that division, but I think and hope BK finally shines here. BK just got a port too, but lol xboner. --- M E N: nominate Metal Man in 20XX! http://i.imgur.com/Dr4NAeq.png |
despite having FFIX winning twice, I wouldn't be mad at all if Okami actually got the upset |
HaRRicH posted...
That sure helped New Super Mario Bros. Wii and Super Mario Sunshine --- Anime List: http://myanimelist.net/profile/superange VG List: http://myvideogamelist.com/profile/superange128 Visual Novels: https://vndb.org/u6633/votes |
The thing about Super Mario Maker is that it's likely to draw votes from people who've played neither. Nintendo has been promoting it to no end. --- http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens | http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens http://na.finalfantasyxiv.com/lodestone/character/5086952/ (edited 11/13/2015 4:15:48 PM)report |
I really doubt that matters. Not to the people here anyway. --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
WhiteLens posted... The thing about Super Mario Maker is that it's likely to draw votes from people who've played neither. Wii u --- http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif |
Match Pictures for the Rest of the Weekend http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/73.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/74.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/75.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/76.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/77.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/78.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/79.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/80.jpg ------------------- http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/81.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/82.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/83.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/84.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/85.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/86.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/87.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/88.jpg ------------- http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/89.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/90.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/91.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/92.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/93.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/94.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/95.jpg http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/bge20/96.jpg --- Anime List: http://myanimelist.net/profile/superange VG List: http://myvideogamelist.com/profile/superange128 Visual Novels: https://vndb.org/u6633/votes |
Souring
on the Wii U is going to have a more salient effect on Super Mario
Maker than apathy votes. It's not getting out of the fourpack. --- Welcome to the League of Stickies. |
I was hoping Shulk would be there somewhere oh well |
I had Suikoden and FFIX winning this. Then I listened to the board and changed my vote. Thanks a lot guys. --- Don't mind me. I'm just here for the contest. |
The
only bad board pick I had so far was Persona 3>Dragon Quest 8. All
others I didn't listen. If FF 9 wins I will have lost 3 matches so far,
and one of them would be Undertale>Mass Effect 3 which it makes
sense. The other is Mass Effect>Super Mario Galaxy 2, because I
thought people really love Mario games. Well they love Mario games, but only the old ones! --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? |
90.94% 0.06% away! Come on, you can do this! --- Warning, the self-destruct system has been activated, all personnel should evacuate immediately, 5 minutes to detonation. |
ROUND 1 – DAY 10 – BOTTOM OF DIVISION 5 Match XXXVII: (3) Xenoblade Chronicles vs. (14) Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy’s Kong Quest Previous Performance Xenoblade Chronicles – N/A N/A Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy’s Kong Quest – 2009 9.24% against GoldenEye 007, Super Mario RPG, Resident Evil 2 Analysis This four-pack is one of the few instances where you could make a decent argument for any of the games to advance. Xenoblade Chronicles is the favourite to win, but even it is not safe. Some people point out the character’s performance during the last character battle as a sign of weakness, but I feel this is a type of game where the fanbase is a bit split on which character they like and thus the game will be notably stronger. On the other side people use Xenoblade Chronicles’ Game of the Year performance as a sign of strength. The main issue of that is during Game of the Year Xenoblade Chronicles was in the process of having its fans trying to get a North American release which would boost its performance among the voters which had not played any of the games released that year, but voted for Xenoblade because they heard everyone say it was a great game. This is one of the reasons why we see such a big difference between contests and Game of the Year polls, even after a short time since those people are less likely to vote for it now. Looking at Donkey Kong Country 2 it was crushed in its only match. If we don’t consider SFF then Xenoblade would win easily. Personally I think there was a lot of SFF as I believe Super Mario RPG was one of the worst opponents DKC2 could have drawn. I don’t think DKC2 is a world beater, but you don’t have to be one to win this match. I feel the winner of this match should be the favourite to win next round. This contest has been kinder towards older games so I feel relatively safe about DKC2 winning, hopefully the game was SFF badly enough in 2009. charmander6000’s Bracket: Donkey Kong Country 2 > Xenoblade Chronicles charmander6000’s Prediction: Donkey Kong Country 2 wins, 53.37% - 46.63% Match XXXVIII: (6) Fire Emblem: Awakening vs. (11) Super Mario Maker Previous Performance Fire Emblem: Awakening – N/A N/A Super Mario Maker – N/A N/A Analysis A lot of people are invoking it’s friggin’ Mario for this match and while I do have Mario it is a dangerous game to play. Just because it’s Mario doesn’t mean it automatically wins, especially new Mario. Sunshine lost to Halo 3, NSMB lost to MvC2 and just this round Galaxy 2 lost to Mass Effect. Just because it has Mario in the title doesn’t mean it will win. The reason why I think it will win is because the game is still quite active as it is one of the most exciting Nintendo games to play this year. Awakening had that when it was released, but that magic has since gone away. I predict the game will be one of the strongest Fire Emblem games, but that isn’t saying much. charmander6000’s Bracket: Super Mario Maker > Fire Emblem: Awakening charmander6000’s Prediction: Super Mario Maker wins, 54.12% - 45.88% --- BGE3: Today's Matches LoZ:OoT>Hearthstone, Suikoden II>MH4U, Okami>Warcraft III, FFIX>KH Points 27/32 |
Match XXXIX: (7) Banjo-Kazooie vs. (10) Baldur’s Gate II: Shadows of Amn Previous Performance Banjo-Kazooie – 2009 8.75% against Pokemon RBY, LoZ: Majora’s Mask, Perfect Dark Baldur’s Gate II: Shadows of Amn – 2010 47.60% against Skies of Arcadia Analysis Looks like Banjo-Kazooie will finally get a fair match. There has been much discussion about the game’s strength and whether it has a chance against SotN, but little has been said about its chances against Baldur’s Gate II should it flop. Should the Majora’s Mask>Perfect Dark>Banjo-Kazooie hierarchy hold up that doesn’t give Banjo much breathing room. Remember Perfect Dark got 45% on Modern Warfare whom went on to get only 30% on Melee. Skies of Arcadia almost matched its expected x-stat prediction against Twilight Princess which essentially puts Baldur’s Gate II surprisingly close to Perfect Dark. Of course I am of the belief that Banjo-Kazooie suffered more SFF than Perfect Dark because the game is more closely related to Majora’s Mask. This is playing with fire though as this was rarely seen in four-ways. With that said I’m a bit surprised that more people didn’t go for Baldur’s Gate II given it has a real chance, but I guess it’s hard to take a PC game over a Nintendo(ish) title from the Nintendo 64 era. If Banjo-Kazooie wants to have a chance against SotN then it should be looking to break 60% with ease. charmander6000’s Bracket: Banjo-Kazooie > Baldur’s Gate II charmander6000’s Prediction: Banjo-Kazooie wins, 58.45% - 41.55% Match XL: (2) Castlevania: Symphony of the Night vs. (15) Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trials and Tribulations Previous Performance Castlevania: Symphony of the Night – 2009 22.91% against Super Mario 64, Resident Evil, Kirby Super Star 14.67% against Super Mario 64, Chrono Trigger, SMW2: Yoshi’s Island Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trials and Tribulations – 2010 24.81% against Final Fantasy IX Analysis I was a bit surprised to see Symphony of the Night end up with a 2 seed, but its fans are a bit hard core. The game has an easy path to the division finals, though the reward will be getting massacred by Ocarina of Time. While there is not a single game standing in SotN’s path to the division finals there are a bunch of games tooted to have the potential for an upset. A good performance here would silence the doubters. Trials and Tribulations was soundly crushed in 2010 and I don’t expect it to be much different here. The first Phoenix Wright game did well against Skyrim, though we can’t say for sure it does look likely that the series has at least retained its strength. Castlevania is no Final Fantasy IX, but it shouldn’t have an issue getting to the mid to upper 60s. charmander6000’s Bracket: Castlevania: SotN > Phoenix Wright: AA T&T charmander6000’s Prediction: Castlevania: SotN wins, 67.34% - 32.66% --- BGE3: Today's Matches LoZ:OoT>Hearthstone, Suikoden II>MH4U, Okami>Warcraft III, FFIX>KH Points 27/32 |
Really hope you're wrong on both of those, Char! Also it would be really disappointing if OoT doesn't manage the 91 after coming so close --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
to be fair, "it’s friggin’ Mario" might just work against a Nintendo title that probably doesn't have much strength on its own |
To clarify, I mean I hope you're wrong about the fourpack of death, not SotN's. Though Ace Attorney winning would be worth the 8 point loss --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
There will be people that will finish tomorrow 0/2 in that four-pack, effectively costing a round 2 match. --- BGE3: Today's Matches LoZ:OoT>Hearthstone, Suikoden II>MH4U, Okami>Warcraft III, FFIX>KH Points 27/32 |
90.96...! So close! --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
90.98%!!! Two ticks more to go! --- Warning, the self-destruct system has been activated, all personnel should evacuate immediately, 5 minutes to detonation. |
Wow, one massive stall for several hours by Kingdom Hearts. That's almost impressive. The Square Hierarchy prevails. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Also, nice pic advantage for DKC2 and Mario Maker. Not that it's likely to matter. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
I hope all the Smash 4 fans recognize the Monado! damn it |
KamikazePotato posted... For every pretentious MGS2 fan there's at least two obnoxious MGS3/Big Boss fans that's because there's more MGS3 fans it can't be helped lawl --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Man,
it's quite a change when we have FFX beating KH by a small margin, and
now FFIX is almost beating FFX by a small margin. Granted, KH probably
performs in better in four ways, but that's still impressive on Final
Fantasy's end. Quite frankly FFIX vs. KH is the one that surprises me
the most based on results so far.... I mean, FF8 and FF10 disappointed
in their matches. Kingdom Hearts II dominated MGS4. The other match
results for today, however, make a lot of sense. As for the explanation of Suikoden > Monster Hunter, my theory all along was the idea that most voters probably haven't played either game. Who would people vote for in such a case? The edge would have to go to Suikoden II. That said, I was still half-expecting MH to win this anyway. But I can't tell you how happy I am to see both Suikoden and Final Fantasy IX win a debatable match in the same day.... I picked them in bracket, so my bracket is happy. More importantly, Suikoden II and FFIX are both great games that really deserved their win. I'm currently in the top 150... by today's end hopefully we will down to less than people with 3 incorrect picks or less so I can make it on the list again. This is my only chance to be on the leaderboard for a while, as I can almost guarantee I'm going to screw something up tomorrow.... what a nightmare tomorrow's matches have been for everyone. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
First time back since around noon and KH =( this one really hurts --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
FFX
did pretty much as expected, so if you don't like things meeting
expectations, I guess it could be viewed as a disappointment. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
I
really don't get why Xenoblade would be stronger than FEA in
particular. (The other two games in that four-pack are harder to compare
directly.) The last character contest seemed to indicate very clearly
whose characters are stronger, and this "the fanbase is split on which
characters to like" argument makes no sense to me, at least not more
than any other RPG (including FEA). FEA also sold an order of magnitude more copies or so. I know it's on a portable, which is a strike against, but Xenoblade's a Wii game that came out well after the site soured on the Wii, so I can't see that being much of an advantage. I know "exploration-focused RPG" is more this site's cup of tea than "strategy RPG" but that's really about the only edge Xenoblade has. Tough four-pack to call regardless. I'm inclined to side with old game fu and go with DKC2, but none of the games advancing would completely surprise me. --- The RPG Duelling League: www.rpgdl.com An unparalleled source for RPG information and discussion |
Yeah,
FFX did as expected after accounting for HL2's performance. Also, if
Game of the Decade never happened, we would have considered FF8's 57%
(prior to the rally) pretty good! Oh, and who would you guys pick between DKC2 and Banjo-Kazooie? I would lean toward DKC2, I think... --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
I would pick DKC2 because I couldn't stomach picking B-K to win. B-K probably wins though. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Is FF9 really gonna do it?! --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest "F*** Draven." -SBAllen |
I'd take DKC2 but would have no idea if it was the right pick or not. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
If
DKC2 wins tonight or comes close, I might reconsider its chances. Even
then, I'd have to see how B-K and Xenoblade do against SOTN in either
case. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
DKC2 seems like the obvious choice, though I could be missing something. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
My
gut said that DKC2 would take that fourpack. Looking at the results so
far, I'm feeling good about it. Especially DKC2 > Xenoblade. --- "Max... I'll always be with you. Forever..." |
If DKC2 doesn't win tonight, I lost faith in GameFAQs --- Communists |
I lean BK, but whoever won that would get tripled in Round 2 anyway. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IX - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3729662 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Not_Wylvane posted... I lean BK, but whoever won that would get tripled in Round 2 anyway. tripled by what? --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
Nice, the OoT match is on track to reach 40000 votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
I am SHOCKED that people think Xenoblade is some heavy favorite. That match is a tossup. --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest "F*** Draven." -SBAllen |
