11/11/2015 11:15:45 PM#251
Charts from yesterday:

Time | Skyrim | PW1 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 53.47% | 46.53% | 1051 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 58.85% | 41.15% | 5575 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 63.22% | 36.78% | 9952 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 69.23% | 30.77% | 5628 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 69.96% | 30.04% | 10638 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 68.61% | 31.39% | 10414 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 69.74% | 30.26% | 1983 | (22:00-24:00)

Phoenix held up fairly well overnight, but Skyrim was pushing 70% the whole way once the sun came up.

Time | GE007 | Diablo II | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 60.23% | 39.77% | 1051 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 57.38% | 42.62% | 5286 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 53.97% | 46.03% | 9611 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 54.24% | 45.76% | 5463 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 57.18% | 42.82% | 10374 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 56.61% | 43.39% | 10086 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 56.17% | 43.83% | 1953 | (22:00-24:00)

GoldenEye displaying some Nintendo trends here! Strong early vote, bad night vote, good day vote.

Time | M. Prime | Morrowind | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 71.21% | 28.79% | 1087 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 68.11% | 31.89% | 5400 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 62.94% | 37.06% | 9730 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 61.07% | 38.93% | 5510 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 61.98% | 38.02% | 10456 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 62.69% | 37.31% | 10189 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 63.63% | 36.37% | 1963 | (22:00-24:00)

I dunno if it was the Tumblr spill over and Tumblr either loves Prime or hates Elder Scrolls (based on the PW match as well), but Prime tanked hard after the early vote. That's a Melee-esque dropoff.

Time | Half-Life 2 | D. Souls | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 69.00% | 31.00% | 1058 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 65.39% | 34.61% | 5279 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 62.38% | 37.62% | 9518 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 63.95% | 36.05% | 5423 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 63.63% | 36.37% | 10156 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 64.52% | 35.48% | 9901 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 65.53% | 34.47% | 1903 | (22:00-24:00)

Half-Life might have a decent day vote. It did pretty well against FFX with it, too. Or maybe the Souls series has a day vote that's as bad as FF's usually is.
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11/11/2015 11:26:10 PM#252
78% get!

Man, 999 is going to look really bad in the final X-Stats if TP 65/35s P4 next round or something.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
I'm assuming there's SFF in that match and 999 is utter terrible to begin with. I'm certain about the last part at least, but I don't know anything about 999 at all and the only things I know about Persona 4 comes from the anime.
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My old signature was really outdated. I haven't thought of a proper new one yet.
999 has to be one of the weakest games in the bracket. The only games I'd consider it winning over are Cave Story, Binding of Isaac, Life is Strange, and Journey, though I wouldn't be confident in any of those. Oh, and VLR, obviously.

And yet, as a fan of the Zero Escape games myself, I know how passionate the fans are, so there's some part of me that says this performance is extremely impressive.
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Currently playing: Dark Souls 2
999 is probably the most obscure game in the entire bracket, so even a niche game like Persona 4 wins handily in terms of name recognition.
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"Life is like a chess game. If you play the opening wrong, you've already lost."
Yeah Division V is gonna wreck s***
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26/28 pts - GameFAQs' 20th Anniversary Best. Game. Ever. Contest!
NP: Super Mario 64/Final Fantasy Tactics/Twilight Princess/Persona 4
ffmasterjose posted...
Yeah Division V is gonna wreck s***


^ So much this. Points wise it won't be too bad a division for everyone, just because the winner is obvious. But there are quite a few matches in the middle section that are a huge toss up.

Tbh I am surprised how many people (from the guru at least) have Xenoblade > DKC2. I haven't actually heard of Xenoblade before, so perhaps I am just out of the loop?
(edited 11/12/2015 12:23:37 AM)report
People feel like between the SMASH BUMP and how high profile project rainfall was AND it getting a sequel like pretty soon that it'll pull it out over the continually disappointing Donkey Kong.

I feel that's incorrect and went with DK but I picked Resident Evil 2 to win today so what do I know.
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Board 8's Voice of Reason
http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg
I have DK in the division final.

I am crazy.
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Hello, I'm Chris!
https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif
I fanboy picked RE2 to win.
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
Persona 4 might rise to 80 here.

It will put up a fight against tp. And ive got some tricks up my sleeves next round i can pull in about 10k votes via facebook rally.
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Never played Persona 4 before, but i do like the idea of it prevailing over Zelda

Go P4!!!!
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Man is not the creature of circumstances. Circumstances are the creatures of man.
Man I wonder if VLR is gonna be significantly weaker than this
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Board 8's Voice of Reason
http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg
I just checked the results. I have to say this:
1st match=Mario doing as I was expecting
2nd match=FFT doing as I was expecting
3rd match=Zelda doing as I was expecting
4th match=Persona doing as I was expecting.

Yeah I know but all these matches were easy and everything is going normally.
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Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing?
Persona 4 is the only game that doesn't seem to be dropping.

Of course Mario and Zelda will rise to heaven during the ASV. Surprised at Final Fantasy losing the night vote to something, but I think Resident Evil stuff, especially not RE4-related, is absolutely horrible during the day so FFT should be able to stem the % bleed then.
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
Why did so many people fell from the top 50?
Or it should be expected because the number of matches?
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3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
Funny that you people talk about statistics and rallies and s*** about a fictional contest that is biased and has so much outside influence from meme communities like Tumblr or Reddit.

You know a joke game is going to win because "le epic memes".

It happened with Draaaaaaaaven and it will happen again.
HagenEx posted...
Funny that you people talk about statistics and rallies and s*** about a fictional contest that is biased and has so much outside influence from meme communities like Tumblr or Reddit.

You know a joke game is going to win because "le epic memes".

It happened with Draaaaaaaaven and it will happen again.


The only reason it happens is because the site always picks bad games to win.
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shane15 posted...
HagenEx posted...
Funny that you people talk about statistics and rallies and s*** about a fictional contest that is biased and has so much outside influence from meme communities like Tumblr or Reddit.

You know a joke game is going to win because "le epic memes".

It happened with Draaaaaaaaven and it will happen again.


The only reason it happens is because the site always picks bad games to win.


And choosing Undertale is "good"?

Rofl.
Persona 4 with a blowout.

Twilight Princess barely breaking 70% on Skies doesn't feel like good news to me, but then again Skies got 37% on Mass Effect in GOTD so it's probably fairly decent.

EDIT: Twilight Princess is actually only underperforming stat expectations by 2%! It'll probably rise back to its stat number during the daytime, so unless Skies is weak it looks like TP didn't budge at all strength-wise. I guess its poor showing on last year's top 100 is more an indication that not many actually really love the game more than anything, which I can relate to.
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
(edited 11/12/2015 3:43:31 AM)report
Skies of Arcadia could win a match against a fair bit of the bracket, not many, but some. Zelda's not doing bad.
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My old signature was really outdated. I haven't thought of a proper new one yet.
(edited 11/12/2015 3:42:00 AM)report
We know Skies is worth 38% on Super Mario Galaxy 2 at least lol.

For all we know Skies might have been a midcarder before '05 and Wind Waker could have pulled off some weird SFF on it (both games get compared on occasion) in BGE1. It's anyone's guess how Skies itself has at least okayish strength while Vyse is bad fodder.
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
LinkMarioSamus posted...
We know Skies is worth 38% on Super Mario Galaxy 2 at least lol.

For all we know Skies might have been a midcarder before '05 and Wind Waker could have pulled off some weird SFF on it (both games get compared on occasion) in BGE1. It's anyone's guess how Skies itself has at least okayish strength while Vyse is bad fodder.


I thought everyone was in agreement that sailing SFF is a thing that exists.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
Future 2015 Guru Contest winner.
A useless trivia too, today it is the only day that I voted only the games that were losing without seeing the results first. Okay the 3 matches were easy but the 4th wasn't that easy. Eh whatever!
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Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing?
Going to be my fourth miss of the contest. And sadly I had FFT for most of the bracketmaking period but decided to go for the RE2 upset to make a fanboy pick. Didn't work.

And what were the reasons for picking the upset otherwise anyway? FFT getting weaker? RE2 came out the same year on the same console, why would it get weaker any slower than FFT? The Final Fantasy name being tarnished? Because the Resident Evil brand is doing SO much better nowadays.
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
My question is, is Persona 4 really as niche as some people here think? I mean, there are 50 squentillion spin-offs and various forms of media based around it at this point. It might be the most popular JRPG not from Square at this point, unless I'm forgetting something.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
Tbh I am surprised how many people (from the guru at least) have Xenoblade > DKC2. I haven't actually heard of Xenoblade before, so perhaps I am just out of the loop?

I'm really not confident on this one at all, but I couldn't in good conscience take DK in a debated match.
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26/28 pts - GameFAQs' 20th Anniversary Best. Game. Ever. Contest!
NP: Super Mario 64/Final Fantasy Tactics/Twilight Princess/Persona 4
I looked for Xenoblade in contest hystory and the things I could find were a near tie with Walking Dead on GOTY 2012, and its protagonists failing to beat Ratchet in the 2013 contest.

It screams "fodder" to me.

But DKC2 is also fodder, so... I'm not sure.
I agree, Persona 4 is no longer niche, it's definitely becoming more known to common gamer.

Also Mario Kart 8 is looking pretty good, maybe Mario fans knew it was going to get crushed.
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BGE3: Today's Matches SM64>MK8, RE2>FFT, LoZ:TP>SoA, P4>999
Points 24/28
I am a bit surprised that Mario Kart 8 is holding up better than expected. I thought it would get SFFed into the ground by Super Mario 64.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
Vote totals have also returned back to normal so it doesn't look like we retained a significant amount of people from tumblr.
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BGE3: Today's Matches SM64>MK8, RE2>FFT, LoZ:TP>SoA, P4>999
Points 24/28
It was probably just spillover votes from the rally that inflated yesterday's vote totals by roughly 3000 votes or so.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
That's to be expected, people want to check to see if Undertale won and decided to vote in yesterday's match as well.
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BGE3: Today's Matches SM64>MK8, RE2>FFT, LoZ:TP>SoA, P4>999
Points 24/28
ffmasterjose posted...
Tbh I am surprised how many people (from the guru at least) have Xenoblade > DKC2. I haven't actually heard of Xenoblade before, so perhaps I am just out of the loop?

I'm really not confident on this one at all, but I couldn't in good conscience take DK in a debated match.


But DK won TWO debated matches in the 2009 contest!

And then DK himself made a mockery out of debated matches in our last two contest. It has literally been 7 years since DK choked away a debated match.
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"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
HagenEx posted...
shane15 posted...
HagenEx posted...
Funny that you people talk about statistics and rallies and s*** about a fictional contest that is biased and has so much outside influence from meme communities like Tumblr or Reddit.

You know a joke game is going to win because "le epic memes".

It happened with Draaaaaaaaven and it will happen again.


The only reason it happens is because the site always picks bad games to win.


And choosing Undertale is "good"?

Rofl.


No but it upsets everyone so their goal is accomplished.
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LinkMarioSamus posted...
ffmasterjose posted...
Tbh I am surprised how many people (from the guru at least) have Xenoblade > DKC2. I haven't actually heard of Xenoblade before, so perhaps I am just out of the loop?

I'm really not confident on this one at all, but I couldn't in good conscience take DK in a debated match.


But DK won TWO debated matches in the 2009 contest!

And then DK himself made a mockery out of debated matches in our last two contest. It has literally been 7 years since DK choked away a debated match.


Why is DK's contest history even relevant to DKC2? He's in the game for about 10 seconds.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
Future 2015 Guru Contest winner.
I know it's completely meaningless here, but I can never get enough of Zelda's glorious morning vote.
How closely related is Warcraft III to Hearthstone? Would Hearthstone fans flock towards Warcraft III should a rally happen?
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BGE3: Today's Matches SM64>MK8, RE2>FFT, LoZ:TP>SoA, P4>999
Points 24/28
charmander6000 posted...
How closely related is Warcraft III to Hearthstone? Would Hearthstone fans flock towards Warcraft III should a rally happen?


There are quite a lot of Hearthstone players who never even played Warcraft and Hearthstone is more based on World of Warcraft than Warcraft III.
Still they would probably help it (at least a bit) because it is the same lore in the end.
(edited 11/12/2015 6:29:05 AM)report
War craft is in the title but I'm pretty sure hearthstone is its own entity as far as fans go. All the people I know IRL who play hearthstone don't care at all about warcraft
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Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
Lol at the idea that people are voting Undertale as a joke
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This was my signature, but Raytan, 2013 Guru champion, took it away.
Save us Hearthstone
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Man is not the creature of circumstances. Circumstances are the creatures of man.
Looking at the best way to rally for Hearthstone... Twitch could get you a lot of votes since it's a popular game, but that's a great way to be get banned plus your comment may not be seen given how fast chat moves. The sub-reddit seems to frown upon advertising and tumblr could easily backfire to Ocarina of Time. At best Hearthstone would need a person with many followers to endorse the contest and tell its viewers to vote for Hearthstone. 30k+ votes is likely needed to win and the longer it takes for the bandwagon to form the better chance Ocarina of Time will have at surviving.
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BGE3: Today's Matches SM64>MK8, RE2>FFT, LoZ:TP>SoA, P4>999
Points 24/28
I don't think Twitch is a good mechanism for rallying at all.

You'd need the guy people are watching to say something; chat will be ignored. And even then, people are in the middle of something. They are unlikely to stop.

You need something with hyperlinks to get people to take action.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
I hope there will be a rally. Does anyone knows a big Tumblr 'er or something like that that can rally?
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Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing?
f*** rallies
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Twitch rallies will probably never ever work. In any big twitch streams, the chat is so fast you can't actually read what's going on, also links are usually blocked.

The best hope for a rally for Hearthstone is the massive hearthstone subreddit.
However, it's usually filled with complains and last week was pretty impressive with only rants , streamers quitting the game and people saying they aren't playing any more. Of course, it's only the hardcore fanbase that's annoyed but they are the one upvoting/downvoting so if they are still mad they will prevent rallies from even starting up.
There are other places to potentially rally but if reddit isn't in it, I don't think Hearthstone can manage.
(edited 11/12/2015 7:39:55 AM)report
In GotD, Skies was projected to get 28.34% on Twilight Princess. It currently has 28.17%.

Go X-stats!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
Mario 64 > TP confirmed
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Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
Btw I have been thinking about what people say about Hearthstone and how Link would steal a lot of votes from it and while I think a fanbase can be more monolithic than people expect, it's true that it would take a lot of vote for HS to win.

However they could simply avoid the issue by not making it a game contest but about trolling, kinda like a part of the Draven rally was, but this time making the entire rally more about trolling than the game.
But ofc not that many people like trolling for no reasons, but how about trolling villains ? And making GF as the villains would be so easy, just use some of the UT meltdown and it's done.

jesus f***ing christ. i hope the creator of undertale goes out of business and has to become like an electrician or something and he's never able to share any of his creativity with people again

What do you think the Undertale fans would think if they see that reaction ? They might rally for HS even more than UT did , since this is hoping the one who made the game they like would be ruined because his game won a popularity poll on the internet.

But Undertale is the low hanging fruit, how about a bigger part of Tumblr ? Just read board8.txt . I'm sure a lot of tumbler users who aren't even aware of anything would be annoyed at being <insert one of the dozens of ridiculous insults> for being part of site. And all that because Mass Effect 3 lost. And since they are <insert insult2> , it's not like they can fall any lower by voting to troll. And all the feminisms and SJW comments could help start the buzz too.

And ofc this is just reactions from a few members and those in the heat of the moments. But do you think they will do the research ?
Now picture a good selection of quotes and something like "Vote hearthstone to see those guys get even more pathetic" or something like that.

TL;DR : Salt is bad and can fuel rallies.
(edited 11/12/2015 8:55:26 AM)report

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