GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1205
Final Fantasy IX by the hour: 1:00 | 50.55% 2:00 | 48.91% 3:00 | 49.72% Almost even hour from 2-3. Now, FFIX appears to be moving in the 4th hour. Night vote has arrived? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
After
looking at statistics, I still believe these contests would be
waaaaaaaaay better if European voters were more prominent. Square games
still do very well there, and it's really on in the US thatt Nintendo
dominates. --- nt |
By the way everyone.....for your reference......the approximate first 6 hours of Crono/Vincent 2007: 1:00 | 56.5% | Yay! 2:00 | 54.5% | Cruising 3:00 | 52% | Slowing down but the lead is massive already.... 4:00 | 51% | Stalling out.... 5:00 | 43% | What is this madness?!? 6:00 | 41% | NOOOOOOOOO --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
FFIX needs to build a lead while it can. Any update where it stalls at this point is a small victory for KH. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
FFIX's percentage by country: United Kingdom - 65% France - 71% Germany - 72% Spain - 73% Italy - 59% Canada - 56% USA - 46% Still holding pretty strong in Europe. I'm thinking we may be able to get some 57%+ hours tonight for FFIX. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
Are we really that confident in KH's day vote |
spooky96 posted... Are we really that confident in KH's day vote I wouldn't take any chances on FFIX being able to hold a narrow lead for 24 hours. FFIX might be able to pull too far ahead for KH1 to catch up with the day vote, but it's almost certain KH1 will do better than it's doing now. The disparity between the U.S. and Europe is too big for it not to at this point. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif (edited 11/13/2015 12:33:28 AM)report |
If it comes down to the wire, Vivi held off Mario while Axel rolled right over for Frog to cut him to pieces. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
red sox 777 posted... By the way everyone.....for your reference......the approximate first 6 hours of Crono/Vincent 2007: 2007 never happenend, but I know Crono and Vincent thought for a place in the finals in 2008 ;) --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Raytan > Me |
Sounds reasonable enough, let's see how big of a lead FFIX can actually build. |
Europe you guys are real champions today lemme tell you. I really doubt FFIX is going to win this though. --- This was my signature, but Raytan, 2013 Guru champion, took it away. |
red sox 777 posted... If it comes down to the wire, Vivi held off Mario while Axel rolled right over for Frog to cut him to pieces. Vivi had a rally behind him, so of course he wasn't going to lose. That's not really a fair comparison. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
That
being said, if it DOES come down to the wire, I'd trust FFIX over KH1
anyway. This board favors FFIX, so it'll make sure it wins. And KH doesn't really have much of a clutch anyway. Axel rolled over to Frog, as you said, and Sora couldn't pull out a win over Pikachu even with friggin' Blue taking up the other spot in the poll. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Based
on Luster's continent poll data, Europe only got 13.21% of the votes
during the 2-3 AM hour, which was still well below it's overall
percentage for the day. In fact, Europe did not have another hour below
the 2-3 AM hour mark until 7-8 PM. Europe did not record another hour
below 20% until 10-11 AM. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
Continent poll trend charts, for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1LREvfZei7T4PRTBo66vnYTkV2D0hxVRwarwaH2NLi2M/pub I'm using the ones from 2013, since they would probably be more relevant to our current vote totals right now. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Man Crono/Vincent really traumatized you didn't it red? Speaking of Crono/Vincent, what was the first time the Noble Nine was broken? Was it L-Block? And what was the first time 1v1? Also I think Sephiroth and Crono are the only NNers not to ever appear in Smash. Poor them. At least Seph will have the Remake though, Crono gets zilch. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
creativename posted... Man Crono/Vincent really traumatized you didn't it red? uhhhhhh Crono/Vincent 1-on-1 was Crono/Missingno in 3-ways it was Crono/Pikachu good work Crono --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
In
other words, based solely on geolocation trends, Kingdom Hearts cannot
expect to do better during the daytime than it did during the 2-3 AM
hour, which was to tread water. To achieve its comeback, KH will need
to rely on time-based trends within North America. To the extent
that we have seen trends this year, it's been mostly geolocation
trends, so I still think this is an uphill climb for KH. The thing about games with strong Euro votes like the Playstation Final Fantasies is that they continue in strength right through the morning, so it's not like they only have the dead zone to build a lead. Back when the ASV still existed in force, we wouldn't expect KH to start cutting the lead until the ASV started around 2-3 PM. My guess is FFIX will have a lead of around 1000 around 10 AM.......It does feel very weird saying that KH can't make that up against a game with an awful day vote like FFIX, but that's been what this contest has suggested so far! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
LeonhartFour posted... creativename posted...Man Crono/Vincent really traumatized you didn't it red? Hmmm I didn't realize the NN stood for so long! I remember back when everyone thought it would be Sonic or maybe Mega Man to break the NN. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Ugh cut --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
red sox 777 posted... In other words, based solely on geolocation trends, Kingdom Hearts cannot expect to do better during the daytime than it did during the 2-3 AM hour, which was to tread water. Sure it can. The Geolocation trends aren't so absolute as that. also FFIX should probably stop letting KH1 cut it during its good hours if it wants that 1000 vote lead you proclaim it should get --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Snake
got so lucky with not breaking the Noble Nine for several years,
managing to avoid drawing Vincent/Squall/Ganondorf or maybe even Zero or
Auron. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
In other news, Ocarina's lead is above 8000 --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
He
got Bowser when Bowser was at his peak in 2005, and during the sprite
round, to boot. It wasn't all luck. Snake could've won those matches,
too. Sonic beat Vincent (who beat Ganondorf) in 2006, and he was thought
of as being right down there with Snake, too. I still say the Naked Snake pics in 2004 negatively affected him because MGS fans knew it wasn't Solid Snake in those pics. 2004 was a bit of an aberration, I think. Not that he would've done a lot better, but I think it did hurt him somewhat. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Well,
2004 was definitely the riskiest year by far. I think 2004 Snake was
the only Noble Niner to finish behind non-NNers in the x-stats until the
shift to 4-way contests began, excepting 2003 Sonic and his placement
0.01% behind Magus. But 2004 Snake was behind multiple non-NNers, and
did worse against Megaman than Zero did. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
I
don't think FF9 will have anywhere close to a 1000 vote lead, but it
doesn't need anywhere near that much. The day vote is really diluted
this year. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Final Fantasy IX by the hour: 1:00 | 50.55% 2:00 | 48.91% 3:00 | 49.72% 4:00 | 53.27% The rise skyward begins. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
(edited 11/13/2015 1:03:22 AM)report |
LordoftheMorons posted... In other news, Ocarina's lead is above 8000 Still possible Undertale pulled a 9500 lead comeback! Go go bribe a streamer already --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
Hmm...yeah,
looking at the MGS4/KH2 trend charts makes me pretty hopeful. KH2
didn't really blow MGS4 out of the water during the day or anything. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
It doesn't really have to. FF hasn't blown out its competition at night either, and FFIX isn't doing it to KH1. KH doesn't need drastic improvement during the day to win this. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Nanis23 posted... LordoftheMorons posted...In other news, Ocarina's lead is above 8000 Undertale would be stalling oot at best during its peak hours. --- http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif |
In fact, FFIX keeps letting KH1 have these random cuts like that one right there! Not really a great sign! --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
I want to see OOT at 91% when I wake up tomorrow. --- Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords. With what? ROT-13? -CJayC |
-hotdogturtle-- posted... I want to see OOT at 91% when I wake up tomorrow. you might want to sleep in extra late then OoT probably won't start gaining percentage again consistently for a while --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
Nanis23 posted... Go go bribe a streamer already Why would I do that? I'm quite happy with this result! --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
If
KH can hold FFIX to around the 53% it got last hour over the rest of
the night, that's one thing. But 3-4 AM is still more controlled by the
North America than the Europe vote, note that Crono still beat Vincent
in that hour even in the year he went on to lose 51.5-48.5. I think
it's more likely FFIX will be averaging in the 57%+ area during the dead
zone, and even in the morning vote, it may still chug along at the 53%
it got last hour or higher. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
LeonhartFour posted... In fact, FFIX keeps letting KH1 have these random cuts like that one right there! Not really a great sign! Yeah FFIX has not been doing as well as I would have hoped the past two hours. I think KH will probably end up winning. --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
Its better that kh wins tbh. I rather ocarina smash that than ffix. --- http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif |
I woke up and I checked the results. This is what I have to say. 1st match=OOT over 90%? I know it is the strongest game here but I thought it could have lost some power over time. Damn! 2nd match=Well Suikoden 2 is winning because it is a JRPG I guess? 3rd match=Okami is really loved on the site so this shouldn't suprise anyone. 4th match=Both of these games have the same chance to win, so makes sense to be that close. Still KH will win because it has the most votes in USA. Also Cloud is Smash Brothers? I wish we had a Character Contest now! Imagine when FF 7 remake comes out! Cloud might beat Link or something! --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? |
LordoftheMorons posted... Nanis23 posted...Go go bribe a streamer already Because some people just wanna watch the world burn I guess Do you know how many people would lose their s*** for a Undertale Heartstone final/Semi final? --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
lol
at that Zelda result.It's like the whole site knows a rally could
happen so they're pouring all their votes into Zelda in hte hope it puts
someone off. --- http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/330/958/a5b.gif |
That's more like it. --- Any sound can shake the air. My voice shakes the heart! -Sho Minamimoto |
Final Fantasy IX by the hour: 1:00 | 50.55% 2:00 | 48.91% 3:00 | 49.72% 4:00 | 53.27% 5:00 | 52.28% Quite a disappointing hour for FFIX there. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
shane15 posted... lol at that Zelda result.It's like the whole site knows a rally could happen so they're pouring all their votes into Zelda in hte hope it puts someone off. Or that on base gamefaqs strength oot is just way stronger. Hearthstone is isnt even that well liked. Its just one of those addictive past time events. --- http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif |
Now we're moving. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
Yay --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
