GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1203
-LusterSoldier- posted... creativename posted...That said, will it really help Pokemon? I don't think that's predictable. I mean, from what people have said Tumblr is mostly female. And while I doubt Undertale ralliers have the same demographics as Tumblr overall I'm sure they are totally different from GameFAQs. Younger and much more female. Damn, I'd assume that neither gane would habe been favoured, even considering Tumblr's younger and female population. After all, SMW got a remake on the GBA, so the youngsters have probably played it too (at least, many people my age, 98 borns, did. In fact, a big duel for us is SMA4: SMB3 vs SMA2: SMW). As such , age shouldn't really matter. Heck, I'd expect SMW to be benefited, if only for nostalgia (too early for that maybe?) As for Tumblr being mostly female, that should benefit maybe AC slightly, but not that much. I doubt gamer girls dislike Mario --- Estoy toh weno y la tengo inmensa. |
As
for the whole Undertale thing, I'm pissed ME3 lost but at least that
was a result some risk takers predicted. If Undertale gets past fallout
then I will actually be concerned for the integrity of the contests. But
I think the odds are slim to none. LiS is a perfect Tumblr magnet and
didn't win any updates. I think even with a direct Undertale rally it
has a lot to overcome. ME3 is MUCH easier to rally against and near
impossible to counter rally for. Fallout has the entire gaming community
behind it right now and people will be here looking for faqs next week. --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
Today's matches also make me want to play a WRPG. Wonder where to start. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
ZeldaTPLink posted... That demographic is mainly composed of teenage girls. what I'm saying is New Leaf probably 60/40s FFVIII in this demographic in other words, Mario World's % isn't nearly as damning as it looks! |
LinkMarioSamus posted... Today's matches also make me want to play a WRPG. Wonder where to start. Oblivion is excellent and by now sort cheap everywhere and able to be run on pretty low end setups. --- Board 8's Voice of Reason http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg |
ZeldaTPLink posted... Anyway, I think this match was very ironic. Correct me if I'm wrong, but the reason people were pissed at Mass Effect 3's ending was because the series had a plot that was influenced by the player's choices, and people were expecting the ending to reflect on that, except the ending basically ignored player's choices? People keep saying this but the choices thing really only matters of that game is deep enough for you to care about your choices. Mass Effect made me a little mad because of how much I cared. Undertale failed to make me happy because I didn't care at all --- Board 8's Voice of Reason http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg |
Eddv posted... LinkMarioSamus posted...Today's matches also make me want to play a WRPG. Wonder where to start. Even better, I already own Morrowind, Oblivion, Skyrim, Fallout 3, Fallout 4, and New Vegas because my brother loves them. So I go away to watch some MST3K and then it turns out that the first-person games all dropped in %. Dunno what to say. (not counting Morrowind or Skyrim as first-person games lol me) --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil (edited 11/11/2015 7:55:08 AM)report |
voltch posted... I guess we should start talking about Fallout 4's ending. Can we not do that :( I won't be finishing the game for months... --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
So
it looks like Metroid Prime went back to dropping, I'm just going to
assume that Samus's typically great morning vote (IIRC) allowed it to
stall. Again though, Goldeneye isn't doing much better. Half-Life 2
seems to have stabilized, was Demon's Souls a night game in GOTD? --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
DaruniaTheGoron posted... As for the whole Undertale thing, I'm pissed ME3 lost but at least that was a result some risk takers predicted. If Undertale gets past fallout then I will actually be concerned for the integrity of the contests. But I think the odds are slim to none. LiS is a perfect Tumblr magnet and didn't win any updates. I think even with a direct Undertale rally it has a lot to overcome. ME3 is MUCH easier to rally against and near impossible to counter rally for. Fallout has the entire gaming community behind it right now and people will be here looking for faqs next week. Yeah I've already said my piece but will repost this for agreement. I feel confident that Fallout 3 is strong enough to win. On the flip side, this is way more of a "fun" fight than Draven because the rally isn't strong enough to just obliterate other good entries. I have no problem with close matches lost to rallies, because that's what makes contests memorable. And in retrospect, seeing how "weak" the tumblr rally is compared to Draven, it blows my mind yet again that Link was even close to making a comeback against Draven. --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
If
they stick around and become regular voters in all matches I am more
okay with it. If they only show up during Undertale matches like the
Reddit crew did for Draven, then it is lame. Nothing wrong with more voters if they vote all the time like the rest of us. --- Not changing this sig until the Bengals, Bills, Lions and Colt McCoy win the Super Bowl (10/10/10) ~User of the Year 2015~ |
LordoftheMorons posted... ctesjbuvf posted...So if SMB3 and SMW lose next round due to this rally, will Allen believe that old games are much weaker than new games despite the opposite having actually been shown >_> Tumblr picked FF8 with 70% over VC, and SMW only got 40% vs. Animal Crossing. Perhaps FF8's strength was just VC weakness. But SMW's showing was godawful. If Tumblr rallies half the votes or more, which it has the *potential* to (keyword potential) then FF8 can win. I mean I myself have a hard time conceiving anything but SMW domination. But objectively, FF8>SMW is on the table. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
ok, seriously Animal Crossing: New Leaf would probably beat nearly every game in this contest if decided by tumblr SMW basically drew THE worst possible opponent there as far as percentage swings go (comparing GameFAQs strength to rally strength) you're thinking of this as "oh wow SMW put a s*** tier performance against a mediocre game", in reality this is more like "SMW put up 36% against one of the top games" (edited 11/11/2015 8:28:00 AM)report |
Based on the completely stereotypical view of tumblr, I can't see them going for GTA against almost anything. |
Skyrim made it up to 65%~ like I expected, but man, Prime and HL2 tanked hard in percentage. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
LeonhartFour posted... Skyrim made it up to 65%~ like I expected, but man, Prime and HL2 tanked hard in percentage. The hardcore parkour players have woken up. --- Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses |
Using GotD stats: Half-Life 2 is projected to get 65.13% against Demon's Souls. Metroid Prime is projected to get 68.06% against Morrowind. Assuming Skyrim=Fallout 3, Skyrim is projected to get 73.53% against PW:AA. So yeah, this is the day where everyone disappoints! --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
KamikazePotato posted... Using GotD stats: Fallout 3 is likely overrated in those stats due to overperforming against Brawl, and Prime and HL2 are both affected by that as well. I would have been more surprised if Prime and HL2 weren't a little disappointing today. --- Congrats to 2013 Guru champ raytan! |
So is Skyrim a turd or is PW legit? I'm going with Skyrim being a turd. Tumblr spillover shouldn't account for that display. --- Your signature is automatically appended to the bottom of every post you make. Your 'About Me' message is displayed on your profile page. You can include any in |
Well, or you could read the solid like 2 pages of analysis on the subject before asking a useless question. --- Board 8's Voice of Reason http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg |
GranzonEx posted... is PW legit? I'm starting to wonder that myself. At first I thought it was absolute fodder that would immediately lose to something even slightly threatening, but maybe it's stronger than we thought. The fact that there are two Ace Attorney games in the contest should've tipped me off. I dunno. Phoenix Wright vs. Ratchet and Clank? Or vs. Journey? I wonder what would win. --- Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses |
Based on GOTD stats Skyrim gets 55% on WoW. Meanwhile GoldenEye is looking as strong as MGS4 in Game of the Decade. GoldenEye's got this. --- http://img.imgcake.com/whatisurnameplz/kermitgifre.gif Oh yea, I guess raytan won. |
Everything
on Brawl's quarter of the bracket is looking kind of bloated in the
X-stats now though so I would take that WoW stat with a massive grain of
salt. --- Board 8's Voice of Reason http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg |
we
get TP vs. PW3 in a couple days. that'll help clarify your thoughts,
though it is Zelda and nothing blows out matches like Zelda. --- xyzzy |
I hope people screw up their oracle challenge due to Skyrim, Skyrim's just been unlucky, its still beating Metroid Prime. (edited 11/11/2015 9:38:03 AM)report |
1374 This is the number of posts I am going to read now from the stat topics Undertale exploding really did it's damage here uh --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
Eddv posted... Well, or you could read the solid like 2 pages of analysis on the subject before asking a useless question. You're the only one that said anything about Skyrim before I went to bed last night! The rest of it is just "tumblr spillover". I was expecting Skyrim to get a lot closer to 70% on PW. I guess b8 overestimated TES power. Makes me feel better about SMRPG>Oblivion. --- Your signature is automatically appended to the bottom of every post you make. Your 'About Me' message is displayed on your profile page. You can include any in |
Nanis23 posted... 1374 Just start from the latest stat thread. Or read the key points: the moment the rally started, the moment the match ended, etc. |
Xeybozn posted... KamikazePotato posted...Using GotD stats: This. As someone mentioned in an earlier post Prime is projected to get like 38% on Melee going by this, which sounds right. Morrowind being weaker than DMC3 was rather suspect to begin with. If you plug Prime's number into the GOTD stats it's worth like 49% on Kingdom Hearts, which sounds better than being stronger than stuff like RE4 and Wind Waker. Although I'd fanboy pick Prime over RE4. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil (edited 11/11/2015 9:43:44 AM)report |
Skyrim
might be doing worse because of another TES in the poll. But I wouldn't
take it over GE at this point. I think D2 is legit. --- Your signature is automatically appended to the bottom of every post you make. Your 'About Me' message is displayed on your profile page. You can include any in |
I'd like to get a straw poll of who's winning the top half of this division. Skyrim Goldeneye Metroid Prime Half-Life 2 --- xyzzy |
(I'd probably take Skyrim) --- xyzzy |
I mean skyrim is still doubling it. It's actually kind of difficult to get 75% on a game in this contest unless its an indie game or platformer that people dont care about anymore. Though it is pretty funny that based on these numbers with no adjustment for strength loss Skyward sword would be trailing Phoenix Wright. --- Board 8's Voice of Reason http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg |
transience posted... (I'd probably take Skyrim) I definitely feel like Skyrim vs Prime is written in the stars, but even despite this performance, I think Prime probably pulls it off. --- Board 8's Voice of Reason http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg |
Going
by GOTD stat manipulation Metroid Prime will narrowly edge out HL2 but
is dead in the water against the Skyrim/Goldeneye winner. Argh. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
Ace
Attorney has blossomed into a series with over half a dozen games
released out here, and has generally been gaining audience over time.
And almost everyone who plays it likes it. It's still weak, of course,
but stronger than the turbo-fodder it once was. I think it's pretty hard
to judge Skyrim as a result, beyond "it won't beat Super Mario 64" but
really that should have been obvious from the start. On the other hand I can't conceive of Phoenix Wright beating Skyward Sword. So it's safe to say Skyrim is at least slightly weaker than those GotY polls made it look. --- The RPG Duelling League: www.rpgdl.com An unparalleled source for RPG information and discussion |
In
terms of games in this division though I'd probably prefer if Prime
lost to Half-Life 2 than if it suffered an SFF loss to Super Mario 64 or
especially Twilight Princess. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
I think Half Life 2 is looking pretty good here. --- Dr voltchball - best in the world. http://i.minus.com/iN5ZHjUDyI547.gif |
Skyrim
should still be the favourite. I know the board was expecting big
things from it, but the game was very unlikely to break 60% on
GE007/MP/HL2. Skyrim is looking like a KH2 tier game, even assuming MGS4 (and Diablo II) has stayed constant since 2010 GoldenEye is still expected to get 42% --- BGE3: Today's Matches Skyrim>PW, GE007>Diablo II, MP>Morrowind, HL2>DS Points 20/24 |
GranzonEx posted... So is Skyrim a turd or is PW legit? There was an extra 2000 votes early on which is worth 5% over a match with 35000 votes. This match is currently still outpacing earlier matches by 5000 votes. Therefore in my opinion there is still a mild tumblr effect happening. And a heavy chunk of votes still going to Phoenix Wright as a result. Let's say around 50% of tumblr votes, being conservative. So yes it does account for that type of display when Skyrim will end up with about 67-68% when it's all said and done. I expected around 70%-73%. Take out the tumblr votes and it's right in line with that. It's a turd if you expected it to take out SM64 I guess, but that thinking is completely bonkers. --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
MechanicalWall posted... GranzonEx posted...is PW legit? Honestly, I'd be surprised if Phoenix Wright didn't murk those two. I also think Skyrim/PW is a good situation for the latter to impress in, since these titles likely have unusually low fanbase overlap. It's as "East vs. West" as a match could possibly get, and I absolutely think PW is benefitting from that. --- JAK The Character Battle IX people's champ. |
1337gamerpr0 posted... ok, seriously And what exactly are you basing Animal Crossing being so strong there on, other than the SMW result itself? I have to be a bit skeptical you would've called it being one of the "top games" before the fact :) --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Phoenix
Wright finished ahead of Ratchet & Clank in the GOTD x-stats, and I
would have taken Phoenix over Journey even pre-contest. Skyrim would probably be at about 70% without rallies. GSC was projected to get only about 72% on Phoenix Wright, perhaps our problem was we expected too much out of Skyrim. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
DaruniaTheGoron posted... GranzonEx posted...So is Skyrim a turd or is PW legit? Yeah where did Skyrim > Mario 64 come from? --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
I
think the most accurate form of results we'll get from this is if we
wait until 24 hours have passed and then remove the first 4 hours from
that when considering percentages. Not perfect but yeah --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
I
think half-life 2 will be up against skyrim, not prime. Demons Souls
is stronger than morrowind, which is probably getting boosted due to
skyrim --- http://img.imgcake.com/whatisurnameplz/kermitgifre.gif Oh yea, I guess raytan won. |
Just
to ask who was the favorite in Metroid Prime vs. Half-Life 2 back in
GOTD? I'm assuming it was Half-Life 2 due to Prime's screwjob in the
2009 contest. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
Demon's
Souls is undoubtedly stronger now than it was in 2010... but it was
also "lost to Mega Man 9"-level weak back then. I definitely wouldn't
take it over Morrowind even now, and as a result, I can't see HL2
beating Prime. To be honest, I think the best factor in HL2's favor is that wonky performance HL1 put up on FFX. --- JAK The Character Battle IX people's champ. (edited 11/11/2015 10:20:01 AM)report |
Like
I said earlier the GOTD x-stats project Demon's Souls to get 53% on
Morrowind, but Demon's Souls is stuck behind Fallout 3's overperformance
on Brawl so if you adjust that entire quarter of the bracket based on
Metroid Prime's number on Morrowind it's Morrowind 52-48'ing Demon's
Souls. I'd take Morrowind to win that off of gut instinct, plus we've seen no proof that later games in a series boost the earlier game (Half-Life 2 being a little weaker now makes a bit more sense to me than Demon's Souls being stronger anyhow) and games from Demon's Souls's time have generally done badly unless they were against something from the early 2010s. On the other hand Uncharted 2 and The Last of Us doing well, along with the probable nature of Demon's Souls's fanbase, suggests that perhaps Demon's Souls is probably around the same strength if not stronger. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
TheCodeisBosco posted... Demon's Souls is undoubtedly stronger now than it was in 2010... but it was also "lost to Mega Man 9"-level weak back then. I definitely wouldn't take it over Morrowind even now, and as a result, I can't see HL2 beating Prime. To be honest, Demon's Souls was worth 49% on Okami, which was worth 48% on Prime. The GOTD stats project Demon's Souls to get 35% on Metroid Prime. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
